Download - Maps 2010 fall_update
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
Fall 2010 Update
San FranciscoMobility, Access & Pricing
Study
How do you travel for your most typical trips to downtown San Francisco (work, school, etc?)
Drive alone
Transit
Carpool/rideshare
Bike/walk
Combination of above
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Our Citywide development goals rely on improving the downtown core:
Strengthen the City’s Regional Competitiveness
Create a more Livable City
Ensure a Healthy Environment
Provide World-Class Infrastructure
Goals for the Future
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Expected SF growth over the coming decades:
150,000 more residents 230,000 more workers
Focused in core/transit accessible areas Transbay Transit Center District Rincon Hill Mission Bay Eastern Neighborhoods Market/Octavia
Our Sustainable Growth Challenge
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Courtesy, SF Planning Department
View from Treasure Island | View from Treasure Island | Skyline todaySkyline today5
Courtesy, SF Planning Department
View from Treasure Island | View from Treasure Island | According to the Transbay PlanAccording to the Transbay Plan6
Downtown Growth Planned
+73,000 auto trips+30,000 transit trips
+37,000 auto trips+15,000 transit trips
+8,000 auto trip+4,000 transit trips
+8,000 auto trips+4,000 transit trips
+19,000 auto trips+9,000 transit trips
*projected growth by 2030, Projections 2007 and SF-CHAMP 2010
+39,000 auto trips+25,000 transit trips
+ 24,000 hsg units+ 107,000 jobs
+ 24,000 hsg units+ 107,000 jobs
+184,000 auto trips+88,000 transit trips+184,000 auto trips+88,000 transit trips
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longer, more severe rush hour
30% increase in delay by 2030
Growth or Gridlock?
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If we proceed in a BAU fashion, growth areas forecast to become even more congested
40k more peak-period vehicle trips in greater downtown by 2030
In the Bay Area, annual delay per person is expected to increase from 39 to 47 hours by 2035 (MTC, T2035 Plan)
Our Citywide development goals rely on improving the downtown core:
Strengthen the City’s Regional Competitiveness
Create a more Livable City
Ensure a Healthy Environment
Provide World-Class Infrastructure
Goals for the Future
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Robust solutions are needed for demand management and to generate revenue
for investment in infrastructure
With future growth anticipated in San Francisco, what’s the best way to maintain and improve mobility?
Add traffic lanes (eg remove on-street parking, reduce sidewalk widths, make existing lanes more narrow)
Give buses and bicycles lane and signal priority on congested streets, reducing the lanes available to private autos)
Manage congestion through user fees
Restrict private auto access
Other (eg, don’t agree with the growth premise)
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Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Average Travel Speeds in SF
Potential Scenarios for SF
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Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Downtown Cordon
Potential Scenarios for SF
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Potential Scenarios for SF
Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Gateway with Parking Pricing
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Transit speed below 8 mph
Auto speed below 10 mph Highway speed below 30 mph
Northeast Cordon
Potential Scenarios for SF
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How congestion pricing would work
Technology would leverage existing systems, e.g. FasTrak accounts
Design considerations support camera-based equipment
Multiple payment methods possible
Phone, web, text, retail, etc.
