Download - Campylobacter Risk Assessment in Poultry
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Campylobacter Risk Assessment in PoultryHelle Sommer, Bjarke Christensen, Hanne Rosenquist, Niels Nielsen and Birgit Nrrung
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P r e v a l e n sC o n c e n t r a t i o nSLAUGHTERHOUSERETAILCONSUMERRISKPfarmh.Ca.bleedingProbability of InfectionProbability of Exposure
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Data examinations distributions Process model building explicit equations Explicit equations/ simulations Cross contamination What-if-simulations Slaughter house modules
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Data examinations Data for 3 different purposes - prevalence distribution -> slaughterhouse program - concentration distribution - model building, before and after a process From mean values to a distribution Lognormal/ normal > illustrations Same or different distributions > variance analysis
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From mean values to a distribution17 log mean values from different flocks and from 2 different studies
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From mean values to a distribution17 distributions -> one common distribution
Diagram1
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0.00000001760000.00003397570.0001679618000000000.0000001965000.0000118913
0.00000001020000.00002722560.0001426943000000000.0000001282000.0000100034
0.00000000580000.00002173660.0001208996000000000.000000083000.0000083956
0.00000000330000.00001729060.0001021562000000000.0000000533000.0000070296
0.00000000190000.00001370360.0000860849000000000.000000034000.000005872
0.0000000010000.00001082090.0000723454000000000.0000000215000.0000048935
0.00000000060000.00000851320.000060634000000000.0000000135000.0000040683
0.00000000030000.00000667320.0000506809000000000.0000000084000.0000033743
0.00000000020000.00000521170.0000422468000000000.0000000052000.000002792
0.00000000010000.00000405530.0000351209000000000.0000000032000.0000023047
00000.00000314390.0000291178000000000.000000002000.0000018979
00000.00000242850.0000240754000000000.0000000012000.0000015591
00000.00000186890.0000198523000000000.0000000007000.0000012778
00000.0000014330.0000163256000000000.0000000004000.0000010447
00000.00000109480.0000133891000000000.0000000003000.000000852
00000.00000083330.000010951000000000.0000000001000.0000006932
00000.0000006320.0000089326000000000.0000000001000.0000005626
00000.00000047750.0000072665000000000.0000000001000.0000004555
00000.00000035950.0000058951000000000000.0000003679
00000.00000026960.0000047696000000000000.0000002964
00000.00000020150.0000038485000000000000.0000002382
00000.000000150.0000030969000000000000.000000191
00000.00000011130.0000024853000000000000.0000001527
00000.00000008230.0000019891000000000000.0000001218
00000.00000006060.0000015877000000000000.000000097
00000.00000004440.0000012638000000000000.000000077
00000.00000003250.0000010033000000000000.0000000609
00000.00000002370.0000007943000000000000.0000000481
00000.00000001720.0000006272000000000000.0000000379
00000.00000001240.0000004938000000000000.0000000298
00000.00000000890.0000003878000000000000.0000000233
00000.00000000640.0000003037000000000000.0000000182
00000.00000000460.0000002372000000000000.0000000142
00000.00000000330.0000001848000000000000.0000000111
00000.00000000230.0000001435000000000000.0000000086
00000.00000000160.0000001112000000000000.0000000066
00000.00000000120.0000000859000000000000.0000000051
00000.00000000080.0000000662000000000000.0000000039
00000.00000000060.0000000509000000000000.000000003
00000.00000000040.000000039000000000000.0000000023
00000.00000000030.0000000298000000000000.0000000018
00000.00000000020.0000000227000000000000.0000000013
00000.00000000010.0000000173000000000000.000000001
00000.00000000010.0000000131000000000000.0000000008
00000.00000000010.0000000099000000000000.0000000006
000000.0000000075000000000000.0000000004
000000.0000000056000000000000.0000000003
000000.0000000042000000000000.0000000002
000000.0000000031000000000000.0000000002
000000.0000000023000000000000.0000000001
000000.0000000017000000000000.0000000001
000000.0000000013000000000000.0000000001
000000.000000001000000000000.0000000001
000000.0000000007000000000000
000000.0000000005000000000000
000000.0000000004000000000000
000000.0000000003000000000000
000000.0000000002000000000000
000000.0000000001000000000000
000000.0000000001000000000000
000000.0000000001000000000000
000000.0000000001000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
000000000000000000
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Sum (Oo+Me)
Concentration of Campylobacter (log10 cfu/g skin)
After blee.
