Download - Better Georgia/PPP October Poll
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7/27/2019 Better Georgia/PPP October Poll
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Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]
From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
To: Interested Parties
Subject: State of the Governors Race in Georgia
Date: October 9th
, 2013
PPPs polling this week reveals that an ethics scandal and disagreements about Medicaid
funding have produced a weak position for the incumbent governor in Georgia, and Gov.
Nathan Deals lead over a hypothetical 2014 challenger is now in the low-single digits.
-In a hypothetical 2014 matchup, Nathan Deal slightly leads Jason Carter at 44/40
within the margin of error. This is a significant gain for Carter, who trailed 33/48 in the
same hypothetical matchup we polled in August.
-Deals standing with Georgian registered voters has continued to fall since our last poll.
His approval was 44/32 in August, but has fallen to 34/41 in our new poll.
-Much of this negative trend is due to Deals ethics scandal, as nearly half (48%) of those
polled felt state ethics commissions call for an independent investigation of Deals last
campaign is a convincing reason not to vote for his re-election. 52% of voters responded
that Deals failure to file reports over large political contributions constituted a
convincing reason to not vote for him next November. And a solid 62% of voters said
they would be convinced to not vote for Deal because of his inaction over a Georgian
company that owes the state more than $74 million in back taxes.
-Deal is also out of step with the views of Georgia voters on Medicaid funding. 60% of
registered voters support Georgias accepting of federal Medicaid funding, while only
26% oppose. Even 40% of Georgia Republicans are for it.
-Much of Carters gains on Deal in recent months can be attributed to his support among
women voters. Only 28% of women in Georgia approve of Nathan Deal, and 43% ofwomen would vote for Carter over 37% for Deal in a hypothetical election.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 602 Georgia voters on October 7-8. The margin of error
for the survey is +/- 4.1% PPP polls are conducted using automated telephone interviews.
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October 7-8, 2013Survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013Survey of 602 Georgia voters
Georgia Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of GovernorNathan Deal's job performance?
34%Approve ..........................................................
41%Disapprove......................................................
25%Not sure ..........................................................
Q2 If the election for Governor were today, wouldyou vote to re-elect Republican Nathan Deal,or would you vote for his Democraticopponent?
45%Nathan Deal....................................................41%Democratic opponent......................................
15%Not sure ..........................................................
Q3 If the candidates for Governor in 2014 wereNathan Deal, the incumbent Republican, orJason Carter, a Democratic state senator from
Atlanta and grandson of Jimmy Carter, howwould you vote?
44%Nathan Deal....................................................
40%Jason Carter...................................................
16%Not sure ..........................................................
Q4 Now I'm going to ask you about your opinion ofsome reasons people have given for opposingthe re-election of Governor Nathan Deal. Foreach one, please tell me whether you find it aconvincing reason to vote against GovernorDeal's re-election, or not. Heres the first one:The state ethics commission recently called foran independent investigation of chargesstemming from Gov. Deals last campaign forgovernor. The states top ethics attorney saidthe governors office was involved in efforts todestroy documents in an open investigationinvolving the FBI and the U.S. Attorneys office.
48%Convincing......................................................
37%Not convincing ................................................
14%Not sure ..........................................................
Q5 Heres the next reason: An independentreporter recently discovered that Gov. NathanDeal is collecting political contributions greaterthan most Georgia families make in a year andfailed to file reports for two years.
52%Convincing......................................................
34%Not convincing ................................................
14%Not sure ..........................................................
Q6 Heres one more: The governor is makingmillions of dollars from a company that won'tpay Georgia what it owes. The company owesthe state $74 million in back taxes, but Gov.Deal won't do anything about it, even thoughhe made sure he got paid.
62%Convincing......................................................
26%Not convincing ................................................
13%Not sure ..........................................................
Q7 Some people say that the Georgia stateincome tax should be repealed and replacedwith an increase in the sales tax on goods andservices. Supporters say this would improve
the economy and encourage people to savemore by taxing spending. Opponents say thiswould result in higher taxes for middle- andworking-class Georgians, while cutting taxesfor corporations and the wealthy. Having heardthis, would you say you support or oppose theGeorgia state income tax being repealed andreplaced with an increase in the sales tax ongoods and services?
