Download - Introduction to FIO modeling activities
![Page 1: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Model activities at FIO: The essential mixing effects of the non-breaking surface wave on general
circulation and climate models
Fangli Qiao First Institute of Oceanography, SOA, China
May 22, 2015 Qingdao
![Page 2: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Outline
1. Surface wave in ocean models 2. Surface wave in climate models 3. FIO-ESM with surface waves 4. Summary
![Page 3: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
1. Surface wave in ocean models
![Page 4: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Motivation Two of the common problems nearly all models faced: (1) OGCMs: Simulated SST is overheating in summertime, and mixed layer depth is too shallow while the thermocline is too weak (Martin 1985, Kantha 1994, Ezer 2000, Mellor 2003).
(2) Climate Models: Tropical bias for all CGCMs, such as too cold tongue, wrong Atlantic SST gradient
Is the surface wave a low-lying fruit?
![Page 5: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Some related work: 1. Phillips, O. M. , 1961: “Although the use of potential theory has been very successful in describing certain aspects of the dynamics of gravity waves, it is known that in a real fluid the motion can not be truly irrotational”. And Phillips (1974): Wave is proved to be too feeble for any dynamic consequence
2. Wave enhanced turbulence (Craig & Banner,1994; Terray, E.A. et al, 1996; Le Ngoc LY 2000; Burchard &Karsten, 2001; Mellor & Blumberg, 2004): Wave-breaking
3. Wave-current interaction (Xie et al 2002, 2003): 2-D
4. Mellor et al, 2003JPO, and 2008 J. Atmos. Ocean. Technol [wave breaking]
While these studies (wave-breaking) have shown some improvements in simulation, the surface wave effects are mostly limited to the top few meters, and too weak
![Page 6: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Some related work: 5. In 2004, we proposed wave-induced vertical mixing, Bv, as
the function of wave number spectrum.
6. In 2005 and 2006 (GRL), Alex Babanin: There is accumulating evidence that in absence of wave breaking, and even wind stress, turbulence still persists through the water column and not only the boundary layers.
7. The non-breaking wave-induced mixing was measured in Lab (Babanin et al, 2009, JPO; Dai et al, 2010, JPO; Savalyev et al, 2012, JGR) and in the ocean (Huang et al, 2010, 2012).
8. We have done interesting numerical experiments to close the shear-related mixing, ocean circulation model can work quite well (Qiao et al, 2012, JGR).
![Page 7: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Separate the fluctuation velocity into wave-related and current-related parts:
Reynolds stress
Reynolds stressWave Effects
Wave-induced stress
Separate the velocity field into averaged and fluctuation components
![Page 8: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Wave-induced Circulation-related
![Page 9: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
E(K) is the wave number spectrum which can be calculated from a wave numerical model. It will change with (x, y, t), so Bv is the function of (x, y, z, t). Qiao et al, GRL, 2004; OD, 2010
If we regard surface wave as a monochromatic wave,
Bv is wave motion related vertical mixing instead of wave breaking.
Stokes Drift
Although the horizontal scale of surface wave, 100m, is much smaller than that of circulation, however, the wave-induced vertical velocity in the upper ocean could be stronger than vertical current turbulence velocity.
![Page 10: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Laboratory experiments:
Wave tank: 5m in length with height of 0.4m and width of 0.2m. To generate temperature gradient through bottom cooling of refrigeration tubes, and temperature sensors are self-recorded with sampling frequency of 1Hz.
