INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Tracking Industrial Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
Cecilia Tam
Energy Technology Policy DivisionInternational Energy Agency
© OECD/IEA 2007
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
“We will act with resolve and urgency to meet our shared multiple objectives of reducing greenhouse gas
emissions, improving the global environment, enhancing energy security and cutting air pollution in conjunction
with our vigorous efforts to reduce poverty.“
“The IEA will advise on alternative energy scenarios and strategies aimed at a clean, clever and competitive energy
future.”
G8 - Gleneagles CommuniquéJuly 2005
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
IEA G8 Indicator ActivitiesThe accurate assessment of mitigation potentials requires a good understanding of current energy efficiency status.
In-depth indicators provide “state-of-the-art” data and analysis on energy use, efficiency developments and policy pointers.
The G8 work will:Update
IEA indicator database to most recent year
Expand
Cover more IEA countries
Non-OECD countries
Deepen
New indicators to improve assessment of energy efficiency progress in all sectors
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Energy Indicators Publications
2004 2007
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
G8 Request on Industry
Identify promising areas for further analysis of industrial energy efficiency potentialsDevelop new country level indicators for industrial energy efficiencyAdvise on policies and best practicesExpanded by IEA Governing Board to include CO2
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Review Process
Cross-cutting authorship at IEA
External experts also used
9 workshops with industry
Co-operation with: APP, CEPI, CEFIC, IAI, IFA, IISI, ICFPA, FAO, WBCSD,…
Close co-operation with the IETS Implementing Agreement
Reviewed by industry experts
Reviewed by academia
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
New Methods
Each sector needs a tailor-made approachData availability is often poorDetailed approach neededBalance data availability, methodological detail and acceptanceThis is a first step, further refinements are needed; in particular improved data for many sectorsIt complements benchmarking
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Industry Indicators - content
Current efficiencies & past trends on a country or region level, by sector Assess realistic technical long term improvement potentialsFocus on energy and CO2 emissions per unit of physical product 10 chapters, special attention for:
Iron & steelCementChemicals & petrochemicalsPulp & paper
Proposes multiple indicators: there exists no “true”rankingBalance data availability and “correctness”
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Three sectors: iron & steel, non-metallic minerals, and chemicals & petrochemicals account for 70% of
industrial CO2 emissions
Industrial Direct CO2 Emissions, 2004
Iron & steel27%Other
28%
Non-metallic minerals(Cement)
27%
Chemicals & petrochemicals
16%
Non-ferrous metals2%
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
North America Europe South Asia China
Example of analysis
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1981 2005 1981 2005 1981 2005 1981 2005
Mat
eria
ls p
rodu
ctio
n (M
t/yr)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Ener
gy n
eeds
for m
ater
ials
pro
duct
ion
(EJ/
yr)
Aluminium
Crude steel
Chemicalfeedstocks
Cement
Paper andpaperboard
Wood
Energy
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Example:Fuel use in Cement Kilns
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
GJ/
Tonn
e of
clin
ker
China
India
USA
Canada
Mexico
Germany
Japan
Korea
Italy
Spain
Brazil
Thailand
WeightedAverage
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Example:CO2 Emissions from Cement
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
kg C
O2/
kg o
f cem
ent
China
India
USA
Canada
Mexico
Germany
Japan
Italy
Spain
Brazil
Korea
WeightedAverage
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Indicator Use for Country Analysis of Global Chemical and Petrochemical Industry
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Savings from Adoption of Best
Practice Commercial
Technologies in Manufacturing
Industries
PrimaryEnergy
Equivalent
In support of the G8 Plan of Action
TrackingIndustrial
Energy Efficiency and CO2 Emissions
ENERGYINDICATORS
Policy Messages / Conclusions
Industry accounts for 36% of CO2 emissions, mainly from primary materials production
Energy intensive industry has made great strides in improving efficiency, but overall industrial energy use continues to grow strongly, particularly in the emerging economies
A large energy efficiency potential remains and moving to best practice would save each year 600 - 900 Mtoe and 1.9 - 3.2 Gt CO2 (7-12% of total global emissions)
Key areas for efficiency gains include chemicals, iron and steel, cement, motor systems, combined heat and power
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Next StepsEstablish further collaboration on international level
Development of new policy relevant indicators
Collection of more detailed data
Refine analysis of country trends and comparisons
Power generation indicators
Report to 2008 G8 summit in Japan
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY AGENCE INTERNATIONALE DE L’ENERGIE
Thank you
[email protected]/books
June 2007 September 2007