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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK)
KeyBanc Capital Markets Industrial, Automotive & Transportation ConferenceMay 28, 2015
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Forward-Looking Statements
2May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. When used in this press release, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergencymarkets, which are particularly impacted by the strength of U.S. and European economies; the strength of the U.S. dollar and its impact on Company exports, translation of foreign sales and purchased materials; the expected level and timing of DoD and international defense customer procurement of products and services and funding thereof; risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertain DoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy, including the Company’s ability to successfully manage the cost reductions required as a result of lower customer orders in the defense segment; the Company’s ability to win a U.S. Joint Light Tactical Vehicle production contract award and international defense contract awards; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilities expansion, consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’s intangible assets and/or a slower recovery in the Company’s cyclical businesses than Company or equity market expectations; projected adoption rates of work at height machinery in emerging markets; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks related to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; the impact of severe weather or natural disasters that may affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; cyber security risks and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to a data security breach; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 8-K filed April 28, 2015. All forward-looking statements speak only as of April 28, 2015. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update such information until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation
Leading provider of specialty vehicles– Moving the World at Work
Nearly 100 years in business; incorporated in 1917
Serial innovator of game changing new products
Market Capitalization(1): $4.2 billion
FY14 Revenue: $6.8 billion
Focused on delivering value to customers and shareholders
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(1) As of May 26, 2015
Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Oshkosh Corporation Profile – FY14
Source: Oshkosh Corporation 2014 Annual Report
4Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation May 28, 2015
51%
25%
11%
13%
Revenue by Segment
Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial
77%
5%10%
8%
Revenue by Geography
United States Other NA EAME Rest of World
Non-Defense Segment Revenues and Operating Income Both Grew in FY14
─ Expected to Repeat Again in FY15
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Confidence in FY15– Targeting to nearly double EPS from FY12 to FY15– Strong customer sentiment
Positive Outlook Beyond FY15– Additional market recovery opportunities in
non-defense segments– Significant upside opportunities in defense– MOVE to deliver margin expansion and growth
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A Positive Outlook for OSK
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Basis for Positive Outlook
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
FY15 MOVE ScorecardFY15 Adjusted EPS Target Range
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FY15 TargetInitiative
EPS ~ Double EPS by FY15 (1) EPS of $4.00 - $4.50
…Bottom Line Results for Shareholders
FY15 Estimate
$4.00 - $4.25*
(1) Compared with FY12 expectations as of September 2012 Analyst Day.(2) Net of investment costs and compared with consolidated FY11 operating income margins.
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Solid Q2 FY15 Results Q2 adjusted EPS* of $0.81- In line with expectations- Significant defense sales decline- Foreign exchange and weather
headwinds- Double digit sales and operating
income growth in all non-defense segments
Positive rental company sentiment- Little oil & gas slowdown impact
Refinanced $250 million senior notes due 2020 Reduced interest rate by > 300
bps Targeting FY15 adjusted EPS*
estimate range of $4.00 to $4.25
Net Sales(billions)
Adjusted EPS*
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$1.6 $1.7
$0.81 $0.80
$0.00
$0.25
$0.50
$0.75
$1.00
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.8
FY15 FY14Net Sales Adjusted EPS*
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
OSK Fiscal Q2 Performance
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Access Equipment –The Market Leader