40%Support ...........................................................
44%Oppose ...........................................................
17%Not sure ..........................................................
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October 7-8, 2013Survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013Survey of 602 Georgia voters
Q8 Georgia and other states are considering
whether to accept more federal funds forMedicaid. The money would insure moreGeorgians, put hundreds of millions of dollarsinto our economy, create thousands of jobs,and possibly prevent rural hospitals fromclosing. Do you support or oppose Georgiaaccepting the Medicaid funding?
60%Support ...........................................................
26%Oppose ...........................................................
14%Not sure ..........................................................
Q9 Many workers in Georgia are being incorrectlylabeled independent contractors, which lets
employers avoid providing health care,minimum wage, overtime pay, and other full-time benefits. Some states have passed lawsto prevent or limit the practice of employersmisclassifying employees as contractors.Would you support or oppose efforts in Georgiato prevent employers from misclassifyingemployees as contractors?
54%Support ...........................................................
26%Oppose ...........................................................
21%Not sure ..........................................................
Q10 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
54%Woman ...........................................................
46%Man.................................................................
Q11 In the last presidential election, did you vote forBarack Obama or Mitt Romney?
41%Barack Obama................................................
48%Mitt Romney....................................................
11%Someone else/Don't remember......................
Q12 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?
9%Very liberal ......................................................
13%Somewhat liberal ............................................
30%Moderate.........................................................
26%Somewhat conservative..................................
22%Very conservative ...........................................
Q13 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.
38%Democrat ........................................................38%Republican......................................................
25%Independent/Other..........................................
Q14 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,press 2. If other, press 3.
63%White ..............................................................
29%African-American ............................................
8%Other...............................................................
Q15 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are olderthan 65, press 4.
10%18 to 29...........................................................
26%30 to 45...........................................................
44%46 to 65...........................................................
20%Older than 65 ..................................................
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Deal Approval
Appr ove
Disapprove
Not s ure
34% 28% 41%
41% 39% 42%
25% 32% 17%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Deal or Dem
Opponent
Nathan Deal
Democratic
opponent
Not s ure
45% 38% 53%
41% 44% 36%
15% 17% 11%
Base
Gender
Wom an ManDeal/Carter
Nathan Deal
Jason Carter
Not s ure
44% 37% 52%
40% 43% 36%
16% 19% 12%
Base
Gender
Wom an ManEthics Charges:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not s ure
48% 54% 41%
37% 29% 47%
14% 17% 11%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Failed to Repor t
Donations:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not s ure
52% 57% 46%
34% 26% 44%
14% 17% 10%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Making Millions
fro m Deadbeat Co.:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not s ure
62% 67% 56%
26% 19% 33%
13% 14% 11%
Base
Gender
Wom an ManSupport/Oppose
Repaling Incom e
Tax, Raising Sales
Tax
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
40% 35% 45%
44% 47% 39%
17% 18% 15%
Base
Gender
Wom an ManSupport/Oppose
Accpe ting Me dicaid
Funds
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
60% 63% 57%