Sample Detection Technology
Possible FeesWeekdays Weekends
6am – 9am $3 NO FEE
9am – 3pm NO FEE NO FEE
3pm – 7pm $3 NO FEE
evenings NO FEE NO FEE
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Suggested Discounts/Exemptions
Type of Driver/ Group
Level of Discount
Taxi, Transit, Emergency
FREE
Toll-payer ‘Fee’-bate $1 off
Low-Income (Lifeline Value)
50% off
Disabled Drivers 50% off
Zone Residents 50% off
Low-Emission Vehicles -
HOV/Carpool -
Daily cap of $6
Fleet program for commercial vehicles, rental, shuttles
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2.3M person-trips in the Northeast Cordon daily
nearly half are auto trips
over 40% of trips are made during peak periods (17% AM; 25% PM)
More than half of the 260,000 auto person-trips in the Northeast Cordon are made by San Francisco residents
Distribution of trips (2005 base)
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Source: SF-CHAMP, 2010
Proportion of PM Peak Auto Trips to/from/within NE Cordon, 2005
East Bay, 30,000, 12%
North Bay, 10,000, 4%
South Bay, 26,000, 10%
w/in NE Cordon, 52,000, 20%
Rest of SF, 136,000, 53%
External, 3,000, 1%
Distribution of AUTO Trips during the PM Peak, 2005
Program Could Generate $60 -80M/year
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Program revenue would be invested in the transportation network, public realm, and travel programs
Annual Investment by Market
Investment Program—up-front improvements
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$200-300 million for projects including:
San Francisco Van Ness BRT Signal priority and diamond lanes on
Fulton, Mission, California Bike lanes citywide Real-time signage and wayfinding
East Bay BART station wayfinding, capacity,
access improvements
North Bay 101 corridor management (FPI/ramp
metering)
South Bay Caltrain access improvements, 101
HOV lane
Investment Program—annual investments
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$35-55M/year to be spent on multi-modal improvements such as: More regional and local express bus service Street paving/pothole repair Traffic calming Streetscape improvements Parking management and enforcement School, worksite TDM programs Power-washing sidewalks
If congestion pricing were implemented, how should the revenues generated be spent?Proposed program is a good start
Invest more in roadways (e.g. street infrastructure)
Invest more in amount of/access to transit
Invest more in bicycle and walking facilities
Invest more in discount policies
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Study OutreachStudy OutreachPublic Workshop Series (local and regional):
3 rounds of public workshops (4th round underway!)
Community Groups and Organizations, including:
BOMA Committees
Hayes Valley Neighborhood Association
KQED: Forum
Marina Community Association
Metropolitan Transportation Commission committees
Rincon Point/South Beach Citizens Advisory Committee
SF Chamber of Commerce & Public Policy Forum
SF Mayor's Office of Neighborhood Services (MONS)
SF Policy and Urban Planning Association (SPUR)
SF Small Business Commission
Silicon Valley Leadership Group (SVLG)Sunset District Neighborhood Coalition (SDNC)Regional Transportation Justice Working Group
Transportation and Land Use Coalition (TALC)Union Square AssociationWestern SOMA Task ForceYerba Buena Alliance
Business Focus Groups: Commercial Transportation Retail Restaurant Tourism & Hospitality
Advisory Committees: Business Advisory Council Policy Working Group Technical Advisory Committee Stakeholder Task Force
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Feedback: community & equity
Top concerns:
Availability, reliability, and cost of transit services
Impacts on working poor, families Reduction in local/off-peak
service due to core/peak demands
Traffic/parking diversions on edges of ‘zone’
Geographic equity (no South Bay tolls currently)
Needs/requests: Discounts and/or exemptions for
low-income drivers, disabled drivers
EQUITY OUTREACH
Transportation Justice Working Group
TALC Annual Summit
MTC Committees: Citizens Advisory Committee Elderly/Disabled Advisory Committee Minority Citizens Advisory Committee
Varied community organizations and neighborhood groups
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Feedback: business impacts & analysis
Congestion should be addressed
Top concerns: Better enforcement of double
parking More enforcement of loading zones More loading zones, tour bus parking
Needs/requests: Varied fee/discount suggestions:
- fleet rates should be flat- periodic invoices to minimize administrative burden
Varied scenarios suggestions:- AM only charges (even if higher)- Outbound only charges during PM- Parking pricing
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Business Outreach
Union Square Association (board & policy committee)
Chamber of Commerce (board & public policy committee)
BOMA Committees (Environment & Gov’t Affairs)
Small Business Commission
Workshops on: Commercial Transportation
Hospitality/Tourism
Restaurant
Retail
Ongoing organizational meetings & associations
Possible RecommendationsMedium-term: Refined Cordon best mitigates congestion in the greater
downtown area
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Auto Travel Speeds Northeast Cordon
12% fewer peak period auto trips
21% reduction in vehicle hours of delay (VHD)
5% reduction in GHGs citywide
PILOT Northeast Cordon (PM)
