ROUTE 128 & INTERSTATE 495 SUBURBAN OFFICEMARKET REPORT
FOURTH QUARTER 2017
POSITIVE ANNUAL ABSORPTION ACROSS MAP Greater Boston’s suburban office market encompasses over 107 million square feet and consists of eight major submarkets concentrated along Route 128 and Interstate 495, the major thoroughfares that surround the city of Boston. With immense pressure across the Boston and Cambridge markets, tenants have been increasingly evaluating suburban locations for rent relief and future growth opportunities.
As Greater Boston’s premier suburban market, the Route 128 loop has garnered global recognition for its proximity to urban markets, excellent infrastructure, distinguished tenant base and top quality assets. During the fourth quarter, leasing velocity ramped up following a sluggish third quarter which lowered the vacancy rate to 10.1%. Route 128 boasts some of the region’s largest corporations from healthcare and education firms to emerging technology and TAMI tenants.
Interstate 495, the outer suburban belt, has traditionally served as the back office and corporate campus solution. However, as the eastern Massachusetts landscape has evolved and become more saturated, tenants are looking to I-495 locations for larger blocks of space as well as more economical solutions across all business sectors. Despite a slow fourth quarter, I-495’s annual absorption eclipsed 909,000 square feet which reduced the total vacancy rate to 14.6%.
The experience at suburban locations has become increasingly important to today’s tenants. That includes contemporary lobbies, vibrant common corridors and interactive indoor/outdoor amenities which complement and enhance tenant’s private work spaces. Looking forward, with strong regional macroeconomic indicators and one of the nation’s fastest growing population bases, the Greater Boston suburban real estate market is poised for continued growth.
3.6%NOVEMBER
MASSACHUSETTS UNEMPLOYMENT
4.1%NOVEMBER NATIONAL
UNEMPLOYMENT
# 2.9%ANNUAL
WAGE GROWTH
2ND
HIGHEST GDP PER CAPITA NATIONALLY
MARKET TRENDS
BOSTON 10TH LARGEST NATIONAL METRO
Faster population growth than New York & San Francisco
VACANCY RATE TO 12.0%Strong demand across submarkets, relief
for Downtown/Cambridge
ASKING RATES RISE AGAIN
Inner suburban markets accelerate growth, outer markets steady
CONTEMPORARY UPGRADES
Landlords must adapt and keep common areas & lobbies fresh
CREATING A SENSE OF PLACE
Open layouts, collaborative environments & unique amenities
LOCATION IS NOT FORGOTTEN
Highway access, public transit & parking remain paramount
INVESTMENT SALES QUANDARY
Are seller’s expectations above willingness to pay?
$18.00
$19.50
$21.00
$22.50
$24.00
$25.50
$27.00
$28.50
$30.00
Average Asking Rate
2017201620152014201320122011201020096.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
Direct Vacancy (%)
$15.00
$16.00
$17.00
$18.00
$19.00
$20.00
$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
Average Asking Rate
20172016201520142013201220112010200912.0%
13.0%
14.0%
15.0%
16.0%
17.0%
18.0%
19.0%
20.0%
Direct Vacancy (%)
CLASS AASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
CLASS BASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
DIRECT VACANCY RATE BY SUBMARKET
0.0% 4.0% 8.0% 12.0% 16.0% 20.0%
Route 3 North
128 West
128 South
Inner Burbs
128 North
495 South
Mass Pike
495 Northeast
Route 2 West
SUBMARKET AVERAGE ASKING RATES
495 North$19.96/SF
Rte-3 North$21.32/SF
I-495/Mass Pike$20.70/SF
495 South$20.13/SF
Rte-2 West$19.98/SF
128 West$32.57/SF
128 North$26.70/SF
128 South$22.19/SF
CLASS A & B OFFICEROUTE 128
10.1% DIRECT VACANCY
2.2% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
15.2% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
#538,500 SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$27.83/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• The market maintained solid momentum through year’s end despite posting a sluggish third quarter. Overall vacancy is down to 10.1% which has supported asking rate growth and brought the average asking rate into the high $20’s PSF. Generally speaking, the best performing assets cater to modern tenants including: contemporary lobbies & common areas, fitness & dining services, creative outdoor spaces in addition to upgraded building mechanicals and infrastructure.
