Transcript
Page 1: World Grains & Oilseeds Map - Agri Investor › wp-content › uploads › ... · South Korea EU Mexico Egypt Japan million tonnes 2014/15 2009/10 grains include wheat, corn and barley

1,571

6,091

4,134

4,019

4,123

3,720

3,692

3,567

3,309

3,135

3,014

1,761

2,738

2,7102,637

2,636

2,242

2,074

1,850

2,895

1,491

1,470

1,403

1,337

1,210

1,200

1,159

1,126

1,070

1,032

1,013

1,007

1,002

10,683

9,776

9,627

3,390

3,149

2,726

1,567

2,546

2,253

2,155

2,094

2,070

1,922

1,770

1,7202,670

1,495

1,3461,250

1,229

1,223

1,204

1,201

1,191

1,178 1,090

1,075

1,577

424

396

444

4,868

3,252

2,839

2,411

3,804

1,815

1,044

1,010

32,618

31,343

6,135

5,9612,391

4,039

3,562

2,410

1,989

1,818

1,470

1,350

1,244

1,062

9,325

8,757

2,400

1,8551,386

1,602

1,514

1,217

1,200

1,172

1,142

1,107

1,044

Canada

United Statesof America

Mexico

Guatemala

Belize

HondurasEl

Salvador Nicaragua

Costa RicaPanama

Jamaica

Cuba

Haiti PuertoRico (US)

Trinidadand Tobago

Venezuela

Guyana

Colombia Suriname

FrenchGuyana

Ecuador

Peru

Bolivia

Chile

Argentina

Uruguay

Paraguay

Brazil

Bahamas

Ethiopia

Somalia

Kenya

Tanzania

RwandaBurundi

Uganda

Congo(Dem. Rep.)

GabonCongo

Beni

nTo

go

NigeriaGuinea

Cape Verde

Angola

Zambia

Zimbabwe

BotswanaNamibia

South AfricaLesotho

Swaziland

Moza

mbique

Malaw

i

Madagascar MauritiusRéunion (Fr.)

Maldives

India

Nepal

Bangla-desh

Myanmar

Laos

Thailand

Camb.

China

Mongolia

Japan

NorthKorea

SouthKorea

Taiwan

Philippines

Brunei

Singapore

Indonesia

M a l a y s ia

PapuaNew

Guinea

Australia

EastTimor

Sri Lanka

S e ao f

J a p a n

S o u t hC h i n a

S e a

P a c i fi c

O c e a n

I n d i a n

O c e a n

A r a b i a nS e a

G u l f o fB e n g a l

P a c i fi c

O c e a n

H u d s o nB a y

B a ffi nB a y

Equator

Tropic of Cancer

Tropic of Capricorn

G u l f o fM e x i c o

C a r i b b e a nS e a

SolomonIslands

SouthSudan

Vietnam

Russia

PolandIreland UnitedKingdom

Greece

Romania

Italy

Austria

Czech R.

Alb.Mac.

Kos.

Slov.

Sweden

Norway

Croatia

Bulgaria

Ukraine

Denmark

Niger

Mauritania

W. Sahara

Senegal

Morocco

Libya

Spain

CanaryIslands

(Sp.)

Chad

Central AfricanRepublic

Cameroon

Egypt

SudanEritrea

Djibouti

Yemen

OmanSaudiArabia

JordanIsrael

Leb.

Turkey

IranIrak

Syria

BahrainQatar

U.A.E.

Afghanistan

Pakistan

S e ao f

O k h o t s k

AzerbaijanArmenia TurkmenistanTajikistan

Uzbekistan

A t l a n t i c

O c e a n

Finland

France

Nether-lands

Germany

Switzer-land

Belg.L. EU

NewZealand

Algeria

Tunisia

Mali

Gambia

Guinea Bissau

Sierra Leone

Liberia

Côted’Ivoire Ghana

Eq. Guinea

BurkinaFaso

Kuwait

Georgia

Belarus

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

BosniaHerz.Mon.

Serbia

Kazakhstan

Kyrgyzstan

SlovakiaHungary

Portugal

Iceland

Greenland(Den.)

Dom.Republic

GalapagosIsl. (Ec.)