Bottom of wave tank
Top of wave tank
Refrigeration tube
Temperature sensor
(1) Temperature evolution in natural condition
(2) Temperature evolution with wave
Dai and Qiao et al, JPO, 2010
![Page 11: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Experiment results without and with waves
Evolution of water temperature without waves. (a) Observation; (b) simulation.
kz=k0+Bv
![Page 12: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Simulation results with waves
Evolution of water temperature with waves. Left: observation; right: simulation; (a,b) 1.0cm, 30cm; (c,d) 1.0cm, 52cm;
![Page 13: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
10−1010−910−810−710−65040302010S1Depth (m)S210−1010−910−810−710−6S3S410−1010−910−810−710−65040302010S5Depth (m)S6S7S810−1010−910−810−710−65040302010S9Depth (m)ε (m2 s−3)S1010−1010−910−810−710−6S11ε (m2 s−3)S12
Observation evidences
Vertical profiles of the measured dissipation rates εm (dots), and those predicted by wave εwave (black lines) and the law of the wall εwall (pink lines) at Station S1~S12 (in m2 s−3). Observation is conducted in SCS during October 29 to November 10, 2010. Huang and Qiao et al, 2012, JGR
![Page 14: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
The simulation deviation for Papa Station in 2007
KPP+Bv
KPP
1-D numerical models
![Page 15: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
We apply Bv into:
Bohai Sea
Yellow Sea
East China Sea
And
South China Sea
Xia et al, JGR,2006
3-D coastal circulation model (Special Issue on JGR, 2006 at http://www.agu.org/journals/ ss/CHINASEAS1/ )
![Page 16: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Observation in summer
Lin et al, 2006 JGR
POM
POM+Bv
3-D coastal models
![Page 17: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Along 35N transect in Aug.
World Ocean Atlas
With wave-induce mixing
Without wave effects
Pacific Atlantic Indian Pacific Atlantic
Along 35S transect in Feb.
35N
35S
3-D global ocean circulation models
![Page 18: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Along 35N transect in Aug.
World Ocean Atlas
With wave-induce mixing
Pacific Atlantic Indian Pacific Atlantic
Along 35S transect in Feb.
Vertical Temperature Distributions
Without wave-induce mixing
![Page 19: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
2. Surface wave in climate models
In tropical area, Bv has no much improvements for the ocean circulation model compared with mid- and high latitudes. For full coupled climate model, it is a different story because of the feedback and nonlinearity.
(1) FGCM0, LASG
(2) CCSM3, NCAR
![Page 20: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
01020304050607017.017.518.018.5yearGlobal Annual mean SST (oC) Exp. NExp. Wobs
Time evolutions of global mean SSTs simulated in Exp. N (blue line for without Bv) and Exp. W (pink line for with Bv), and that
from the WOA01 climatology (black line). Huang et al, AOS, 2008
FGCM0
![Page 21: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Data
With BvNo Bv
Bv effect
Water vapor transport in Australian-Asian Monsoon area
Song and Qiao et al, 2012, JAS
![Page 22: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Tropical bias – too cold tongue (CCSM3)
CCSM3+Waves
CCSM3: 251-300a
WOA
The isotherm of 27℃
![Page 23: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
50a averaged SST (251-300a).
Up: Exp1-Levitus, Down: Exp2-Exp1
Exp1: CCSM3 without Bv
Exp2: with Bv
![Page 24: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
3. FIO-ESM with surface wave
![Page 25: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Framework of FIO-ESM version1.0
Land carbon CASA’
Atmosphere CO2 transport
Ocean carbon OCMIP-2
Wave-induced mixing, Qiao et al., 2004
FIO-ESM for CMIP5
![Page 26: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Descriptions of the FIO-ESM
Physical models ! ATM: CAM3.0, T42L26 ! LND: CLM3, T42 ! OCN: POP2, 1.1o*0.3~0.5o, 40 vertical layers ! ICE: CICE4, 1.1o*0.3~0.5o ! WAV: MASNUM wave model, 2o*2o
! Wave-circulation coupling: based on the wave-inducing mixing
![Page 27: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Descrip(ons of the FIO-‐ESM v1.0
Carbon model ! Land Carbon model: CASA
! Ocean Carbon model: OCMIP-‐2(Doney, 2006)
! Atmosphere CO2: 3-‐D transport
![Page 28: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Prediction Short-term climate prediction
286/2/15
![Page 29: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Predicted spread of the leaked nuclear radiation in the atmosphere
29
![Page 30: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
Climate Simulation CMIP5 results
306/2/15
![Page 31: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
SST evolution in historical climate simulations. 36 Models are downloaded and compared with HadSST,
while other 4 models are not downloadable.
