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Visualizing Levee Failures and Performance through 2D Techniques
May 29, 2014TFMA SPRING CONFERENCE
OVERVIEW
• Project Background
• Developing the Model
• Simulations Types and Results
• Integration with EAP
EMERGENCY ACTION PLAN
• EAP needed in case of a levee failure
• Modeling was used to support development of EAP
• Typical EAP may have as few as two flooding sources
• This case was not so clear cut in terms of flooding sources
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PROJECT AREA
FLOODING SOURCES
ADDITIONAL LEVEES
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CONTROL STRUCTURES
INTERNAL DRAINAGE
REASONS FOR ADVANCED MODELING
• Complex system; multiple interactions
• Multiple Scenarios:– Historic events
– System response to various storms
– Pump station failure
– Levee breach
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ADVANTAGES OF ADVANCED MODEL
• Comprehensive model of the system– Only one assumed boundary condition
– Connectivity between all elements
– 2D flow paths through mesh
• Ease of understanding output– 2D animation replays
– Time-series data
– Results points
• Analyze multiple different scenarios– Historic Events
– Pump Station Failure
– Breach Analysis
WHY INFOWORKS ICM?
• Large 2D area (5,000 acres)
• Variable element area mesh
• Breach analysis capabilities
• GPU Processing (Simulations are faster)
MODEL DEVELOPMENT
• Hydrologic model developed from:– HEC-HMS Models
– USGS Stream Flows
• Hydraulic model developed from:– HEC2/HEC-RAS Models
– Plan Sets
– LIDAR
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PROBLEMS WITH EXISTING MODELS
• Assumed boundary conditions
• No connectivity
• No way to account for undefined flow paths
Diversion:Flows Assumed in Hydrologic Model
Not included in Hydraulic Model
CONVERTING TO ICM
1D COMPONENTS COMBINED
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2D COMPONENTS
• Road buffered from TNRIS Centerline– Roads as Mesh Zone
– Finer mesh triangles
• Roughness Zones determined from Aerial Photos
• Elevation data from LIDAR
1D/2D COMPONENTS COMBINED
CHALLENGES BUILDING/RUNNING THE MODEL
• Size of the study area– ±5,000 acres
• Mass balance (junctions, voids)
• Meshing Errors
• Initialization
• Operating Procedures
• Elevation datum
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Simulation Types and Results
DETERMINING EXTERIOR LEVEL OF PROTECTION
HISTORIC EVENTS
• Mother’s Day Flood 2012 (Internal)– 5-8 Inches of precipitation in area in 12 hours
– Calibrated rainfall
– Validated the model
• Christmas Flood 1991 (Brazos River)
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REGIONAL EVENT
• Not in design criteria, but good to understand
• System response to regional 100-year event including:– Tailwater elevations
– Gravity outfalls
– Pump operations
REGIONAL EVENT EXAMPLE
PUMP STATION FAILURE (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)
• Worst-Case Scenario
• No way to evacuate water
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PUMP STATION FAILURE (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)
LEVEE BREACH ANALYSIS
• Breaches modeled in two different ways, based on location– River Bank Elevation
• Control individual bank stations
– Variable Width Weir + 2D Outfall to mesh
• Control width of weir
• Controlled with Real-Time Control (RTC)– Breach geometry defined in FEMA document
– Breach timing defined by FNI
MODELED BREACH LOCATIONS
• Breach locations not indicative of potential failure
• Concept of “Representative Levee Reach”
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REPRESENTATIVE LEVEE REACH
BREACH LOCATION B03
• Largest inundation extents of the 6 locations
• Assumes other levees have been compromised
• Flows recirculated by standard pump operations
100-YEAR BREACH B03 (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)
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100-YEAR BREACH B03 (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)
“MAXIMUM FLOW BREACH” B03 (BEYOND DESIGN CRITERIA)
Integration with EAP
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TIMESTEP MAP
RECAP
• Levee breach analysis was critical for the EAP
• Advanced modeling needed in this case
• Value added by using the model for other analyses
• Client now has a modeling framework that can be modified– CIP project planning
• Channel modification
• Levee improvements
• Pump improvements
– Add storm sewer lines
– Water quality modeling – sediment
– Evaluate benefit from stormwater BMPs
– Economic assessment
Questions??