Download - Pakistan Flood
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Pakistan2010Floods
DamageandNeedsAssessment
DraftFindings
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ObjectiveandMethodology
Summary
of
findings
CONTENTS
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FloodExtent31st ofJuly (InitialStagesofFlood)
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TotalInundationExtentoftheFloods
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THEPURPOSEOFTHEDNAISTOASSESSTHEDAMAGEANDLOSSESCAUSED
ANDCALCULATETHECOSTOFRECONSTRUCTION
ObjectiveoftheDNA:
Toprovidethestrategicunderpinningsformedium tolongtermpostfloods
reconstructionandrecoveryplanning,prioritization,andprogramming
anoverviewofsectorlevelprogram
strategiesandpolicyoptions
basedoncostofreplacingwhatwas
lostwithabuildbackbetter/smarter
factor
basedonreplacingpermanent
assetsandservices
aquantificationofpublicneeds
requirements
prescriptive,doesnotpresenta
menuofprojects
inclusiveofdevelopmentcosts
EarlyRecovery definedas
transitionalservices thesearecoveredinUNreport
Inclusiveofprivateneeds
requirements
TheDNAIS TheDNAisNOT
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DAMAGEASSESSMENTHASBEENCONDUCTEDTHROUGHDATAVERIFICATIONS
WHILE NEEDSASSESSMENTISBASEDONANALYSISANDPOLICYDECISIONS
DirectDamages:monetaryvalueofthecompletelyor
partially
destroyed
assets
immediately
following
thedisaster
IndirectLosses:incomelosses,changeofflowofgoodsandservices,increasedexpenses,curtailed
productionanddiminishedrevenue,arisingfrom
directdamagetoproductioncapacityandsocialand
economicinfrastructure
ReconstructionCosts:costofrebuildinglostassetsandrestoringlostservices. Generallyassessedatthe
replacementcostwithapremiumaddedforbuild
backbetter/smarterbasedonpolicydecisions
Datacollection&verification Dataanalysis &policydecisions
Sectoralprofilesbasedon:
1. Datafromquestionnaires
2. Secondarydata
Verificationthrough:
1. Fieldvisitsbysectorteams2. Interviewswithstakeholders
3. Deskreviews
4. Satelliteimagery
5. Otherplausibilitychecks
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SnapshotofDNAMethodology
*Sectorbysector
*Macro
*Recovery&
Reconstruction
*Predisaster
performance
THEDNAUSESTHEECLACMETHODOLOGYWHICHHASBEENUSEDINPOST
DISASTERASSESSMENTFOROVERTHIRTYYEARS
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Scope
17Sectors
CompositionofSectoralTeams
MixofWB/ADBstaff
RelevantOneUN
organizations
Bilateralsengagement
through20experts
1 Housing WB
2 Transport ADB
3 Energy ADB
4 Water&Sanitation ADB
5 Education WB
6 Health ADB
7 Social ADB
8 Agriculture,
Livestock
and
Fisheries WB
9 SocialProtectionandLivelihoods WB
10 Governance ADB
11 Environment WB
12 EconomicAssessment WB
13 DisasterRiskManagement WB
14 IrrigationandFloodManagement ADB
15 PrivateSector&Industries WB
16 FinancialSector WB
17 ImplementationArrangements ADB
EXPERTTEAMSHAVEBEENWORKINGTOGATHER,VALIDATEANDANALYSE
DATAACROSSSEVENTEENSECTORSSINCEAUGUST20,2010
