M 2 M communication: Worldwide future prospects and potential impact
analysis in India
Author:
Aditya Mishra
Founder & CEO, Research48
Phone no: +91 -9916389769
Email id: [email protected], [email protected]
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Aditya Mishra
M 2 M communication: Worldwide future prospects and potential impact analysis in India
A lot has been said and written about M2M communication over the last few years. The idea
behind this paper is to present the concept in a lucid and compact manner, to understand its
potential impact, and to clear the misconceptions surrounding the acronym.
What actually is M2M all about?
The term M2M has been the “Buzzword” across different sectors and industries around the world
over the last few years. Unfortunately, it has also been one of the most misunderstood and
misused term. Its acronym is “Machine to Machine”, but it hardly explains the unexplored sea of
communication concept that this term actually represents.
There are good reasons for the widespread misuse of the term: The biggest reason is the
application diversity. It is applicable to almost all sectors, thus it becomes very difficult to
formulate an identity that is acceptable and applicable across all contexts. Besides, the term is
evolving at such a fast pace that it is virtually impossible to keep up with the latest
developments, thus making the prior knowledge antiquated.
M2M can be defined in simple terms as , “Machines” (can be a sensor, meter, valve etc) using
network resources (can comprise of core telecom network, back-end server, access and radio
networks, and a gateway) to communicate with remote application infrastructure for the purposes
of monitoring and control, either of the “machine” itself, or of the surrounding environment.
Thus, it is said that M2M creates an intelligent inter-machine co-ordination ecosystem.
M2M leads to different types of machines being nodes of personal wireless networks, and allows
remote applications to be developed. This will lead to machines being more autonomous and
smarter and will decrease the cost incurred due to involvement of human resource. Its scope is so
big because it not only covers smart devices having an IP address but even links passive objects
on the network.
The M2M communication spectrum is very wide, and includes innovative channels from
telematics (i.e. intelligent remote control of machine parts) to telemetry (i.e. remote reading of
the electric meters). In fact, according to an estimate, by 2020, more devices will be connected to
the Internet than human beings!1
So, what are the benefits?
Importance of this term depends on the perspective of the user. But for a layman, the least it will
do is it will reduce the bill amount we pay for electricity, gas and water, as these sectors will be
able to minimize wastage and by take advantage of off-peak tariffs, using M2M communication.
1 The Internet of Things How the Next Evolution of the Internet Is Changing Everything, CISCO
The M2M prospects are extremely challenging on one hand, but are amazingly rewarding on
other. Challenge comes from the complexity of the value chain, and reward from the benefits
that it offers in the long run.
We strongly believe that the immediate benefits of M2M will be available to businesses and end
customer will benefit in long run. Let us take an example of a refrigerator manufacturer. An end
customer may not want to talk to the refrigerator but the manufacturer can get great insights
about the customer behavior with reference to refrigerator, for example the usage pattern of
consumers that will help in making the refrigerator more user friendly, insights about
performance of the refrigerator and to get an idea of potential wear and tear which will help them
notify customers when the refrigerator need a service. This will not just help in retaining the
customer but will also bring down the cost of ownership of the refrigerator.
To elaborate, let us take another interesting example could of a car leasing company. For
automotive firms, a big portion of cost comes from electronic equipment and gadgetry. Using
M2M, different information about the car like engine oil change, malfunction information, tire
pressure etc can be made available to the driver well in advance!
Which all fields will it touch and what differences will it make?
Let us take a look at some of the potential applications in Indian scenario across different
industries:
Automotive: Car infotainment, Telematics, and LBS applications are becoming more and more
popular with modern cars in India today. Besides, fleet management services, fuel consumption
tracking, GPS asset tracking, cargo management will all be very common words in years to
come. Another interesting potential application is a pay-as-you-drive solution that is being used
by some European firms in the insurance sector.
