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DEVELOPMENTS MEANS ELECTRICITY AND PROJECTION OF GAS NEEDS FOR 2016 - 2020
2nd Small LNG Shipping and Distribution Forum
Bali, 16 – 18 September 2015
Conference Day Two
Riza Affiandi
Senior Manager Primary Energy Planning & Evaluation – PT PLN (Persero)
E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
PT PLN (Persero)
PT Indonesia
Comnets Plus
IT and
Telecommunications
PT PLN
Batubara
Coal Supplier for
PLN
PT Prima Layanan
Nasional Enjiniring
Engineering and
Construction
Services
PT PLN Tarakan
Regional Fully
Integrated Electric
Utility
PT PLN Batam
Regional Fully
Integrated Electric
Utility
PT Indonesia Power
Power Generation
and OM
100% Owned by Government of
Indonesia
PT PLN (Persero)
PT Haleyora
Power
Distribution
Maintenance
Ministry of State Owned
Enterprises (MSOE)
Ministry of Energy and
Mineral Resources (MEMR)
Ministry of Finance (MoF)
Ministry of the Environment
National Development
Planning Authority
(BAPPENAS)Oversight
Majapahit BV
Financial
Institution
PT Pembangkitan
Jawa Bali
Power Generation and
OM
PT Pelayaran
Bahtera Adhiguna
Shipping Activities
Note: Excludes Joint Ventures.
PT PLN
Geothermal
Geothermal Energy
Generation
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
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Electricity Crisis Condition Map during Dry Season 2014
E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
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Installed Capacity
• Serving more than 57.5 million customers (at June 2015)
• All Gas Fired Power Plant (87% owned by PLN), require minimum gas supply
1800 BBTU per day
COAL GAS OIL HYDRO GEOTHERMAL OTHERS TOTAL
IPP 5.29 1.15 0.09 0.63 0.77 0.03 7.95
RENTAL 0.16 0.85 3.18 - - 0.22 4.41
PLN 19.62 13.00 2.36 3.53 0.57 0.17 39.26
TOTAL 25.07 15.00 5.64 4.16 1.34 0.42 51.62
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
26.0
28.0
GW
INSTALLED CAPACITY PER DEC 2014
E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Fuel Mix and Production Costs 2014
20,8%
29,4%
47,8%
1,8% 0,2%
FUEL COSTS
52,6%
24,6%
11,7%
4,5%6,6%
FUEL MIX
COAL GAS FUEL OIL GEOTHERMAL HYDRO
57,9%17,4%
2,8%6,3%
6,0%2,1%
7,5%
66,8%
1,1%
3,7%
9,0%
7,0%
2,5%9,9%
OPERATIONAL COSTS
FUEL IPP RENT MAINTENANCE HR ADMIN DEPRECIATION
2013 2014
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
2009 – 2015 Fuel Mix (PLN & IPP)
43,1% 40,9%44,1%
50,6% 51,4% 52,6%57,0%
22,0%22,4%
20,8%
23,3% 24,0%24,6%
23,7%4,9%
5,6%5,2%
4,8% 4,4%4,5%
4,4%
7,3% 10,5% 6,8%
6,4%7,8%
6,6%
6,4%22,7% 20,6%23,1%
14,9% 12,3% 11,4%8,0%
0,3% 0,5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 RKAP 2015
BIOFUEL FUEL OIL HYDRO GEOTHERMAL GAS COAL
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Role of gas power in an electricity supply system
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Baseloader Load Follower Peaker
mm
scfd3. Gas fired PP will be operated
to meet intermediate/
follower or peaking demand
1. Hydro, Geothermal and Coal
PP to meet base load demand
2. Fuel oil will only be used to
run :
a) Peaking unit
b) must run unit
c) remote areaBase load (Coal/Geothermal/Hydro)
Fluctuative daily gas demand
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
70,4 GW Additional Power Plant (2015-2024)
Coal Hydro GeoT CCPP OCPP Others
MW
CFP : 42,0 GW Hydro : 9,3 GW
OCPP : 5,0 GW Geothermal : 4,8 GW
CCPP : 9,2 GW Others : 0,1 GW
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Role of primary energy for National Electricity
Coal62,9%
Gas16,4%
LNG9,4%
Fuel Oil1,8%
Import0,4%
Hydro5,0%
Geothermal4,2%
2019
Coal53,5%Gas
20,6%
LNG4,1%
Fuel Oil11,4%
Import0,3%
Hydro5,7%
Geothermal4,2%
2015
CoalHydroGeothermal
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Gas Balance for Indonesia Electricity Sector
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
TOTAL DEMAND 1.717 1.969 2.254 2.508 2.412 2.316 2.326 2.342 2.342 2.345
TOTAL SUPPLY 1.532 1.526 1.629 1.597 1.288 1.085 1.021 1.014 895 877
TOTAL CAPACITY (GW) 15,40 17,96 23,17 27,71 28,46 28,6 28,9 29,0 29,1 29,2
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
-
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
B B
T U
D
G W
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Problems of Gas Supply for Power Plants
• Shortage of gas sources.
