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Page 1: Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics

Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas

Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas

www.4gamericas.org May 14, 2013

www.4gamericas.org

Page 2: Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics

Global Mobile Traffic: Voice & Data 2010-2018

Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)

Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018

www.4gamericas.org

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0

5

10

15

20

25

LTE drives 168% higher daily mobile data consumption in North America

Mobile application volume per user per day - in MB * Source: Alcatel-Lucent 9900 Wireless Network Guardian, network analytics

Video Social Networking

Mixed Content Sharing

14.5

21.4

2.8 3.7 1.4

3.3

Volume Per User Per Day in MB

MB

3G LTE

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3GPP Mobile Broadband Evolution

Rel 8 HSPA+ DL: 42 Mbps

UL: 11.5 Mbps 10/5 MHz

Evolved EDGE DL: 1.89 Mbps UL: 947 kbps

Rel 8 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Rel 9 HSPA+ DL: 84 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 10/10 MHz

Rel 10 HSPA+ DL: 168 Mbps UL: 23 Mbps 20/10 MHz

Rel 11 HSPA+ DL: 336 Mbps UL: 46 Mbps 40/10 MHz

EDGE

HSPA-HSPA+

Rel 9 LTE DL: 300 Mbps UL: 45 Mbps 20/20 MHz

Rel 10 LTE DL: 1.2 Gbps

UL: 568 Mbps 40/40 MHz

Rel 11 LTE DL: >1.2 Gbps

LTE & LTE-Advanced

Source: Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2012

www.4gamericas.org

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The foundation of the mobile broadband world enabling operators the flexibility to meet the

increasingly advanced wireless needs of customers today and tomorrow.

• Global footprint • International roaming • Robust mobile broadband speeds • Continues to evolve • Smooth transition to LTE

HSPA and HSPA+

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3GPP Rel 9

3GPP Rel 8

3GPP Rel 7

Dual-Carrier/ Combinations

Multi-Carrier/ Combinations

21

28

42

84

168

Mbps

3GPP Rel 10

HSPA+ Downlink Theoretical Peak Rate in Mbps

2x5 MHz 64 QAM

2x10 MHz 64 QAM

2x20 MHz 2x2 MIMO

64 QAM

2x10 MHz 2x2 MIMO

64 QAM

2x5 MHz 2x2 MIMO

MIMO

Dual-Carrier/ Combinations

336

3GPP Rel 11

www.4gamericas.org

Page 7: Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics

Global Deployments

520 networks

in 198 countries

327 networks

in 127 countries

172 networks

in 70 countries

Data as of May 8, 2013

>445 HSPA+ devices

available*

821 LTE devices

available*

Sources: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, Public Announcements, *GSA, April 2013

>4,000 HSPA

devices available*

www.4gamericas.org

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>250 LTE Networks expected

by YE 2013

Next Generation Global Standard

• Technology platform of choice for GSM-HSPA, Greenfield, WiMAX and EV-DO operators

• Available in both FDD and TDD modes and supported by numerous frequency bands

• Offers capacity and speed to handle a rapid increase in data traffic

172 LTE commercial networks launched in 70 countries

Source: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+

88 Million LTE subscriptions

400 operator commitments

worldwide

www.4gamericas.org

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200

300

400

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0

500

1000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Timeline for Global LTE Deployments

Worldwide Subscriptions

Worldwide Networks

63 M -Informa

9.3 M Informa

633 M -Informa

56 145

250

134 M -Informa

252 M -Informa

406 M -Informa

198 Million -IHS

Source: Public Announcement & 4G Americas Forecasts

947 M -Informa

1 Billion -IHS

322 Million -Strategy Analytics Forecast

1.6 Billion -Strategy Analytics

380

785 M -ABI Research

www.4gamericas.org

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0

50

100

150

200

250

Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17

Mill

ion

s LTE in the U.S.

September 2011 December 2010 July 2012

Sources: Public Announcements, Informa WCIS+ Estimates, Jan 2013

March 2013

Currently covers 287 million PoPs

270 million PoPs by YE 2013

200 million PoPs by YE 2013

194 million subscriptions by YE 2017

LTE Subscription Growth in the U.S.