Buildings & Homes: We may soon be living in Smart homes which will be able to calculate,
estimate and even control energy consumption and closely follow the home health. “Energy
Harvesting” is another interesting application to look at. It is a technology that harvests the
necessary power from the locality. Thus, the energy obtained is used to send a signal and
perform some task, like turning on a fan switch. Combining this solution with wireless switches
and wireless sensors can simplify the building cablings. This can be a real cost saver!
Smart Energy: This sector will be as large as $150-180 billion worldwide in next three years2.
Smart meters can be used inside homes to monitor the gas, water, electricity consumption and
can directly give output by connecting to an in-house display. This will improve consumer
awareness and will lead to consumer control on the energy bills. In fact, Smart energy meters
will also be used as a gateway for tomorrow’s network homes.
2 Global Smart Energy Meter Market 2011-2015, TechNavio's analysts forecast report
Health Care: Patient-premise solutions will drive the future of healthcare industry in coming
years. They are not just more efficient, but also cost effective, and many medical equipment
manufacturers are already venturing into this space. These mobile health solutions make it
possible to observe daily living, which can be recorded and transmitted from the patient’s house
or on mobile devices, which can help doctors to act quickly. Thus, this can be much more
efficient than the current system, where the patient visits doctor periodically, and for short time
span only.
Industrial and Infrastructure: A whole new range of solutions and services has been
developed in Industrial & Infrastructure sectors too, like weather & seismic sensor measurement,
real-time traffic monitoring, remote video monitoring, etc. In fact, it is said that the concept of
M2M started with wired network, and on the factory floor, where data was sent from machines to
PCs over Ethernet LANs!
Transportation: Fleet management was one of the few sectors that adopted M2M very early .Its
working is very simple, yet innovative: GPS terminals embedded in the vehicles find out the
location and the data is transmitted over a cellular network to a hub, where it can be displayed on
a screen in form of a map.
The service definition has become much broader today and new features like broadband access
and vehicle diagnostics has been added to the portfolio of M2M offerings.
Retail: The ability to be able to manage mobile card payment transactions in a fast and secure
way is becoming vital for many players in the retail sector. Wireless card payment transactions
may soon be available to taxi, ferry and ice cream van and other on-the move players. Most retail
players are today looking for the ways out to manage mobile card payment transactions in a
secure way, and M2M offers the fast and simple solutions. Add to it the facilities like parking
meters, online vending machines etc, and you can easily see the huge impact of M2M on this
sector.
Networks: High-speed cellular networks are fast replacing the wireline networks for enterprises,
whose needs are consistently changing and quick and flexible deployment of resources to
temporary offices and remote locations have become an integral component of the business
today. Intelligent gateways and routers are been developed for M2M applications, to better
handle the complex routing and networking solutions. Besides, intelligence and robust remote
management tools facilitate quick and easy deployment of primary as well as back-up solutions.
Besides, Agriculture, Security, Digital Billboards are other areas of application of M2M
solutions, to name a few.
So, who all are the stakeholders?
The perfect M2M solution will need to have a right mix of hardware, software, communication
and value added services. As discussed earlier, each M2M solution is unique, and depends
largely upon what needs to be recorded, controlled, corrected, or reported. Thus, there are many
stakeholders, and each of them need to come together to formulate and foster a solution from the
scratch, i.e. visualize, define its scope, develop, test, maintain and sustain the solution. Thus the
ecosystem needs strong partnerships and alliances for M2M to achieve its true potential.
Typically, an M2M solution will comprise of following stakeholders:
Network infrastructure firms like Ericsson, NSN, Tejas, Huawei etc
Semiconductor & Hardware companies that provide the customer premise equipments
(CPEs) and platforms from where data is captured, like Honeywell, Motorola, Intel, Dax
Networks etc
Middleware solutions companies which act as industry-specific application software or
solution providers, like Electrolux, Qualcomm etc.
System integrators that will have IT domain expertise to keep the entire process under
one umbrella like TCS, IBM.
