Telecommunications Ecosystems
A peek into the future of
- Technology
- Market
- Business
Hong Kong, South Korea, Vietnam, Roadshow – October-November 2008
Evolution: Bio vs Tech&Mkt Ecosystems
From Convergence to Variety
My View of Communications in 2015
Telecommunications Ecosystems
The Innovation Game
Bacteria…
Energy
Innovation: for how long?
The Pace of Innovation
Thresholds and the rules of the Game
Evolution: bio vs Tech& Mkt Ecosystem
MarketMarket
AmbientAmbient
TechTech
Distribution of the degree of aggregation by 2010
02468
1012141618
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21
k
n(k)
Evolution: bio vs Tech& Mkt Ecosystem
EvolutionRandom + Selection Creativity + Market
SuccessEnv.Share + variations Market share + release
Internal CompetitionDynamic Equilibrium Dynamic Equilibrium
External CompetitionNew Configurations New Value Chains
Evolution: bio vs Tech& Mkt Ecosystem
No Return thresholdsLocal Optimum Production Process
Energy ConsumptionAdvantage of the small
Economic Efficiency
DiscontinuitySpeciation Displacement
Cross FeedbackFood Chains Value Chains
From Convergence to Variety
2010 2020
SSD
1 TB
200 TB
10s TB
50 ns
Burst vs Streaming
Bit/Vid Torrent Down vs Up
Distribution Chain
Sticker Energy Control
From Convergence to Variety
Processing anywhere
Low power cons/diss
Ultra capacity “fibred
appliances”
Commodity
Real time rendering
Ambient awareness
2010 2020
1c GFlop
100 TFlop
100s PFlop
0.2% 0.001%
2Tbps Interc. fabric
Gbps Interc. F. 100s’Gbps Interc. F.WperGflop
28 Qbit100 Qbit
2010
2020
2010
?
Smart M.
From Convergence to Variety
?Mining
IntN
WISP
FUTURE CENTRE
A peek into tomorrow’s ecosystems
Telecommunications 2015-A technology view
Enabled by a varieties of infrastructures Smaller and smaller cells for wireless drops HWN Fiber core extending to the very edges Data center rather than Switching center
based Burst rather than streaming (but for voice) 100 times todays traffic
COMMUNICATIONS will BE:
Telecommunications 2015-A technology view
Make-Believe Interfaces- 4k video (human resolution)- tactile sensation (silk, rough, wet…)
Unlimited local storage (TB handheld) Flexible, programmable sensors Context awareness Metadata Supercrunchers – statistical analyses
Edge Technology:
Telecommunications 2015-A user view
Visual Personalised Contextualised No distinction between People, Information,
Services Seamless fabric joining reality and Web Fading away of the Telephone Number Involving a variety of loosely coupled Actors
COMMUNICATIONS will BE:
Telecommunications 2015-A Business view
Physical connectivity as utility both few bigs and a multitude of small. Basically no space in between
Different biz models for Bigs and Small Flat rate on connectivity, both for w and wless Growing importance of top $ versus bottom $ Added connectivity value among apps Metadata as significant revenue stream
COMMUNICATIONS will BE:
My view of Communications in 2015
My view of Communications in 2015
My view of Communications in 2015
My view of Communications in 2015
The vineyard
Wine tasting
Buy!
Your diet
Wine History
My view of Communications in 2015
Technologies Sensors/AwarOptical Tags
Bar Codes/SemDNA Markers
Image LocalizRFID Print Elect
OBJECTS Detection SystemsNetwork Mirror
CarsHand readersCell Phones/Ca
Cell PhonesNFC
PERCEPTION
From Atoms to Bits
Technologies
OBJECTS
DetectionSystems
Municipal.
Tourist Ag.
Product Pr.
Content Pr.
Individ.WKComm.WK Regulations
A
MB
IE
NT
PERCEPTION
From Atoms to Bits
Technologies
OBJECTS
DetectionSystems
Municipal.
Tourist Ag.
Product Pr.
Content Pr.
Individ.WKComm.WK Regulations
A
MB
IE
NT
Ntw Pl/HostGoogle
Snapfish
Srv.Aggr.
Track/V.A
PERCEPTION
CO
NN
EC
TIV
.
Aggregators
From Atoms to Bits
Technologies OBJECTS DetectionSystems
Municipal.
Tourist Ag.
Product Pr.
Content Pr.
Individ.WKComm.WK Regulations
A
MB
IE
NT
Platforms
Srv.Aggr.
Track/V.A
Aggregators
PERCEPTION
CO
NN
EC
TIV
.
From Atoms to Bits
Technologies OBJECTS DetectionSystems
Municipal.
Tourist Ag.
Product Pr.
Content Pr.
Individ.WKComm.WK Regulations
A
MB
IE
NT
Platforms
Srv.Aggr.
Track/V.A
META Data C.
Stat.MeaningE.
Pers.Aggreg.
Ambient Creat.
Serv.Prov.Aggregators
PERCEPTION
CO
NN
EC
TIV
.
CO
NT
EX
T-M
EA
NIN
G
From Atoms to Bits
Technologies OBJECTS DetectionSystems
Municipal.
Tourist Ag.
Product Pr.
Content Pr.
Individ.WKComm.WK Regulations
A
MB
IE
NT
Platforms
Srv.Aggr.
Track/V.A
META Data C.
Stat.MeaningE.
Pers.Aggreg.
Ambient Creat.
Devices
Logistics
CRM
PHARMA
News/Mg
Serv.Prov.Aggregators
PERCEPTION
CO
NN
EC
TIV
.
CO
NT
EX
T-M
EA
NIN
G
Industry
CO
OR
DIN
AT
ION
From Atoms to Bits
Technologies OBJECTS DetectionSystems
Municpal.
Tourist Ag.
Product Pr.
Content Pr.
Individ.WKComm.WK Regulations
A
MB
IE
NT
Platforms
Srv.Aggr.
Track/V.A
META Data C.
Stat.MeaningE.
Pers.Aggreg.
Ambient Creat.
Devices
Logistics
CRM
PHARMA
News/Mg
Serv.Prov.Aggregators
PERCEPTION
CO
NN
EC
TIV
.
CO
NT
EX
T-M
EA
NIN
G
Industry
CO
OR
DIN
AT
ION
SOCIETY – ETICS - CULTURE
From Atoms to Bits
Future Center: Ecosystems evolution
You at the Future Centre
• Open to other Companies participation
• One year committment• Company pays for his researcher • Telecom Italia provides office and infrastructure
• Open to post-Doc enrolled in the Gold Program
• One year committment• Telecom Italia provide a bourse• Telecom Italia provides office and infrastructure
• Fluency in English required
Thanks!
Hong Kong, South Korea, Vietnam, Roadshow – October-December 2008
Get the full multimedia presentation from COMSOC at www.comsoc.org -> education > DLT