Supply < Contracted < Demand
• Commitment of contract quantity in GSA is not achieved
Best Effort approach
Early termination due to gas reservoir depletion
• Lack of infrastructure
Gas sources located in remote area, whereas load centre is near city.
Limited : transmission/distribution pipeline, compression station
• Fluctuative daily load profile require high swing rate
Peak / off peak demand
Need linepack or gas storage
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Additional 13,4 GW New Gas Power Plant
PLN : 6,634 MW + 595 MW IPP : 6,233 MW
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Indonesia Domestic LNG Regas Facility
FSRU West Java operated by PT
Nusantara Regas. Deliver gas supply
to Muara Karang and Priok CCPPs
(4000 MW) around 27 cargos per year.
FSRU Lampung operated by PT
PGN, Tbk. Deliver gas supply to:
Muara Tawar CCPP (2000 MW) during
peak time (14 hours) up to 12 cargos
per year.
Arun Regas Facility operated by PT
Perta Arun Gas. Will deliver gas
supply to Arun Peaker GTPP and
Belawan CCPP (total 1500 MW), up to
12 cargos per year, and 5 cargos per
year to Fertilizer Industry in Aceh
Province.
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
2015 – 2025 LNG Demand
• 48 cargos for 2015 year has been secured
• 34 cargos has been secured for long term supply
• Need government support through domestic allocation from National LNG
productions
• MSA for any spot supply required
• LNG supply tender
DEMAND 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
1 Sumatera 10 13 13 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
2 Eastern Indonesia 1 2 9 11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11
3 Bali 1 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
4 Muara Karang - Tanjung Priok 27 27 27 29 30 36 36 36 36 36 36
5 Muara Tawar 11 15 15 15 17 21 21 21 21 21 21
Total Indonesia 50 62 69 69 72 82 82 82 83 82 82
LNG CARGOS DEMAND
1 cargo = 125.000 m3
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Optimizing existing gas supply using CNG Storage
Sungai Gelam 5 MMSCFD CNG storage system
In operation since December 2013, for 80 MW peaking unit
Jakabaring 3 MMSCFD CNG storage system
In operation since February 2013, for 60 MW peaking unit
Other CNG Storage Project in progress:
PROJECT INSTALLED CAPACITY PLANNED COD STORAGE CAPACITY
PLTG Peaker Lampung 100 2017 10
PLTG Jambi Peaker 100 2017 5
PLTGU Gresik 800 2018 20
PLTMG Tanjung Selor 8 2016 1.5
PLTG Bangkanai 295 2016 20
Grati 15 MMSCFD CNG storage system
In operation since July 2013, for full operation of Garti
CCPP (660 MW) during peaking time
Muara Tawar 25 MMSCFD CNG storage system
In operation since January 2014, for full operation of Muara
Tawar CCPP (2000 MW) during peaking time
Duri 5 MMSCFD CNG storage system
In operation since February 2014, for 100 MW peaking unit
Tambak Lorok 20 MMSCFD CNG storage system
Ready for operation since April 2014
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2
3
4
5
6
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Implementation of CNG Marine
• 20 MMSCFD transported to Lombok CCPP (120 MW) to be operated as peaking Unit
Marine CNG Gresik - Lombok
• 2+2 MMSCFD transported to Bintan OCPP (6+6 MW) operated as baseloder since February 2014 and April 2015
Marine CNG
Batam - Bintan
• 0.5 MMSCFD transported to Bawean OCPP (2 MW ) operated as baseloader since October 2014
Marine CNG
Gresik - Bawean
1. Sent to location with no natural gas resources
2. Marine transportation for distance less than 500 NM
3. More economic and faster than Mini LNG (ie. less complexity)
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
17 Locations,
1317 MW,
139 mmscfd
30 Locations,
1781 MW,
149 mmscfd
21 locations,
430 MW,
50 mmscfd
LNG Supply Logistics
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
Alternatives Zoning for Gas Supply
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E L E C T R I C I T Y F O R A B E T T E R L I F E
PLN’s Mini LNG Projects – Business Model
PLN buy gas at Plant Gate :
Gas Developer (and its
consortium) develop / provide:
- LNG Plant
- LNG Transportation
- LNG Regasification Facility
- LNG Terminal
- Necessary infrastuctures :
pipelines, ORF, meters
PLN buy gas at well :
PLN or its contractors develop/
provide:
- LNG Plant
- LNG Transportation
- LNG Regasification Facility
- LNG Terminal
- Necessary infrastructures :
pipelines, ORF, meters
Gas SourceLNG
PlantTransportation
LNG
StorageRegas
Facility
Power
Plant
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