Stock-taking exercise in
Ag Policy Monitoring
David Laborde (IFPRI) [email protected]
Jonathan Brooks (OECD)
Focus on 5 sources
(broadly comparable methodologies)
• OECD
• MAFAP-FAO
• IADB
• APO
• World Bank Ag Distortions project
Current Coverage
47%
8% 7% 25%
86%
OECD IADB MAFAP APO WB
% total Population
As % of Agricultural Production
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
OECD IADB MAFAP APO WB
In 1985 Ag Production
in 2005 Ag Production
Consolidated Coverage
64% 4%
4%
13%
15%
OECD
MAFAP
IADB
APO
Not Covered
• 72% without APO
• 85% with APO
Reaching 80% (without India)
Pakistan 1.5% Venezuela 0.4% Thailand 1.2% Cote d'Ivoire 0.2% Philippines 0.9% Uzebekistan 0.2% Egypt 0.8% Congo (Rep.) 0.2% Malaysia 0.8% Tunisia 0.2% Bangladesh 0.8% Sri Lanka 0.2% Vietnam 0.7% Nepal 0.2% Morocco 0.5%
Missing Countries
• Countries covered in the Ag Distortions project of the WB not covered by
(OECD/IADB/MAFAP/APO): 18 countries, 5.4% of global Ag
production
• Bangladesh, Philippines, Vietnam
• Senegal…
• North Africa (Egypt, Morocco)!
Regional Coverage (% Ag Production)
compared to World Bank Ag Distortions
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
LAC AFRICA ASIA ECAS North Amercia
OECD IADB MAFAP APO
Overlap? Example IADB – OECD
• 3 countries (Brazil, Chile, Mexico): 5.1% of global Ag Production
• Some differences to sort out
• Potential for increasing product coverage
Documentation / Form to fill
INSTITUTION
Country
First Year
Final Year
To be included in 2014
To be included in 2015
Contact Person
Contact Email
Link to the cookbook
Other relevant
documentation
Country Product Share of
productio
n
Share of
consumpti
on
Trade
status First year Final year
Reference price Retail Price Wholesale Price Producer
(Farm) Price Type source Type source Type source Type source
Retail Margins Wholesale Margins Transportation
margins Quality adjustment Type source Type source Type source Type source
Identify sources / Understand treatment / Exogenous vs Endogenous parameters
Example 1: OECD (2013)
Country
Border Prices Alternative Methods
Set equal to PP
(MPD is zero)
Net Exporter Net Importer Net Exporter Net Importer
Country's own Other country Export
Subsidy
(per tonne)
Import tariff Traded price Other price
Export price
(FOB)
Import price
(CIF)
Import price
(CIF)
Export price
(FOB)
Wholesale
price
Producer
price
OECD countries
Australia MK RI
BA, BF, CT, EG, OA, PK,
PT, RP, RS, SB, SF, SH, SO,
WL, WT
Canada MK BF EG, PT MA BA, OA, PK, RS, SB, WT,
FX, PO, LN, BN. PE
Chile WT, MA, RS,
BF, MK AP, GR, TM, PK, PT
EU-27
BA, EG, MK,
OA, PK, PT,
RS, WT
MA, RI,
SH, TO1 BF WI FL, PO RP, SF, SB
Iceland SH BF, EG, MK,
PK, PT WL
Example 2: MAFAP (Burkina Faso)
Commodity Years Net
trade
statu
s
Referen
ce price
(type)
Reference price (source) Retail
price
(sourc
e or
calc)
Wholesale price (source or
calc)
Producer price (source or calc)
Arachide 2005-2010 Expo
rtable
F.O.B The FOB price was built from the
wholesale price on the Tamale market in
Ghana, to which the transport costs
between Tamale and the Burkina-
Ghana border were deducted. Wholesale
prices were obtained from the
data base of the Food and Agriculture
Ministry of Ghana.
n.a. Wholesale prices on the
Pouytenga market from the
RESIMAO database
for the period 2006-2010, plus
data collection on the same
market by the
MAFAP team.
Producer prices collected during the
Permanent Agricultural Survey (EPA)
in the Gnagna province.
Cotton 2005-2010 Expo
rtable
F.O.B The FOB export price was obtained from
data through the macroeconomic model
(IAP) between 2005 and 2010. These price
data are generally available from cotton
companies and producers’ organizations
n.a. Average wholesale price between
2005 and 2010 given by IAP
used for
2005 application of factory
price/benchmark price ration in
2005 to
calculate factory prices for other
years
1st grade cotton price obtained from
cotton companies.
Organizing collaboration
Common trunk:
Clearly defined common indicators,
well documented
Expanding country and product
coverage
Tackling new issues / improving
methodologies
(VAT vs sales tax, effective rate of protection biofuel
policies…)