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Page 1: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

Last update:

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008), GTA, FAO

DG AGRI DASHBOARD: PIGMEAT 23.12.15P

rice

s

EU Prices week

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

Pro

du

ctio

nTr

ade

EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15)W

orl

d T

rad

e

Evolution since last week

128.85Average

(S-E-R) + 0.1%

Wo

rld

Pro

du

ctio

n

128.29Class S + 0.2%

126.04Class E + 0.0%

34.26Piglet + 3.3%€/head

€/1

00

kg

3 0

88

2 9

35

2 2

57

2 2

19

1 1

17

1 0

81

56

8

624

608

604

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

2013 2014

In 1

00

0 t

on

ne

s P

W

World Main Exporters(92% of Total Exports)

EU28 United States Canada Hong Kong+China Brazil

2013 = 8 5092014 = 8 442

2 2

36

2 3

39

1 0

18

1 1

05

820

865

731

464

432

488

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2013 2014

In 1

00

0 t

on

ne

s P

W

World Main Importers(74% of Total Imports)

Hong Kong + China Japan Mexico Russia United States

2013 = 7 1772014 = 7 158

DE5 50725% ES

3 62017%

FR1 944

9%PL

1 8388%

DK1 594

7%

IT1 328

6%

NL1 371

6%

BE1 118

5%

Others3 822

17%

EU Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes PW)

Year 2014Total = 22 287

(+1.3% ov er 2013)

8 MSs = 83% of total

production

Car

cass

Cla

sse

s

25

7 9

71

25

5 1

07

25

0 1

30

24

8 3

24

25

2 6

40

24

5 9

98

24

6 5

71

248 7

24

25

6 8

14

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

180 000

200 000

220 000

240 000

260 000

280 000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 f

In 1

00

0 h

ea

ds

EU pig slaughter by year(Forecasts based on GIP & Experts estimations)

Live

sto

ckSu

rve

y

China, mainland51 300

46%

European Union22 796

20%

United States of America10 555

10%Brazil3 330

3%

Viet Nam3 160

3%

Russian Federation

2 5592%

Canada1 998

2%

Others15 698

14%

World Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes PW)

7 countries = 86% of total

production

Year - 2013Total = 113 035

(+ 1.5% ov er

2012)

Evolution since last month

Evolution since last year

- 1.5%

- 3.7%

Spe

cial

Issu

es

2 3

69 2 7

13

3 2

46

3 1

87

3 2

18

3 0

34

2 5

15

2 6

46

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Oct 14 Jan-Oct 15

EU Exports evolution(In 1000 tonnes PW)

EU total exports

- 3.6%

+ 2.0%

- 6.9%

- 7.0%

- 6.2%

- 8.2%

Period:

2014 20152015 over

2014

EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2%

China 581 367 879 618 +++

Japan 307 974 268 737 - 12.7%

Hong Kong 342 751 230 780 - 32.7%

South Korea 173 183 193 646 + 11.8%

Philippines 174 997 153 919 - 12.0%

Ukraine 90 269 79 534 - 11.9%

Russia 64 604 11 531 ---

Other 779 764 828 629 + 6.3%

PIGMEAT (Tonnes PW)

January to October

51

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

Oc

t.

De

c.

Fe

b.

Ap

r.

Ju

ne

Aug

.

Oc

t.

De

c.

EUR = USD

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

Oct.

De

c.

Fe

b.

Ap

r.

Ju

ne

Au

g.

Oc

t.

De

c.

EUR = BRL

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

1.35

1.40

1.45

1.50

1.55

Oc

t.

De

c.

Fe

b.

Ap

r.

Ju

ne

Au

g.

Oc

t.

De

c.

EUR = CDN

5 5

76

5 4

28

5 2

54

5 7

41

5 5

72

5 3

03

5 4

35

5 8

32

5 8

48

5 5

54

5 5

09

5 8

67

5 9

22

5 6

18

5 5

67

5 8

67

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

Pigmeat Q1 Pigmeat Q2 Pigmeat Q3 Pigmeat Q4

In 1

00

0 t

on

ne

s P

W

EU pig slaughter by quarter(Forecasts based on GIP & Experts estimations)

2013 2014 2015f 2016f

S52%

E37%

R2%

Dispersion of pig carcasses on grades(EU average)

S E R

+ 02%

+ 01%

+ 03%

- 01% - 01%

- 03%

+ 01%

- 05%

- 04%

- 03%

- 02%

- 01%

+ 01%

+ 02%

+ 03%

+ 04%

+ 05%

Live

swine,domestic

species

Piglets,

less than20 kg

Pigs, from

20 kg toless than

50 kg

Breeding

sows

Covered

Sows

Sows

coveredfor the

first time

Fattening

pigs, from50 kg to

less than

80 kg

Change in pig populationMay-June 2014 compared to May-June 2015 Data from - BE-DK-DE-IE-FR-IT-HU-NL-AT-RO

90.0

110.0

130.0

150.0

170.0

190.0

210.0

230.0

| 2013 | 2014 | 2015

Weekly average Pigprices 2010 - 2015 in Euro/ 100kg carcaseEU - US - Brazil & Canada

EU US BR CAN

128.85 116.85113.06 108.96

120

135

150

165

180

Evolution of the EU pig carcase prices€/ 100kg

AVG (10 -14) 2014 2015

Latest price (Week 51) : 128.85 EUR/100 kg

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 51) : - 6.9%

30

35

40

45

50

Piglet prices€/head

2015/… 2014 2015

Latest price (Week 51) : 34.26 EUR/Head

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 51) : - 8.2%

Page 2: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Pri

ces

EU Prices week Evolution since last week

128.85Average

(S-E-R) + 0.1%

128.29Class S + 0.2%

126.04Class E + 0.0%

34.26Piglet + 3.3%€/head

€/1

00

kg

Evolution since last month

Evolution since last year

- 1.5%

- 3.7%

- 3.6%

+ 2.0%

- 6.9%

- 7.0%

- 6.2%

- 8.2%

51

Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 1249/2008)

