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Sandra Brown IPv4 Market Group February 24, 2016
IPv4 Pricing and Transfer Update APNIC 41
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IPv4 Life Cycle
• Events – ARIN Runout – RIPE Inter-RIR Transfers – /8s come to market – IPv6 Adoption
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Factors Affecting Pricing
• Supplies are being bought up in ARIN region, following run out in July 2015
-‐
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
IP TRA
NSFER
S # OF IP TRANSFERS PER YEAR IN ARIN REGION
3
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Factors Affecting Pricing • RIPE Inter-RIR Transfers: Possible since
September 2015; Prices have equalized across regions
• IPv6 Deployment: Will reduce demand for IPv4 in the long term; Applications still need to support IPv6
• Use of CGN: Stretches use of IPv4 and reduces price pressure
• Supply of IPv4: As more IPv4 comes to market, such as /8s, prices are pushed down
• Demand for IPv4: Increased demand for cloud applications; population growth
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Price Trends over Time
Inflection point in Sept 2015 – prices increased for /16 and larger blocks 5
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
Price Pe
r IP
IPv4 TransacDons Over Time -‐ /16 Blocks
2011 Sept 2015
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APNIC Transfer Activity
6
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
/24 /23 /22 /21 /20 /19 /18 /17 /16 /15 /14 /13 /12
# OF TR
ANSFER
S
BLOCK SIZE
# OF TRANSFERS PER BLOCK SIZE
# OF TRANSFERS
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APNIC Transfer Activity
7
-‐
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
/24 /23 /22 /21 /20 /19 /18 /17 /16 /15 /14 /13 /12
# OF IPS TR
ANSFER
RED
BLOCK SIZE
# OF IPS TRANSFERRED PER BLOCK SIZE
# OF IPS TRANSFERRED
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Predictions for the Future • We are not at the top of the IPv4 Price
Curve: Prices will continue to rise somewhat
• /8s will continue to come to market, keeping prices reasonable
• The shortage of IPv4 addresses in APNIC region is being filled from ARIN region for now
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