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Aid in 2008 and perspectives for 2009
Ministry of Planning, Economics and International CooperationCentral African Republic
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A. Progress in implementing the aid management system
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Aid management improves coordination
• Public online database for humanitarian and development aid
• Donors, implementers, projects, finances, sectors, places
• Key tool for Paris Declaration follow-up
• Donors mainly responsible for data entry
• In place in more than 40 countries, common in Asia, rare in Africa
Aid management system in brief Aid management systems worldwide
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More than 320 projects documented in detail in online database
Strong support from partners for DAD
Sep ‘08 Oct ‘08 Nov ‘08 Dec ‘08 Jan ‘08 Feb ‘09
12
96
176
243
276
202
324
Mar ‘09
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B. Analysis of external assistance in 2008
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Humanitarian aid and multilateral reengagement served as catalysts
Putting aid to CAR in perspective
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
$63m
$126m
$81m
$251m $242m
$117m
DevelopmentHumanitarian
Clearing of debt arrears
2008
$295m
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Encouraging numbers
• $320m committed in 2008 for new projects or activities*
• $295m made available by donors*
• Increase of more than 20% compared to 2007
• $233m spent by implementing agencies (government, UNO, NGOs, etc.)
$295m made available (gross)
Total external assistance in 2008
$150m, Projects(51%)
$54m, Budget support / debt relief (18%)
$6m, Tech. cooperation(2%)
$90m, Humanitarian (31%)
* Including for multi-year projects or activities
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C. Development aid in 2008
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Multilateral support remains vital
• $226m committed in 2008 for new development projects or activities*
• $204m made available / disbursed by donors, inline with Round Table commitments*
• Multilateral institutions account for 90% of disbursements
• $167m spent by implementing agencies (government, UNO, NGOs, etc.)
Resources made available (Top 10)*
Development aid in 2008
EC
World Bank
United Nations
IMF
France
Global Fund
AfDB
GAVI
China
Germany
$62.7m
$34.3m
$23.3m
$23.2m
$17.3m
$16.0m
$9.6m
$3.5m
$2.3m
$2.1m
* Including for multi-year projects or activities
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Top 4 sectors account for 78% of development expenditure in 2008
Sector concentration improves slowly
Budget support / debt relief
Health
Security, peace and justice
Transport and infrastructure
Governance
HIV/AIDS
Forestry
Education
Water and sanitation
Business environment
$46m (28%)
25m (15%)
$21m (13%)
$19m (12%)
$18m (11%)
$12m (7%)
$7m (4%)
$5m (3%)
$4m (2%)
$3m (2%)
Budget support / debt reliefHealth
GovernanceSecurity, peace and justice
Transport and infrastructureHIV/AIDS
ForestryEducation
Non-allocatedRural development
Top four sectors in 2007: 81%
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Field impact remains very limited
< $1m> $1m> $3m> $6m> $9m> $12m
Only 20% of dev. aid spent directly in regions (home to 80% of population)
Outside Bangui 2007: 15%
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D. Humanitarian aid in 2008
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New high, but lower momentum
• $95m committed in 2008 to humanitarian projects / activities*
• $90m made available / disbursed by donors*
• 3.5 times higher than 2006
• Humanitarian aid brings new donors and additional resources
• $66m spent by implementing agencies (72% UNO, 28% NGOs)
Humanitarian aid in 2008
United States
United Nations
EC
Japan
United Kingdom
Sweden
Ireland
France
Netherlands
Canada
$23.8m
$11.9m
$9.2m
$5.3m
$4.6m
$4.6m
$3.8m
$3.4m
$2.7m
$2.5m
Resources made available (Top 10)*
* Including for multi-year projects or activities
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Heavy concentration on food aid (distributed in key agricultural regions)
Humanitarian aid lacks balance
Top four sectors in 2007: 75%
Food security and agriculture
Multi-sect. assistance refug./IDPs
Health
Coordination and logistics
Education
Shelter and non-food items
Protection and human rights
Water and sanitation
Staff security and safety
Food security and agriculture
Health
Coordination and logistics
Multi-sect. assistance refug./IDPs
Education
Protection and Human rights
Water and sanitation
Economic recovery / infrastructure
Shelter and non-food items
$34m (52%)
8m (12%)
$7m (11%)
$5m (8%)
$5m (8%)
$3m (5%)
$3m (5%)
$1m (2%)
$0.4m
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Strong field impact key to stability
< $1m> $1m> $3m> $6m> $9m> $12m
80% of humanitarian aid spent directly in fragile northern regions
Outside Bangui 2007: 80%
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E. Some perspectives for 2009
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Development aid stabilizes while humanitarian aid is likely to decline
Falling into a recovery gap?