Page 3: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 1249/2008)

120

135

150

165

180

Evolution of the EU pig carcase prices€/ 100kg

AVG (10 -14) 2014 2015

Latest price (Week 51) : 128.85 EUR/100 kg

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 51) : - 6.9%

Page 4: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : MSs (Weekly communications under Reg. 1249/2008)

30

35

40

45

50

Piglet prices€/head

2015/… 2014 2015

Latest price (Week 51) : 34.26 EUR/Head

Evolution compared same period last year (Week 51) : - 8.2%

Page 5: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source: EU = weighted average of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat. As from 1.1.2014 42% class E and 58%S. US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lb BR = average of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br) CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOB as from Dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca)

90.0

110.0

130.0

150.0

170.0

190.0

210.0

230.0

| 2013 | 2014 | 2015

Weekly average Pigprices 2010 - 2015 in Euro/ 100kg carcaseEU - US - Brazil & Canada

EU US BR CAN

128.85 116.85113.06 108.96

Page 6: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

1.15

1.20

1.25

1.30

Oct

.

Dec

.

Feb

.

Apr

.

June

Aug

.

Oct

.

Dec

.

EUR = USD

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

Oct

.

Dec

.

Feb

.

Apr

.

June

Aug

.

Oct

.

Dec

.

EUR = BRL

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

Oct

.

Dec

.

Feb

.

Apr

.

June

Aug

.

Oct

.

Dec

.

EUR = CDN

Source : ECB (European Central Bank)

Page 7: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat

+ 1.8%

+ 1.1%

+ 3.4%

- 0.6% - 0.7%

- 3.4%

+ 0.5%

- 4.5%

- 3.5%

- 2.5%

- 1.5%

- 0.5%

+ 0.5%

+ 1.5%

+ 2.5%

+ 3.5%

+ 4.5%

Live

swine,domestic

species

Piglets,

less than20 kg

Pigs, from

20 kg toless than

50 kg

Breeding

sows

Covered

Sows

Sows

coveredfor the

first time

Fattening

pigs, from50 kg to

less than

80 kg

Change in pig populationMay-June 2014 compared to May-June 2015 Data from - BE-DK-DE-IE-FR-IT-HU-NL-AT-RO

Page 8: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : MSs

S52%

E37%

R2%

Dispersion of pig carcasses on grades(EU average)

S E R

Page 9: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat

DE

5 50725% ES

3 62017%

FR1 944

9%PL

1 838

8%DK

1 5947%

IT

1 3286%

NL

1 3716%

BE

1 1185%

Others

3 82217%

EU Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes PW)

Year 2014Total = 22 287

(+1.3% ov er 2013)

Page 10: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat

257

971

255

107

250

130

248

324

252

640

245

998

246

571

248

724

256

814

100 000

120 000

140 000

160 000

180 000

200 000

220 000

240 000

260 000

280 000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 f

In 1

000

head

s

EU pig slaughter by year(Forecasts based on GIP & Experts estimations)

Page 11: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : FAO

China, mainland51 300

46%

European Union22 796

20%

United States of America10 555

10%Brazil3 330

3%

Viet Nam3 160

3%

Russian Federation

2 5592%

Canada1 998

2%

Others15 698

14%

World Main Producers of Pigmeat(In 1000 tonnes PW)

Page 12: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat

5 57

6

5 42

8

5 25

4

5 74

1

5 57

2

5 30

3

5 43

5

5 83

2

5 84

8

5 55

4

5 50

9

5 86

7

5 92

2

5 61

8

5 56

7

5 86

7

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

Pigmeat Q1 Pigmeat Q2 Pigmeat Q3 Pigmeat Q4

In 10

00 to

nnes

PW

EU pig slaughter by quarter(Forecasts based on GIP & Experts estimations)

2013 2014 2015f 2016f

Page 13: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat

2 36

9 2 71

3

3 24

6

3 18

7

3 21

8

3 03

4

2 51

5

2 64

6

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan-Oct 14 Jan-Oct 15

EU Exports evolution(In 1000 tonnes PW)

EU total exports

Page 14: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat

EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15)

Period:

2014 20152015 over

2014

EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2%

China 581 367 879 618 +++

Japan 307 974 268 737 - 12.7%

Hong Kong 342 751 230 780 - 32.7%

South Korea 173 183 193 646 + 11.8%

Philippines 174 997 153 919 - 12.0%

Ukraine 90 269 79 534 - 11.9%

Russia 64 604 11 531 ---

Other 779 764 828 629 + 6.3%

PIGMEAT (Tonnes PW)

January to October

Page 15: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat & GTA

3 08

8

2 93

5

2 25

7

2 21

9

1 11

7

1 08

1

568

624

608

604

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

2013 2014

In 1

000

tonn

es P

W

World Main Exporters(92% of Total Exports)

EU28 United States Canada Hong Kong+China Brazil

2013 = 8 5092014 = 8 442

Page 16: EU pig slaughter by year January to October€¦ · EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2014/15) Period: 2014 2015 2015 over 2014 EU-28 2 514 911 2 646 394 + 5.2% China 581 367 879

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Source : Eurostat & GTA

2 23

6

2 33

9

1 01

8

1 10

5

820

865

731

464

432 488

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

2013 2014

In 1

000

tonn

es P

W

World Main Importers(74% of Total Imports)

Hong Kong + China Japan Mexico Russia United States

2013 = 7 1772014 = 7 158


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