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TheThe
Climate Service CenterClimate Service Center
Guy P. BrasseurIrene Fischer-Bruns
Climate Service Center - Germany Hamburg
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Weather Prediction compared with Satellite Observations
ECMWF predictions and Meteosat observations
The First Grand Challenge: Numerical Weather Prediction
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A1B is a typical “business as usual” scenario (2090-2099):
(2090-2099)(2090-2099)
The Second Grand Challenge: Predicting Climate Change
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Courtesy of Julia Slingo
The Third Grand Challenge: Understanding the Earth as a
Complex Nonlinear Interactive System
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“International framework for climate services that links
science-based climate predictions & information
with the management of climate-related risks & opportunities
in support of adaptation to climate variability & change
in both developed & developing countries”
WCC-3 Vision
To develop an
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Climate projections
Global modelsdownscaling
Climate IndicatorsHeat waves, drought/floods
Impact studiesSocio-economy, Ecosystems,
HealthDevelop Interdisciplinarity
Decision support toolsDedicated analyses
Interactions with users/stakeholders
Support Innovation : eg EIT
Energy supplyThreshold diurnal
amplitude
Maize yield change
Heat index (ENSEMBLES FP6)
Climate Observations
From: Sylvie Joussaume
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There are many economic sectors that will benefit from and contribute to Climate Services …
Users of climate information
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Energy sector, especially renewable energies
Users of climate information
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and urban planning; construction
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management; fisheries
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management; fisheries Forestry; land management;
landscape protection
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management, fisheries Forestry; land management;
landscape protection Civil protection; environmental security; human health
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Users of climate information
Energy sector, especially renewable energies Financial services and insurances Transport, infrastructure; trade and commerce Regional and and urban planning; construction Agriculture; food availability Water management Coastal management; fisheries Forestry; land management; landscape protection Civil protection; environmental security; human health Tourism and leisure industry
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The Climate Service Center (CSC) was established in Hamburg by the German Federal Government as part of their “High-Tech” strategy to reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts.
Climate Service Center
CSC is a federal institution administered by GKSS. It will include 20 staff members (base funding from BMBF) and additional staff supported by external projects (EU, BMBF, states, industry, financial sector, etc.)
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Immediate Goals
Coordination and dissemination of user-friendly climate information produced by German institutions
Improved transfer of information from the research to users and initiation of research activity to address users’ requirements
Production of concrete climate-related information to fulfill the stated needs of the users/customers
Synthesis and evaluation of latest outcome of climate and environmental research
Transfer of requests from users to the network of German research institutions
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Longer-term Goals
Developing prediction systems for global, regional, and local prediction of climate change and their impacts on ecosystems, hydrological system, air quality, health in Germany and elsewhere
Development of effective strategies towards reduction and adaption to climate impacts
Contribution to the development of other Climate Services, e.g. in Africa, with emphasis on issues like drought, food availability, forest management, etc.
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It is promoting partnerships to focus on
interactions between science and society the integration of climate research & application needsPAGE 21
Network & Partnerships (1)
The CSC was established as a national,
research-based service facility in a
strong network of partner institutions
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Partnerships (2)
CSC develops interactions with stakeholders
who can benefit from the knowledge provided
by the network
It develops decision-making processes to help
ensure effective applications of
science to societal needs
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The CSC is building up partnerships with
- Decision makers in business and industry
- Non-governmental organizations
- Local, national & internat. governmental agencies
It will work together closely with
- Universities
- National and international research institutions
- Environmental research & assessment programs
Partnerships (3)
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The National Context (in Germany)
CSC is coordinating and promoting efforts conducted by
a large network of institutions:
1) Ministries (Research, Environment, Transport)
2) Research Institutions (Max Planck, Helmholtz, Universities…)
3) Regional Climate Offices of HGF
4) Meteorological Service (DWD)
5) Private Sector (energy, insurance, finances…)
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The International Context
USANational Climate Services (NOAA)Climate Central, Princeton
CanadaOURANOS, MontrealPacific Institute for Climate
Solutions (PICS),Victoria
UKHadley CentreWalker Institute
GermanyClimate Service Center, HamburgRegional Climate Offices
The World Climate Conference-3Geneva, 2009
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Planned Organization
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Director Executive Assistant (General Coordination) Strategy Development, Management of BMBF Project & Budget Organization of Workshops / other professional events Project Management, Elaboration and distribution of CSC Products Network Management & Customer Service
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Planned Organization
Data analysis and processing
of climate projections
(multi-model ensembles)
Project DevelopmentTranslation of knowlegde for the needs of
different sectors
Support of studies by groups of experts
Website, Media-
Development
External contacts
(sectors, press)
Organization of interdisciplinary courses and
events
Processing of individual requests
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• Networking, initiation of cooperations & partnerships
• Website, PR and media presence• Processing of individual customer requests• Publications, newsletters & annual CSC
conferences• Realization of expert workshops• Provide specialized lecturers• Initiation of practice- and customer-
oriented projects• Participation in the (inter)national climate
debate
Products and Services
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Preliminary discussions for extension of CSC network
(PIK, GFZ, UFZ, AWI, “Regional Climate Offices”, UBA etc) Visit to several Bundesländer (Niedersachsen, Sachsen,
South German Länder, etc.) Participation Brasseur in the visit of Prof. Dr. Mrs. Schavan,
Minister of Science, in Washington (workshop at NSF) Session at the Summer AGU Assembly (Brazil)
on Climate Services (Convenor: Brasseur)
Recent Achievements (1)
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A cooperation agreement with the Shanghai
Meteorological Bureau (SMB) focusing on climate services A series of workshops with GDV (Feb 2010, April 2010, …) Meeting of the European Global Change Forum
(industry, NGO) at CSC in March 2010
Recent Achievements (2)
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Study of the trends in the global temperature records
by an international group of experts, and publication
of a study report
Workshop on „What after Copenhagen?“
Development of a research project on the prediction
of convective events and the related damages in
Europe (follow-up of symposium with insurance
companies)
Possible Initiatives
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Conclusions (1)
Climate variability and change have considerable
consequences on the Earth’s ecosystems and on
human societies
Climate science has made major advances during
the last two decades. However, the knowledge has
to be translated into user-friendly climate information
Climate Service Centers build bridges between
climate science and societal /applicational needs
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We need an integrated system with:
Coherent observations, data systems, and shared
standards that allow easy exchanges of data
Reliable prediction models on seasonal, interannual,
decadal variability of extreme regional weather events
Sufficient computer resources to develop and implement
the required high-resolution global physical climate models
Human resources that conduct innovative research
Climate Services that deliver science-based information
to society
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Thank you.Thank you.
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Management (External Bodies)
Not yet decided by BMBF…. But probably:
Steering Committee with representatives of Ministries and Helmholtz Association
Partner Forum (DWD, MPI-M, Kompass, etc.)
Advisory Panel (ad hoc for specific problems)
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reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts
maintain or enhance adaptability of natural, societal, and economic systems
German Adaptation Strategy
Sustainable planning and acting requires to widen the knowledge base create transparency and participation support stakeholders by providing the basis for decision-making raise awareness and provide information through broad public relations develop strategies to deal with uncertainties
The German Adaptation Strategy aims toThe German Adaptation Strategy aims to