Slaughter program
DateOrder of the daySize of the flockSum of the dayStatus from one pooled sample
Mr. Jensen11. Jan 200015,000
Mr. Jensen21. Jan 200027,000
Mr. Jensen31. Jan 200033,000Camp. negative
Mr. Jensen41. Jan 200049,000Camp. negative
Mr. Jensen51. Jan 2000515,000Camp. negative
Mr. Jensen61. Jan 200064,00043,000
Mr. Jensen72. Jan 2000110,000Camp. negative
Mr. Jensen82. Jan 2000220,000
Mr. Jensen92. Jan 200037,00037,000Camp. negative
Mr. Jensen103. Jan 200015,000Camp. negative
Mr. Jensen113. Jan 200023,000
Mr. Jensen123. Jan 2000330,000
Mr. Jensen133. Jan 200043,00041,000Camp. negative
-3.40.0059525324
Middel ford.NormeretBeregn. Fordel.Normeret-3.20.0104209348
20.00000502210.00000050220.14975477350.0193581662-30.0175283005
2.10.00002377720.00000237770.16409778950.0212122272-2.80.0283270377
2.20.00010148860.00001014890.17872143790.0231025644-2.60.043983596
2.30.0003905310.00003905310.19346501090.0250084037-2.40.0656158148
2.40.0013548010.00013548010.20815175510.026906897-2.20.0940490774
2.50.00423718220.00042371820.22259201710.0287735286-20.12951759570
2.60.01194704340.00119470430.23658704280.0305826064-20.12951759570.3
2.70.0303686450.00303686450.24993333810.0323078255-1.80.171368592
2.80.06959404170.00695940420.26242746560.0339228885-1.60.217852177
2.90.14378062660.01437806270.27387112510.035402162-1.40.2660852499
30.26779986550.02677998660.28407634290.0367213473-1.20.3122539334
3.10.4496783790.04496783790.29287058440.0378581417-10.3520653268
3.20.68073068650.06807306870.3001015940.0387928637-0.80.3813878155
3.30.9290312440.09290312440.30564177520.0395090195-0.60.3969525475
3.41.14305461320.11430546130.30939193420.0399937867-0.40.3969525475
3.51.26790090310.12679009030.31128423380.0402383963-0.20.3813878155
3.61.26790090310.12679009030.31128423380.040238396300.3520653268
3.71.14305461320.11430546130.30939193420.03999378670.20.3122539334
3.80.9290312440.09290312440.30564177520.03950901950.40.2660852499
3.90.68073068650.06807306870.3001015940.03879286370.60.217852177
40.4496783790.04496783790.29287058440.03785814170.80.171368592
4.10.26779986550.02677998660.28407634290.036721347310.1295175957
4.20.14378062660.01437806270.27387112510.0354021621.20.0940490774
4.30.06959404170.00695940420.26242746560.03392288851.40.0656158148
4.40.0303686450.00303686450.24993333810.03230782551.60.043983596
4.50.01194704340.00119470430.23658704280.03058260641.80.02832703770
4.60.00423718220.00042371820.22259201710.028773528620.01752830050.3
4.70.0013548010.00013548010.20815175510.0269068972
4.80.0003905310.00003905310.19346501090.02500840372.20.0104209348
4.90.00010148860.00001014890.17872143790.02310256442.40.0059525324
50.00002377720.00000237770.16409778950.02121222722.60.0032668191
9.99999267810.99999926787.73618166631.00002348322.80.0017225689
30.0008726827
3.20.0004247803
3.40.0001986555
3.60.0000892617
3.80.0000385352
40.0000159837
After blee.
00.000000000100.00000130560.00003873620.0001734722000000000.0000000215000.0000125609
0.00000000010.000000000200.0000019770.00004805690.000203526000000000.000000034000.0000149173
0.00000000010.000000000400.00000296820.00005940170.0002381397000000000.0000000533000.0000176802
0.00000000020.000000000800.00000441840.00007315550.0002778854000000000.000000083000.0000209143
0.00000000040.00000000140.00000000010.00000652090.00008976350.0003233861000000000.0000001282000.0000246942
0.00000000060.00000000270.00000000020.00000954160.00010973810.0003753177000000000.0000001965000.0000291057
0.00000000120.0000000050.00000000050.00001384260.00013366570.0004344088000000000.000000299000.0000342484
0.00000000210.00000000920.00000000130.00001991080.00016221360.0005014412000000000.0000004517000.0000402371
0.00000000370.00000001670.00000000310.00002839470.00019613690.0005772493000000000.0000006772000.0000472048
0.00000000650.000000030.00000000730.00004014770.00023628510.0006627178000000000.0000010079000.000055306
0.00000001140.00000005320.00000001670.0000562810.00028360770.0007587798000000000.0000014889000.0000647199
0.00000001960.00000009330.00000003760.00007822390.00033915980.0008664127000000000.0000021831000.0000756547
0.00000003340.00000016160.00000008250.00010779380.00040410640.0009866333000000000.0000031773000.0000883523
0.00000005650.00000027660.00000017720.00014727350.00047972430.0011204917000000000.0000045901000.0001030935
0.00000009440.0000004680.00000037210.00019949510.00056740430.0012690636000000000.0000065819000.0001202047
0.00000015630.00000078240.00000076410.00026792690.00066864910.001433441700000000.00000000010.0000093683000.0001400641
0.00000025610.00000129270.00000153450.00035676070.00078507060.001614725100000000.00000000020.0000132355000.0001631103
0.00000041560.00000211080.00000301370.00047099290.00091838320.001814007400000000.00000000040.0000185606000.000189852
0.00000066760.00000340610.00000578850.00061649330.00107039480.002032363600000000.00000000090.0000258355000.0002208794
0.00000106180.00000543170.00001087330.00080005340.00124299340.002270835400000000.0000000020.0000356955000.0002568792
0.00000167190.00000856020.00001997470.00102940490.0014381310.002530415400000000.00000000420.0000489535000.0002986539
0.00000260630.00001333210.00003588580.00131319760.00165780280.002812029500000000.00000000880.0000666385000.0003471471
