Supply Chain Risk
Martin Coates
©Agrantec Limited
Introduction
• Risks in a supply chain – Availability/price – Currency/political – Specification – Regulation
• Compliance • Packaging
– Safety – Fraud – Systems/Culture/Awareness/Knowledge/Skills – Supplier Performance
• Not specifically discussing – Labs – Other detection – Insurance and financial instruments
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Myths
• Design risk mgmt around stable supplier relationships
– This is business, change happens
• Localism
– This is marketing not risk management
– Short supply chains must make commercial sense
• It’s a dead cost
• It’s about fraud
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Fraud Characteristics
• Adulteration
• Substitution
– Age
– Country of origin
• Contamination
– Trace level v ingredient level
• Brand v Fraud
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Impact of Risk
• Brand damage • Relationships broken • Ripped off
– Quality – Age
• Safety compromised – Bacteria – Allergens – Contaminants, inc physical particles, cleaning residue
• Re-work/lost product • Audit failure
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Worse Consequences
• Prison, up to 2 years
• Fines and penalties, can be unlimited
• Cost to recall-cases can cost £20m
• Loss of business-incalculable
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Positive Side
• Brand authenticity and trust
• Reduce management costs
• Consistency
• …
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STARTING POINT
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System Analysis
• To manage risk requires systematic analysis – Specification – Process
• Within your business • From source to your goods in • From your despatch out
– People • Training, awareness, understanding, culture
– Paper • Evidence and enablement
– IT • Evidence and enablement, speed
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Specification
• Details – Contents
– Weight
– Quality measures
– Packaging/labelling
– Temperature handling
– Bacterial and other contaminants
– Special measures v legal minimum
• Every item needs a control
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PROCESS
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Risk Analysis
Brand Message
Brand Value 1
Action 1 Action 2
Brand Value 2
Action 3
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Risk Analysis
Action1 Supplier1 Supplier2
Action2 Product1 Product2
Action3 Ingredient source1
Ingredient source2
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Chain Analysis
Ingredient • Specification(s)
Supplier1 • Company Specifications
Subsupplier •Data supply requirements
Ingredient •Specification(s)
Supplier1 •Company Specifications
Subsupplier •Data supply requirements
Subsupplier
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And change
• Bottom of the chain ripples to the top
• People
• Formulations
• Sub suppliers…
• One off v continuous
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PEOPLE
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Competence
• Labelling
• Packaging
• Composition or reformulation changes
• Hygiene and other handling practices
– Contamination
• Culture
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Probability, Percentages and People
• Risk is expressed as % probability
• Most people don’t understand % probability
• What about % contamination?
• Use terminology that is understood
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VALUE OF PAPER
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Supplier Paper Trace
Trace request Trace request Trace request
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Paper
Original Updated
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Isolation Information Supply
Chain
Original
Updated
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IT
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Data Collection
• Supplier inc haulier-relatively static – Location – Process – Certifications
• Ingredient-quality/characteristics-relatively static • Data chain-transactional
– Process event – Date/time/location – Result (e.g. weight, temperature, test result) – Who
• Today is one up one down – No corroboration
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SHARE THE COSTS
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Confidentiality and collaboration
• Cost of compliance
– Keeping records
– Re-keying data
– Reviewing/collating
• Leading food industry experts recommend data sharing
• Social media search
– Customers do it to you
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Collaboration
Internet
Validated link Validated link Validated link
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Electronic Original
• Date claimed
• Description
• Entered by
•Date entered
•Log in id and timestamp
Electronic Finger Print
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Real time every time all the time
©Agrantec Limited
Myths Revisited
• Design risk around stable supplier relationships – You specify, they deliver, you pay
• Localism – Authenticity in the internet age – Long chains mean more analysis work – Social media can work for business
• It’s a dead cost – Brand linked to chain is about profit – Data is simple and can be shared
• It’s about fraud – There are many more issues
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Strategic Themes
• Focus on brand related activities
– Plus the legal minimum
• Share data for corroboration
– Eliminate paper
– Real time communication of change/error
• People centric
– Social media effects everything-authenticity
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