dr. ir. frans h.m. van de ven · tu delft / deltares water robust urban development. contents ......

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Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development

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Page 1: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de VenTU Delft / Deltares

Water robust urban development

Page 2: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Contents

• “Houston, we have a problem…”• Scope• Three-steps approach• Who is to take action• When to select measures• Conclusions

Page 3: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Our delta shows ongoing urbanization

200519701900

Page 4: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

in particular in the lowest parts…

> 4 m - MSL

2 to 4 m - MSL

0 to 2 m - MSL

0 to 5 m+MSL

5 to 10 m+MSL

> 10 m+MSL

Rotterdam

Amsterdam

Page 5: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

while the landsubsides,the sea level rises…

Page 6: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

and climate is changing.Climate scenario’s (KNMI, 2006)

+10% +27% +5% +13% daily rainfall (T=10 yr)

+15% +7% +8% +3% evapotranspiration

-19% +6% -10% +3% average precipitation

Summer

+14% +7% +7% +4% average precipitation

Winter

NoYesYesNoChanging West circulation

W+ W G+ G 2050

Page 7: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Our responses

• [Reduce climate change]• [Improve predictions]• Strengthen our protection• Adapt our living environment• …

Page 8: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Water robust cities

Water robust cities (WRC):Urban areas (re)developed in such a way, that they are able to cope with a more extreme - water surplus or - shortage of water and - heat

Page 9: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Scope of WRC

• All water stresses: Flooding, drought & heat• New developments and existing urban areas• Buildings and public space• Technology, process, legislation and practiceTo identify appropriate measures, taking into

account– Types of water stress …– Types of vulnerability …

Page 10: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Measures we could take

> 100 measures identified…..• Collective ‘soft’ measures

e.g. contingency plans, building legislation

• Collective ‘hard’ measurese.g. dikes, drainage systems

• Individual ‘soft’ measurese.g. increasing water risk consciousness, insurances

• Individual ‘hard’ measurese.g. building without crawl space, wet or dry proofing

Page 11: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Our problem: how to select?

Our solution:

Three-step approach • Step 1: Completing a vulnerability-analysis• Step 2: Strategy to reduce vulnerability• Step 3: Selecting

appropriate measures

Page 12: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

1. Vulnerability-analysis

Type of water stress

subsoil

network

occupation

Analysis of the subsoil / soil / water / urban design systemunder the influence of climate change

Based on the 3-layer approach to spatial planning

Page 13: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

2. Strategy to reduce vulnerability

Four capacities to reduce vulnerability1:

• Damage prevention = threshold capacity• Damage reduction = coping capacity• Damage reaction = recovery capacity• Damage anticipation = adaptive capacity

1 Graaf, R. de, N. van de Giesen and F. van de Ven, 2007, Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability for climate change in the Netherlands, Natural Hazards nov.

Page 14: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

3. Selecting appropriate measures

Selection depends on:

• Results vulnerability analysis• Strategy to reduce this vulnerability• Available ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ measures

Page 15: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

3. WRD measures selection

3. Recovery capacityExtra pumping capacityCleaning & drying capacityWater supplying capacity in extremely dry periods

Et cetera

4. Adaptive capacityTemporary houses & buildingsAdaptive management Water-based spatial planningRegular updates water & spacepolicies

2. Coping capacityMajor drainage sytem; adapted streetprofileWet proofingWarm grass instead cold grasses

Et cetera

1. Threshold capacityWaterrobust infrastructureEnlarged seasonal storagecapacityHigh floor level vs street levelFloating housing

Et cetera

Measures to strengthen …

Page 16: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

3. Selecting appropriate measures

Selection depends on:

• Results vulnerability analysis• Strategy to reduce this vulnerability• Available ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ measures• The stakeholders (!!)

Page 17: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Who are the stakeholders?

Public• State • Province• Municipality• Water board

Private• Owner-occupier• Real estate developers

• Housing associations• Waterworks

• Electricity companies• Telecom companies

• Insurance companies• Mortgage banks

Note: Different parties involved in each phase of a (re)development process !

Page 18: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

When to select measures

Depends on the phase of development: • Planning • Design• Building• Maintenance

Page 19: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

When to select ?= when to apply this three-step approach

1. Spatial planning phase : Select strategy and principal WRD solutions in spat ial plans

2. Spatial developmenta. Initiative: embracing the idea of a WRDb. Draft designs: select water robust measures (spatial water strategy)

3. Feasibility study : market analysis

4. Design, planning, preparation, costs, permits .a. Developing the plan

1. Contracts2. Commitment

b. Urban design: final selection of measures

5. Building processa. Engineering/preparation technical design of selected measuresb. Building site preparation: realization of water robust solutionsc. Constructiond. Completion

6. Maintenancea. Property-, asset- en portfolio management Select water robust maintenance measuresb. Keep up operational rescue capacity, …

Spatial planning phase

Planning & design phase

- At transfer- Corrective measures

Page 20: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

In conclusion

• No best, no most robust solution; • Selection of appropriate measures is a

negotiation process– Vulnerability analysis– Strategy to reduce vulnerability

Making water robust cities is challenge,but it is

feasible and affordable

Page 21: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

Steering committee:

-consortium thanks

+ Advisory board WRC:

Page 22: Dr. ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven · TU Delft / Deltares Water robust urban development. Contents ... while the land subsides, ... Alternative water management options to reduce vulnerability

More informationMore information:

www.bouwrijp.nlwww.wrm.tudelft.nl

> Research > Transitions SUW