MOVE delivered in FY14– Exciting new products– Strong incremental margins– Record revenues, operating
income and operating income margin
Expect continued growth in FY15– Moderate growth in North America
and Europe– Mixed outlook in other regions Strong new product launches
during the year
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Reaching Out – Rising to Every Challenge
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Slow U.S. Construction Recovery is Continuing
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Source: U.S. Census Bureau, May 19, 2015 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, May 1, 2015
U.S. Housing Starts - Current Annual Forecasts (millions)
Date 2014 2015 2016Global Insight Feb-15 1.00 1.18 1.33Moody's - Slower Recovery Apr-15 1.00 1.20 1.58Portland Cement Association Apr-15 1.00 1.18 1.34Average Analyst Estimate 1.00 1.19 1.42
U.S. Nonresidential Construction (yr/yr Growth) - Current Analyst EstimatesDate 2014 2015 2016
Portland Cement Association Apr-15 8.2% 8.8% 8.3%FMI Source Mar-15 6.0% 8.0% 7.0%Global Insight Mar-15 2.8% 2.2% 3.6%Moody's – Slower Recovery Apr-15 6.9% 7.7% 4.6%Construction Market Data Mar-15 3.9% 8.2% 8.6%McGraw-Hill Mar-15 13.5% 10.9% 13.0%Average Analyst Estimate 6.9% 7.6% 7.5%
Thousands $ MillionsU.S. Non-Residential SpendingHousing Starts
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450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
Jan‐2010
Jul‐2
010
Jan‐2011
Jul‐2
011
Jan‐2012
Jul‐2
012
Jan‐2013
Jul‐2
013
Jan‐2014
Jul‐2
014
Jan‐2015
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
Jan‐2010
Jul‐2
010
Jan‐2011
Jul‐2
011
Jan‐2012
Jul‐2
012
Jan‐2013
Jul‐2
013
Jan‐2014
Jul‐2
014
Jan‐2015
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Operating Income Margin Expansion Remains a Priority
Expect biggest impact from optimize cost and value innovation initiatives still to come
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10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
FY14 FY15E Target
(Ope
ratin
g In
com
e M
argi
n %
)
16%
17%
~ 15% 14.3%
ACCESS EQUIPMENT
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Defense –Reduced Cost Structure with Upside Opportunities
Believe FY15 will be trough year for both revenues and operating income
Submitted proposal for JLTV program in February– Expect decision on winning bidder
between July and September 2015 Canada MSVS program award
decision expected by June 2015
Continuing pursuit of sales of thousands of M-ATVs– International– Reset opportunities in U.S.
Generally favorable FY16 budget funding requests for our programs
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Mission Proven – World-Class Performance
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Fire & Emergency –Operational Improvements Leading to Bright Future
Continuing to execute operational efficiency roadmap− More work to be done
Positive response to recent new product launches– Enforcer and Saber chassis– Revolutionary Ascendant™ two
axle aerial ladder vehicle
Modest market growth expectedin North America in FY15– Recently announced 3% price
increase Additional international success− ARFF orders in Asia, Australia
and Latin America
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Recently Launched New Products Driving Customer Interest
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Operating Income Margin Expansion Remains a Priority
Margin expansion behind schedule, but improvement roadmap is solid
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0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
FY14 FY15E Target
(Ope
ratin
g In
com
e M
argi
n %
)
10%+
~ 4.25% 3.5%
FIRE & EMERGENCY
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Commercial –Progress Continues
Solid North American concrete mixer market recovery over last several years
− Driven by slowly improving housing market
− Strong U.S. dollar creating some drag for multinational concrete mixer customers
RCV market expected to grow in FY15
– Grew modestly in FY14
Split-bin and automated RCV models generating incremental demand
MOVE investments continue
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North American Market Leader Split Body Rear Loaders
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Operating Income Margin Expansion Remains a Priority
Optimize cost initiatives continue Absorption benefits accelerate in market recovery
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0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
FY14 FY15E Target
(Ope
ratin
g In
com
e M
argi
n %
)
10%+
~ 6.5% 6.2%
COMMERCIAL
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Driving to FY15 MOVE Targets and Beyond
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
What to Expect from Oshkosh in FY15?
