Download - The New Resilient City
REBUILD BY DESIGN
The New Resilient City:Infrastructure Meets Community Fabric
2Source: Dan Nguyen/SIRR Report
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Outer borough impacts…beach
Source: Getty
5Source: Irene Plagianos/DNA info
6Source: Suzanne DeChillo/The New York Times
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Outer Borough Impacts…buildings
Source: CGC76/Flickr
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Outer borough impacts…beach
Source: Mario Alias/Flickr Source: MTA
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11Source: 2012 CBS Interactive
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Outer borough impacts…beach
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There were lots of people helping other people
Source: CAAAV
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100-Year Floodplain: V Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
100-Year Floodplain: A Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
500-Year Floodplain (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN*
1983 FIRMs
2013 PWMs
Change (%)
Residents 218,000 398,000 82%
Jobs 214,000 271,000 27%
Buildings 36,000 68,000 89%
Floor Area (SF)
377M 534M 42%
* Numbers are rounded for clarity
FEMA June 2013 Flood Maps
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Flood Maps in 2020s and 2050s
100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN*
2013 PWMs
2050s Projected
Change (%)
Residents 398,000 801,000 101%
Jobs 271,000 430,000 59%
Buildings 68,000 114,000 68%
Floor Area (SF)
534M 855M 60%
* Numbers are rounded for clarity
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Source: UCAR/ NCAR, NOAA
Sandy eclipsed the previous record, set in 1960, by almost 40%
Note:
Among top 10 high water marks at the Battery since 1900, all are post-1950
Top Ten High-Water Events at the Battery, 1900-2012
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Likelihood of Damage (%) (Return Period, 50 = 1/50 years)
Cost and Likelihood of Future Storms
Source: Swiss Re model
1/60
~$90B
~$35B
~$19B1/50
1/70
Likelihood of a $19B storm (like Sandy) will grow 17% by the 2020s and 40% by the 2050s
Likely loss of 1/70-year storm (like Sandy) will grow to $35B by the 2020s and $90B by the 2050s (in current dollars)
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DRAFT
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Dutch River Delta
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NYC: 68,000 buildings in the 100-year floodplain40% impractical or infeasible to elevate
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Credit: Photos of Old America, 1999
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Credit: Photos of Old America, 1999
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DRAFT
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Neighborhood Retail and Services
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33 33REBUILD BY DESIGN|
HR&A Advisors, Inc. | Cooper, Robertson & Partners
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Blending and Layering Resiliency
The Resiliency Firm of Choice
BLENDING RESILIENCY INTO DESIGN
RedundancyHardening
Habitat Restoration
Water Quality
Waterfront AccessOpen Space
Retreat
AccommodationBiodiversity
Climate Adaptation
Outdoor Recreation
The Resiliency Firm of Choice
BLENDING RESILIENCY INTO DESIGN
AccommodationHardening
Habitat RestorationWater Quality
Waterfront AccessOpen Space
Resiliency is not the sole driver…Resiliency Sustainability
The Resiliency Firm of Choice
LAYERS OF RESILIENCY
THREAT
3) Buildings
2) Infrastructure
1) Coastal
PROTECTING ASSETS
REDUCING RISK
The Resiliency Firm of Choice
THREAT
2) Infrastructure
PROTECTING ASSETS
REDUCING RISK
PROTECTIVE LAYERS WITHIN INFRASTRUCTURE
1) Ingress prevention
2) Compartmentalization and Water Removal
3) Critical Facilities Protection
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Large-Scale Coastal Protection
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Coney Island, NYConey Island Beach
Nourishment
1992 1995
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Parks and the Public Realm
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Building Adaptation
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Arverne-by-the-SeaRaised site and flood
protection
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BUILDING and STREET ADAPTATIONPrograms to assist when investment costs more than the
buildings
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BUILDING and STREET ADAPTATIONPolicy levers to reduce carbon and provide local benefits
Special Initiative for Rebuilding and Resiliency
BUILDING and STREET ADAPTATIONArea-wide strategies
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Community-Based Adaptation Services
Proposal: establish long-term local hubs integrating recovery assistance (like Build It Back), agency services (like building permits) and facilitation of long-term planning for resilience.
Communities devastated by Sandy continue to suffer from isolation from discussions about recovery and resilience.
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Innovation and Resilience through Regional Design
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PROCESS / TALENT / FUNDING
Priorities for Creating a Livable and Resilient New York City
Mobilize Existing Resources and Diverse Expertise.
Strengthen Local Capacities.
Invest In Flexible And Adaptive Infrastructure.
Lead With Policies That Sustain Resilience.
mas.org/urbanplanning/resilience/
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