Sao Francisco do Sul

Sao Luis

A t l a n t i c

O c e a n

Comoros

Seychelles

Prince Rupert

Vancouver

Portland

ManzanilloVeracruz

Corpus Christi

Houston

New Orleans

Savannah

ToledoChicago

Thunder Bay

Hamilton

Montréal

Port of Québec

Port-Cartier

Churchill

Long Beach

Duluth

Guayaquil

San Antonio

Vitória

Santos

Paranaguá

Rio GrandeSanta Fé

RosarioSanta Martin/San Lorenzo

Porto Alegre

Buenos Aires

Abidjan

Lagos

Durban

Algiers

AlexandriaDamietta Port

Said

Haifa

CadizMálaga

Valencia

BarcelonaTarragona

Santander GenoaRavenna

Venice

Livorno

Naples

Izmir

Odessa

Tekirdag

Helsingborg

Göteborg

GdanskGdynia

TallinnSt. Petersburg

Damman

Mumbai

Kandla

Karachi

Tuticorin

Visakhapatnam

CalcuttaChittagong

Bangkok

Saigon

Hong Kong

Xiamen

Taichung

Kaohsiung

Shanghai

Qingdao

Incheon

Dalian

UlsanBusan Kobe

Nagoya YokohamaChibaKashima

Belawan

Penang

Kuantan

Singapore

Tanjung Priok

Darwin

Brisbane

Newcastle

Port Kembla

MelbourneGeelong

Portland

Port AdelaidePort Giles

WallarooPort Lincoln

Thevenard

EsperanceAlbany

Kwinana

Geraldton

Bari

Gioia Tauro

Le Havre Rouen

Dunkirk Ghent

TilburyLondon

SouthamptonAntwerp

RotterdamAmsterdam

Hamburg

Bremen

Tianjin

Guangzhou

Fangchenggang

Nantong

Rizhao

Zhangjiagang

Gladstone

Mackay

Bunbury

Krisnapatnam

Bintulu

Johor Bahru

PortKelang

Tanjung Pelepas

Prachuap Port

Si RachaLaem Chabang

Map Ta Phut

Batangas

Cagayan de Oro

Cebu

Davao

ManilaLiman

Cam Pha Port

Da Nang

Haiphong

Phu My

Quy Nhon

Banjarmasin

Palembang

Panjang

Sungai Pakning

Tanjung Perak

Krueng Geukueh

Kotabaru

Constanta

Marseille

BordeauxLa Rochelle

Klaipeda

Ventspils

Liepaja

TarantoThessaloniki

Athens/Pireas

Illichivsk

Yuzhny MykolaivMariupol

Novorossiysk

Volga-Don-Azov

Sevastopol

Salalah

Dubai

Jeddah

Khor FakkanSharjah

Mersin

Tangier

Mombasa

Dar es Salaam

Nacala

Beira

Maputo

Santarém

Itaqui

Salvador

Ilhéus

Shahid RajaeeBandar Abbas

Cape Town

Saldanha Bay

Ambarli

ManausBarcarena

B l a c k S e a

C a s p i a nS e a

M e d i t e r r a n e a nS e a

Athens/Pyreas

Thessaloniki

Taranto

Izmir

TekirdagBari

Sevastopol

Volga-Don-Azov

Novorossiysk

MariupolMykolaiv

Yuzhny

Ambarli

Dniestr

DnieperDon

Southern Buh

Constanta

OdessaIllichivsk

Mersin

Donets

Dan

ube

US

Argentina

Canada

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Peru

Mexico

350

128

501

811

325

195

194

366

150

EU

Morocco

Algeria488

643

400 258 350

173

106

419183

105

734

1,277314

177Ukraine

SaudiArabia

Iran

RussiaScandinavia

France

India

Jordan

Tunisia

Turkey

1,272

3,215

1,631

1,490

1,290

487

240

406

Venezuela

686648

1,952

2,788

350

1,750

144 125

100599

316 212338

Australia

ChinaJapan

Barley exports (2014/15)(Total trade volume 17 million tonnes)

Durum wheat exports (2013/14)(Total trade volume 6 million tonnes)

Sorghum exports (2014/15)(Total trade volume 5 million tonnes)

Feed barley1,000

Malting barley1,000

Durum wheat1,000

Sorghum1,000

The minimum requirementto depict a trade flow is250,000 tonnes for feed barley,100,000 tonnes for maltingbarley and durum wheat,150,000 tonnes for sorghum.

