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WORKING DRAFT - NOT GOVERNMENT POLICY
A Research Agenda for the NZ labour market of the 2020s
Dr Rose Ryan, Manager Workforce and Workplace Evidence and Insights team
CLEW seminar: Working Life in New Zealand: The Big Issues
14 November 2019, VictoriaUniversity, Wellington
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WORKING DRAFT - NOT GOVERNMENT POLICY
Overall trends
• New Zealand has a dynamic labour market, with high levels of participation.
• The workforce is also comparatively highly skilled and qualified.
• The current forecasts suggest a continued growth in employment (particularly those in skilled occupations and across service-based industries).
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But how do we:•Manage the challenges of diversity and inclusion?•Respond to future skill challenges arising from technological change?•Make full use of the capacity and capability of the population?•Get a better understanding of the way that work and working contributes to wellbeing?
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WORKING DRAFT - NOT GOVERNMENT POLICY
Employment rate at record high levels
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Labour force participation rate also remains high
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WORKING DRAFT - NOT GOVERNMENT POLICY
Medium to long-term employment outlook –looking ahead to 2028
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Impact of global megatrends
Climate change
Technological change
Demographic change
Globalisation
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How can we make best use of the capacity and capabilities of our population?
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NEET rates continue to be a focus
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Managing the challenges of diversity and inclusion
• European peoples have higher proportions of their working age population in the prime and older age groups.
• Māori, Pacific, and Asian peoples were in the younger age groups.• The proportion of Māori, Pasifika and Asian workers will increase as the proportion of European
workers decline with aging.
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Preparing the labour market for future skill challenges
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Challenges for the future – technological change
• Automation, digitalisation and AI• Opportunities and challenges• Who will be most affected?• Initial training vs re-training
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NZ has a highly skilled workforce, but there is a high skills mismatch
Among OECD countries, NZ adults reported the highestproportion of mismatch in their qualifications and in their field-of-study, in their jobs.
Data sources: PIAAC (OECD, 2016).
Qualifications mismatch
Field-of-study mismatch
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Work and wellbeing – what is the role of job quality?
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Summary findings from Survey of Working Life (2018)
• Employment relationships and multiple job-holding• Non-standard working relationships• Work-related training• Skills matching• Job security and tenure• Workplace autonomy• Harassment and bullying• Job strain• Job satisfaction
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Developing workforce wellbeing
Climate change
Technological change
There is a need to:
• Develop human capital
• Invest in skills of the future
• Encourage lifelong learning
• Leverage technology to generate opportunities for decent and meaningful work
• Strengthen labour/employment/ income protection
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Conclusion and questions?
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