Transcript
Page 1: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

KANSAS U.S. SENATE

&

KANSAS GOVERNOR

BRUSHFIRE

2014 GENERAL ELECTION SURVEY

Survey conducted September 23, 2014. 625 likely General Election voters participated in the survey.

Survey weighted to match average demographics of the past four General Elections. Margin of Error is

+/-3.91% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding.

Page 2: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: The candidates for Kansas Governor are Republican Sam Brownback, Democrat Paul Davis and

Libertarian Keen Umbehr. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Figure 1. Total sample; base n = 625

Sam Brownback44%

Paul Davis46%

Keen Umbehr5%

Undecided5%

Sam Brownback Paul Davis Keen Umbehr Undecided

Page 3: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: The candidates for United States Senate are Republican Pat Roberts, Independent Greg Orman and

Libertarian Randall Batson. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

Figure 2. Total sample; base n = 625

Pat Roberts42%

Greg Orman50%

Randall Batson3%

Undecided5%

Pat Roberts Greg Orman Randall Batson Undecided

Page 4: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: What is your opinion of Sam Brownback?

Figure 3. Total sample; base n = 625

Favorable36%

Unfavorable51%

No Opinion13%

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion

Page 5: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: What is your opinion of Paul Davis?

Figure 4. Total sample; base n = 625

Favorable38%

Unfavorable30%

No Opinion32%

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion

Page 6: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: What is your opinion of Pat Roberts?

Figure 5. Total sample; base n = 625

Favorable34%

Unfavorable49%

No Opinion17%

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion

Page 7: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: What is your opinion of Greg Orman?

Figure 6. Total sample; base n = 625

Favorable42%

Unfavorable28%

No Opinion30%

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion

Page 8: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: Which political party would you prefer have control of the United States Senate?

Figure 7. Total sample; base n = 625

55%

33%

12%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Republican Control Democrat Control No Preference

%

Page 9: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

Q: In your opinion, which political party do you believe Greg Orman’s views most reflect?

Figure 8. Total sample; base n = 625

5%

37%

58%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

He's a Republican He's a Democrat He's an Independent

%

Page 10: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

GOVERNOR BALLOT CROSSTABS

Governor Ballot by DMA

Column % Joplin-Pittsburg, MO-

KS Kansas City, MO-

KS Topeka,

KS Wichita,

KS

Sam Brownback 64% 45% 40% 42%

Paul Davis 32% 47% 54% 46%

Keen Umbehr 0% 5% 4% 5%

Undecided 5% 4% 2% 6%

Governor Ballot by PARTY

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan

Sam Brownback 67% 5% 21%

Paul Davis 21% 91% 64%

Keen Umbehr 5% 2% 8%

Undecided 6% 3% 6%

Governor Ballot by GENDER

Column % Female Male

Sam Brownback 44% 43%

Paul Davis 45% 48%

Keen Umbehr 5% 4%

Undecided 6% 4%

Governor Ballot by AGE

Column % 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-69 70+

Sam Brownback 50% 36% 44% 40% 52%

Paul Davis 46% 41% 51% 49% 40%

Keen Umbehr 4% 14% 3% 5% 3%

Undecided 0% 9% 3% 6% 5%

Page 11: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

U.S. SENATE BALLOT CROSSTABS

SENATE BALLOT by DMA

Column % Joplin-Pittsburg, MO-

KS Kansas City, MO-

KS Topeka,

KS Wichita,

KS

Pat Roberts 62% 38% 39% 43%

Greg Orman 31% 55% 58% 48%

Randall Batson 5% 2% 2% 5%

Undecided 2% 5% 1% 5%

SENATE BALLOT by PARTY

Column % Republican Democrat Non-Partisan

Pat Roberts 63% 5% 23%

Greg Orman 29% 89% 66%

Randall Batson 2% 2% 7%

Undecided 6% 4% 4%

SENATE BALLOT by GENDER

Column % Female Male

Pat Roberts 44% 39%

Greg Orman 48% 53%

Randall Batson 3% 3%

Undecided 5% 5%

SENATE BALLOT by AGE

Column % 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-69 70+

Pat Roberts 46% 32% 35% 38% 53%

Greg Orman 38% 52% 55% 54% 42%

Randall Batson 7% 7% 3% 3% 2%

Undecided 9% 9% 7% 4% 4%

Page 12: KS-Sen, KS-Gov Remington Research (Sept. 2014)

SENATE CONTROL PREFERENCE CROSSTABS

SENATE BALLOT by Senate Control

Column % Republican Control Democrat Control No Preference

Pat Roberts 72% 3% 11%

Greg Orman 19% 93% 75%

Randall Batson 3% 1% 8%

Undecided 6% 3% 6%

Roberts Opinion by Senate Control

Column % Republican Control Democrat Control No Preference

Favorable 56% 4% 10%

Unfavorable 24% 84% 66%

No Opinion 19% 12% 24%

Orman Opinion by Senate Control

Column % Republican Control Democrat Control No Preference

Favorable 16% 78% 62%

Unfavorable 47% 4% 10%

No Opinion 37% 19% 28%

Orman Ideology by Senate Control

Column % Republican Control Democrat Control No Preference

He's a Republican 5% 4% 6%

He's a Democrat 54% 18% 11%

He's an Independent 41% 78% 83%


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