Download - AGENDA - BPA.gov
![Page 1: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
AGENDA
AGENDA for Feb 1st - Our 2017 Strategy - Push v. Maintain - EISA: What’s to Come? - Lighting Update
![Page 2: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
ETHAN MANTHEY
![Page 3: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
![Page 4: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
CARRIE COBB
![Page 5: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
DRAFT PLANS FOR 2017
Research Strategy Development
![Page 6: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Time of Transition
• Changing research vendor
• Undergoing RTF review on lighting models
• Rethinking project structures
• “Consumption” perspective vs. “Savings” perspective – Where is consumption changing?
• NEEA taking on HVAC sales data collection; discussion on role for non-res lighting
• Standards uncertainty
![Page 7: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
2017 Market Research Team
Priorities • Onboarding new contractor
• Expanding into new markets with stage-gate approach
• Integration and data sharing with transmission planning & load forecasting
• Continuing positive RTF relationship
• Providing information on market trends to programs
• Commercial Building Stock Assessment (CBSA)
• Providing information on consumption and market trends to region via monthly call, conferences, videos
![Page 8: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Any thoughts on priorities?
![Page 9: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Criteria for future studies
• The market is a large driver of regional energy consumption
• The market is undergoing changes
that impact its total market consumption
![Page 10: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
![Page 11: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Non-residential lighting
• Data gaps in outdoor lighting (OLSA)
• Tying model to CBSA
![Page 12: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Residential HVAC
• Build on current base of ASHP box
• End-goal: Comprehensive end-use model using all fuels
• Holistic: entire heating and cooling system, many measures (connected thermostats, installation)
![Page 13: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Stage-gate New Markets
• Market Summary
• Draft Method, Market Actor Identification and Data Availability
• Model Module Scoping and Data Collection
• Model Development
• Data Collection
![Page 14: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Small, incremental project steps
• Small steps allow team to end or change a project
• Goal: better understanding of energy
consumption for the end-use and how this is changing
![Page 15: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
New Markets
• Commercial HVAC
• Residential Water Heating
• Data Centers
![Page 16: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Any new markets you’d like to
see us explore?
![Page 17: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Next steps
GOAL
The broad primary
outcome. It’s the ultimate thing
we are trying to accomplish.
STRATEGY
The approach we take to
achieve the goal.
OBJECTIVE
A measureable step we take to
achieve the strategy.
TACTIC
A tool we use in pursuing an objective
associated with the strategy.
METRIC
What we track to measure
progress
![Page 18: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
BONNIE WATSON
![Page 19: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
19
Efficiency as a power resource: Push vs. Maintain
February 1, 2017
![Page 20: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
20
Two Methods
MAINTAIN
![Page 21: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
21
MAINTAIN
PUSH: Creating energy efficiency where it wasn’t there before
MAINTAIN: Helping the
market remain as
efficient as it has been
![Page 22: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
What’s the goal?
![Page 23: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Why is this important?
![Page 24: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
Regional Load Forecast LO
AD
TIME
Load with EE resource
![Page 25: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Translation: Push LO
AD
TIME
PUSH
![Page 26: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Maintain LO
AD
TIME
MAINTAIN
![Page 27: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Sprinklers in Agriculture
27
![Page 28: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Spectrum of Efficiency
28
Mid-Elevation Spray Low-Elevation Spray Impact on Top
LEAST EFFICIENT MOST EFFICIENT
![Page 29: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
Current Practice
29
Mid-Elevation Spray Low-Elevation Spray Impact on Top
LEAST EFFICIENT MOST EFFICIENT
![Page 30: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
30
VS.
PUSH MAINTAIN
![Page 31: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
Push
31
Mid-Elevation Spray Low-Elevation Spray Impact on Top
LEAST EFFICIENT MOST EFFICIENT
![Page 32: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
Push
32
Mid-Elevation Spray Low-Elevation Spray Impact on Top
LEAST EFFICIENT MOST EFFICIENT
![Page 33: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
Maintain
33
Mid-Elevation Spray Low-Elevation Spray Impact on Top
LEAST EFFICIENT MOST EFFICIENT
![Page 34: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
Maintain
34
Mid-Elevation Spray Low-Elevation Spray Impact on Top
LEAST EFFICIENT MOST EFFICIENT
![Page 35: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
35
VS.
PUSH MAINTAIN
BPA Program
21%
79%
![Page 36: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
36
Discussion
![Page 37: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
CARRIE COBB
![Page 38: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
EISA 2020
Current status
![Page 39: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
Final Rule Released
• Expands scope to most reflector lamps
• Maintains 45 lumens per watt
![Page 40: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/40.jpg)
Path to the Federal Register
• Congressional Review Act (CRA)
• Executive orders and new legislation reducing regulations
![Page 41: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/41.jpg)
Future standards analysis
• End of 2017, BPA will look at regulation changes and if any will impact energy consumption under Seventh Plan
![Page 42: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/42.jpg)
…lighting market is moving fast
• 2016 Q3 NEMA national market estimate
– 32% LED
– 44% Halogen
• LEDs sold remain in sockets while halogens turn over
![Page 43: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/43.jpg)
JESSICA AIONA
![Page 44: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/44.jpg)
Lighting Studies: Updates
![Page 45: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/45.jpg)
Product catalogues
Market Intelligence Report
Learn about:
• Changes in the supply chain
• New all-LED “good, better, best” product lines
• Complexities in outdoor
lighting ownership
• EISA 2020’s scope
• Declining linear fluorescent
sales
• Remaining opportunities for
efficiency
Available in print and online in February!
![Page 46: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/46.jpg)
Product catalogues
GET THE
FACTS ON
RESIDENTIAL
LIGHTING
The Residential Consumption Model will be on the
RTF’s and BPA’s websites in late February
37% DECREASE IN
CONSUMPTION
302 aMW IN
MARKET SAVINGS
26% LED MARKET
SHARE IN 2015
![Page 47: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/47.jpg)
Residential lighting brownbags
Non-residential lighting momentum savings model will be submitted
to the RTF
What’s Next?
![Page 48: AGENDA - BPA.gov](https://reader030.vdocuments.us/reader030/viewer/2022011721/61d25f28756fa65e4005a8ad/html5/thumbnails/48.jpg)
See you next month! • Next meeting: March 1st