The cellular network operators, which acts as communication medium for transmission of
the measured data, like Airtel, Vodafone etc.
Depending on the use case, each stakeholder will assume different level of responsibility. Given
the current status of telecom industry worldwide and the prospects that M2M present with, we
can say that M2M holds potential to revive the operating models for carriers as well as for the
infrastructure firms and CPE manufacturers.
The major benefit for the carriers will be in form of recurring network usage cost i.e. the
installation and subscription charges. Besides, carriers will play an integral role in building data
models, deploying the service and providing service to end device.
Carriers, vendors and System integrators will together build a scalable infrastructure to leverage
M2M potential. In fact the existing telecom infrastructure is already in sync with M2M
requirements to a large extend.
IT firms will play an important role in Development, Product lifecycle management, Technology
transformation, Network Services and Testing, OSS/BSS Integration across the technology
nodes, complimenting the niche technology skills necessary for the M2M business.
Middleware firms will work on many fronts to enable the Internet of Everything and pave the
way for new types of connected products, business models and services.
The embedded chipset technologies will lead to cellular connectivity and home area
connectivity.
Fig1. M2M Ecosystem
Let us take a look at how a generic M2M value chain may look like:
Fig 2: M2M Value Chain
This is the generic value chain for an M2M solution. The roles played by different
players will vary according to the solution requirements, but the players will remain the
same. The blocks have been explained below:
Application Design: This module is taken up by software firms and comprises of
the initial phase of the software life cycle.
Application Hosting: This block involves hosting the software code and the data
needed for running the application. This is often outsourced too.
Application Provision: This module will involve delivery and sales of software to
specific market segments and also the technical support.
Network Equipment Development: This module involves the design and
development of network equipment, & needs intellectual capital to be developed.
Network Equipment Integration: It comprises of the provisioning of integrated
network solutions to network operators.
Mobile Access Provision: This module includes providing access of the network
to the customers. It also includes backbone provision, last-mile provision and
broadband access provision.
Consumer Electronics (CE) Device Development: This module involves the
design and development of CE devices.
CE Device Marketing: This involves bringing to market consumer electronics
devices to be used by consumers to interact with applications.
To elaborate further, let us take an industry-specific example of Smart Grid communication
and understand how each player in the value chain plays its role in enabling an end-to-end M2M
solution:
Figure 3: Smart Grid Communication Value Chain
Let us take a look at the key entities involved in Smart Grid Communication value chain:
Chip manufacturers: These companies are involved in manufacturing of building blocks
like processors, modem, memory, GPS etc.
Cellular module OEMs: They play an important role of integrating the chips into the
module. They also provide the interface to work with multiple carriers.
Device OEMs: These OEMs integrate the cellular modules with the smart grid devices
like meters, gateways, concentrators etc.
Carriers: They give wireless connectivity to utility devices.
Utility: Finally, they integrate or bundle the devices and the network together, to make
the smart grid system possible.
What is in it for the Indian Cellular Operators?
According to a recent survey, developing countries account for only about 1.5% of total M2M
deployment3. There are several reasons for this; one of them is lack of M2M strategy from
cellular operators in these countries.
Taking about India, Mobile M2M is just an emerging service in its nascent stage, and very few
operators have tried their hands on this front so far. But according to an estimate from Tonse
Telecom, by year 2014-15, mobile M2M data revenues will contribute to about 5.97% of
projected total mobile VAS revenues in India4.
We firmly believe that M2M will drive unparalleled amount of data traffic in coming years,
which will create new revenue streams for bleeding cellular operators in India. LTE connectivity
will also play very important role in the future of M2M communications, as 4G technologies is
necessary to manage the large number of M2M devices coming online.
Moreover, with emergence of new technologies, telcos in India are struggling to boost their
existing infrastructure. M2M will present them with a tremendous business opportunity in terms
of monitoring and tracking individual base stations.
But precursor to success of M2M in India would be fair and well designed revenue models.