• To the west of the city, in one of the quarter’s larger transactions, Tech Target renewed its 110,000 square foot lease at 275 Grove Street in Newton. Waltham continued its torrid streak by pulling Simpson Gumpertz & Herger from Watertown into a 100,000 square foot lease at the to be constructed 20 City Point. On the other side of Route 128, Mass General Hospital expanded and extended its presence along Second Avenue into roughly 106,000 square feet.
• The northern market, lead by amenity rich Burlington, remains one of suburban Boston’s strongest technology and defense clusters. At One Burlington Woods, All Scripts renewed and expanded into 44,000. 128 Technology grew its presence by 16,400 square feet at 200 Summit Drive while City Facilities Management inked a 7,050 square foot lease at the same building.
• The southern market posted strong quarterly absorption which helped promote asking rate growth particularly in the Class A market where average rents are nearly 35% lower than comparable space in the north & west suburbs. These significant costs savings have become a real threat, and tenants across the suburbs and Boston have taken notice.
• Despite some investor hesitation surrounding the suburban market, the Route 128 market generally feels more insulated than more remote locations along Interstate 495. To that point, several significant transactions closed this quarter and more are teed up. Most notably, Spear Street closed on Corporate Drive in Burlington for $272 PSF while closer into the city, Normandy added 35 Medford Street in Somerville to its growing Inner Suburban portfolio, paying $427 PSF for the brick & beam asset.
NOTABLE QUARTERLY LEASES
CLASS A & B OFFICEROUTE 128
ADDRESS TOWN SUBMARKET TENANT SF
300 Boylston Street Chestnut Hill 128 West Dana Farber 140,000
275 Grove Street Newton 128 West Tech Target 110,000
52 Second Avenue Waltham 128 West Mass General Hospital 106,000
20 City Point Waltham 128 West Simpson Gumpertz & Heger 100,000
45 Network Drive Burlington 128 North CA Technologies 80,000
404 Wyman Street Waltham 128 West National Grid 68,000
89 A Street Needham 128 West Stewart Healthcare 53,000
48 Woerd Avenue Waltham 128 West Olympus Scientific Solutions 45,000
One Burlington Woods Burlington 128 North All Scripts 44,000
325 Wood Road Braintree 128 South New England Quality Care 28,000
490 Arsenal Way Watertown 128 West Macrolide Pharmaceuticals 18,500
200 Summit Drive Burlington 128 North 128 Technology 16,400
101 Station Drive Westwood 128 South Mott MacDonald 12,000
200 Boston Avenue Medford 128 North enEvolv 10,000
200 Summit Drive Burlington 128 North City Facilities Management 7,050
$17.00
$19.00
$21.00
$23.00
$25.00
$27.00
$29.00
$31.00
$33.00
201720162015201420132012201120102009200820073.0%
6.0%
9.0%
12.0%
15.0%
18.0%
21.0%
24.0%
27.0%
20172016201520142013201220112010200920082007
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
West South North
RECENT INVESTMENT
SALES
Corporate Drive Burlington
Corporate Drive, Burlington $133,500,000 ($272/RSF)
Buyer: Spear Street
35 Medford Street, Somerville$23,800,000 ($427/RSF)
Buyer: Normandy
130 Royall Street, Canton$37,273,000 ($213/RSF)
Buyer: Livingston Street Capital
35 Medford Street Somerville
45-65 Hayden Avenue Lexington
45-65 Hayden Avenue, Lexington$228,000,000 ($588/RSF)
Buyer: HCP, Inc.
130 Royall Street Canton
CLASS A & B OFFICE INTERSTATE 495
#14.6% DIRECT VACANCY
2.2% SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
#20.2% TOTAL AVAILABILITY
909,700 SF 12-MONTH ABSORPTION
#$20.53/SF AVERAGE ASKING RATE
• Quarterly performances were mixed across I-495’s submarkets with the net result leading to just over 107,000 square feet of negative quarterly net absorption. However, from an annual perspective the market achieved nearly 910,000 square feet of positive absorption which dropped the vacancy rate to 14.6%. Generally speaking, I-495 offers less volatility than its more urban counterparts by historically maintaining a 12-18% vacancy rate with average rents in the high teens to mid $20’s for well positioned product.