0.00000402260.00002052030.00006305080.0016609270.00190402250.00311651940.00000000010000000.00000001790.0000900409000.0004034777
0.00000614680.00003121310.00010833890.00208280040.00217879360.0034446230.00000000030000000.00000003610.000120761000.0004689831
0.00000929930.00004692010.00018205540.00258953260.00248407610.0037969550.00000000080000000.00000007150.0001607629000.0005452749
0.00001392850.00006970280.00029919060.00319206510.00282174980.00417398720.0000000020000000.00000013930.0002124309000.0006343057
0.00002065460.00010233170.00048085890.00390120450.00319357340.0045760280.00000000510000000.00000026660.0002786263000.0007384441
0.00003032390.00014847010.00075581030.0047271820.00360114080.00500320320.00000001260000000.00000050180.0003627428000.0008605522
0.00004407690.0002128810.00116180520.00567913970.00404583420.00545543650.000000030000000.00000092870.0004687574000.0010040523
0.000063430.00030165030.00174654260.00676455770.00452877630.0059324320.00000006980000000.00000169010.0006012705000.0011729658
0.00009037220.00042241510.00256773620.00798864060.005050780.00643365740.00000015820000000.00000302420.0007655334000.001371901
0.00012747710.00058458020.00369187510.00935369030.00561229930.00695832970.00000034980000000.00000532110.0009674553000.0016059634
0.00017802730.00079949860.00519121420.0108584970.00621338120.00750540210.00000075440000000.00000920580.0012135848000.0018805627
0.0002461490.00108058820.0071386530.01249778560.00685361910.00807355550.00000158630000000.00001566010.0015110604000.0022010975
0.00033695080.00144334990.00960039170.01426175750.00753211120.00866119080.00000325270000000.00002619420.00186752320.000000000100.0025725131
0.0004566590.00190525010.01262661660.01613576830.00824742320.00926642620.000006503600000.000000000100.00004308150.00229098730.000000000600.002998748
0.00061273770.00248542840.01624091140.01810017930.00899755750.00988709810.000012680000.00000000010.000000000600.00006967080.00278966370.000000002900.0034821136
0.00081398090.00320419870.02042956720.02013041510.00977993070.01052076490.0000241070000.00000000060.000000002900.00011078630.00337173540.000000012600.0040226766
0.00107055980.00408231530.02513236130.02219725170.01059135970.01116471620.0000446916000.00000000010.00000000290.000000012600.00017321940.00404508470.000000051700.0046177428
0.00139400610.00513999360.03023658830.02426734750.01142805860.01181598580.000080791800.00000000010.00000000060.00000001260.000000051700.00026630660.00481697320.00000019920.00000000010.005261548
0.00179711330.00639569180.0355760430.02630401450.01228564580.01247136910.000142418300.00000000060.00000000290.00000005170.000000199200.0004025710.00569368360.00000071780.00000000060.0059452661
0.00229373540.00786468620.04093623140.02826821510.01315916460.0131274450.000244806200.00000000290.00000001260.00000019920.000000717800.00059838140.006680130.00000242230.00000000290.0066574208
0.00289846610.00955749750.04606631130.03011975010.01404311460.01378060180.000410333300.00000001260.00000005170.00000071780.000002422300.00087455840.00777945160.00000765430.00000001260.0073847621
0.00362618690.01147825610.05069724740.03181859250.01493149730.01442706740.000670670100.00000005170.00000019920.00000242230.00000765430.00000000010.00125682430.00899260530.00002264820.00000005170.0081136456
0.00449147720.01362311890.05456456330.0333263070.01581787260.01506294310.00106890470.00000000010.00000019920.00000071780.00000765430.00002264820.00000000060.00177596920.01031797730.00006274920.00000019920.0088319589
0.00550789020.01597887160.05743311220.03460748520.0166954290.01568424130.00166121880.00000000040.00000071780.00000242230.00002264820.00006274920.00000000290.00246758070.01175103420.00016279080.00000071780.0095317007
0.00668710910.01852185960.05912067430.03563112360.01755706380.01628692490.00251751780.00000000280.00000242230.00000765430.00006274920.00016279080.00000001260.00337118330.01328403760.00039545620.00000242230.010212412
0.00803801090.02121739150.05951710120.0363718690.01839547420.01686695060.00372028390.00000001680.00000765430.00002264820.00016279080.00039545620.00000005170.00452864690.01490584450.00089952570.00000765430.0108857277
0.00956567960.02401974070.05859620960.03681106170.01920325650.01742031290.0053608970.00000009270.00002264820.00006274920.00039545620.00089952570.00000019920.0059817690.01660181460.00191591230.00002264820.0115811749
0.01127042070.02687283960.05641864350.03693751660.01997301240.01794308990.00753280410.00000046460.00006274920.00016279080.00089952570.00191591230.00000071780.00776901370.01835384330.00382106510.00006274920.012352774
0.0131468430.02971171550.05312526610.03674799670.02069746030.01843148870.01032128380.00000211090.00016279080.00039545620.00191591230.00382106510.00000242230.00992149740.02014053310.00713575670.00016279080.0132848465
0.015183080.03246465680.04892208520.03624735060.02136954820.01888189150.01379013780.00000869810.00039545620.00089952570.00382106510.00713575670.00000765430.01245843920.0219375130.0124779260.00039545620.0144938965
0.01736022470.03505603760.0440589520.03544830650.02198256750.01929089960.01796641080.00003250740.00089952570.00191591230.00713575670.0124779260.00002264820.01538243650.02371790380.02043109110.00089952570.0161222725