Some of the models that can be used are the transaction-based model charging on basis of extent
of usage or a package-based model (a fixed payment at regular intervals) or a model where the
M2M earnings can be shared between the user and the provider. Moreover, it would be a good
idea for the operators to establish network-sharing partnerships, to minimize the cost associated
with providing M2M services, especially in remote areas.
A recent example of emerging business opportunity for Indian operators is the Vodafone-
Mahindra tie-up. Mahindra Reva partnered with Vodafone to power its electric cars with M2M
communication services, with which users can remotely lock their car, control air conditioning
and get emergency boost charge. Users can control different aspects of their vehicle and get
information about battery back-up, lock control, charging locations etc using an app available on
their smartphone.
This is a unique partnership, first on this type in India, and gives a fair indication of how M2M
can present unseen business opportunities for telcos in India.
Another name worth mentioning in this space is Reliance Communications. The company is
exploring the M2M business opportunities in rural India. As part of Green VAS & M2M Rural
Internet Plan, the company is planning rural deployment of M2M technologies, with steps like
3 The Other M2M Opportunity: Enhanced Utility Access in Emerging Markets, GSMA Report
4 Mobile M2M Market in India, Tonse Telecom
automation of agriculture & Irrigation services, water level monitoring, and data gathering for
milk & cooperatives, fisheries, poultry, etc.
Undoubtedly, in last couple of years, the eco-system has begun to grow, driven by various
factors like the requirement from the inefficient state electricity boards (SEBs), and other
industries like health, agriculture and transportation.
We believe that the compliance and regulatory aspects won’t be the drivers of M2M in India like
they have been in many countries. Rather, the drivers in India will be to improve processes,
reduce power losses, and improve logistics and transportation efficiency, and the drive from the
security and healthcare sectors.
Many other solutions are running in pilot phase while some operators like Airtel and Vodafone
are evaluating solution readiness and end to end SLA management. Few operators are also
exploring opportunities in cloud based data analytics solutions, and are exploring different
business models and first mover’s market entry strategies.
The carriers will also play integral role in form of providing access to terminals, CPEs, building
the use case models, subscriber management, terminal management application and portal etc,
i.e. they will be the centre point in the entire process of delivering a complete M2M solution.
Few other initiatives in India so far:
Loop Mobile came up with “Dial an auto” service in Mumbai that provisions M2M module in
rickshaws to track them. The system uses Loop SIM card.
In Rajasthan, Bharti Airtel came up with “Street Light Automation” service, trying to real-time
monitor and control the power of street lights based on GPRS solution.
IBM is working with Tata power to achieve digital automation of smart energy based solutions,
with help of NDPL (New Delhi Power Limited).
Reliance Infrastructure recently came up with advanced metering solutions that aims to connect
households with main electricity supply units.
Similarly, in Bangalore, Bangalore Electricity Supply Company Limited is planning to install
smart prepaid meters for about 8 million customers.
What are the challenges confronting the concept?
As one would expect, there are certain practical concerns confronting the M2M industry today,
which the industry needs to overcome before realizing its true potential.
Standardization
The need for standardization and Interoperability within various smart devices is of paramount
importance here, especially because of the diversity in the application and players involved like
devices, networks, industries and geographical locations. Although it is a well accepted fact, still,
as of now, there is no single standards body which is moderating and controlling the
standardization. But many organizations across the globe have taken pro-active steps to come up
with the their own standards like DASH7 Alliance, HomePlug Alliance, ZigBee Alliance, ETSI,
TIA , CCSA etc.
Moreover, each industry is trying to come up with its own idea on standardization. European
Smart Metering Industry Group (ESMG) and HomePNA Alliance are couple of examples.
The problem of standardization is mostly coming from the device manufacturers, as each of them
may use their own technology for data collection and one-size-fits-all kind of a standard is hard
to come up with.