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
$63m
$126m
$81m
$251m $242m
$117m
2008
$295m
2009** Based on data available as of Mai 2009
DevelopmentHumanitarian
Clearing of debt arrears
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Steep declines in wood (-60%) and diamond production (-80%)
Strong impact of global economic crisis…
01/07 01/08 07/08 12/0807/07
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
CaratsCubic metres
Wood (cut) Wood (sawn) Diamonds
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Bangui
… but lack of response in the field
< $5m> $5m> $15m> $30m> $60m> $120m
Commitments to projects in heavily affected southern regions very limited
* Projects signed in 2007/08
Diamonds
Uranium
Gold
Wood
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Aiming to facilitate disbursements
Improving the capacity to implement…
• $1074m committed for developmentprojects active in 2008, 2009 and beyond
• $424m (41%) made available by the end of 2008
• $650m to be made available between 2009 et 2012
• Concerted effort required to improve implementation capacity to facilitate disbursements
Overview of commitments*
* Development support only, without humanitarian aid
$1074mcommitted
$424mmade available / disbursed
$349mspent
* Commitments to development projects active in 2008, 2009 or beyond
CommitmentDisbursementExpenditure
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DAD directly contributes to improved aid effectiveness and coordination
… with the support of DAD
DADAid Management System
1
2
3
4
BudgetRaising the percentage of development aid reflected in the national budget from less than 50% to 85%
Providing projections on public investments financed with foreign aid (~95%)
Public Invest. Plan
Contributing data and projections on expenditure of development projects
MTEF
Providing key data to sector and regional coordination committees
Coordination
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Only 25% of dev. aid disbursements reflected in public expenditure tables
Improving the quality of public finances
$50m0 $100m $150m $200m
$204mmade available
$43m accounted for in 2008 public expenditure tables
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Strengthening the PRSP process
PRSP
SP
PAP
PIP
MTEF
Budget
GESCO DAD
Aid management as a key priority
• Foreign aid finances 98% of public investment
• Foreign aid finances about 50% of current expenditure in the budget
• DAD covers 85% to 100% of aid
• DAD will help to improve:– Sector policies– Priority action plans– Public investment plans– Multi-year expenditure frameworks– National budget
Key tools and their links
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DevInfo: tracking needs indicators
• Organizes statistical time series on evolution of needs indicators
• Regular, comprehensive and representative surveys are priority no 1 for 2008
Key tools for PRSP monitoring
DAD: tracking aid disbursements
• Provides financial data on projects implemented within PRSP framework
• Allows for comprehensive M&E in correlation with DevInfo
Primary enrolment (measure of invest. impact)*
1990 2000 2010
Education (average investment by region)*
1990 2000 2010
$9m
$6m
$12m
Situation 2008
$3m
$1m
Situation 2010
* Example, for illustration only
80%
60%
100%
40%
20%
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For more information• http://dad.minplan-rca.org
Supported by the ARCAD project – Building capacity for the implementation of CAR’s poverty reduction strategyAid coordination | Public finances | Anti-corruption measures | Administrative reform | Business environment
• Désiré Yassigao | [email protected] coordinator | Ministry of Planning
• Kersten Jauer | [email protected] Information Manager | UNDP