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SupportFunctionsDonor
Coordination
Team
One UN Early
Recovery Team
Institutional
ArrangementsTeam CommunicationsTeam
GovernmentofPakistan
PC, EAD, NDMA
DNACore TeamWB/ADB
DNA Field Data
Collection Team
SatelliteImageryteam DNAWriting Team
DNA Data
Collection TeamPC DNA
Committee
Provincial Focal
Points
Sector Teams
Districts & Tehsils
UpwardsDataFlowFieldValidation
THEDNATEAMHASBEENWORKINGWITHTHEGOVERNMENTATALLLEVELS
THROUGHOUTTHEPROCESS
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ObjectiveandMethodology
Summary
of
findings
CONTENTS
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SUMMARYOFDAMAGE+LOSSES
Sector
Damages+Losses
USDmillions
Irrigation 278
Housing 1,588
Agriculture 5,045
Transport&Communications 1,328
Energy 309
LivelihoodsSupport
PrivateSector 282
Education 311Health 50
Water&Sanitation 109
Governance 70
Financial 674
Environment 12
DRM
TotalUSDmillions 10,056
TotalPKRmillions 854,771
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IrrigationandFloodSector
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IRRIGATION,DRAINAGEANDFLOODSECTOROVERVIEWOFDAMAGES
Province
Barrages/
dams
(No)
Canal
systems/
breaches
(No)
Irrigation
schemes
(No)
Flood
Embankment
/
Spurs(No)
Drainage
system
(No)
AJK 58
Balochistan 30
6(80
locations) 50 55 9
FATA 66 52
GilgitBaltistan 136
Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa 14 13systems 7 5
Punjab 1
7(315
locations) 87 8
Sindh
6main
systems
6main
systems 5
WAPDA 1
4(25
breaches) 1
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IRRIGATIONANDFLOODSECTORPOLICYOPTIONS
BaseCaseBaseCase
BuildBack
Safer
BuildBack
Safer
Reconstructionwith remodelingofselecteddamaged
infrastructure
ReconstructionPLUS measuresforimprovedflood
protectionandmanagement:
buildingbacksafer forcriticalsettlementsand
urbanareaspronetoflashfloodsandriverbankerosion
inAJK,GBandKP
expansion
of
the
Flood
Early
Warning
System
to
Swat,
PeshawarandDGKhanareas
revisitthecountrysoverallfloodmanagement
strategy
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IRRIGATIONANDFLOODSECTORDAMAGESCOST
Province/Region/Agency Damage
USDMillions
AJK 0.2
Balochistan 29.6
FATA 3.0
GilgitBaltistan 1.6
KhyberPakhtunkhwa 68.4
Punjab 33.1
Sindh 136.9
WAPDA 4.9
SectorTotal 277.6
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Housing
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HOUSINGSECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES
ProvinceNumber of
housesdamaged
Damage ValueUSD millions
AJK 6,843 10Baluchistan 79,720 97
FATA 5,419 4
Gilgit Baltistan 3,157 5
KhyberPakhtunkhwa 257,294 226
Punjab 375,773 322
Sindh879,978 925
Sector Total 1,608,184 1,588
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HOUSINGSECTORPOLICYOPTIONS
Support Hazard -Resistant
Reconstruction tosecure futureinvestments
Support Hazard -Resistant
Reconstruction tosecure futureinvestments
BaseCase: Restoretoprefloodconditions;uniformkatchastandard notrecommended
Option2: Restoretofloodresistantstandard.
