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Challenges of Integrated Transportation and Land Use Planning
Reid EwingRutgers University
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The Challenges
• New Vision and Goals
• New Performance Measures
• Mutually Supportive Land Use Patterns-Transportation Facilities
• Model Enhancements
• Implementing Mechanisms
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New Vision and Goals
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Florida’s Definition of Sprawl
(Rule 9J-5.003, Florida Administrative Code)
• Leapfrog or Scattered Development
• Ribbon or Strip Commercial
Development
• Expanses of Low-Density or Single-Use
Development
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Sprawl
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Sprawl
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Sprawl
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Sprawl vs. Walk Share to Work
COMPAC0N
1601401201008060
PC
WA
LK
0
10
8
6
4
2
0
Coefficientsa
-2.744 2.788 -.984 .329
-.278 .233 -.091 -1.198 .235
-9.61E-03 .052 -.017 -.185 .854
4.420E-05 .000 .140 1.653 .103
.185 .027 .748 6.881 .000
4.223E-03 .021 .017 .200 .842
5.770E-02 .021 .231 2.802 .007
-9.20E-03 .026 -.037 -.356 .723
2.330E-03 .020 .009 .116 .908
(Constant)
MILD
PWKAGE0
PCINC0
DENFAC0N
MIXFAC0N
CENFAC0N
STRFAC0N
SIZFAC0N
Model1
B Std. Error
UnstandardizedCoefficients
Beta
StandardizedCoefficients
t Sig.
Dependent Variable: PCWALK0a.
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Sprawl vs. VMT per Capita
Coefficientsa
1.469 15.205 .097 .923
.716 .277 .333 2.582 .012
3.281E-06 .000 .003 .022 .983
-.361 .139 -.361 -2.593 .012
-3.51E-02 .109 -.036 -.321 .749
-.242 .115 -.252 -2.101 .040
-.128 .133 -.127 -.965 .338
-.231 .109 -.239 -2.118 .038
(Constant)
PWKAGE0
PCINC0
DENFAC0N
MIXFAC0N
CENFAC0N
STRFAC0N
SIZFAC0N
Model1
B Std. Error
UnstandardizedCoefficients
Beta
StandardizedCoefficients
t Sig.
Dependent Variable: VMTPC0a.
COMPAC0N
1601401201008060
VM
TP
C0
40
30
20
10
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Demand for Alternatives
• Changing American Demographics
• Desire for Community and Neighborliness
• Growing Frustration with Congestion
• Growing Interest in Health and Fitness
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Too Much Grass to Mow
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We Are Not European
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Charlotte Corridors and Wedges Plan
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It Can Happen
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New Performance Measures
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Commonly Used Performance Measures
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HIGHWAYCAPACITYMANUAL
Special Report 209
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARDNational Research Council
Are these really the best measures for quality of transportation service?
The “Bible”
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Old Speed Paradigm -> Roadway LOS
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New Paradigms
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TEA-21 Planning Factors
• Economic Vitality
• Accessibility and Mobility Options
• Safety and Security for all Users
• Environmental Protection, Energy Conservation, and Quality of Life
• Enhanced Modal Integration and Connectivity
• Efficient System Management and Operation
• System Preservation
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Oregon’s Transportation Policy Rule
Rule requires MPOs to reduce VMT per capita by 10% over 20 years in metro areas with more than 1 million population, and by 5% over 20 years in metro areas with 1 million or less population
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New Florida Law
Multimodal Development District law allows local governments to establish multimodal level-of-service standards that rely primarily on nonvehicular modes of transportation within a district
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New Maryland Law
Transportation Funding Areas Law requires the Department of Transportation (DOT) to establish measurable long‑term and short‑term performance goals in designated smart growth areas for increasing the systemwide share of trips by mass transit, walking, bicycling, and high occupancy vehicles
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Mutually Supportive Land-Use Patterns and Transportation Facilities
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Rail Lines Without Riders
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Sidewalks Without Pedestrians
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Limits of New Urbanism
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Cognitive Dissonance
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The Future Belongs to Hybrids
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Megatrends
“In a relatively short time, the unified mass society has fractionalized into many diverse groups of people with a wide array of different taste and values, what advertisers call a market-segmented, market-decentralized society.”