Possible Recommendations: Pilots
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In the near-term, a pilot would:
Respond to public feedback
Demonstrate proof-of-concept
Allow for program evaluation
Potential Pilots:
Refined Cordon – PM Outbound
Possible Recommendations: Pilots
In the near-term, a pilot would:
Respond to public feedback Demonstrate proof-of-
concept Allow for program
evaluation
Potential Pilots:
Refined Cordon – PM Outbound
Hybrid: Southern Gateway (AM/PM) w/parking pricing
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PILOT Southern Gateway
Scenario Comparison – by the numbers
NE Cordon*(AM/PM)
Net Operating Revenue $80 M
Operating Ratio (exp/gross rev after disc) 30-35%
Peak Auto Trips to/from NE Cordon (avg) -12%
Peak Auto Trips to/from S. Corridor (avg) -4%
Change in Transit Speeds up to 20%
Daily San Francisco VMT -5%
Daily NE Cordon VHD -21%
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NE Cordon (PM, outbound)
Southern Gateway (AM/PM)
$70 M $60 M
20-25% 25-30%
-10% -5%
-4% -20%
up to 20% up to 15%
-3% -4%
-10% -4%
Values in 2008$ for single representative year* Risk analysis pending
Scenario Comparison – by the numbers
NE Cordon*(AM/PM)
Change in C02 Emissions (NE Cordon) -16%
Change in C02 Emissions in (San Francisco)
-5%
Change in PM2.5 Emissions (NE Cordon) -17%
Change in PM2.5 Emissions in (San Francisco)
-5%
Change in Collisions (NE Cordon) -12%
Change in Collisions (San Francisco) -6%
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NE Cordon (PM, outbound)
Southern Gateway (AM/PM)
-9% -7%
-3% -4%
-11% -8%
-3% -4%
-5% -3%
-4% -5%
Values in 2008$ for single representative year* Risk analysis pending
Employment impact expected to be minimal (up to 1%), due to: infusion of external capital for startup costs
streetscape enhancements, visitor amenities
work/school TDM measures
Neutral to positive retail impacts expected considering multiple factors:60,000 more transit and walk/bike trips per day in the cordon area (conservative estimate)
retail survey shows comparable spending by transit and auto users
Business impacts broadly neutral
Mode Drive Transit Walk
Average Spend per Visit $56 $39 $42
Average # Trips per Month 4 7 7
Average Spend per Month $224 $273 $294
Average Spending & Frequency by Mode
Survey of 1400 travelers in San Francisco’s downtown retail areas, December 2007 and April 2008
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Which scenario seems like the best fit for San Francisco?
Northeast Cordon, AM/PM
Northeast Cordon, PM outbound
Southern Gateway with parking pricing
Other
None of the above
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My top concern about a potential charging program is:Availability of travel options
Affordability, including for low-income travelers
Skepticism about government’s role in providing congestion/mobility improvements
Economic/ business impacts
Not sure it will be effective, prefer another solution
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The top benefit of a potential congestion pricing program is:Reduce auto congestion/travel time
Improve transit speeds, frequency, and reliability
Improve bicycling/walking downtown
Improve the environment/quality of life
Disagree with the effectiveness, prefer another solution
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Institutional considerations & milestones
Obtain Legislative Authority to toll Local ordinance (BoS) State authority (legislature, governor) Environmental analysis (local/federal approval)
Designate/create toll authority/agency, functions to include: Set toll and discount policy Bonding to deliver improvements up front Concession with a program operator Directly produce or contract for services/capital improvements Monitor performance, change fee level/investment program as
appropriate
Governance MOAs with MTC/BATA, transit operators Joint Powers Authority, e.g. ACCMA/VTA Express lanes
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Fall 2010 - 2011 Implement and evaluate SFpark (SFMTA) and other near-term projects: More data to better characterize and track
parking benefits & impacts: supply, demand, turnover
Track congestion reduction benefits & impacts
2011 - 2013 Environmental analysis, system designLegislative Authorization
2013 - 2014 Final Design & Procurement
2014 - 2015 Construction of system & capital improvementsAdditional transit services
2015 Potential Implementation
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Potential Timeline
IMPLEMENTATION DECISION
What is your opinion about a potential congestion pricing project for San Francisco (in the next 3-5 years)? I support implementing a permanent
program
I prefer taking a pilot approach
I could support congestion pricing with modifications
I’m not sure yet/undecided/need more information
I prefer another solution
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Summer 2010 Outreach events, including:
Public workshops Lunchtime webinars Regional e-town halls
Aug/Sept/Oct 2010 Ongoing outreach Community/neighborhood organizations Merchant associations Stakeholder groups
Oct/Nov 2010 CAC/P&P/Board Action: Study Report and recommendations Potential next steps: environmental
clearance, legislative authority, system design
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Status & next steps
www.GearyBRT.org 38
QUESTIONS/FEEDBACK:
www.sfmobility.com
www.facebook.com/sfmobility
415.522.4819