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Pebble ProjectSocioeconomic Baseline
Prepared for: Baseline Environmental Team Agency
Meetings
Prepared by: McDowell Group, Inc.
November 17-19, 2008
Day 3_1345_Socioeconomics_McDowell_Logan.mp3
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Scope of Work
Demographics Baseline Community Infrastructure Baseline Cash Economy Baseline Health and Social Baseline (added to scope in 2007)
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Work Plans
For efficiency reasons, McDowell Group did not update baseline indicators in 2008.
Rather in 2009, baseline will be updated with 2007 and 2008 data where available.
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Communities Included
Iliamna Lake/Lake Clark CommunitiesKokhanok, Iliamna, Newhalen, Nondalton, Pedro Bay, Port Alsworth, Levelock, and Igiugig
Nushagak/Bristol Bay BoroughBalance of Lake and Peninsula Borough, Bristol Bay Borough, and Dillingham Census Area
Cook Inlet/Mat-Su BoroughKenai Peninsula Borough, Municipality of Anchorage, and Matanuska-Susitna Borough
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Demographics Content/Scope
Population Trends (1990-2006) Population Characteristics (1990 and 2000)
Age characteristics Gender Race Migration
Household and Family characteristics (1990 and 2000) Language
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DemographicsData Sources/Limitations
U.S. Census Bureau Comprehensive local-level data Dated data Misses key seasonal trends
ADF&G Subsistence Survey Alaska Department of Labor and
Workforce Development More current, but limited local-level data Estimates only
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Iliamna L./L. Clark CommunitiesPopulation (2000-2006)
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Igiugig
Iliamna
Kokhanok
Levelock
Newhalen
Nondalton
Pedro Bay
Port Alsworth
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Lake & Peninsula BoroughPopulation (2000-2006)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Iliamna L./L. Clark Communities Rest of Lake & Pen. Borough
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EconomyContent/Scope
Cash & Non-cash Economic Profile Employment/Unemployment (1990, 2000, 2006)
Annual average, peak, key local employers Commercial fishing activity/permit holders/crew
(1990-2006) Capital improvement projects (2002-2007) Workforce attributes (1990, 2000) Per capita and household income (1990, 2000) Public assistance receipts (2001-2006)
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Iliamna L./L. Clark CommunitiesMedian Household Income (2000)
$21,750
$60,625
$36,250
$19,583
$36,750
$58,750
$36,442
$51,571
$19,583$18,750
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Iliamna L./L. Clark CommunitiesPer Capita Income (2000)
$13,172
$19,741
$7,732
$12,199
$9,447$8,411
$18,419
$21,716
$15,361
$22,660
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Iliamna Lake/L. Clark CommunitiesPop. > 16 Years Not In Labor Force (2000)
55%
28%
68%
53%
61%
69%
21%
33%
53%
35%
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Cash Economy Content/Scope
Basic Industry Overview Commercial fishing/seafood processing Visitor industry Government Other mining activity
Regional economic outlook
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Cash Economy Data Sources
Local sources Planning documents Interviews
State sources DOLWD, DCED, ADF&G, H&SS, DNR
Federal Sources Census, BEA, NPS
Other Internal documents
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Bristol Bay FisheriesEx-vessel Value & Harvest Trends (1990-2006)
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Ex-Vessel Value ($000's) Harvest (000's) Number of Fish
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Bristol Bay FisheriesRes./Non-Res. Permits Fished (1990-2006)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
AK Resident Non-Resident
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Cash Economy Research Challenges
Employment & income DOLWD data does not include self-employed or
military Data may be reported by company HQ, not job
location Unemployment data is based on applications for
benefits No resident/non-resident data Confidentiality
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Community InfrastructureContent/Scope
Housing Number of housing units, heating
source, value, other characteristics Utilities
Water and wastewater Solid waste Communications
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Community InfrastructureContent/Scope
Education Facilities, Enrollment, Staff
Health Care Clinic services EMS
Public Safety Law enforcement, Fire/Rescue
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Community Infrastructure Data Sources/Limitations
Local sources Interviews
State sources DCED, DEED, DPS
Federal sources Census
Other Regional housing authorities, Regional health care providers Communications carriers
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Health and Social Content/Scope
Health Birth rates, and death rates and
leading causes of death Hospitalizations by diagnoses Leading causes of non-fatal injuries
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Health and Social Content/Scope
Crime Reported crime incidences
Education School inventory and enrollment Graduation and dropout rates Assessments -- Annual Yearly Progress,
Standards Based Assessments, High School Graduation Qualifying Examinations
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Health and Social Data Sources
State sources Department of Health and Social Services,
Bureau of Vital Statistics Department of Public Safety Department of Education and Early
Development
Federal sources U.S. Census FBI
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EducationDrop-out Rates (Grade 7-12) (SY06/07)
5.2%
9.2%
2.4%
5.8%
Lake & Pen. SD Dillingham SD Bristol Bay SD Statewide average
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EducationGraduation Rates (Grade 9-12 Cohort)
54.0%59.2%
78.6%
61.6%
Lake & Pen. SD Dillingham SD Bristol Bay SD Statewide average
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Health and Social Research Challenges
Indicator Selection Criteria: Collected by reliable sources (such as
government agencies or experienced private sector researchers)
Regularly and systematically updated Related to specifically, geographic area
studied However, little comparative, community-
level data and some census-level data are available.
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Pebble ProjectSocioeconomic Baseline
Prepared for: Baseline Environmental Team Agency
Meetings
Prepared by: McDowell Group, Inc.
November 17-19, 2008