But we have reached the point where we urgently need for the basic level of standardization
acceptable to all parties. However there is no blueprint for this as of now. We can surely expect
some consolidation on this front and undoubtedly, the acceptance of industry specific standards
will gain momentum in couple of years.
Security
Most of the platforms used for M2M applications are proprietary, which involves very less
coding, and makes hacking a difficult task. Besides, use of VPNs and lack of too much memory
used makes the solutions security robust, and lots of effort will be required to inflict even small
damage on such systems. Security still remains an area of concern for M2M solutions though. If
we talk about the B2C scenario, smartphone market has picked up rapidly in India (right now
they comprise of 8-10% of total mobile phone shipments5) and they will drive the M2M growth
in future. They have an open OS, thus making them vulnerable to viruses and worms. In 3-4
years from now, when M2M solutions and data generated from it will become an integral
component of corporate MIS, security will surely assume much more importance. We believe
that the evolving roles of different players in the M2M eco-system will change the focus point of
M2M solutions.
Besides, M2M deployments do not have the valuable input of traditional communications
networks, in which human subscribers quickly alert the carrier to suspicious activity.
Also, some of the M2M devices will be placed at remote location, and will not be easily
accessible. This will make the investigation cost much higher. Besides, security assumes even
more importance if we consider the fact that M2M will involve utility and healthcare
5 IDC Report, Q4 2013
connections, which involve critical information which can present a serious threat to our daily
lives.
Data Collection & Storage
When we come up with smart homes, the data coming via sensors from different appliances will
be needed to be stored at one central location. We don’t have a fixed format and structure of data
collection right now, which could be a bottleneck in long run. Later, real-time invigilation will
come into picture which will require transmission of audio and video files and images too, and
proper data collection format will assume even more importance.
As far as storage is concerned, the marriage of M2M & Cloud-computing is unavoidable
according to us. The reason is easy to see: M2M solution will mostly end up having a central
storage. That is where cloud-based solutions will score over all other options like on-premise
storage as it is always accessible, cost efficient as well as scalable. The only issue with cloud
based solutions, as has been discussed over the years, is the security concern. But still, the
benefits offered by cloud to M2M solutions far overshadow the disadvantages.
Analytics & BI
Data coming out of M2M solutions will be huge, and many solutions will need real-time action
based on the data achieved. Thus, we can’t keep the BI and Analytics aspects out of the picture.
In fact, it will throw new and never seen before challenges as well as opportunities for the
analytics industry, and new solutions will come up, with different sets of Key Performance
Indicators (KPIs) for each industry or sector. For example, for security systems, frames captured
per hour in a live video stream feeding may be the KPI, while for power management system, it
may be the estimated energy savings.
Thus analytics software market needs to be in a very strong position, which might not be the case
in India as of now.
Growth drivers and challenges in India:
Apart from the above mentioned challenges, some of the significant hurdles to the growth of
M2M in India are:
Limited knowledge and experience of M2M among end users and customers , Very high/
Prohibitive cost aspects for deployment , high dependence on 3G/4G , congestion of mobile
networks, and the potential risk of failure.
Despite these challenges, M2M holds tremendous potential for India. A good segment to look at
is rural India. As explored by Reliance communication, in rural India, M2M can lead to better
utilization of scarce resources like water & energy, and provide well planned healthcare and
education services to rural population through remotely managed applications.
Some services have already been launched, such as SMS to provide weather updates and
wholesale crop prices to farmers. Such solutions will provide rural masses with more
personalized real-time information and help them take better decisions.
Projects such as Aadhaar will give further impetus. Coupled with M2M, the national
identification number can be used to improve both transparency as well as utilization of financial
benefits being provided to the rural masses.
One M2M application that have gained popularity in rural India are Nano Ganesh, which lets
farmers use phones to monitor and switch on irrigation pumps in remote locations. It works in
conjunction with Tata Teleservices phones.
There are many other apps like SmartMoo and Silent Observer. Stellapps Technologies built the
SmartMoo automated cow-milking app with the aim to reduce wastage.