26% 21% 32%
14% 17% 11%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Support/Oppose
Preventing
Employee
Misclassification
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
54% 53% 55%
26% 22% 30%
21% 25% 16%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Deal Approval
Ap pr ove
Disapprove
Not s ure
34% 11% 55% 32%
41% 70% 17% 36%
25% 20% 29% 32%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Deal or Dem
Opponent
Nath an Deal
Democratic
opponent
Not s ure
45% 8% 78% 39%
41% 83% 8% 26%
15% 10% 15% 35%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Deal/Carter
Nathan Deal
Jason Carter
Not s ure
44% 7% 76% 42%
40% 78% 8% 35%
16% 14% 16% 23%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Ethics Charges :
Convincing Reason
to V ote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not s ure
48% 76% 26% 44%
37% 13% 60% 31%
14% 12% 14% 25%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Failed to Report
Donations:
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not s ure
52% 79% 30% 48%
34% 13% 53% 28%
14% 8% 17% 24%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Making Millions
from Deadbeat Co.:
Convincing Reason
to V ote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not s ure
62% 92% 38% 54%
26% 4% 45% 25%
13% 4% 18% 21%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Support/Oppose
Repaling Incom e
Tax, Raising Sales
Tax
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
40% 25% 55% 28%
44% 58% 31% 44%
17% 17% 14% 28%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Support/Oppose
Accpe ti ng Me dicaid
Funds
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
60% 89% 37% 54%
26% 5% 44% 26%
14% 6% 19% 20%
Base
2012 Vote
Barack
Obama
Mitt
Romney
Someone else/Don't
remember
Support/Oppose
Preventing
Employee
Misclassification
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
54% 66% 43% 54%
26% 15% 36% 21%
21% 19% 21% 25%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservativeDeal Appr oval
App ro ve
Disapprove
Not sur e
34% 19% 23% 21% 38% 59%
41% 58% 58% 54% 32% 15%
25% 23% 19% 24% 30% 26%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservativeDeal or Dem
Opponent
Nathan Deal
Dem ocratic
opponent
Not sur e
45% 16% 18% 25% 61% 79%
41% 68% 76% 60% 21% 7%
15% 17% 7% 16% 18% 14%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Deal/Carter
Nathan Deal
Jason Carter
Not sur e
44% 11% 16% 21% 62% 83%
40% 65% 77% 58% 23% 5%
16% 24% 8% 21% 16% 11%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Ethics Charges :
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincin g
Not sur e
48% 78% 71% 61% 34% 22%
37% 10% 20% 21% 48% 68%
14% 12% 9% 18% 18% 10%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservativeFailed to Repor t
Donations:
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convin cing
Not sur e
52% 87% 66% 65% 41% 25%
34% 5% 24% 22% 42% 58%
14% 8% 10% 13% 17% 17%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservativeMaking Millions
from Deadbeat Co.:
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincin g
Not sur e
62% 86% 85% 77% 46% 36%
26% 11% 12% 9% 33% 53%
13% 4% 3% 13% 21% 11%
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7/27/2019 Better Georgia/PPP October Poll
10/17
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Support/Oppose
Repaling Incom e
Tax, Raising Sales
Tax
Support
Oppose
Not sur e
40% 31% 26% 33% 45% 54%
44% 50% 53% 54% 38% 29%
17% 20% 21% 13% 18% 17%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Support/Oppose
Accp et ing Me di caid
Funds
Support
Oppose
Not sur e
60% 79% 84% 74% 45% 38%
26% 14% 13% 14% 34% 45%
14% 7% 3% 12% 21% 18%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
l iberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservativeSupport/Oppose
Preventing
Employee
Misclassif ication
Support
Oppose
Not sur e
54% 67% 66% 66% 46% 34%
26% 16% 19% 19% 28% 40%
21% 17% 15% 15% 26% 26%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Deal Approval
Ap pr ove
Disapprove
Not sur e
34% 14% 55% 34%
41% 66% 17% 38%
25% 20% 29% 27%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Deal or Dem
Opponent
Nath an Deal
Democratic
opponent
Not sure
45% 9% 7 9% 47%
41% 80% 6% 33%
15% 11% 15% 20%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Deal/Carter
Nath an Deal
Jason Carter
Not sur e
44% 7% 8 1% 43%
40% 80% 6% 32%
16% 13% 13% 25%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Ethics Charges :
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not sure