• The I-495 market captures both expansion and relocation demand from tech, medical and defense tenants feeling the squeeze in more urban locations. In addition, there is a large share of the I-495 market that is smaller non-publicly traded companies whose workforce and clients prefer the conveniences that the less congested market provides.
• The Route 3 North corridor, which houses some of I-495’s premier technology & defense tenants, has performed very well over the past 24 months and seen its vacancy rate drop to 8.2%. This quarter, Innolve signed a 58,000 square foot lease for the entire building at 129 Concord Road in Billerica. At 201 Burlington Road in Bedford, national defense expert, MITRE, signed a 41,000 square foot contract. Finally, Aspect Software committed to 29,900 square feet at 5 Technology Drive in Westford.
• Several leases were signed in the Mass Pike submarket. At the not so long ago fully vacant 35 Parkwood Drive in Hopkinton, Speedline signed a new 40,000 square foot lease. At 293 Boston Post Road in Marlborough, Valeritas signed a new 15,200 square foot lease. One exit south, AnchorOps inked a 10,700 lease at 144 Turnpike Road in Southborough.
• The forecast for the Interstate 495 market remains bright particularly as interior suburban locations become more congested and expensive. Across the board, tenants are more real estate conscience than ever before and face the challenge of keeping costs in check while cultivating corporate culture that retains and attracts top talent.
CLASS A & B OFFICEINTERSTATE 495
NOTABLE RECENT LEASES
$15.00
$16.00
$17.00
$18.00
$19.00
$20.00
$21.00
$22.00
$23.00
Mass PikeSouthNortheast
20172016201520142013201220112010200920082007 6.0%
9.5%
13.0%
16.5%
20.0%
23.5%
27.0%
30.5%
34.0%
Mass PikeSouthNortheast
20172016201520142013201220112010200920082007
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE ASKING RATE BY SUBMARKET
Northeast South Mass Pike
ADDRESS TOWN SUBMARKET TENANT SF
129 Concord Road Billerica Route 3 North Innolve 58,000
2140 Providence Hwy Walpole 495 South Bi-County Charter School 46,000
201 Burlington Road Bedford Route 3 North MITRE 41,000
35 Parkwood Drive Hopkinton 495 Mass Pike Speedline 40,000
5 Technology Drive Westford Route 3 North Aspect Software 29,900
One Cabot Road Hudson 495 Mass Pike Vision Government Solutions 20,000
293 Boston Post Road Marlborough 495 Mass Pike Valeritas 15,200
132 Turnpike Road Southborough 495 Mass Pike Virtusa Corporation 12,000
21 Alpha Road Chelmsford Route 3 North Cab Technology 11,100
175 Crossing Boulevard Framingham 495 Mass Pike Boston Heart Diagnostics 11,000
144 Turnpike Road Southborough 495 Mass Pike AnchorOps 10,700
35 New England Business Andover 495 Northeast Encompass Home Health 5,100
RECENT INVESTMENT
SALES
60 Frontage RoadAndover
900 Middlesex Tpk. Billerica
2-5 Mount Royal Marlborough
101 Billerica Avenue Billerica
101 Billerica Avenue, Billerica$40,400,000 ($87/RSF)
Buyer: Condyne
60 Frontage Road, Andover$8,150,000 ($55/RSF)
Buyer: Raytheon
2-5 Mount Royal, Marlborough$8,550,000 ($54/RSF)