While the prospects for such systems are good, they need proper support and backing up by the
government. Energy sector is a good example where M2M modules are used to capture readings
from energy meters. The Indian government is mandating the deployment of digitized energy
meters to minimize power loss and theft, and this is expected to create high demand for M2M
modules in the country.
The government is taking initiatives on its part, eg. The establishment of research institutes such
as the Centre of Excellence in Wireless Technology. This is a public-private initiative established
by the government's Department of Information Technology in partnership with the Indian
telecom industry. But more needs to be done in terms of supporting new M2M initiatives by
private players.
The bigger boost to the industry could be the government launching a few M2M initiatives and
showcase their success. This will automatically lead to more private sector participation and
involvement.
We believe that in India, government regulations, decline in hardware cost, need for new
business models and innovation, improvement in GPRS and 3G connectivity and the price-
performance trade-off will drive the M2M market in years to come. Government will have a
major role to play, as is already evident in initiatives like Bangalore Electricity Supply Company
Limited (BESCOM) metering initiatives, Aadhar, Microfinance & financial inclusion programs,
R-APDRP (Restructured-Accelerated Power Development and Reform Program), etc. Besides,
the need for process control will drive growth in retail sector for product tracking, logistics
management, in transportation sector for traffic management (video & surveillance) & for fleet
management.
Besides, the IPv6 standardization will open up new avenues in terms of allowing countless
number of devices to be seamlessly addressed. Global players like Vodafone and Telefonica are
already focusing on it as a big opportunity.
So, in a nutshell:
Given the current state of telecom industry in India, the transition to data era is inevitable. In
years to follow, traffic will come from “Things” more than from “Human”. Assuming that the
data services will be steadily available in sufficient amount, and the vertical applications take off,
India will become a huge market for M2M devices, aptly aided by government initiatives. While
initially the demand will be driven by B2B customers; process improvement, power distribution
& transmission losses, the need for tracking of goods movement, healthcare applications,
surveillance needs and POS based applications will drive the growth of M2M communication in
future. The stakes are huge, the value chain is extremely complex and disjointed, and the
industries are all geared up to embrace the concept and explore the huge opportunities. But the
telecom operators need to take a more pro-active approach toward M2M, as it holds the potential
to increase ARPUs and reduce the subscriber churn. The government, telcos, as well as solution
providers and consultants in the M2M space need to come together.
References:
Following references have been used to prepare this document:
Reports & Publications:
MACHINE TO MACHINE, The Technology of the Future Report (March 2013). WIPRO
Technologies.
M2M communication in India: The future is here (June 2012). CDAC.
M2M communication and Indian market needs (September 2011). NEC Corporation.
M2M Technology: Challenges and Opportunities (2011). Tech Mahindra.
More than 50 billion connected devices (2011). Ericsson.
Technology Review and Trends in M2M Communication (February 2012). TCS.
Websites:
Cerebral business website, http://www.cerebralbusiness.com/m2m/ (November 2012)
GlobalTelecomBusinesswebsite,
http://www.globaltelecomsbusiness.com/Article/2702078/Regions/25187/Industry-excited-
about-M2M-potential.html (October 2012)
Indiatechonline website, http://indiatechonline.com/indian-mobile-m2m-market-study-
712.php (November 2012)
Information week website, http://www.informationweek.com/big-data/news/software-
platforms/m2m-big-data-opportunity-for-mobile-operators/240007095 (November, 2012)
M2M communications website, http://www.m2mcomm.com/about/what-is-m2m/index.html
(October, 2012)
Telecom lead website, http://telecomlead.com/contributed/machine-2-machine-m2m-
opportunities-in-indian-telecom-market/ (October 2012)
Telematics update website, http://analysis.telematicsupdate.com/ (October 2012)
Teliasonera website, http://www.teliasonera.com/en/newsroom/news/2012/m2m_mainstory/
(October 2012)