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Air Warfare CentreAir Warfare CentreOperational Analysis ElementOperational Analysis Element
Alan CowdaleAlan CowdaleSenior Scientific AdviserSenior Scientific Adviser
RAF WaddingtonRAF Waddington
Operational Analysis Support to Operational Analysis Support to RAF During Operation TELICRAF During Operation TELIC
PurposePurpose
Provision of Timely,Provision of Timely,Integrated Mission Support Integrated Mission Support
at the at the OperationalOperational,,
TacticalTactical & & TechnicalTechnical Levels of Warfare.Levels of Warfare.
SenSciAdv TORSenSciAdv TOR
‘… ‘… responsible for conducting studies responsible for conducting studies and providing Operational Analysis and and providing Operational Analysis and scientific advice to CinC STC and his scientific advice to CinC STC and his staff on any issue which affects the staff on any issue which affects the conduct of Air Operations.’conduct of Air Operations.’
Operation Analysis Operation Analysis
Support to OperationsSupport to Operations Prepare to Support OperationsPrepare to Support Operations
– staff trainingstaff training– model developmentmodel development– database constructiondatabase construction
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar
Impact Trace
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
-2500 -2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Cross Track
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar ACHQ - PSAB Saudi ArabiaACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia
ACHQ QuestionsACHQ Questions
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar ACHQ - PSAB Saudi ArabiaACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia CFACC - PSAB Saudi ArabiaCFACC - PSAB Saudi Arabia
Operational Objective Achievement IndicatorsOperational Objective Achievement Indicators
80%MA.
40% 80%HD.
40% 80%LB.
40% 80%MC.
40% 80%LE.
40%
CFACHQCFACHQ
Strategy to Task AnalysisStrategy to Task Analysis Counter AirCounter Air
– Counter IADSCounter IADS destroy C2 nodesdestroy C2 nodes
– FOE physical destruction of key nodesFOE physical destruction of key nodes
– DE IADS unable to coordinate defenceDE IADS unable to coordinate defence
– MOE1 % of IADS nodes destroyedMOE1 % of IADS nodes destroyed
– MOE2 no loss of aircraft to IADSMOE2 no loss of aircraft to IADS
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar ACHQ - PSAB Saudi ArabiaACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia Squadron SupportSquadron Support
– Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4– Al Udied - Tornado GR4Al Udied - Tornado GR4– Al Jabr - Harrier GR7Al Jabr - Harrier GR7
DOB QuestionsDOB Questions
Segments
OAE OutputsOAE Outputs
UK performance databaseUK performance database– ATOATO– mission reportsmission reports– imageryimagery– TIALD videoTIALD video– interviewinterview
airframe databaseairframe database
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar ACHQ - PSAB Saudi ArabiaACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia Squadron SupportSquadron Support
– Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4– Al Udied - Tornado GR4Al Udied - Tornado GR4– Al Jabr - Harrier GR7Al Jabr - Harrier GR7
PJHQPJHQ– Storm ShadowStorm Shadow
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar ACHQ - PSAB Saudi ArabiaACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia Squadron SupportSquadron Support
– Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4Ali Al Salem - Tornado GR4– Al Udied - Tornado GR4Al Udied - Tornado GR4– Al Jabr - Harrier GR7Al Jabr - Harrier GR7
PJHQPJHQ– Storm ShadowStorm Shadow
Home TeamHome Team
OAE StaffingOAE Staffing NCHQ - QatarNCHQ - Qatar ACHQ - PSAB Saudi ArabiaACHQ - PSAB Saudi Arabia Squadron SupportSquadron Support PJHQPJHQ Home TeamHome Team
– IMSIMS
Home Team QuestionsHome Team Questions
Post ConflictPost Conflict
Post ConflictPost Conflict
Support to Lessons IdentifiedSupport to Lessons Identified Campaign AnalysisCampaign Analysis Aircrew QuestionnaireAircrew Questionnaire Coalition Weapon Effectiveness TeamCoalition Weapon Effectiveness Team
Al Taji IOCAl Taji IOC
LessonsLessons
LessonsLessons
Need to be readyNeed to be ready– staff trainingstaff training– toolstools– datadata
Need connectivityNeed connectivity– internallyinternally– externallyexternally
MissionMission
““To determine what the user wants, what he To determine what the user wants, what he ought to want, what he gets, what he ought to ought to want, what he gets, what he ought to get; and what he ought to have and do in order get; and what he ought to have and do in order to get what he ought to want out of what he to get what he ought to want out of what he gets.”gets.”
Robert Watson-Watt 1942Robert Watson-Watt 1942
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