0.01965204990.03740965970.0388050930.03437093460.02253026430.01965537640.02282505760.00011018620.00191591230.00382106510.0124779260.02043109110.00006274920.01867504710.02545292510.03132474120.00191591230.0183197642
0.02202507670.03945241660.03342478760.0330418090.0230069450.01997248720.02827614980.0003387350.00382106510.00713575670.02043109110.03132474120.00016279080.02229324870.02711262590.04497075760.00382106510.0212124441
0.02443903510.04111803820.02815619390.03149291890.02340757460.02023973570.03415753350.00094445560.00713575670.0124779260.03132474120.04497075760.00039545620.02616737130.02866671620.06045325590.00713575670.024863719
0.02684774020.04235065010.0231955460.02976039140.02372786560.02045499720.04023560790.00238831430.0124779260.02043109110.04497075760.06045325590.00089952570.03020104110.03008546980.0760949730.0124779260.0292384164
0.0292003780.04310788340.01868790490.02788309560.0239643540.02061654620.04621601210.00547759390.02043109110.03132474120.06045325590.0760949730.00191591230.0342735280.03134065970.08968896620.02043109110.0341828227
0.03144316570.04336329130.01472454870.02590120450.02411446180.02072307980.05176452170.01139401040.03132474120.04497075760.0760949730.08968896620.00382106510.03824465860.03240648690.09898487720.03132474120.0394287971
0.03352131990.04310788340.01134615550.02385478790.02417654390.02077373510.0565366120.02149571120.04497075760.06045325590.08968896620.09898487720.00713575670.0419621610.03326046040.10229289240.04497075760.0446195667
0.0353812370.04235065010.00855028980.0217825030.02414991780.02076810060.06021229610.0367803160.06045325590.0760949730.09898487720.10229289240.0124779260.04527098920.03388418510.09898487720.06045325590.0493454437
0.03697276840.04111803820.00630141820.01972044130.02403487620.02070622220.06253144070.05707783920.0760949730.08968896620.10229289240.09898487720.02043109110.04802387530.03426402030.08968896620.0760949730.0531780988
0.03825145710.03945241660.00454172810.01770117530.02383268210.02058860220.06332417150.0803355960.08968896620.09898487720.09898487720.08968896620.03132474120.05009213030.03439157590.0760949730.08968896620.0557039942
0.03918059710.03740965970.00320132170.01575303360.02354554480.02041619260.06253144070.10255030270.09898487720.10229289240.08968896620.0760949730.04497075760.05137559690.03426402030.06045325590.09898487720.0565704888
0.03973298320.03505603760.00220679950.01389961980.02317658070.02019038260.06021229610.11872831440.10229289240.09898487720.0760949730.06045325590.06045325590.05181068580.03388418510.04497075760.10229289240.0555553405
0.03989223340.03246465680.0014877220.01215957150.02272975620.01991297930.0565366120.12466946260.09898487720.08968896620.06045325590.04497075760.0760949730.05137559690.03326046040.03132474120.09898487720.0526465588
0.03965359660.02971171550.00098085780.01054654580.02220981740.01958618430.05176452170.11872831440.08968896620.0760949730.04497075760.03132474120.08968896620.05009213030.03240648690.02043109110.08968896620.0480922725
0.03902418780.02687283960.00063243470.00906940590.02162220570.01921256420.04621601210.10255030270.0760949730.06045325590.03132474120.02043109110.09898487720.04802387530.03134065970.0124779260.0760949730.0423780191
0.03802263550.02401974070.00039879590.00773257350.02097296320.01879501730.04023560790.0803355960.06045325590.04497075760.02043109110.0124779260.10229289240.04527098920.03008546980.00713575670.06045325590.0361226073
0.03667816620.02121739150.00024592970.00653650960.02026862980.01833673580.03415753350.05707783920.04497075760.03132474120.0124779260.00713575670.09898487720.0419621610.02866671620.00382106510.04497075760.029931382
0.03502918790.01852185960.0001483190.00547828190.01951613360.01784116560.02827614980.0367803160.03132474120.02043109110.00713575670.00382106510.08968896620.03824465860.02711262590.00191591230.03132474120.0242700572
0.0331214680.01597887160.00008747980.00455218050.01872267810.01731196340.02282505760.02149571120.02043109110.0124779260.00382106510.00191591230.0760949730.0342735280.02545292510.00089952570.02043109110.0194054969
0.03100602850.01362311890.00005045970.00375034480.01789562830.01675295120.01796641080.01139401040.0124779260.00713575670.00191591230.00089952570.06045325590.03020104110.02371790380.00039545620.0124779260.0154184504
0.02873688970.01147825610.00002846470.00306337060.0170423990.01616807160.01379013780.00547759390.00713575670.00382106510.00089952570.00039545620.04497075760.02616737130.0219375130.00016279080.00713575670.012259481
0.02636880420.00955749750.00001570340.00248087290.01617034560.01556134120.01032128380.00238831430.00382106510.00191591230.00039545620.00016279080.03132474120.02229324870.02014053310.00006274920.00382106510.0098118662
0.02395510980.00786468620.00000847240.00199198520.01528666220.01493680560.00753280410.00094445560.00191591230.00089952570.00016279080.00006274920.02043109110.01867504710.01835384330.00002264820.00191591230.007938853
0.02154581620.00639569180.00000447040.00158578510.01439828720.01429849510.0053608970.0003387350.00089952570.00039545620.00006274920.00002264820.0124779260.01538243650.01660181460.00000765430.00089952570.0065104655
0.01918601550.00513999360.00000230680.00125163920.01351181820.0136503830.00372028390.00011018620.00039545620.00016279080.00002264820.00000765430.00713575670.01245843920.01490584450.00000242230.00039545620.0054152409
