AN INTEGRATED ASSESSENT OF IMPACTS, AN INTEGRATED ASSESSENT OF IMPACTS, ADAPTATION AND VULNERABILITY INADAPTATION AND VULNERABILITY INWATERSHED AREAS AND COMMUNITIESWATERSHED AREAS AND COMMUNITIESIN SOUTHEAST ASIAIN SOUTHEAST ASIA
Juan M. PulhinEkawati S. Wahyuni
Objectives of the Presentation
To briefly discuss: Overview of the research
project Analytical and
methodological gaps before the workshop
Proposed analytical and methodological tools to address gaps and influence decision makers being targeted by the project
Overview Watersheds and their importance
in the Philippines critical to economic development
and environmental protection More than 70% of the total land
area lies within watersheds 421 principal river basins, 18 of
which are major basins with drainage areas of more than 140,000 ha
> 1.5 M ha of agricultural lands derive irrigation water from watersheds
Hydropower major energy source 18-20M people living in uplands
Project objectives Assess the impacts of climate change to water
resources, forest ecosystems, and social systems of the watersheds;
Conduct integrated vulnerability assessment of natural and social systems in the watershed areas;
Develop adaptation strategies for natural water resources, forests ecosystems and social systems;
Promote stakeholder participation in the research process;
Contribute to peer reviewed literature; and Help build capacity of local scientists to conduct
integrated assessment studies.
Research Methods Study will focus on a watershed each in
the Philippines (Pantabangan watershed) and Indonesia (Tulang Bawang Watershed).
Stakeholders will be involved at various steps of the research process
Local communities will also be able to participate in impact assessment and adaptation planning
GMC Climate Scenario
National Climate Scenario
Land use and cover Change in the Watershed Impacts on water,
forests and communities
Adaptation Assessment
Vulnerability Assessment
General Conceptual framework of the study (Original)
Research Framework at the Watershed Level
Climate change scenario
Biophysical factors
THE WATERSHED SYSTEM
Forest/carbon budget
WaterBudget
Land use and land cover change
Socio-economic political factors
Local communities
Expected Outcomes
results will be useful to national policy makers as well as watershed planners in SE Asian countries
enable local communities in watershed areas to adapt to climate change
ANALYTICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL GAPS BEFORE THE WORKSHOP
Balancing “top-down” with “bottom-up” analysis to make assessment more robust
Engaging the stakeholders’ participation in the research process
Promoting the use of the research outputs by decision makers
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL GAPSBalancing top-down with bottom-up
approach Revised research framework to incorporate
current coping strategies and vulnerability assessment
Methods: Assessment of current vulnerability and adaptation strategies of relevant stakeholders
Tools: Stakeholder/Institutional Analysis, PRA techniques (time lines, focus group discussions, seasonal calendar, wealth ranking, in-depth interviews)
GMC Climate Scenario
National Climate Scenario
Land use and cover Change in the Watershed Impacts on water,
forests and communities
Future Vulnerability Assessment
Future Adaptation Assessment
Climate Variability/ Extremes and Current Coping Mechanisms
Current Vulnerability Assessment
General Conceptual framework of the study (Revised)
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Engaging the stakeholders’ participation in the research process
Method: Multi-spatial, Multi-level Stakeholder Analysis/Involvement from on-site and downstream communities and
institutions to the regional and national agencies/groups, to the policy makers at the various stages of the research process (Scenario building, present and future vulnerability and adaptation assessment/planning)
Tools: Various tools on SA and Participation,
Multisectoral consultation, Facilitation
Methods
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Promoting the use of research outputs by decision makers
Wide range of decision makers involved in the project: from the de facto resource users to the policy makers
Challenge: build awareness and interest on climate change in different sectors in the process of conducting the research
Approach: Move from a “laboratory-oriented” to a more stakeholder-oriented”, advocacy type of research
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Promoting the use of research outputs by decision makers
Tools: Various tools on SA and Participation,
Multi-sectoral consultation, IEC tools Specifics (other than those mentioned already):
Development of IEC materials such as posters, website, etc. Presentation of project concepts/outputs in local and national
seminars/for a/symposia, etc. Incorporation of climate change topics in existing university
courses or development of new courses and student researches
Use of spatial analysis (GIS) to better communicate research results
Bringing research results in the halls of the Congress.
CONCLUSION
Both the research process and outputs are important to influence decision makers
If stakeholders are aware and involved, the likelihood that they will use the research outputs/results increases
In climate change assessment, the challenge is to put more human dimension and local perspectives into the modeler’s equation
Thank you!