Download - Indiana’s Natural Gas R&D Needs
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Indiana’s Natural Gas R&D Needs
>Ron EdelsteinGas Technology InstituteGas Technology Institute
Indiana Utility Regulatory CommissionIndianapolis IndianaIndianapolis, IndianaAugust 2008
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Environmental Issue: Environmental Issue: Greenhouse Gases
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Projected Greenhouse Gas Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector and Fuel
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Lieberman Warner Bill –Lieberman Warner Bill S. 2191
C % f S G G> Covers 87% of the total U.S. GHG emissions reported by EIA (except for non-CO2 agricultural sources, emissions from coal mines and landfills, and HCFC’s), )
> Cap and trade system
> GHG caps drop from:> GHG caps drop from: – 5,775 MM tonnes in 2012 (7% reduction)– To 3,860 MM T in 2030 (39% reduction)– To 1,732 MMT in 2050 (76% reduction)
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Impact of S 2191 on Impact of S. 2191 on Electricity Generation
Ref: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/s2191/pdf/sroiaf(2008)01.pdf
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Energy Consumption by Fuel Energy Consumption by Fuel Type, Impact of S. 2191
Ref: http://www eia doe gov/oiaf/servicerpt/s2191/pdf/sroiaf(2008)01 pdfRef: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/s2191/pdf/sroiaf(2008)01.pdf
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Why Full Fuel Cycle Analysis is I t tImportant
> For every Btu of energy of coal in the mine, only y gy , y0.26–0.38 Btu of that energy gets delivered to the end-use customer through the electric grid.
> For every Btu of natural gas in the well, only 0.26–0.51 Btu of that energy gets delivered to the end-use customer through the electric gridthe end-use customer through the electric grid.
> For every Btu of natural gas in the well, 0.91 Btu is delivered to the end-use customer throughis delivered to the end use customer through the gas lines.
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Full Fuel Cycle CO2 Emissions
Full Fuel Cycle CO2 Emissions for Residential Heating
8.7
Full Fuel Cycle CO2 Emissions for Residential Heating
3.6 3.3 3.3 3.0
Electric Fully 9.0 HSPF Fully Fully Resistance
HeatingCondensing Oil
FurnaceElectric Heat
PumpCondensing
Propane Furnace
Condensing Gas Furnace
Note: Based on BACT, and heating output of 40 MMBtu/yr
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Natural Gas AppliancesThe most environmental and economical use of energy for space or water heating or for cooking is the direct useof natural gas in the home
Consumers need to be informed that natural gas appliances can provide protection from time of day electricity prices while giving them the most y p g genvironmental alternative to meeting the household and family needs.
When consumers with electric cooking, water and space heating appliances realize they should make a lifestyle change natural gas will be the way to gochange, natural gas will be the way to go.
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OpportunityOpportunity> Optimizing how the U.S. uses energy has the potential
to reduce CO2 emissions by 430 – 645 million metric tons per year
E ffi i i i f ll f l l l i> Energy efficiency gains, using full fuel cycle analysis, are about 4.3 quads per year
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Strategy> In the near term, aggressive deployment of high-
efficiency natural gas equipment in the nation’s homes, y g q p ,offices, and industries can achieve substantial CO2
savings
> In the midterm, additional GHG savings by reducing methane leakage from the nation’s natural gas production, transmission, and distribution systems
> In the long term, renewables-based gas can be fed into the pipelines to create a sustainable, zero-carbon option
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Three-Phase Strategy21% reduction in CO2 emissions
below 1990 levelsMilli f t i tNatural Gas CO2 Emissions Reduction Strategy
(MM metric tons CO2e)
below 1990 levelsMillions of metric tons
1,2001,4001,600
600800
1,000
Long Term StrategyMid Term Strategy
0200400
Mid Term StrategyNear Term StrategyNet CO2 Emissions
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
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Costs of Selected CO2Ab t t O tiAbatement Options
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Natural Gas Supply and PricesNatural Gas Supply and Prices
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U S Energy Production by U.S. Energy Production by Fuel Type
Ref: EIA 2008 Annual Energy Outlook (AEO)
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Natural Gas U S Production Natural Gas U.S. Production by Source
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Net U S Imports of Natural Net U.S. Imports of Natural Gas, by Source
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Indiana Natural Gas Prices
Indiana Gas Price History ($/Mcf)
12
14
8
10
12
4
6
8Residential
Commercial
Industrial
0
2
Ref: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_dcu_SIN_a.htm
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
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Energy Price Projections
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Natural Gas Price Sensitivity
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Natural Gas Price Natural Gas Price Projections, by Sector
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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End User Needs
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U S Energy Consumption by U.S. Energy Consumption by Fuel Type
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Natural Gas Consumption Natural Gas Consumption Projections, by Sector
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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CO2 Emissions Projections
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Residential Delivered Energy Residential Delivered Energy Consumption
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Impact of Advanced Technology – Residential Sector
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Impact of Efficiency Gains by Impact of Efficiency Gains by Appliance, Residential
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Impact of Efficiency Gains by Impact of Efficiency Gains, by Appliance, Commercial
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Commercial Sector Energy Commercial Sector Energy Consumption Projections
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Industrial Energy Demand Industrial Energy Demand Projections
Ref: EIA 2008 AEO
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Indiana Natural Gas Demand (Bcf/yr) has been Relatively Constant Power has been Relatively Constant, Power Gen Load is Negligible
500
600
300
400
Industrial
Commercial
100
200
Residential
Power Gen
0
100
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Ref: EIA
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Indiana Needs Advanced Technology to Continue Residential Consumer Gains!