0.01691467610.00408231530.00000116410.00097946890.01263343780.01299634530.00251751780.00003250740.00016279080.00006274920.00000765430.00000242230.00382106510.00992149740.01328403760.00000071780.00016279080.0045637152
0.01476385040.00320419870.00000057450.0007599390.01176885180.01234012460.00166121880.00000869810.00006274920.00002264820.00000242230.00000071780.00191591230.00776901370.01175103420.00000019920.00006274920.0038879354
0.01275829510.00248542840.00000027730.00058457930.01092323910.01168529690.00106890470.00000211090.00002264820.00000765430.00000071780.00000019920.00089952570.0059817690.01031797730.00000005170.00002264820.0033389013
0.01091547660.00190525010.00000013090.00044584590.01010121420.0110352420.00067067010.00000046460.00000765430.00000242230.00000019920.00000005170.00039545620.00452864690.00899260530.00000001260.00000765430.0028828822
0.00924591330.00144334990.00000006040.00033713420.00930680280.01039311820.00041033330.00000009270.00000242230.00000071780.00000005170.00000001260.00016279080.00337118330.00777945160.00000000290.00000242230.0024974035
0.00775378920.00108058820.00000002730.00025275360.00854342960.00976184210.00024480620.00000001680.00000071780.00000019920.00000001260.00000000290.00006274920.00246758070.006680130.00000000060.00000071780.0021676096
0.00643776640.00079949860.0000000120.00018787480.00781391660.00914407090.00014241830.00000000280.00000019920.00000005170.00000000290.00000000060.00002264820.00177596920.00569368360.00000000010.00000019920.0018834303
0.00529192280.00058458020.00000000520.00013845750.00712049340.00854219140.00008079180.00000000040.00000005170.00000001260.00000000060.00000000010.00000765430.00125682430.004816973200.00000005170.0016376477
0.00430674180.00042241510.00000000220.00010116750.00646481660.0079583110.00004469160.00000000010.00000001260.00000000290.000000000100.00000242230.00087455840.004045084700.00000001260.00142472
0.00347009390.00030165030.00000000090.00007328950.00584799670.0073942550.00002410700.00000000290.0000000006000.00000071780.00059838140.003371735400.00000000290.0012401314
0.00276815670.0002128810.00000000040.00005264050.00527063360.00685156580.0000126800.00000000060.0000000001000.00000019920.0004025710.002789663700.00000000060.0010800584
0.00218623670.00014847010.00000000010.00003748640.00473285640.00633150780.000006503600.00000000010000.00000005170.00026630660.002290987300.00000000010.0009412004
0.0017094670.00010233170.00000000010.0000264670.00423436820.00583507390.0000032527000000.00000001260.00017321940.0018675232000.0008206892
0.00132337020.000069702800.00001852730.00377449380.00536299610.0000015863000000.00000000290.00011078630.0015110604000.0007160309
0.00101428270.000046920100.00001285870.00335222840.0049157580.0000007544000000.00000000060.00006967080.0012135848000.0006250623
0.00076965080.000031213100.00000884830.00296628780.00449361040.0000003498000000.00000000010.00004308150.0009674553000.0005459116
0.00057820990.000020520300.00000603660.0026151570.00409658740.00000015820000000.00002619420.0007655334000.0004769645
0.00043006520.000013332100.00000408330.00229713780.00372452550.00000006980000000.00001566010.0006012705000.000416832
0.00031669430.000008560200.00000273840.00201039370.00337708170.000000030000000.00000920580.0004687574000.0003643213
0.0002308890.000005431700.00000182080.00175299220.00305375430.00000001260000000.00000532110.0003627428000.0003184097
0.00016665690.000003406100.00000120040.00152294290.00275390220.00000000510000000.00000302420.0002786263000.0002782214
0.00011909680.000002110800.00000078460.00131823270.00247676520.0000000020000000.00000169010.0002124309000.0002430067
0.00008426250.000001292700.00000050840.00113685570.00222148330.00000000080000000.00000092870.0001607629000.0002121232
0.00005902360.000000782400.00000032670.00097683990.00198711580.00000000030000000.00000050180.000120761000.0001850207
0.0000409330.00000046800.00000020810.00083626940.0017726590.00000000010000000.00000026660.0000900409000.0001612262
0.00002810470.000000276600.00000013140.00071330270.001577063300000000.00000013930.0000666385000.0001403327
0.00001910470.000000161600.00000008230.00060618650.001399248800000000.00000007150.0000489535000.0001219888
0.00001285760.000000093300.00000005110.00051326720.001238119800000000.00000003610.0000356955000.0001058895
0.00000856720.000000053200.00000003150.00043299770.001092577600000000.00000001790.0000258355000.0000917694
0.00000565160.0000000300.00000001920.00036394220.000961532200000000.00000000880.0000185606000.0000793967
0.00000369110.000000016700.00000001160.00030477820.000843912200000000.00000000420.0000132355000.0000685676
0.00000238680.000000009200.0000000070.00025429650.000738673600000000.0000000020.0000093683000.0000591026
0.0000015280.00000000500.00000000410.00021139830.000644807100000000.00000000090.0000065819000.0000508427
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0.00000037750.000000000800.00000000080.00011879930.00042198100000000.00000000010.0000021831000.0000319613
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0.0000000010000.00001082090.0000723454000000000.0000000215000.0000048935
0.00000000060000.00000851320.000060634000000000.0000000135000.0000040683
