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“Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat”
- Syracuse University motto
PAF 101Module 5, Lecture 2
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Class Agenda•Announcements•More on the Prince System
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An important note…
DON’T MISS
CLASS FRIDAY
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SHOW YOUR THANKSBY GIVING BACK!
Volunteers Needed for Cuse Spot’s Fall Harvest Festival
When: Wednesday, November 18, 2015Time: 5:00 pm – 6:30 pm
Where: Wilson Park Community Center Sign up:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t9rGUTbPjL8xkqq-jvINJumHH77Y65YPR0Pbsu8lIdo/edit#gid=0
Questions/Comments: Contact Arianna Clark at [email protected]
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Community Service Reminder• The due date for community service hours is Monday 12/7 in class.
•Use the online form on 101 website.
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Local Government Survey•This survey is meant to test your knowledge about the local government in Onondaga County•https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/LRNL376
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Social Impact Bonds – Strathmore Speaker Series
•Who: Tim Rudd•Where: Fire barn in Onondaga park in Syracuse•When: 11/19 at 7 PM
http://strathmorespeakers.com/
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Competition Points Group Points
D 6
A 5
G 2
H 1
B 0
C 0
E 0
F 0
I 0
Winners
LosersAs of 11/13/15
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Prince Analysis Steps
1. Identify Necessary Actions
2. Identify Key Players
3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5)
4. Estimate Power (1 to 5)
5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5)
6. Calculate Probabilities
7. Formulate Prince Strategies
Ex. 9.1
Ex. 9.2
Ex. 9.3
Ex. 9.4
Chapter 10
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Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented
•Be sure it is a policy and not a goal• Is it a federal, state or local policy?•Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or financial policy •Cannot be a judicial decision
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Step 2: Identify Players
• Government Units in the United States:
3,000 Counties19,000
municipalities+ 43,000 special
districts65,000 total government
units
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How To Select Players •Ask players, experts, and stakeholders.•Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area•Aggregation problems with legislative bodies • If not legislative, must be administrative • Interest groups can be important especially for new policies •Watch out for dogs
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New York State •Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial•Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch.•State Agencies, like the Department of Education and Board of Regents are under the Executive Branch
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Onondaga County •County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government•Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county•Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital
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Legislative Branch•New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature.•Which state is not bi-cameral?•Assembly is a 150 member body •Senate is a 62 member body
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Executive Branch•Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies•State agencies help put legislation into effect
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Helpful Websites•http://www.assembly.state.ny.us/•http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senatehomepage.nsf/home?openform•http://www.ny.gov/•http://www.ongov.net/•http://www.ongov.net/legislature/
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Step 3:Estimating Issue Position•Empirical - quotes•Deductive Principles• Special Interest Players (4 or 5)• Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials and Some Big Interest Groups are not firm (0-2)•Budget cost predispose toward opposition
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Step 4: Estimating Power
•Specific to Issues•Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5• Legislatures• President, Governors, Mayors, etc.
•Non-veto-players: 3, 2, or 1•Sources of Power• Official Position• Money• Numbers (voters)• Expertise
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Step 5: Estimating Priority•Single issue player: high on relevant issue•Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues•Changes quickly in either direction•Frequency of statements are key
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Step 6: Calculating 1. Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X
Priority=Prince Score• When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score)
• Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores
2. Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores
3. Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis
4. Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support
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Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve •No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50%
•WHY?
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Monday’s Speaker
Renee Captor
Graduated from SU in 1980 – Policy Studies Major
Graduated from SU Law School in 1982
Defense Attorney from 1983-2001
Executive Director OCBA Assigned Counsel Program, Inc. 2001-Present
Teaches PAF 431: Criminal Justice