Recommended
for
Punjab
&
Sindh
only
Option3: Restoretomultihazardresistantstandard.Recommended
Build-Back-Smarterto optimize costs
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Transport&Communication
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TRANSPORTSECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES
*
10%
of
the
total
road
network
is
affected
out
of
which
8%
roads
are
completely
destroyed**Thelengthfiguresshowbothcompletelyandpartiallydamagedroads
Railways 1,224Kmrailwaylinedamaged
Telecommunicati
on
Damagesto734kmtransmissionline,284transmissionstationsand
594exchangecentre
Aviation Minordamagesto4airports
Provinces NationalHighways
ProvincialHighways
District&Municipal
Roads
Total(Kms)
AJK 35 3,540 3,575
Baluchistan 5 367 1,705 2,077
FATA 294 963 1,257
GilgitBaltistan 33 349 382
Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa
402 259 5,850 6,511
Punjab 53 281 2,485 2,819
Sindh 265 1,925 6,277 8,467
Total 793 3,125 21,170 25,088*
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TRANSPORTSECTORSTRATEGYANDPOLICYRECOMMENDATIONS
Principlesfor
reconstruction
Principlesfor
reconstruction
Restorationofconnectivity complementaritieswith
earlyrecovery
Strategicplanning floodrisksandtransport
infrastructurevulnerability
Strategyfor
reconstructionStrategyfor
reconstruction
Field
verification,
needs
assessment,
disaster
risk
analysis
andconditionsurveyspriortocommencement
Synergyinfloodprotectionanddesignofnational,
provincialandstrategiccommunicationlinks
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TRANSPORTSECTORDAMAGECOSTS
*Includesdirectdamagesof$735millionwhicharecalculatedonthebasisofdepreciatedreplacementcostofdamaged
infrastructure
Province Damages
USDmillions
ROADS
AJK 35
Baluchistan 38FATA 23
GilgitBaltistan 15
KhyberPakhtunkhwa 338
Punjab 179
Sindh 605
RAILWAYS 60
TELECOMMUNICATION 35AVIATION 0.7
Total 1,328*
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Agriculture,Livestock&Fisheries
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Province
CropArea
Damaged(000
ha)
LargeAnimals
(000head)
SmallAnimals
(incl.sheep,
goal)000
Poultry
Perished
(000)
Watercourses
DamagesNos
AJK 33.1 0.3 0.3 11.7 657
Balochistan 132.4 139.6 1,036.7 625.5 47
FATA 7.2 6.2 8.4 101.2 n/a
Gilgit
Baltistan 7.9 1.3 10.8 12.9 960
Khyber
Pakhtunkhwa 121.4 72.4 67.8 621.3 1,790
Punjab 746.8 2.3 2.5 2012 2,598
Sindh 1,043.5 93.7 81.9 6,895.1 6,990
Total 2,092.6 315.6 1,208.3 10,279.7 13,042
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LargeAnimals=Cattle,Buffaloes,Camels,Horse,Donkey
Fishery/PondslostinFATAincludedinestimatesforPakhtunkhwa
AGRICULTURESECTORESTIMATEDDAMAGES
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AGRICULTURESECTORPOLICYOPTIONS
Compensation
Strategy
Compensation
Strategy
Crops :Inkindcompensationinformofseeds,fertilizeretc
Livestock :Inkindcompensationforpoor
Onfarmirrigation:RehabilitationofdamagedwatercoursesFisheries :Compensatedintheformofsubsidy
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Environment
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ENVIRONMENT SECTORSTRATEGY&POLICYRECOMMENDATIONS
Addressimmediate
issuesrelatingto
environmental
health
Addressimmediate
issuesrelatingto
environmental
health
Initiatenon
structural
interventionsto
controlfloods
Initiatenon
structural
interventionsto
controlfloods
Contaminateddrinkingwater,
Diseasevectors, Safewastedisposal, Debrisdisposal,
Hazardouswastes
Technical
Assistance
Technical
Assistance
Forestrestoration
Riparianvegetationrestoration WetlandRestoration
Includefloodprotectionplans,landuseplans,
regulatoryandinstitutionalstrengthening,phased
recoveryofnaturalsystems,andothers.