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0.00000000020000.00000521170.0000422468000000000.0000000052000.000002792
0.00000000010000.00000405530.0000351209000000000.0000000032000.0000023047
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00000.00000242850.0000240754000000000.0000000012000.0000015591
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00000.00000109480.0000133891000000000.0000000003000.000000852
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00000.00000000640.0000003037000000000000.0000000182
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000000000000000000
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Sum (Oo+Me)
Mean (Oo+Me)
Calculated
Concentration of Campylobacter (log10 cfu/g skin)
Homogenitetstest
Concentration log10 cfu/g skin
Ark3
Concentration log10 cfu/g skin
00.000000000100.00000130560.00003873620.0001734722000000000.0000000215000.0000125609
0.00000000010.000000000200.0000019770.00004805690.000203526000000000.000000034000.0000149173
0.00000000010.000000000400.00000296820.00005940170.0002381397000000000.0000000533000.0000176802
0.00000000020.000000000800.00000441840.00007315550.0002778854000000000.000000083000.0000209143
0.00000000040.00000000140.00000000010.00000652090.00008976350.0003233861000000000.0000001282000.0000246942
0.00000000060.00000000270.00000000020.00000954160.00010973810.0003753177000000000.0000001965000.0000291057
0.00000000120.0000000050.00000000050.00001384260.00013366570.0004344088000000000.000000299000.0000342484
0.00000000210.00000000920.00000000130.00001991080.00016221360.0005014412000000000.0000004517000.0000402371
0.00000000370.00000001670.00000000310.00002839470.00019613690.0005772493000000000.0000006772000.0000472048
0.00000000650.000000030.00000000730.00004014770.00023628510.0006627178000000000.0000010079000.000055306
0.00000001140.00000005320.00000001670.0000562810.00028360770.0007587798000000000.0000014889000.0000647199
0.00000001960.00000009330.00000003760.00007822390.00033915980.0008664127000000000.0000021831000.0000756547
0.00000003340.00000016160.00000008250.00010779380.00040410640.0009866333000000000.0000031773000.0000883523
0.00000005650.00000027660.00000017720.00014727350.00047972430.0011204917000000000.0000045901000.0001030935
0.00000009440.0000004680.00000037210.00019949510.00056740430.0012690636000000000.0000065819000.0001202047
0.00000015630.00000078240.00000076410.00026792690.00066864910.001433441700000000.00000000010.0000093683000.0001400641
0.00000025610.00000129270.00000153450.00035676070.00078507060.001614725100000000.00000000020.0000132355000.0001631103
0.00000041560.00000211080.00000301370.00047099290.00091838320.001814007400000000.00000000040.0000185606000.000189852
0.00000066760.00000340610.00000578850.00061649330.00107039480.002032363600000000.00000000090.0000258355000.0002208794
0.00000106180.00000543170.00001087330.00080005340.00124299340.002270835400000000.0000000020.0000356955000.0002568792
0.00000167190.00000856020.00001997470.00102940490.0014381310.002530415400000000.00000000420.0000489535000.0002986539
0.00000260630.00001333210.00003588580.00131319760.00165780280.002812029500000000.00000000880.0000666385000.0003471471
0.00000402260.00002052030.00006305080.0016609270.00190402250.00311651940.00000000010000000.00000001790.0000900409000.0004034777
0.00000614680.00003121310.00010833890.00208280040.00217879360.0034446230.00000000030000000.00000003610.000120761000.0004689831
0.00000929930.00004692010.00018205540.00258953260.00248407610.0037969550.00000000080000000.00000007150.0001607629000.0005452749
0.00001392850.00006970280.00029919060.00319206510.00282174980.00417398720.0000000020000000.00000013930.0002124309000.0006343057
0.00002065460.00010233170.00048085890.00390120450.00319357340.0045760280.00000000510000000.00000026660.0002786263000.0007384441
0.00003032390.00014847010.00075581030.0047271820.00360114080.00500320320.00000001260000000.00000050180.0003627428000.0008605522
0.00004407690.0002128810.00116180520.00567913970.00404583420.00545543650.000000030000000.00000092870.0004687574000.0010040523
0.000063430.00030165030.00174654260.00676455770.00452877630.0059324320.00000006980000000.00000169010.0006012705000.0011729658
0.00009037220.00042241510.00256773620.00798864060.005050780.00643365740.00000015820000000.00000302420.0007655334000.001371901
0.00012747710.00058458020.00369187510.00935369030.00561229930.00695832970.00000034980000000.00000532110.0009674553000.0016059634
0.00017802730.00079949860.00519121420.0108584970.00621338120.00750540210.00000075440000000.00000920580.0012135848000.0018805627
0.0002461490.00108058820.0071386530.01249778560.00685361910.00807355550.00000158630000000.00001566010.0015110604000.0022010975
0.00033695080.00144334990.00960039170.01426175750.00753211120.00866119080.00000325270000000.00002619420.00186752320.000000000100.0025725131
0.0004566590.00190525010.01262661660.01613576830.00824742320.00926642620.000006503600000.000000000100.00004308150.00229098730.000000000600.002998748
0.00061273770.00248542840.01624091140.01810017930.00899755750.00988709810.000012680000.00000000010.000000000600.00006967080.00278966370.000000002900.0034821136
0.00081398090.00320419870.02042956720.02013041510.00977993070.01052076490.0000241070000.00000000060.000000002900.00011078630.00337173540.000000012600.0040226766
