REALISING SUSTAINABLE SOCIETAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE ARCTICNEEL STRØBÆK, DIRECTOR ENVIRONMENT RAMBOLL GROUP
Photo: Tromsø, Norway
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
• Independent advice and multi-disciplinary services to local and global clients
• More than 400 ‘local’ experts at 17 offices across the Arctic 360 North of the Polar circle
• 12,500 consultants and engineers throughout the world in more than 300 offices across 35 countries
PROVIDING ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
• The Arctic societies must develop to provide the right framework conditions for its people, and the local and global businesses and industries
• Disregarding the current economic situation in the Oil & Gas and Mining industries, the Arctic needs to develop its societies and infrastructure
• Examples for sharing: o The challenges for the Arctic citieso Where should Development come
from?o Better Transport infrastructureo Decision-making for trans-boundary
industry projects
ARCTIC SOCIETIES NEED TO DEVELOP
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
WORKING WITH SOCIETY STAKEHOLDERS TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
CREATING SUSTAINABLE SOCIETIES
Institutional Capacity
Rules and Regulations
Social Coherence
Innovation
ECONOMICSOCIETY
PHYSICALSTRUCTURES
ENVIRONMENT
VIABLECOHERENT
FAIR
LIVEABLE
PRIORITIES
INVESTMENTS
CHANGES
Operations Management
Costs to operate and maintain
Competences to Execute
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
CHALLENGES
How can we create long-term sustainable urban and community development?
What dilemmas arise when the need for development meets the distinct arctic nature and culture?
Cities in 4 countries:
Oulu, Luleå, Gälleware, Narvik, Tromsø, Nuuk
WHAT WE DID
Analysis of 6 arctic cities including Society, Economy, Urban Planning, Climate, Environment and Governance through stakeholder analyses, surveys and policies assessments
Ramboll Round Table (Tromsø 2013) with key Arctic stakeholders discussing liveability and sustainability
THE CHALLENGES FOR ARCTIC CITIES TO PROVIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - COMPARISON OF ARCTIC CITIES IN THE NORDIC
Photo: Tromsø, Norway
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
THE CHALLENGES FOR ARCTIC CITIES TO PROVIDE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - COMPARISON OF ARCTIC CITIES IN THE NORDIC
RESULT
Tromsø is perceived as the forerunner among the arctic cities as regards to growth and trust in future.
Arctic cities need constantly to explore new opportunities for businesses and society.
Tourism is a major asset that is still underexplored.
Education and culture are driving forces behind societal developments.
Academia
Business
Govern-ment
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
WHERE SHOULD DEVELOPMENT COME FROM WITHOUT OIL & GAS?- GROWTH POTENTIAL IN GREENLAND 2015-2025
Photo: Nuuk Port, Greenland
CHALLENGES
In ten years, Greenland will lack 80m Euro in financing the public welfare.
But where can development come from in coming years and what possibilities hold the existing commercial sectors?
WHAT WE DID
We baselined the turnover from existing commercial sectors and forecasted to 2025.
Based on an assessment of the different sectors we pinpointed 5 with growth potentials and valued possible policy choices.
Economic, Social and Environmental issues were covered
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
WHERE SHOULD DEVELOPMENT COME FROM WITHOUT OIL & GAS?- GROWTH POTENTIAL IN GREENLAND 2015-2025
RESULT
Fishery, Tourism and Mining hold a potential to increase yearly growth from 0.6% to 3.8%
Agriculture and Products from seals may give (less) input.
Leadership and tough political choices will be necessary, as well as ensuring sufficient capacity of the public sector to support the development
Photo: Tromsø, Norway
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
BETTER TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE- DEVELOPING AND FINANCING INFRASTRUCTURE
CHALLENGES
Infrastructure is vital for the development of the Arctic.
Necessary investments are high and planning and permitting include many stakeholders.
Lead time for a major infrastructure project is today between 8 and 9 years.
WHAT WE DID
Pre-studies on PPP for infrastructure projects, e.g. investigations for development of hydropower in Greenland.
Study of the development needs of Barents Region transport connections based on data and views offered by participating countries.
Ramboll Round Table with main Transport stakeholders (Oulu 2014)
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
BETTER TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE- DEVELOPING AND FINANCING INFRASTRUCTURE
RESULT
There is an urgent need to establish leadership within transport infrastructure in the trans-boundary Arctic.
New Rail, road, air, marine transport infrastructure are needed for the development of both the societies and the industry.
Public private partnership could be the lever to provide investments.
Photo: Tromsø, Norway
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
DECISION-MAKING FOR TRANS-BOUNDARY INDUSTRY PROJECTS- THE NORD STREAM PIPELINE PLANNING AND PERMITTING PROCESS
CHALLENGES
The Nord Stream natural gas pipeline project through the Baltic Sea is with (private) investments of approx. 8 bio Euro among the largest in Europe.
The project crosses the jurisdiction of 5 countries and another 4 countries are entitled to be involved and consulted on the environmental and social assessments of the permitting processes
WHAT WE DID
We invited, supported and facilitated a trans-boundary authority group (the Espoo group named after the UNECE Espoo convention). The group had representatives from all 9 countries around the Baltic.
The Espoo group monitored the planning work, ensured progress on authority side a/o by coordinating international consultations and hearings.
Photo: Offshore pipeline
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
DECISION-MAKING FOR TRANS-BOUNDARY INDUSTRY PROJECTS- THE NORD STREAM PIPELINE PLANNING AND PERMITTING PROCESS
RESULT
The Nord Stream project spanning more than 1200 km on the continental shelf of Russia, Finland, Sweden, Denmark and Germany was designed and built without any significant impacts to the environment and marine stakeholders.
The planning and permitting process was 3½ years. First gas was shipped to Germany in 2011.
Photo: Tromsø, Norway
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
PROVIDING ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP - IN CONCLUSION
Photo: Hannukainen Iron Ore, Finland
INSIGHT AND UNDERSTANDING
The needs of the Arctic societies including cultural diversity.
Climate, nature and environment of the Arctic.
Business and industry sectors and their potential to contribute to the local and national economy.
LEADERSHIP AND EXECUTION CAPACITY
Ability to take (maybe) bold decision.
Find new ways of working together with all society stakeholders.
Ensure capacity to take decisions and provide the framework for leadership and execution.
DEVELOP DIVERSIFIED ECONOMIES
Increase competences in society through focus on education
Focus on culture and respect for cultural diversities
Explore possibilities to engage into public private partnerships
JANUARY 21, 2015
ARCTIC SOLUTIONS AND LEADERSHIP
THANK YOU
NEEL STRØBÆK, ENVIRONMENT DIRECTORRAMBOLL GROUP, COPENHAGEN, [email protected] +45 5161 8641WWW.RAMBOLL.COM/ARCTIC