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Tom Peters’
We Are in a Brawl with No RulesNMFN/Chicago/01.25.2003
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Thank You &
Godspeed!
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Slides at …
tompeters.com
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NMFN.com/Risk Tolerance Calculator:
51
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“We are in a
brawl with no rules.”
Paul Allaire
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“IT MAY SOMEDAY BE SAID THAT THE 21ST CENTURY BEGAN ON SEPTEMBER 11, 2001. …
“Al-Qaeda represents a new and profoundly dangerous kind of
organization—one that might be called a ‘virtual state.’ On September 11 a virtual
state proved that modern societies are vulnerable as never before.”—Time/09.09.2002
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“The deadliest strength of America’s new adversaries is their very fluidity, Defense Secretary Donald
Rumsfeld believes. Terrorist networks, unburdened by fixed borders, headquarters or conventional forces, are
free to study the way this nation responds to threats and adapt themselves to prepare for what Mr. Rumsfeld is certain will be another attack. …
“ ‘Business as usual won’t do it,’ he said. His answer is to develop swifter, more lethal ways
to fight. ‘Big institutions aren’t swift on their feet in adapting but rather ponderous and clumsy
and slow.’ ”—The New York Times/09.04.2002
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From: Weapon v. Weapon
To: Org structure v. Org structure
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Eric Shiseki’s Army
Flat.Fast.Agile.Adaptable.Light … But Lethal.Talent-centric/ “I Am An Army of One.”Info-intense.Network-centric.
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“Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Intelligence Systems Agency, made one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office
quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the
years ahead.
“The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to
give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based
targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective.
“In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen (much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the
real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly
together. Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business
2.0/ OCT2002
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1. The Destruction Imperative.
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Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39 members of the Class of ’17 were alive
in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100 “survivors” underperformed the market
by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak, outperformed the market 1917 to 1987.
S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were
alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957 to 1997.
Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market
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“Mr. Foster and his McKinsey colleagues collected detailed
performance data stretching back 40 years for 1,000 U.S. companies. They
found that none of the long-term survivors managed to outperform the market. Worse, the longer companies had been in the database, the worse
they did.”—Financial Times/11.28.2002
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“It’s just a fact: Survivors underperform.”
—Dick Foster
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Just Say No …
“I don’t intend to be known as the ‘King of
the Tinkerers.’ ”CEO, large financial services company/New York
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2. IS/ IT/ Web
… “On the Bus” or “Off the Bus.”
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“The organizations we created have become tyrants. They have taken
control, holding us fettered, creating barriers that hinder rather than help our businesses. The lines that we drew on our neat organizational diagrams have turned into walls
that no one can scale or penetrate or even peer over.” —Frank Lekanne Deprez &
René Tissen, Zero Space: Moving Beyond Organizational Limits.
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“Ebusiness is about rebuilding the organization from the
ground up. Most companies today are not built to exploit the Internet.
Their business processes, their approvals, their hierarchies, the
number of people they employ … all of that is wrong for running an
ebusiness.”
Ray Lane, Kleiner Perkins
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Case: CRM
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“CRM has, almost universally, failed
to live up to expectations.”
Butler Group (UK)
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CGE&Y (Paul Cole): “Pleasant
Transaction” vs. “Systemic Opportunity.” “Better job
of what we do today” vs. “Re-think overall
enterprise strategy.”
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Here We Go Again: Except It’s Real This Time!
Bank online: 24.3M (10.2002); 2X Y2000.
Wells Fargo: 1/3rd; 3.3M; 50% lower attrition
rate; 50% higher growth in balances than off-line; more likely to cross-purchase; “happier and
stay with the bank much longer.”
B of A: 4M of 15M (“… way beyond the early adopters”).
Source: The Wall Street Journal/10.21.2002
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3. The Heart of the
Value Added Revolution: PSFs Unbound/ The
“Solutions Imperative.”
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“Companies have defined so much ‘best practice’
that they are now more or less identical.”
Jesper Kunde, Unique now ... or never
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“The ‘surplus society’ has a surplus of
similar companies, employing
similar people, with similar educational backgrounds, coming up
with similar ideas, producing
similar things, with similar prices
and similar quality.”
Kjell Nordström and Jonas Ridderstråle, Funky Business
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“Customers will try ‘low cost
providers’ … because the Majors have not
given them any clear reason not to.”
Leading Insurance Industry Analyst
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Gerstner’s IBM: Systems Integrator of
choice. Global Services:
$35B. Pledge/’99: Business Partner Charter. 72 strategic partners,
aim for 200. Drop many in-house
programs/products. (BW/12.01).
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Keep In Mind: Customer
Satisfaction versus
Customer
Success
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4. A World of Scintillating
“Experiences.”
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“Experiences are as distinct from services as services are from
goods.”Joseph Pine & James Gilmore, The Experience Economy:
Work Is Theatre & Every Business a Stage
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“The [Starbucks] Fix” Is on …
“We have identified a ‘third place.’ And I really believe that sets us apart. The third place is
that place that’s not work or home. It’s the place our
customers come for refuge.”Nancy Orsolini, District Manager
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Experience: “Rebel Lifestyle!”
“What we sell is the ability for a 43-year-old accountant to dress in black leather, ride
through small towns and have people be afraid of him.”
