INTERNATIONAL BIRD STRIKE COMMITTEE IBSC26/WP-SA2 Warsaw, 5-9 May 2003
THE BIRD STRIKE PROBLEM IN THE VIEW OF FLIGHT SAFETY FOUNDATION
Bob Vandel Executive Vice President Flight Safety Foundation
Briefing Outline
Flight Safety Foundation capabilities andlimitationsSetting Priorities
Data driven approachRisk management approach
Global reach of FSFFoundation’s MissionProposal on working with IBSC
Founded in 1947By leaders of the aviation industry
To provide a neutral forum where the industrycould meet to discuss safety matters
To provide a central clearinghouse for theexchange of aviation safety information
Charter Statement
IndependentInternationalObjectiveNot-for-profit
Russia (CIS)
JapanTaiwan
West Africa
Australia
South Eastern Europe
FSF Worldwide Chapter
FSF
Independent, but modeled after FSF
Iceland
905 Members in 151 Countries
May 2003
Airlines (incl. all IATA)Airframe and enginemanufacturersEquipment suppliersCorporate operatorsInsurance companiesHelicopter operators
Military organizationsRegulatory authoritiesAviation lawyersAirportsFixed-base operatorsResearch institutionsAcademia
Funded by the aviation industry
FSF is Data Driven
Examine the statistics Prioritize Address the biggest problemsSafety is the sum of all the parts
Aircraft (Design,Crew,Operation)System (ATC,Regulatory Oversight)Ground (Maintenance,Ramp,Airport,Enviro
FSF Organization
ADVISORY COMMITTEES
Board of
Governors
FSF
Membership
International European Corporate ICARUS
Honorary
AdvisoryBoard
Air Transport Is Already SafeWorldwide Commercial Jet Fleet Accident Rate
9800
Accidents will Increase
15
5
20
25
30
35
10
0
30
40
50
60
70
20
10
0
Dep
artu
res (
Mill
ions
)/Rat
e Pe
rM
illio
n
Accidents
Accidents1
Traffic Growth2
Accident Rate3
1Based on current accident rate2Based on industry estimate3Based on current accident rate
Load,taxi,
unload
Exposure, percentage of flight time
Percentage of accidents
Worldwide Jet Operations (average flight time 1.6 hours) Excludes: sabotage, military action, turbulence injury and evacuation injury.
Finalapp
Takeoff Initialclimb
Climb Cruise Descent Initialapproach
Landing
Flaps retracted
1% 1% 13% 60% 10% 11% 3% 1%Nav fixOuter marker
When Aircraft AccidentsHappen
49.1%
5.8%6.5%7.8%12.8%5.0%
6.4% 6.6% 19.8%29.3%
4%
Types of Aircraft Accidents
Total fatalities = 7,484CFIT = Controlled Flight into TerrainRTO = Rejected takeoffNote: Some non-onboard fatalities are included in this chart.
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0Loss ofcontrolin flight
CFIT In-flightfire
Sabo-tage
Midaircollision
Hijack Ice/snow
Landing Windshear
Fuelexhaus-
tion
OtherRunwayincursion
RTO
2,3962,228
760607
506306
162 128 119 113 111 45 3
Fata
litie
s
Airplane
Percentage of current accident rate
Primary Accident Causes
Other
0 10020 40 60 80
Human error
Prime Safety Concerns
CFITApproach and landingLoss of controlHuman Factors
CAST, JSSI and IATA have since adopted verysimilar priorities
Past AccidentImprovements
Future Accident Reduction
In the future we must be proactiveMust use risk management techniques togreater extentIdentify and eliminate adverse trendsStop accidents before they happen
Risk Management
Hazard: Something that can cause harm
What is Risk:The probability a hazard will cause harm orThe possibility of undesired consequence
Risk Management
Types of Risk:
Physical
Economic
Productivity
Professional
Social
Risk Management Basics
How to measure risk:
Risk = Probability X Severity
Risk Management Steps
Identify Hazards
Evaluate Risks
Make a Decision
Evaluate/Feedback
Risk Management Example
Crossing the StreetWalk across without lookingWait until traffic slowsCross at crosswalkCross using skyway or tunnelDon’t cross the street
Other FSF Safety Initiatives
FatigueBird strikesRunway incursionsCommunicationsIcingWake vortices
Risk management approach
Other safety initiatives ICAO (Air Navigation Commission)
Industry Safety Advisory Board NASA Safety Research Team
Executive Oversight Committee Aviation Safety Alliance
Agenda Advisory Committee Transportation Research Board
Future Air Transport Systems Dutch Government (RLD)
Schiphol Airport
Industry Recognition of FSF 1994 Aviation Week Magazine
‘Laurel Award’ 1995 SSAE