Deliver MOVE strategy– FY15 adjusted EPS* estimate
range of $4.00 - $4.25– Margin improvement in all non-
defense segments– Launch game changing new
products– Compete vigorously for business
around the world
Target defense contract awards
Maintain strong customer focus
Increase industry leading quality to higher level
Drive shareholder value
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* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
Expectations for FY15*
Additional expectations Corporate expenses of $140 - $145 million Tax rate of ~32% CapEx of ~$150 million Free cash flow** ~$200 million Assumes share count of ~79.5 million
Segment information
Revenues of $6.5 billion to $6.6 billion Adjusted operating income** of $510 million to $540 million Adjusted EPS** of $4.00 to $4.25
* As of April 28, 2015** Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
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Q3 Commentary Expect seasonally highest EPS; above prior year Defense segment results similar to Q2 Higher non-defense segment sales and operating
income compared to prior year Q3
Measure Access Equipment Defense Fire &
Emergency Commercial
Sales(billions) $3.7 - $3.8 ~$1.0 ~$0.80 ~$1.0
Operating Income Margin ~15.0% Slightly above
break even ~4.25% ~6.5%
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
And Beyond FY15? Continued improvement
Execute effectively to deliver positive near-term outlook
Continue operating income margin expansion – Target 16 – 17% at Access Equipment– Initially target 10% at other segments
Prudent capital allocation– Target annual dividend increases– Begin building cash; deploy with
crocodile patience Sustain talent and process
improvement to outperform with Oshkosh Operating System
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7.0% 7.5% ~ 8.0%
10.0%+
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
2013 2014 2015E Target
OSK Consolidated Adjusted Operating Income Margin *
* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
For informationcontact:
Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
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Jeffrey D. WattDirector, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]
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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
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Appendix: Commonly Used AcronymsARFF Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting MECV Modernized Expanded Capability VehicleAWP Aerial Work Platform MRAP Mine Resistant Ambush ProtectedCapEx Capital Expenditures MSVS Medium Support Vehicle System (Canada)CNG Compressed Natural Gas NOL Net Operating LossDGE Diesel Gallon Equivalent NPD New Product DevelopmentDoD Department of Defense NRC National Rental CompanyEAME Europe, Africa & Middle East OH OverheadEMD Engineering & Manufacturing Development OI Operating IncomeEPS Diluted Earnings Per Share OOS Oshkosh Operating SystemFHTV Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles OPEB Other Post-Employment BenefitsFMS Foreign Military Sales PLS Palletized Load SystemFMTV Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles PUC Pierce Ultimate ConfigurationGAAP U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles R&D Research & DevelopmentHEMTT Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck RCV Refuse Collection VehicleHET Heavy Equipment Transporter RFP Request for ProposalHMMWV High Mobility Multi-Purpose Wheeled Vehicle ROW Rest of WorldIRC Independent Rental Company SMP Standard Military Pattern (Canadian MSVS)IT Information Technology TACOM Tank-automotive and Armaments CommandJLTV Joint Light Tactical Vehicle TDP Technical Data PackageJPO Joint Program Office TPV Tactical Protector VehicleJROC Joint Requirements Oversight Council TWV Tactical Wheeled VehicleJUONS Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement UCA Undefinitized Contract ActionL-ATV Light Combat Tactical All-Terrain Vehicle UIK Underbody Improvement Kit (for M-ATV)LVSR Logistic Vehicle System Replacement UK United KingdomM-ATV MRAP All-Terrain Vehicle ZR Zero Radius
May 28, 2015Oshkosh Corporation Investor Presentation
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
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Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures:
2015 2014
Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 0.81$ 0.80$ Reduction of valuation allowance on net operating loss carryforward - 0.14 Pension and OPEB curtailment, net of tax - (0.03) Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.12) (0.08) Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP) 0.69$ 0.83$
Three Months EndedMarch 31,
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
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Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures:
2013 2014 2015E
Consolidated operating income margins (non-GAAP) 7.0% 7.5% 8.0%Union contract ratification costs -0.1% - - Pension curtailment and settlement loss - -0.1% - OPEB curtailment gain - 0.2% - Tender offer and proxy contest costs -0.2% - - Impairment charge -0.1% - - Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs - -0.2% - Consolidated operating income margins (GAAP) 6.6% 7.4% 8.0%
Fiscal Year EndedSeptember 30,
MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK
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Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation
• The table below presents a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):
Low High
Adjusted operating income (non-GAAP) 510.0$ 540.0$ OPEB curtailment gain 3.4 3.4 Operating income (GAAP) 513.4$ 543.4$
Adjusted earnings per share - diluted (non-GAAP) 4.00$ 4.25$ OPEB curtailment gain, net of tax 0.03 0.03 Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.12) (0.12) Earnings per share - diluted (GAAP) 3.91$ 4.16$
Fiscal 2015Expectations
Net cash flows provided by operating activities 359.0$ Additions to property, plant and equipment (150.0) Net additions to equipment held for rental (9.0) Free cash flow 200.0$
Fiscal 2015 Expectations