Harley exec, quoted in Results-Based Leadership
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WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU?
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It’s All About EXPERIENCES: “Trapper” to “Wildlife Damage-control Professional”
Trapper: <$20 per beaver pelt.
WDCP: $150/“problem beaver”; $750-$1,000 for flood-control
piping … so that beavers can stay.
Source: WSJ/05.21.2002
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5. Boss Job One:
The Talent Obsession.
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“The leaders of Great Groups love talent and know where to find it. They revel in
the talent of others.”Warren Bennis & Patricia Ward Biederman,
Organizing Genius
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Goal of the Year No. 1*: Find-Develop-Mentor
ONE Extraordinary Person.
*CEO, large financial advisory firm, April 2001
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“AS LEADERS, WOMEN RULE: New Studies find that female managers
outshine their male counterparts in almost
every measure”Title, Special Report, Business Week, 11.20.00
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Women’s Strengths Match New Economy Imperatives: Link [rather than rank] workers;
favor interactive-collaborative leadership style [empowerment beats top-down decision making]; sustain fruitful collaborations; comfortable with sharing information; see redistribution of power
as victory, not surrender; favor multi-dimensional feedback; value technical & interpersonal skills, individual & group contributions equally; readily accept ambiguity; honor intuition as well as pure
“rationality”; inherently flexible; appreciate cultural diversity.
Source: Judy B. Rosener, America’s Competitive Secret
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“TAKE THIS QUICK QUIZ: Who manages more things at once? Who puts more effort into their appearance? Who usually takes care of the details? Who finds it
easier to meet new people? Who asks more questions in a conversation? Who is a better
listener? Who has more interest in communication skills? Who is more inclined to get involved?
Who encourages harmony and agreement? Who has better intuition? Who works with a longer ‘to do’ list? Who enjoys a recap to the day’s events? Who is
better at keeping in touch with others?”
Source: Selling Is a Woman’s Game: 15 Powerful Reasons Why Women Can Outsell Men, Nicki Joy & Susan Kane-Benson
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“Investors are looking more and more for a relationship with their financial
advisers. They want someone they can trust, someone who listens. In my experience, in general,
women may be better at these relationship-building skills than are
men.”
Hardwick Simmons, CEO, Prudential Securities
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6. Trends:
Women Roar.
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?????????
Home Furnishings … 94%Vacations … 92% (Adventure Travel … 70%/ $55B travel
equipment)
Houses … 91%D.I.Y. (“home projects”) … 80%
Consumer Electronics … 51% Cars … 60% (90%)
All consumer purchases … 83% Bank Account … 89%
Health Care … 80%
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2/3rds working women/50+% working wives > 50%
80% checks61% bills
53% stock (mutual fund boom)
43% > $500K95% financial decisions/
29% single handed
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1970-1998
Men’s median income: +0.6%Women’s median income: + 63%
Source: Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women
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91% women: ADVERTISERS DON’T
UNDERSTAND US. (58% “ANNOYED.”)
Source: Greenfield Online for Arnold’s Women’s Insight Team (Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women)
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FemaleThink/ Popcorn
“Men and women don’t think the same way, don’t communicate the same
way, don’t buy for the same reasons.”
“He simply wants the transaction to take place. She’s interested in
creating a relationship. Every place women go, they make
connections.”
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Women's View of Male Salespeople
Technically knowledgeable; assertive; get to the point; pushy;
condescending; insensitive to women’s needs.
Source: Judith Tingley, How to Sell to the Opposite Sex (Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women)
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Read This Book …
EVEolution: The Eight Truths of Marketing to Women
Faith Popcorn & Lys Marigold
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EVEolution: Truth No. 1
Connecting Your Female Consumers to Each
Other Connects Them to Your Brand
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“The ‘Connection Proclivity’ in women starts early. When asked,
‘How was school today?’ a girl usually tells her mother every
detail of what happened, while a boy might grunt, ‘Fine.’ ”
EVEolution
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What If …
“What if ExxonMobil or Shell dipped into their credit card database to help commuting women
interview and make a choice of car pool partners?”
“What if American Express made a concerted effort to connect up female empty-nesters
through on-line and off-line programs, geared to help women re-enter the workforce with today’s
skills?”
EVEolution
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“Women don’t buy
brands. They join them.”
EVEolution
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F.Y.I.
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“Women Beat Men at Art of Investing”
Source: Miami Herald, reporting on a study by Profs. Terrance Odean and Brad Barber, UC Davis (Cause: Guys are “in and out” of
stocks more often; women choose carefully and hold on for the long term)
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Value Line: Top State* Investment Clubs 2000
8 … All male19 … Coed
22 … All FEMALE
* VT & Maine not included; D.C. included
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1. Men and women are different.2. Very different.3. VERY, VERY DIFFERENT.4. Women & Men have a-b-s-o-l-u-t-e-l-y nothing in common.4. Women buy lotsa stuff.5. WOMEN BUY A-L-L THE STUFF.6. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1.7. Men are (STILL) in charge.8. MEN ARE … TOTALLY, HOPELESSLY CLUELESS ABOUT WOMEN.9. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1.10. NO SHIT.
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7. Leading:
Soft Is Hard
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“Soft” Is “Hard”
- ISOE
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“A leader is a dealer in hope.”
Napoleon
(+TP’s writing room pics)
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Thank You!