Buyer: CB Equities
900 Middlesex Turnpike, Billerica$13,300,000 ($145/RSF)Buyer: Spaulding & Slye
OFFICE REPORT STATS
Office Total Inventory (SF)
Direct Vacancy
Sublease Availability
Total Availability
Quarterly Absorption (SF)
12 Month Absorption (SF)
Average Asking Rate
TOTAL A&B
Inner Suburbs 4,183,800 11.0% 1.4% 15.9% (9,750) 8,150 $36.77
ROUTE 128 60,092,850 10.1% 2.2% 15.2% 388,650 538,500 $27.83
128 West 24,445,950 9.2% 3.0% 14.6% 178,950 35,800 $32.57
128 North 18,882,750 11.1% 1.7% 15.0% (34,200) 198,100 $26.70
128 South 16,764,200 10.5% 1.5% 16.2% 243,850 304,600 $22.19
INTERSTATE 495 42,436,100 14.6% 2.2% 20.2% (107,950) 909,700 $20.53
495 Mass Pike West 19,113,750 15.0% 3.6% 22.3% (243,900) 256,850 $20.70
495 Route 2 West 6,609,750 18.8% 0.9% 24.2% 27,700 286,500 $19.98
495 Northeast 5,721,500 18.0% 1.1% 19.8% 10,350 159,250 $19.96
Route 3 North 6,718,450 8.2% 1.8% 12.9% 65,350 75,500 $21.32
495 South 4,272,550 12.1% 0.2% 16.3% 32,500 131,650 $20.13
TOTAL 106,712,750 12.0% 2.2% 17.2% 270,950 1,456,350 $25.28
CLASS A
Inner Suburbs 2,751,750 6.7% 2.0% 11.5% 1,000 13,800 $37.33
ROUTE 128 37,714,100 9.3% 2.8% 15.0% 378,850 360,300 $31.00
128 West 15,180,950 7.6% 3.7% 13.4% 205,850 101,400 $37.06
128 North 12,906,100 10.6% 1.9% 15.2% 71,700 122,550 $29.24
128 South 9,627,150 10.3% 2.5% 17.2% 101,300 136,350 $23.80
INTERSTATE 495 22,709,650 13.0% 2.6% 18.9% (66,550) 237,000 $21.91
495 Mass Pike West 11,595,400 14.2% 3.5% 21.4% (178,200) (400) $21.89
495 Route 2 West 2,649,250 10.1% 2.1% 17.8% 30,950 (63,750) $21.40
495 Northeast 3,173,500 17.7% 1.1% 20.0% 3,400 167,150 $20.92
Route 3 North 3,699,850 7.0% 2.6% 10.5% 78,350 57,200 $23.57
495 South 1,591,650 13.9% 0.2% 19.5% (1,050) 76,800 $20.95
TOTAL 63,175,500 10.5% 2.7% 16.2% 313,150 611,100 $28.01
CLASS B
Inner Suburbs 1,432,050 19.2% 0.2% 24.2% (10,500) (5,650) $36.29
ROUTE 128 22,378,750 11.5% 1.2% 15.5% 9,800 178,20 $24.70
128 West 9,265,000 11.7% 2.0% 16.6% (26,850) (65,550) $28.74
128 North 5,976,700 12.1% 1.4% 14.7% (105,900) 75,550 $22.88
128 South 7,137,050 10.7% 0.1% 14.7% 142,500 168,250 $20.96
INTERSTATE 495 19,726,400 16.5% 1.7% 21.6% (41,450) 672,700 $19.34
495 Mass Pike West 7,518,350 16.2% 3.8% 23.6% (65,700) 257,200 $19.38
495 Route 2 West 3,960,500 24.6% 0.1% 28.5% (3,250) 350,300 $19.41
495 Northeast 2,548,050 18.4% 1.1% 19.5% 6,950 (7,950) $18.69
Route 3 North 3,018,650 9.7% 0.7% 15.9% (13,000) 18,300 $19.25
495 South 2,680,950 11.1% 0.2% 14.5% 33,500 54,850 $19.86
TOTAL 43,537,250 14.0% 1.4% 18.6% (42,200) 845,300 $22.65
Lincoln Property Company | 53 State Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA | 617.951.4100 | LPCBoston.com
Lincoln Property Company’s Boston Office Report is produced by the Boston Office’s research team in collaboration with our Suburban Brokerage Group. If you have any questions regarding market conditions and the information found in this report, please contact Ethan Robert.
ETHAN ROBERTDirector of Research O: 617.951.4160 [email protected]
MARY PATALITAAssociate O: 617.951.4119 [email protected]