120
140
160
80
100
120
20
40
60
01970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Ref: A.G.A. Gas Facts, 2006 DataNote: Uncorrected for weather
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Utilization Technology Utilization Technology Development (UTD)
> UTD is a stand alone not-for-profit LDC-controlled> UTD is a stand alone, not-for-profit, LDC-controlled organization
> UTD formed Spring 2004U o ed Sp g 00
> 8 member companies
> Focus on utilization of natural gas> Focus on utilization of natural gas- Safety- Efficiencyy- Emissions
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Utilization Technology Utilization Technology Development (UTD) Projects
Super Boiler Transport Membrane C d
Cummins DG/CHP SystemCondenser System
Di t FlResidential Gas Heat Pump
Residential Dehumidifier
Direct Flame Impingement
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Emerging Technology Sustaining Membership Program (SMP)
> Founded in 1985, the objective of SMP is to build a natural gas technology base for SMP companies and their customers
SMP i hi hl l d f d id t l> SMP is a highly leveraged program focused on mid- to long-term R&D – Gas operations – Increased-efficiency end use – Environmental science & forensic chemistry
> Focus is on “Proof of Concept” verification
> 24 members
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Sustaining Membership Sustaining Membership Program (SMP) Projects
Hybrid Optimized Tankless (HOT) WaterTankless (HOT) Water
HeaterNext Generation
Melter
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Distribution Operations
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Delivery Costs still Represent an Important Component of Natural Gas Winter Prices
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I di G M iIndiana Gas Mains
Bare Steel,
UnprotectCoated Steel
Indiana Gas Mains
Bare Steel, Unprotected
Unprotect-ed, 1,012
Steel, Unprotect-ed, 185
Cast Iron, 438
Bare Steel, Protected
Coated Steel, Unprotected
Coated Steel, Prot-
ected, 17,572
Plastic, 19,669
Coated Steel, Protected
Plastic
Total: 38 885miles
Cast Iron
Ref: AGA 2004 Gas Facts
Total: 38,885miles
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Operations Technology p gyDevelopment (OTD)> OTD is a stand alone, not-for-profit, LDC-controlledOTD is a stand alone, not for profit, LDC controlled
organization
> OTD formed Spring 2003
> 17 member companies
> Focus on operationsFocus on operations- Safety- Infrastructure integrity- O&M cost reduction
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Operations Technology Operations Technology Development (OTD) Projects
Remote Vehicle-Based Leak Survey Using
Lasers Handheld Plastic
Obstacle Detection for Horizontal Boring using Ground Penetrating RadarPipe Locator Ground Penetrating Radar
Ult i I tiNon-Interrupted Meter Change out Kit
50-Year Steel Pipe Coating Material
Ultrasonic Inspection of Plastic Pipe Joints
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GTI CustomersGTI Customers
> Natural Gas Utilities and their Customers
(through PUC approval)GTI leverages funding, capabilities
> U.S. Federal Government
– DOE, DOT, DOD
ities and programs between sponsors
> State Energy Agencies
> Municipalities
> Industrial Companies
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State Delta Recovery Mapy p(as of 2/21/08)
P iti G i D i i (01/07)
> Approved States = 22
Positive Generic Decision (01/07)
22
> Total Available Funding = g$23.8 MM
Company and Regulatory Approval
Filing in Progress
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Conclusion -- GTI’s R&D can:Conclusion GTI s R&D can:
> Reduce the demand for natural gas ffby providing increased-efficiency
equipment
> Reduce emissions through advanced> Reduce emissions through advanced burner technologies
> Enhance the integrity of the natural> Enhance the integrity of the natural gas system
> Enhance public and gas consumerEnhance public and gas consumer safety
> Reduce the costs of maintaining the gaging gas T&D infrastructure
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Developing Solutionsp g
D li i R ltDelivering Results