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Page 1: 2016 - News.com.aumedia.news.com.au/weeklytimes/pdf/BOM-Forecast... · May-july sept-nov forecast actual forecast actual 2016 May-july sept-nov forecast actual forecast actual chance

outlook failure Bureau of Meteorology’s 3-month forecast versus actual rainfall

2018july-septMay-july

actual actualforecast forecast

2017sept-novMay-july

actual actualforecast forecast

2016sept-novMay-july

actual actualforecast forecast

chance of exceeding median rainfall %

757065605550454035302520 80

forecast percentage of mean rainfallactual

400%300%200%150%125%100%80%60%40%20%0%

sept-novMay-july

actual actualforecast forecast

2015

sept-novMay-july

forecast

2014

sept-novMay-july 2013

sept-novMay-july 2012

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actual forecast actual

forecast actual forecast actual

forecast actual forecast actual

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