EU 33%

Australia 18% Russia 19%

Ukraine 15%

Canada 5%

ROW 10%

Canada 58%

EU 13%

US 9%

Mexico 16%

Australia 3% ROW 1%

US 73%

Argentina 9% Ukraine 1%

Australia 13%

India 1% ROW 3%

Mexico

US

South Africa

EU

Benin*

GhanaCameroon

Nigeria

Angola

MadagascarMozambique

Côte d’Ivoire

Liberia

Senegal

Venezuela

Canada230

3862,153

466

283268

704

2341,670

888

212

453

205

215

447

231

419

7391,342

2,400

216

398

390

216

328

318

201

200

298

372

356

504

310

292290

561

380919

283 289

656

324

209

Afghanistan

Kenya

Haiti

Thailand

IranIraq

Yemen

Kuwait

China

Nepal

Mongolia

SaudiArabia

India

Taiwan

North Korea

VietnamUAE

Pakistan

Singapore

Bangla-desh

Rice exports (2009/10)(Total trade volume 31 million tonnes)

Thailand 29%

Vietnam 21%

US 11%

India 7%

Pakistan 13%

ROW 19%

India 8%

Pakistan 15%

Rice exports (2014/15)(Total trade volume 43 million tonnes)

Thailand 28%

Vietnam 21%

US 9%

ROW 19%

The minimum requirementto depict a trade flowis 200,000 tonnes.

Benin is re-exportingto Nigeria.

Rice export(’000 tonnes)

1,000

*

France

14

11

15

Canada

US

US

US

Canada

118

124

26

15

117

85

34

45

56

Tunisia7%

Spain41%

Portugal3%

Brazil

Mexico

Morocco4%

Algeria2%

9

13

8

4411

49

15

9

54

15

16

Italy13%

Germany

EU

1453

UnitedKingdom

Greece10%

Nether-lands

Turkey6%

Syria6%

Russia

South Korea

Japan

China &Hong Kong

13

26

13

548

36

8

Australia

UAE

28

25

10

Belgium

Morocco 2%

Olive oil exports (2014)(Total trade volume 933,000 tonnes)

Spain 37%

Tunisia 11%

Italy 27%

Turkey 3% Greece 2%

Syria 2%

Portugal 6%

ROW 10%

Olive oil exports (2010)(Total trade volume 759,000 tonnes)

ROW 10%

Turkey 3% Morocco 3%

Greece 2% Syria 2%

Portugal 5%

Tunisia 15%

Italy 30%

Spain 30%

The minimum requirement to depicta trade flow is 8,000 tonnes.

Olive oil exports in ’000 tonnes50

5%

Intra EU-trade is excluded from export.

Share in global production 2012/13 - 2015/16due to biennial olive production

=

US

Canada

Mexico

Chile

1,405

3,333

1,337

1,327971

110

92

1,572

Argentina

China

India

UkraineEU

UAE

PakistanIran

Uzbekistan

Kazachstan

Russia

Belarus

Norway

EgyptAlgeria

Turkey

2,4844,262 2,271

1,047

1,688

244

572

450

616 401 501485

518

220

430

99

8383

83

352215

187

286

265772

154

119110

142 319161

117

314

131

Australia

Japan

Thailand

SouthKorea

Sunflower oil exports (2014/15)(Total trade volume 5 million tonnes)

Ukraine 52%Argentina 7%

Russia 20%

Turkey 8%

EU 6% ROW 7%

Rapeseed exports (2014/15)(Total trade volume 13 million tonnes)

EU 4%

Canada 63%Australia 17%

Ukraine 13%

ROW 2%US 1%

Sunflower seeds1,000

Sunflower meal1,000

Sunflower oil1,000

Rapeseed1,000

Rapeseed meal1,000

Rapeseed oil1,000

The minimum requirementto depict a trade flow is250,000 tonnes, except forthe oils, which only require75,000 tonnes.

The EU is the no. 1 producer (66% of world production),consumer (55% of world consumption) and exporter(65% of global export) of olive oil.