0.00107055980.00408231530.02513236130.02219725170.01059135970.01116471620.0000446916000.00000000010.00000000290.000000012600.00017321940.00404508470.000000051700.0046177428
0.00139400610.00513999360.03023658830.02426734750.01142805860.01181598580.000080791800.00000000010.00000000060.00000001260.000000051700.00026630660.00481697320.00000019920.00000000010.005261548
0.00179711330.00639569180.0355760430.02630401450.01228564580.01247136910.000142418300.00000000060.00000000290.00000005170.000000199200.0004025710.00569368360.00000071780.00000000060.0059452661
0.00229373540.00786468620.04093623140.02826821510.01315916460.0131274450.000244806200.00000000290.00000001260.00000019920.000000717800.00059838140.006680130.00000242230.00000000290.0066574208
0.00289846610.00955749750.04606631130.03011975010.01404311460.01378060180.000410333300.00000001260.00000005170.00000071780.000002422300.00087455840.00777945160.00000765430.00000001260.0073847621
0.00362618690.01147825610.05069724740.03181859250.01493149730.01442706740.000670670100.00000005170.00000019920.00000242230.00000765430.00000000010.00125682430.00899260530.00002264820.00000005170.0081136456
0.00449147720.01362311890.05456456330.0333263070.01581787260.01506294310.00106890470.00000000010.00000019920.00000071780.00000765430.00002264820.00000000060.00177596920.01031797730.00006274920.00000019920.0088319589
0.00550789020.01597887160.05743311220.03460748520.0166954290.01568424130.00166121880.00000000040.00000071780.00000242230.00002264820.00006274920.00000000290.00246758070.01175103420.00016279080.00000071780.0095317007
0.00668710910.01852185960.05912067430.03563112360.01755706380.01628692490.00251751780.00000000280.00000242230.00000765430.00006274920.00016279080.00000001260.00337118330.01328403760.00039545620.00000242230.010212412
0.00803801090.02121739150.05951710120.0363718690.01839547420.01686695060.00372028390.00000001680.00000765430.00002264820.00016279080.00039545620.00000005170.00452864690.01490584450.00089952570.00000765430.0108857277
0.00956567960.02401974070.05859620960.03681106170.01920325650.01742031290.0053608970.00000009270.00002264820.00006274920.00039545620.00089952570.00000019920.0059817690.01660181460.00191591230.00002264820.0115811749
0.01127042070.02687283960.05641864350.03693751660.01997301240.01794308990.00753280410.00000046460.00006274920.00016279080.00089952570.00191591230.00000071780.00776901370.01835384330.00382106510.00006274920.012352774
0.0131468430.02971171550.05312526610.03674799670.02069746030.01843148870.01032128380.00000211090.00016279080.00039545620.00191591230.00382106510.00000242230.00992149740.02014053310.00713575670.00016279080.0132848465
0.015183080.03246465680.04892208520.03624735060.02136954820.01888189150.01379013780.00000869810.00039545620.00089952570.00382106510.00713575670.00000765430.01245843920.0219375130.0124779260.00039545620.0144938965
0.01736022470.03505603760.0440589520.03544830650.02198256750.01929089960.01796641080.00003250740.00089952570.00191591230.00713575670.0124779260.00002264820.01538243650.02371790380.02043109110.00089952570.0161222725
0.01965204990.03740965970.0388050930.03437093460.02253026430.01965537640.02282505760.00011018620.00191591230.00382106510.0124779260.02043109110.00006274920.01867504710.02545292510.03132474120.00191591230.0183197642
0.02202507670.03945241660.03342478760.0330418090.0230069450.01997248720.02827614980.0003387350.00382106510.00713575670.02043109110.03132474120.00016279080.02229324870.02711262590.04497075760.00382106510.0212124441
0.02443903510.04111803820.02815619390.03149291890.02340757460.02023973570.03415753350.00094445560.00713575670.0124779260.03132474120.04497075760.00039545620.02616737130.02866671620.06045325590.00713575670.024863719
0.02684774020.04235065010.0231955460.02976039140.02372786560.02045499720.04023560790.00238831430.0124779260.02043109110.04497075760.06045325590.00089952570.03020104110.03008546980.0760949730.0124779260.0292384164
0.0292003780.04310788340.01868790490.02788309560.0239643540.02061654620.04621601210.00547759390.02043109110.03132474120.06045325590.0760949730.00191591230.0342735280.03134065970.08968896620.02043109110.0341828227
0.03144316570.04336329130.01472454870.02590120450.02411446180.02072307980.05176452170.01139401040.03132474120.04497075760.0760949730.08968896620.00382106510.03824465860.03240648690.09898487720.03132474120.0394287971
0.03352131990.04310788340.01134615550.02385478790.02417654390.02077373510.0565366120.02149571120.04497075760.06045325590.08968896620.09898487720.00713575670.0419621610.03326046040.10229289240.04497075760.0446195667
0.0353812370.04235065010.00855028980.0217825030.02414991780.02076810060.06021229610.0367803160.06045325590.0760949730.09898487720.10229289240.0124779260.04527098920.03388418510.09898487720.06045325590.0493454437
0.03697276840.04111803820.00630141820.01972044130.02403487620.02070622220.06253144070.05707783920.0760949730.08968896620.10229289240.09898487720.02043109110.04802387530.03426402030.08968896620.0760949730.0531780988
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Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Oosterom et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Mead et al.