Short Term
Medium to Long Term
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DisasterRiskManagement
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DISASTERRISKMANAGEMENTSECTORSTRATEGYANDPOLICY
RECOMMENDATIONS
Institutional
developmentand
capacitybuilding
Institutional
developmentand
capacitybuilding
Developclimate
changestrategyDevelopclimatechangestrategy
Integration
of
pre
existing
parallel
structures
for
DRMatFederalandProvinciallevelsforsynergizingandincreasedcoordinationandcapacitybuilding
Enhanceearly
warningsystems
Enhanceearly
warningsystems
Developmentofanationalclimatechangestrategy
framework
backed
by
policy
legislation
&
capacity
buildingofkeyinstitutionsandraisingawareness
RestoringandenhancingtheperformanceofkeyelementsofthecountrysfloodearlywarningsystemanddevelopmentofanationalmultihazardIntegrateddecisionsupportandalertsystem
Increasecommunity
preparedness&
awareness
Increasecommunity
preparedness&
awareness
Promotingcommunitybaseddisasterriskmanagement(CBDRM)andeducation increasing
awareness
on
DRM
HazardMapping
andrisktransfer
mechanisms
HazardMapping
andrisktransfer
mechanisms
Earlyinitiationandcompletionofnationalmultihazardriskmappingtodefinethenationalhazardriskenvironmentandalsodevelopastrategyfor
catastropheriskfinancing
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DRMSECTORNEEDS
Interventions
1 Management study of NDMA and existing parallel DRM structures for assimilation
2 Development of a central MIS System at NDMA with appropriate linkages with Federal,
Provincial and District Response Agencies including aid tracking and management
systems at all levels
3 Technical assistance and hardware support for NDMA, PDMAs and operationalization
of DDMAs in 30 priority districts
4 Social mobilization and training communities on preparedness/response in 30
priority/high-risk districts (including equipment for first responders)
5 Flood hazard mapping
6 GIS-based inundation profiling and of coastal districts
7 Development of a multi-hazard national Integrated Decision Support and Alert System
with focus on Flood-related Disaster Management (NIMS)
8 Assessment and identification of potential disaster risk insurance options and
development of a strategy for catastrophe risk financing mechanisms and solutions
including some piloting
9 Strengthening the capacity of national climate change centers and creating awareness on
climate change issues
10 Development and Integration of DRM in education and awareness building at all levels
11 Develop capacity for carrying out various assessments, such as multi-hazard riskassessments and damage and needs assessments (DNA)
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InstitutionalArrangements
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INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS
Efficient
Delivery
Efficient
Delivery
Putinplacecoreinstitutionalarrangement(nodalagencies)at
federalandprovinciallevels Clarityofrolesinpolicy,
coordination,M&E/reporting,fundflow/managementand
implementations
EquityEquity
TransparencyTransparency
Policy/strategy/criteriaforequitableresourceallocation
amongprovinces/regionsbasedondamagessustainedand
theassociateddisasterrisksforreconstruction
AccountabilityAccountability
Proactiveprogramandstrategiccommunications(disclosure)on
RehabandReconstruction(RR),selectioncriteria,identification
methodology,
design
standards,
procurements,
implementation
andindependentoversightandmonitoring publicdomain,Public
AccountsCommittee,civilsociety
Enhancedfiduciarysafeguardsandriskmitigationcapacities
andmeasures establishinternalandexternalcontrolscountrysystems,specialsystemsforRRprojectsbuildingon
whatexiststomeetdonorrequirement/harmonization
upfrontchallenge
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INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS
CoordinationCoordination
Indiginizing
best
practices
Indiginizingbest
practices
SubsidiaritySubsidiarity
Socially
responsive
Socially
responsive
Effective
coordination
between
agencies
(donors),
sectors
andgeographicareas,throughsectoral,national,
provincialanddistrictlevelcoordinationfora
Fasttracking proceduresandsystemsforRR
implementation
procurement,
approvals
and
hiring
of
humanresource andconsultants trainingtouseexisting
andnewfasttrackingsystems
Implementationresponsibility,systemsandcapacities
delegated
to
the
lowest
level
of
government
more
ownershipandaccountability
Timelyandeffectiveresponsetosafeguards,grievances
andcomplaints tocarrytheadditionalRRload
(individualandinstitutional
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INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS
Planningand
Budgeting
Planningand
Budgeting
Monitoringand
EvaluationMonitoringand
Evaluation
Realisticplanningandbudgeting basictoolstofix
responsibilityforachievingresults weakestlink
Effectiveinternalandexternal(thirdparty)monitoringand
evaluationofRRinputs,outputs,processandresults clearlydefinedrolesatthefederalandprovinciallevelsand
foroutsourcingbuiltonandintegratewithwhatwehave
INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLES AND RECOMMENDATIONS
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INSTITUTIONALARRANGEMENTS PRINCIPLESANDRECOMMENDATIONS
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Questions