48% 73% 25% 46%
37% 12% 64% 35%
14% 14% 11% 19%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Failed to Report
Donations:
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not sur e
52% 81% 26% 48%
34% 12% 55% 35%
14% 7% 1 9% 17%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Making Millions
from Deadbeat Co.:
Convincing Reason
to Vo te a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not sure
62% 88% 34% 64%
26% 7% 4 8% 20%
13% 5% 1 8% 16%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Support/Oppose
Repaling Incom e
Tax, Raising Sales
Tax
Support
Oppose
Not sur e
40% 25% 53% 42%
44% 55% 34% 41%
17% 20% 13% 17%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Support/Oppose
Accpe ti ng Me dicaid
Funds
Support
Oppose
Not sure
60% 86% 39% 54%
26% 7% 4 5% 25%
14% 7% 1 6% 21%
Base
Party
Democrat Republican Independent/Other
Support/Oppose
Preventing
Em ployee
Misclassification
Support
Oppose
Not sur e
54% 65% 41% 56%
26% 16% 38% 21%
21% 18% 21% 23%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White
Af r ican -
Am er ican Other
Deal Approval
Appr ove
Disapprove
Not s ure
34% 44% 13% 32%
41% 30% 66% 32%
25% 26% 21% 36%
Base
Race
White
Af r ican-
Am er ican Othe r
Deal or Dem
Opponent
Nathan Deal
Democratic
opponent
Not su re
45% 61% 9% 47%
41% 23% 82% 28%
15% 16% 10% 25%
Base
Race
WhiteAf r ican -
Am er ican Other
Deal/Carter
Nathan Deal
Jason Carter
Not s ure
44% 61% 10% 33%
40% 24% 77% 30%
16% 15% 14% 37%
Base
Race
WhiteAf r ican-
Am er ican Othe r
Ethics Charges:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not su re
48% 37% 73% 48%
37% 50% 12% 34%
14% 13% 16% 17%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White
Af r ican -
Am er ican Other
Failed to Repo rt
Donations:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not convincing
Not s ure
52% 39% 82% 46%
34% 45% 13% 26%
14% 16% 6% 28%
Base
Race
White
Af r ican-
Am er ican Othe r
Making Millions
fro m Deadbeat Co.:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not su re
62% 50% 89% 57%
26% 34% 7% 26%
13% 16% 5% 17%
Base
Race
WhiteAf r ican -
Am er ican Other
Support/Oppose
Repaling Incom e
Tax, Raising Sales
Tax
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
40% 47% 28% 19%
44% 39% 51% 53%
17% 14% 20% 28%
Base
Race
WhiteAf r ican-
Am er ican Othe r
Support/Oppose
Accpe ti ng Me dicaid
Funds
Support
Oppose
Not su re
60% 51% 83% 49%
26% 34% 10% 20%
14% 15% 7% 31%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White
Af r ican -
Am er ican Other
Support/Oppose
Preventing
Employee
Misclassification
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
54% 52% 61% 40%
26% 28% 19% 29%
21% 20% 20% 32%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Deal Approval
Appr ove
Disapprove
Not su re
34% 21% 37% 30% 46%
41% 38% 42% 46% 29%
25% 42% 22% 24% 25%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Deal or Dem
Opponent
Nathan Deal
Democratic
opponent
Not s ure
45% 29% 47% 41% 56%
41% 50% 39% 44% 31%
15% 21% 14% 15% 13%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Deal/Carter
Nathan Deal
Jason Carter
Not su re
44% 21% 48% 43% 53%
40% 42% 40% 42% 35%
16% 38% 12% 15% 12%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Ethics Charges:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not s ure
48% 71% 47% 52% 31%
37% 17% 43% 34% 48%
14% 13% 10% 14% 21%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Failed to Repor t
Donations:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not su re
52% 71% 48% 55% 40%
34% 13% 43% 29% 44%
14% 17% 8% 16% 16%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Making Millions
fr om Deadbeat Co.:
Convincing Reaso n
to Vote a/g Deal?
Convincing
Not con vincing
Not s ure
62% 79% 60% 64% 51%
26% 17% 32% 20% 34%
13% 4% 8% 16% 15%
Base
Age
18 to29
30 to45
46 to65
Olderthan 65
Support/Oppose
Repaling Incom e
Tax, Raising Sales
Tax
Support
Oppose
Not su re
40% 21% 43% 41% 41%
44% 54% 47% 40% 43%
17% 25% 10% 19% 16%
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October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
October 7-8, 2013survey of 602 Georgia voters
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Support/Oppose
Accpe ting Medi caid
Funds
Support
Oppose
Not s ure
60% 67% 62% 61% 54%
26% 13% 28% 26% 30%
14% 21% 10% 14% 15%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Support/Oppose
Preventing
Employee
Misclassification
Support
Oppose
Not su re
54% 58% 58% 55% 42%
26% 8% 28% 28% 26%
21% 33% 13% 17% 31%