Ukraine

62,650

37,471

11,049

35,386

16,300

4,430

3,562

129

Russia

90,431

65,987

9,084

31,349

5,631

102

10,528

521

Kazakhstan

11,78316,072

3,1806,042

270 754182

Serbia

9,797 10,467

3,552

750 1,006213

Turkey

28,95024,050

2,0264,117

675 1,420

122

Romania

15,525

20,928

853

848

12,571

1,618360

3,7082,350

Bulgaria

7,1959,186

1,917

5,567

1,0532,381

2811,337

Hungary

15,683 15,747

3,335

6,815

1,5442,349

674 969

2004/05 2014/15

Production

Exports

ProductionExports

Grains

Oilseeds*

10,000

5,000

10,000

5,000

5,0005,000

2,5002,500

* Oilseeds data for Romania, Bulgaria and Hungary is not available

Data in ’000 tonnes

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

100

USD

bill

ion

Total export volume (RHS)

09/1008/0907/0806/0705/06 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15

Export value barleyExport value cornExport value wheat

mill

ion

tonn

es

0

50

100

150

200

250

350

400

300

450

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

USD

bill

ion

09/1008/0907/0806/0705/06 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15

Rapeseed complex Sunflower complex

Soybean complex Palm oil complex

Total export volume (RHS)

mill

ion

tonn

es

‘complex’ refers to seed, meal and oil

0 20 40 60 08 001 120

Taiwan

Japan

Mexico

EU

China

million tonnes 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Colombia

Nigeria

Thailand

Malaysia

Indonesia

million tonnes

2014/152009/10

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Malaysia

Pakistan

China

EU

India

million tonnes

2014/152009/10

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

India

China

Argentina

Brazil

US

million tonnes

2014/152009/10

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

0

30

60

90

120

150

USD

/bbl

USD

/ton

ne

Soybean oil (Dutch, fob ex-mill)Rapeseed oil (Dutch, fob ex-mill)

Sunflower oil (EU, fob NW Eur. ports)Palm oil crude (cif NW Eur. (h))

Brent crude oil(RHS) (in USD/bbl)

Jan2005

Jan2006

Jan2007

Jan2008

Jan2009

Jan2010

Jan2011

Jan2012

Jan2013

Jan2014

Jan2015

Jan2016

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

USD

/ton

ne

Soybean (CBOT) Corn (CBOT) Wheat (CBOT)

