WRF/DART
• Forecasts from Weather Research and Forecasting model, assimilation from Data Assimilation Research Testbed.
• DART is general purpose ensemble filtering system. Easily applied to new models and observations.
• Available to community. See www.image.ucar.edu/DAReS/DART
Open issues
• More frequent cycling and/or use of “time interpolation.” Effects on balance?
• Higher resolution, nests, multiple spatial scales
Initializing “True” State and Ensemble
• Construct N+1 initial states– AVN analysis (1 Jan 03) + perturbations drawn
randomly from 3DVar covariances
• Construct N+1 lateral BC’s– AVN analyses (1-10 Jan 03) + perturbations– Perturbations are deviations from Jan climatology,
scaled by 0.2
• EnKF uses first N initial states and LBCs; true state use N+1st– Ensemble and true state drawn from same pdf