Launch Date:

200 million PoPs by YE 2013

Launch Date: Launch Date: Launch Date:

www.4gamericas.org

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9 68

134

252

406

633

947

Global LTE Subscription Growth

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Millions of Subscriptions

2012

Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, Subscription Forecast, February 2013

Global LTE Subscriptions

will surpass 1 billion in 2018

2011

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Key Components of the LTE Evolution to LTE-Advanced

Initial Deployments

2010 to 2012 Higher Capacity/Throughput

and/or Efficiency

2013 to 2016

Enables more users, more applications and a better

experience

Wider Radio Channels: 20 MHz

Carrier Aggregation: up to 100 MHz

Advanced Antenna Configurations

More Advanced MIMO

(Higher Order, Multi-User, Higher Mobility)

Coordinated Multipoint Transmission

HetNets (Macrocells/Picocells/Femtocells)

HetNet Self Optimization/Organization

More Intelligent and Seamless Offload

Greater Capabilities Voice Widely Handled in the Packet Domain

Policy-Based Quality of Service

Typically 5 or 10 MHz Radio Channels

2X2 Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) Antennas

Initial Self-Optimization/

Organization for Auto Configuration

www.4gamericas.org

Page 13: Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics

LTE vs LTE-Advanced Key Performance Indicators

Release 8

LTE

Release 10

LTE-Advanced

Peak Data Rate Downlink: 300 Mbps

Uplink: 75 Mbps

Downlink: 1 Gbps

Uplink: 500 Mbps

Peak Spectrum Efficiency Downlink: 15 [bps/Hz]

Uplink: 3.75 [bps/Hz]

Downlink: 30 [bps/Hz]

Uplink: 15 [bps/Hz]

Latency User plane: 10 Msec

Control Plane: 100 Msec

User plane: 5 Msec

Control Plane: 50 Msec

Scalable Bandwidth

Support Up to 20 MHz

Up to 20 MHz

with band aggregation

up to 100 MHz

MIMO

(Spatial Multiplexing)

Downlink: Up to 4x4 Downlink: Up to 8x8

Uplink: N/A Uplink: Up to 4x4

Source: 4G Americas Member Companies www.4gamericas.org

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Spectrum Demand

The dramatic increase in mobile broadband and data traffic drives the need for additional spectrum throughout the Americas region

ITU analysis states that spectrum requirements by 2020 for a single network within a single country will range from 1280-1720 MHz. Countries in the Americas will need an additional 557-997 MHz beyond identified

spectrum allocations by 2020

www.4gamericas.org

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Demand vs Spectrum

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

Demand Versus Spectrum(Normalized)

No New Spectrum

Partially IncreasedSpectrum

Fully increasedSpectrum

Demand

Rysavy Research 2011

Today’s smartphones use 35 times more spectrum than traditional cell phones, and tablets use 121 times as much spectrum.

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National Broadband Plan 300 MHz by 2015 → 500 MHz by 2020

U.S. FCC Spectrum Allocations Progress & Possibilities Advanced Wireless Services (AWS2, AWS-3,etc.)

1695 MHz, 1755-1780MHz/2155-2180 MHz, 1900 MHz – H&J Block

75-85 MHz?

Mobile Satellite Systems (AWS-4)

2000-2020 MHz/2180-2200 MHz 40 MHz

Wireless Communications Services (WCS)

2305-2315 MHz/2350-2360 MHz 20 MHz

Broadcast (incentive auction) 600 MHz 120 MHz?

3.5 GHz Small Cell 3550-3650 MHz 100 MHz?

www.4gamericas.org

Can the FCC achieve their objective?

Page 17: Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics

The Importance of 1755-1780 MHz Spectrum in the U.S.

www.4gamericas.org

April 24, 2013

…In sum, instead of continuing the current course of contemplating reallocating the entire 1755-1850 MHz band at some point in the distant future we strongly urge that NTIA focus the effort on reallocation of the 1755-1780 MHz sub-band as soon as possible. Sharing or relocation studies for the 1780-1850 MHz band should continue in accordance with federal requirements and should take into account the long-term evolution of available technology. However, near-term action to auction the 1755-1780 MHz band paired with 2155-2180 MHz would help relieve the growing pressure for spectrum. At the same time, federal agencies would continue to have access to 1780-1850 MHz for ten years, based on current technology and potential pairing options.

To: US Dept. of Commerce 4G Americas

AT&T

T-Mobile USA

Verizon

CTIA

From:

Page 18: Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas · Mobile Broadband Acceleration in the Americas Chris Pearson, ... Multi-Carrier/ ... Forecast-Strategy Analytics

Thank you!

www.4gamericas.org May 14, 2013

www.4gamericas.org


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