Jan2005

Jan2006

Jan2007

Jan2008

Jan2009

Jan2010

Jan2011

Jan2012

Jan2013

Jan2014

Jan2015

Jan2016

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Argentina

Pakistan

Canada

Ukraine

Russia

Brazil

India

EU

China

US

million tonnes

2014/152009/10

grains include wheat, corn and barley

0 5 10 15 20 25

Taiwan

Brazil

Indonesia

Algeria

Iran

South Korea

EU

Mexico

Egypt

Japan

million tonnes

2014/152009/10

grains include wheat, corn and barley

2014/152009/10

South Africa

PIE

10,8001,200

650

1,7501,785

275

1,060120

4

174160

90

750510

65

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-450

10

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Mexico

PIE

25,48011,269

784

3,6874,4461,104

3553,819

-

745253

3

3,3001,795

15

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

110470

4

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Russia

PIE

11,32546

3,213

59,080327

22,800

2,5951,986

312

6902

423

3,035542505

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-854

2

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Argentina

PIE

26,5005

17,500

12,50035

5,500

61,4002

10,573

7,68722

5,093

30,927780

28,545

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

---

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Brazil

PIE

85,000600

32,500

6,0005,3741,691

96,200305

50,612

7,66011

1,510

30,89020

14,390

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

340215115

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Canada

PIE

11,4871,158

423

29,420483

24,116

6,049339

3,853

30834

118

1,3351933

212

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-87

-

Palmoil

Soy-beans

China

PIE

215,6465,516

13

126,2081,926

803

12,35078,350

143

13,387773107

58,24558

1,595

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-5,696

1

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Egypt

PIE

5,9607,826

10

8,30011,063

339

231,947

-

348480

40

1,5401,091

2

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-1,550

9

Palmoil

Soy-beans

EU

PIE

75,7938,7564,030

156,5255,973

35,401

1,81013,388

116

2,679252

1,010

11,13919,260

362

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-6,800

160

Palmoil

Soy-beans

India

PIE

23,67024

1,111

95,85052

3,402

8,70011

234

1,2452,799

-

5,6007

1,072

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

1809,129

-

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Ukraine

PIE

28,45028

19,661

24,75027

11,269

3,9004

2,422

160-

136

6832

216

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

Soy-beans

Iran

PIE

2,5406,200

-

13,0006,3001,200

1951,311

-

265421

-

1,1501,948

-

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-195

1

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Turkey

PIE

4,8002,224

46

15,2505,9474,062

1352,197

93

205-

18

883465115

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-594

1

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Japan

PIE

114,656

-

8525,878

262

2263,004

-

42063

1,6271,699

-

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-618

-

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Australia

PIE

389-

60

23,666155

16,605

4612

832

4

33780

1

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-125

32

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Saudi Arabia

PIE

802,904

-

4253,487

10

-12

-

-793

-

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-400

5

Palmoil

Algeria

PIE

14,381

-

1,9007,257

15

-620

-

-1,100

-

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-125

-

Palmoil

South Korea

PIE

8210,179

-

1,7503,942

153

1391,121

-

152257

4

6781,751

112

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-445

-

Palmoil

Soy-beans

US

PIE

361,091804

47,359

55,1474,068

23,249

106,878904

50,169

9,706120914

40,879302

11,929

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

-1,144

23

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Malaysia

PIE

563,221

10

-1,545

170

-643

16

77126170

3391,465

45

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

19,8791,000

17,378

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Indonesia

PIE

8,8003,381

230

-7,478

300

-23

-

---

-3,850

-

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

33,000-

25,300

Palmoil

Soy-beans

Black Sea region production and exports, 2004/05 vs. 2014/15

The main map shows the leading grains & oilseeds in the complex: wheat, corn (maize), soybeans and palm oil.The minimum requirement for depicting a trade flow is 1 million tonnes (except soy oil, where the minimum requirement is 350,000 tonnes).Trade flows shown here do not necessarily follow the actual trade routes.

Legend

Major grain & oilseed portState boundaryEU boundary

Trade flows (’000 tonnes)

Key data per country

Soybean exports

Soymeal exports

Soy oil exports

Palm oil exports (2014)

Wheat exports

Corn exports

ROW = Rest of the world

4,000

4,000

4,000

< 1,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

Country

PIE

502,000

2

404,000

100

301,200

-

100300

20

7001,600

70

Corn Wheat Soy-meal

Soyoil

50-

125

Palmoil

Soy-beans Production in ’000 tonnes

Imports in ’000 tonnesExports in ’000 tonnes

Top soybean importers, 2009/10 vs. 2014/15 Top palm oil producers, 2009/10 vs. 2014/15 Top palm oil importers, 2009/10 vs. 2014/15Top soybean producers, 2009/10 vs. 2014/15

Corn, wheat and soybean monthly prices, 2005-2016

Vegetable oils monthly prices, 2005-2016

Global grain export development Global oilseed complex export development Top 10 grain producers, 2009/10 vs. 2014/15 Top 10 grain importers, 2009/10 vs. 2014/15 Barley, durum wheat and sorghum exports

Rice exports

Olive oil exports

Sunflower complex and rapeseed complex exports

Utrecht, March 2016Published Cover Photo

ShutterstockPrintingDe Groot Drukkerij bv, Goudriaan, the Netherlands Bloomberg, International Grains Council, International Olive Oil Council, OIL WORLD ISTA Mielke-Hamburg (www.oilworld.de), Rabobank, UN Comtrade, USDA

Tradeflow data: grains 2013/14; rice 2013; oilseeds 2014. Country table data: 2014/15

SourcesAvailabilityThis map is published in line with Rabobank’s long-term commitment to international food and agribusiness. It is one of the products undertaken bythe Food & Agribusiness Research and Advisory department of Rabobank. Clients of Rabobank can obtain a copy of this map from their Relationship Manager.

Copyright© Rabobank 2016. No reproduction of this map or any part thereof is permitted without prior consent of the copyright owners. The international andother boundaries in this map are taken from authoritative sources and are believed to be accurate as of the date of publication of this map.

The information on this map is based upon or drawn from various authoritative sources and whilst all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this map no warranties can be given as to its accuracy and/or no reliance should beplaced upon the same without further detailed inspection and survey. Therefore, the publishers cannot accept any liability or responsibility for any loss or damage and indeed would be grateful to receive notification of any errors or inconsistencies.

CartographyG-O graphics, Wijk bij Duurstede & Kaartbeeld, Scherpenzeel, the NetherlandsDeVink MapDesign, Leigh-on-Sea, United Kingdom

Disclaimer

Grains include wheat, corn and barleyOilseeds include sunflower seeds, rapeseed and soybeans

Rabobank Food & AgribusinessResearch and Advisory

World Grains &Oilseeds Map

far.rabobank.com

Rabobank Group is a Netherlands-based international financialservices provider focused on F&A, with operations in 42 countries.Visit far.rabobank.com to learn more about our knowledge and services in the various F&A sectors.

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