‘Distinguished Contribution Award’ 1997 Air Transport World Magazine
‘Airline Industry Service Award’ 1998 Ground Equipment Magazine
‘Prillitzer Prize’ 1999 ICAO ‘Edward Warner Award’
Gold Medal to President Emeritus 2000 Embry-Riddle University ‘Pinnacle Award’
Flight International
Industry Award for
Safetypresented to
ight Safety FoundationSingapore, February 2000ongratulations to all 150+
F members who contributed to this effort
Industry Awardfor
Safety andTraining
Flight International
199820002002
Runner-up 2001
presented to
Flight Safety Foundation
Flight Safety Foundation
“ The Flight Safety Foundation hasbecome a leader in influencing the
formation of airline safety cultures andin implementing worldwide accident
prevention progammes ”
Dr.Assad Kotaite, President of the Council, ICAO 14 September, 1999
FSF Mission
Study flight safety to anticipate andidentify problemsSeek solutions to those problemsDisseminate flight safety information
Anticipate and Identify
FSF staff = 18 peopleTechnical = 3Publications = 9Membership = 2Administration = 2Finance = 2
Advisory committeesIAC = 55EAC = 32CAC = 28
Strategic alliancesIATA/ATAIFALPA/ALPAICAOIFATCA
Think tankICARUS committee
Cooperative efforts
Resources Multipliers
Anticipate and Identify (cont)
IATAERAATANBAAIFALPAISASI
ACIAAAEATCAAAPANATANLR
Cooperative EffortsICAOANAESAERAeSIFAAOPA
ECACCANSOEAAUKFSCIFSCAIAA
Worldwide accident investigation communityInternational regulatory authorities
Many othersIBSC (?)
Seek solutions
FSF Industry task forces:Controlled flight into terrain accident reductionApproach and landing accident reductionUsage of flight operations quality assuranceWind shear mitigationElimination of loss of controlGround accident preventionUltra-long range operationsProtection of sources of safety information
Disseminate InformationMajor safety seminars
International Air Safety SeminarEuropean Aviation Safety SeminarCorporate Aviation Safety Seminar
Joint conferencesInternational Federation of AirworthinessInternational Air Transport AssociationEuropean Regions Airline AssociationNational Business Aviation AssociationInternational Federation of Airline Pilots AssociationSociety of Automotive Engineers
Publications and special reports60 publications annually
Comprehensive libraryAward winning website
Disseminate Information
AdvocacyMultiple appearances/speeches aroundthe globeInternationally recognized awards programIndustry Spokesman
TelevisionRadioPrint media
ICAOIFALPA
IATAFSF
IFALPA
CIS
FSF
IATA
FSF
DGCA’s
Disseminate Information
CAACJSSI
PAAST
Airframe
Mfg
ICAO
IFALPA
FSF
DGCA’s
ICAOIATA
Airframe
Mfg
Airlines
IFALPA
FSF
DGCA’s
ICAOIATA
Airframe
Mfg
Airlines
Concept• Working together• Common Strategy
for AccidentPrevention
• Data Analysis• Data Driven Plan
Not yet involved
Currently involved
AFRASCO AAPA
FSF
FSFASFA
CAST
FSF
CASA
CAA
FSF
Disseminate InformationAviation Safety Services:
Cross-pollination of best practicesInternal Safety Evaluations and Operational Safety Audits (airlines, airports, etc.)Corporate fleet audit programsOn-demand charter operator evaluations
Industrial and workplace safety evaluations Data systems and analysis
Tremendous network to get information to theaviation industry
Hypothetical Bird Strike
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0Loss ofcontrolin flight
CFIT In-flightfire
Sabo-tage
Midaircollision
BirdStrike
Ice/snow
Landing Windshear
Fuelexhaus-
tion
OtherRunwayincursion
RTO
2,3962,228
760607
506350
162 128 119 113 111 45 3
Fata
litie
s
A big-twin downed by birdstrike
Risk Management - Severity high but probability can be mitigated
Bird strikes are a risk
Manufacturers can design to reduce the severityIBSC & FSF can work together to reduce theprobabilityIBSC has the expertise to mitigate the probabilityFSF has an aviation safety information network
International reach to extend your audienceGet your message to wider audience
IBSC & FSF can cooperate by:Linking of websitesIBSC presentations at FSF seminars/conferencesIBSC submitting articles for FSF publication
Risk = Probability X Severity
These joint efforts will reduce the risk ofbi d ik
Flight Safety FoundationAn International Organization for Everyone
Concerned with the Safety of Flight