1870189019101930195019701990201016.51717.51818.51919.52020.5ACCESS1−0BCC−CSM1BNUCanESM2CCSM4CESM1−FASTCHEMCMCC−CMCMCC−CMSCNRM−CM5CSIRO−Mk3−6−0FGOALS−g2FGOALS−s2FIO−ESMGFDL−CM3GFDL−ESM2GGFDL−ESM2MGISS−E2−HGISS−E2−H−CCGISS−E2−RGISS−E2−R−CCHadCM3HadGEM2−AOHadGEM2−CCHadGEM2−ESINMCM4IPSL−CM5A−LRIPSL−CM5A−MRIPSL−CM5B−LRMIROC5MIROC−ESMMPI−ESM−LRMPI−ESM−MRMPI−ESM−PMRI−CGCM3NorESM1−MNorESM1−MEHadISSTMulti−Model MeanGlobal annual mean SST between 85 oS and 85 oN ( oC)YearSST
![Page 32: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
00.20.40.60.811.2Multi−Model MeanBNUGFDL−ESM2GHadCM3MPI−ESM−PINMCM4CSIRO−Mk3−6−0ACCESS1−0HadGEM2−AOCESM1−FASTCHEMCMCC−CMGISS−E2−R−CCIPSL−CM5A−MRCNRM−CM5GFDL−CM3GFDL−ESM2MHadGEM2−CCMPI−ESM−LRFGOALS−g2CMCC−CMSCCSM4IPSL−CM5B−LRBCC−CSM1MIROC−ESMGISS−E2−H−CCMIROC5HadGEM2−ESMPI−ESM−MRFGOALS−s2GISS−E2−RGISS−E2−HFIO−ESMFIO−ESMMRI−CGCM3NorESM1−MCanESM2NorESM1−MEIPSL−CM5A−LR|SSTA| (oC)Model
The absolute mean error of the global mean SST for the period of
1850-2005
![Page 33: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
RMS of simulated monthly mean Arctic ice (1979-2005)
![Page 34: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Projection Climate Change simulation
![Page 35: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
Scenarios: RCP85 RCP60 RCP45 RCP26
Historical run
3.8℃
Centurial Future Projections
![Page 36: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
RCP85 RCP60 RCP45 RCP26
Historical run
3.8℃
Centurial Future Projections
20002025205020752100121314151617181920YearSAT (°C)SATGlobal averaged (Bv)Global averaged (NoBv)NH averaged (Bv)NH averaged (NoBv)SH averaged (Bv)SH averaged (NoBv)
![Page 37: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
RCP85 RCP60 RCP45 RCP26
Historical run
3.8℃
Centurial Future Projections
20002025205020752100121314151617181920YearSAT (°C)SATGlobal averaged (Bv)Global averaged (NoBv)NH averaged (Bv)NH averaged (NoBv)SH averaged (Bv)SH averaged (NoBv)
![Page 38: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
Qiao etal, 2013, JGR
The surface wave effect on the projected 20 years (2081-2100) averaged surface air temperature defined as the difference between FIO-ESM numerical results between with and without Bv for RCP2.6.
![Page 39: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Conclusions (1) The non-breaking surface wave-induced vertical mixing (Bv) plays a key role in improving climate models. Even excluding shear-induced mixing, POM can work quite good, which suggests that Bv plays much more important role than that of shear-induced mixing.
(2) FIO-ESM is developed with Bv. Model validations give us some confidence that surface wave should be important for climate system.
![Page 40: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Thanks for your attention
We hope to cooperate with and contribute to WCRP
![Page 41: Introduction to FIO modeling activities](https://reader031.vdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022020119/589ef1311a28ab034a8c2753/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100 2150 2200 2250 2300200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Year
ppm
HistoryRCP3DRCP45RCP6RCP85
CO2 Concentrate in different scenario