Naisbitt 1982
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Urban Refill
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Green Development
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Transit-Oriented Development
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Pedestrian Villages
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Hybrid Communities
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Hybrid Neighborhoods
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Model Enhancements
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Travel Demand Modeling Issue
Conventional 4-step models are not sensitive to effects of density, mix, and design on travel behavior
=
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Differences in Travel Patterns
• Vehicle Ownership• Home-Based Trip Productions• Non-Home Based Trip Attractions• Intrazonal Trips• Transit Trips• Walk Trips• Peak Hour Factors
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TRANSIMS Framework
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LUTRAQ Study Area
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Different Future Land Use Patterns
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Less VMT (and Everything Else) with LUTRAQ
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Westside MAX Line -- Suburban TOD
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Land-Use Impacts
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Implementing Mechanisms
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Examples
• Adequate Public Facilities Requirements
• Transit-Oriented Development
• Context-Sensitive Highway Design
• Traffic Calming
• Access Management
• Regional Growth Management
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Change in VMT Per Capita (1990-99)
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sacramento, CA MSA
Oklahoma City, OK MSA
New Orleans, LA MSA
Phoenix, AZ MSA
El Paso, TX MSA
Las Vegas, NV MSA
Tampa--St. P
etersburg--Clearwater, F
L MSA
Seattle, W
A PMSA
Baltimore, M
D MSA
Omaha, NE--IA
MSA
Columbus, OH MSA
Fresno, CA MSA
Jacksonville, F
L MSA
Rochester, NY MSA
Denver, CO PMSA
Orlando, FL MSA
Houston, TX PMSA
Indianapolis, IN MSA
Austin, TX MSA
Ch
an
ge
in V
MT
Pe
r C
ap
ita
(1
99
0-9
9)
Orlando = 3.95
Portland = 4.64
Baltimore = 2.15
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Florida Growth Management – General Failure
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1985 Concurrency Requirement
Rural
Areas
Transitioning
Urbanized
Areas, Urban
Areas or
Communities
Urbanized
Areas
under
500,000
Urbanized
Areas
over
500,000
Roadways
Parallel to
Exclusive
Transit
Facilities
Inside
Transportation
Concurrency
Management
Areas
Constrained
and
Backlogged
Roadways
Intrastate
Limited
Access
Highway
(Freeway)
B C C(D) D(E) D(E) D(E) Maintain
Controlled
Access
Highway
B C C D E E Maintain
Other State
Roads
Other
Multilane
B C D D E * Maintain
Two-Lane C C D D E * Maintain
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Constant Reform –Will They Ever Get It Right?
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Transportation and Land Use Study Committee
“The state land planning agency and the Department of Transportation shall evaluate the statutory provisions relating to land use and transportation coordination and planning…and shall consider changes to statutes, as well as to all pertinent rules…”
1998 Florida Legislative Session
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Oregon Growth Management – Mixed Results
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Regulatory Tools
• Urban Growth Boundaries
• Density Targets
• Transportation Policy Rule
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Documented Accomplishments
• Stronger Downtown Employment Base
• Higher Suburban Densities
• Less Land Consumption
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Maryland Smart Growth – Promising Alternative
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Inside and Outside Games
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Smart Growth Results
The Good News: – 75% of new parcels are INSIDE PFAs– Thru Rural Legacy and related POS projects,
committed $137 million over last 4 years to permanently protect 54,000 acres.
– In last 7 years, total MD acres protected increased 40%, from 589,000 to 825,000 acres
The Bad News:– 75% of acreage developed is OUTSIDE PFAs– The average lot size OUTSIDE PFAs is 8 times
the size of lots INSIDE PFAs– County-specific performance varies widely
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GARRETT
ALLEGANYWASHINGTON
CECIL
HARFORD
BALTIMORE
CARROLL
FREDERICK
KENTBALT.CITY
HOWARD
MONTGOMERY
QUEEN ANNE'S
ANNE ARUNDEL
CAROLINE
PRINCE GEORGE'S
TALBOT
DORCHESTER
CHARLES
WICOMICO
ST MARY'S
WORCESTER
CALVERT
SOMERSET
5 BYPASSES
550 ACRE TRACT
2 DISTRICT COURTS
COUNTY BLDG.
Investments Altered by Smart Growth