Sum (Oo+Me)
Concentration of Campylobacter (log10 cfu/g skin)
TEST FOR EQUALITY OF VARIANCES
Bartlett's test
f161
S^20.471
Kritisk interval55.6
chi^2(16)26.3
Equality ?NO
-
Log-normal or normal distribution ?True data structure = simulated data (sim.=)Assumed distribution (dist.=)Published data = means of 4 samples,6 means from one studysim.= lognormal(6.9,2.3) dist.= normal or lognormal
-
Diagram5
1
1
1
1
1
1
Mean values calculated back from mean of log values
Ark1
Published data = means of 4 samples, 6 means from one flock
Simulation from lognormal(6.9,2.3)
sim=log
log-fordeling123456
219.843614459347423.64141356365616.67953808032657.3227419522824.21447765811.5833049692
26480.35293795693796.151327985411117.868430835711.1782279661232190.66478304311855.606843281
826.37383664182873.264925392940252.091075373447.866164707541682.27123164413911.1605332616
375.7121798392108.153513011512175.51362976624944.11011576516588.2062369872407.2690900959
middel6975.570642224313550.302794988317290.53816851391915.119312597772821.3391823334543.9049429019
originalvrdi123456log-trans
log-fordelingSamples123456
19.6306021343284.2823764686551.5442406484563.6687687287189.842690349230.361843670311.2932.4542.7422.7512.2781.482
4009.8158227581352988.86829088617308.03069881871185.8863943969305.1707001033157.561353974923.6035.5484.2383.0742.4852.197
1919.217110328734.2740666509351.333130844224.5217591949620.2678790861265.30413907833.2832.8662.5462.3512.7932.424
31974.931808839249441.9497093382204.45532519492048.16201535941095.1313964152556.324298967844.5054.6942.3113.3113.0392.745
middel9480.8988360149100862.3436108364603.84084887651005.55973442552.6031664884252.3879089228Mean3.1713.8902.9592.8722.6492.2122.9595673.499
SD15084.3063682588169659.8735397138470.6544891237801.004611893404.859392081224.2259332086SD1.3551.4730.8710.4160.3350.5360.831
geometrisk1482.5110702067769.0189612614909.9895096301744.5990036004445.3952271711163.0093346306
alm.192223.2025839942439482.360524416793.42815735631178.5633609464600.1445577193349.1254118857
111111
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2000.00002188680.00000197190.00004114340.00030036620.00067436730.00173129380.00046183820.20.02658459190.01172858760.00302826390.000000001100.0006478110.0069982092
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7000.00002232550.00000197540.00004235180.00046310110.00092219710.00024259690.00028242460.70.05579492110.02592418580.01583653910.00000117010.00000005550.01391086210.0185779556
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9000.00002249650.00000197670.00004280320.00049374630.00068190610.00002746830.00021173290.90.07224618230.03447241290.02798708570.00001279760.00000148640.03717939510.0286498933
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13000.00002283040.00000197950.00004364750.00046551510.00017929880.00000003240.00011888391.30.11346375290.05767336690.07461533570.00076579330.00036629090.17490546630.0702983343
14000.00002291210.00000198020.00004384590.00044118340.00011023040.00000000360.00010335931.40.12530009690.06484030770.09225249540.0018436510.00116207030.23612279910.0869202367
15000.00002299310.00000198080.0000440390.00041165720.00006375720.00000000030.0000907381.50.13761923860.07256252230.11256441430.00418961840.00337311910.30786206120.106361829
16000.00002307340.00000198150.00004422690.00037816680.000034694600.00008035721.60.15032817160.0808308630.13554923710.00898667080.00895826650.38766637430.1287199306
17000.0000231530.00000198220.00004440930.00034202850.000017762300.00007155591.70.16331838660.08962715350.16108904530.01819498950.02176753810.47145886020.1542426622
18000.00002323180.00000198290.00004458630.00030455960.000008555400.00006381931.80.17646690450.09892351360.1889330370.03477229790.0483935730.55374928840.1835397691
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20000.00002338710.00000198430.00004492360.00023045490.000001652900.000050400420.20268428810.11885351220.24981045280.10680273640.1831991880.68818161930.2582552995
21000.00002346360.00000198490.00004508380.00019583460.00000066300.0000445052.10.21545109890.12937923420.28162513270.17165236240.31194715320.72815456620.306368258
22000.00002353930.00000198560.00004523820.00016384150.000000250200.00003914252.20.22777750110.14018923790.313332310.26040288860.48599471310.74409398790.3619651064
23000.00002361420.00000198630.00004538690.00013495530.000000088800.00003433862.30.23950049520.15120366420.34404236120.37288113960.69274771050.73437134690.4224577863
24000.00002368840.0000019870.00004552970.00010944270.000000029700.00003011292.40.25045833450.16233325570.37281349720.50399200170.90346574190.69998278820.4821742699
25000.00002376170.00000198770.00004566650.00008738060.000000009300.00002646762.50.26049419030.17348032370.39869822540.64299186551.07805598680.64438097380.5330169276
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