Transcript
Page 1: 2013 State of the Community Report

2013 STATE OF THE COMMUNITY REPORT

Page 2: 2013 State of the Community Report

Paige ZinnPrincipal, Jennings

Board Chair, Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce

Page 3: 2013 State of the Community Report

Use #CHCSOTCIf you’re tweeting this event

Page 4: 2013 State of the Community Report

Lacy PresnellGeneral Counsel, NC Department of Energy & Natural Resources

Board Chair, Triangle Community Foundation

Page 5: 2013 State of the Community Report

Provost Jim DeanUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Page 6: 2013 State of the Community Report

Aaron Nelson, President and CEOChapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce

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Presenting Sponsor

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Gold Sponsors

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Bronze Sponsor

Fordham Blvd./Meadowmont

Page 10: 2013 State of the Community Report

Breakfast Sponsor

Page 11: 2013 State of the Community Report

Background on this Report

• Our Sixth State of the Community Report

• Born out of graduate student research at UNC

• Social, Economic, and Health Indicators

• Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders

• Chamber + The Partnership

Page 12: 2013 State of the Community Report

The Partnership

• Chamber’s Community and Economic Development Partner– Community Leadership Development– Non-Profit Incubation and Fiscal Agency– Community Convening/Problem Solving– Research and Information Sharing– Fourth Sector and Social Enterprise support

Page 13: 2013 State of the Community Report

Demography

Page 14: 2013 State of the Community Report

Community PopulationJurisdiction 2000 2012 Pop Growth Growth Rate

Orange County 116,016 137,941 + 21,925 18.9% OR 1.6%/year

Hillsborough 5,513 6,271 +758 13.8% OR 1.1%/year

Carrboro 17,668 20,433 +2,765 15.6% OR 1.3%/year

Chapel Hill 48,038 58,424 +10,386 21.6% OR 1.8%/year

North Carolina 8,078,824 9,752,073 +1,673,249 20.7% OR 1.7/year

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 15: 2013 State of the Community Report

U.S. Census Bureau

Population Growth

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

116,016138,575

17,66820,433

48,038 58,433

5,513 6,271

Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough

Page 16: 2013 State of the Community Report

Population ProjectionsCounty 2015 2020 Growth Rate

(vs 2010) 2025 Growth Rate(vs 2010)

ALAMANCE 156,395 162,004 +10,535 (7.0%) 167,614 +16,145 (10.7%)

CHATHAM 70,484 77,045 +13,294 (20.9%) 83,607 +19,856 (31.1%)

DURHAM 303,060 338,505 +67,208 (24.8%) 373,568 +102,271 (37.7%)

JOHNSTON 181,450 192,471 +22,839 (13.5%) 203,490 +33,858 (20.0%)

ORANGE 144,960 155,555 +21,253 (15.8%) 166,215 +31,913 (23.8%)

WAKE 1,008,721 1,114,464 +207,556 (22.9%) 1,220,207 +313,299 (34.5%)

NC Office of State Budget and Management

6.2% of 517,342 in projected 6-county growth

2.0% of projected state growth

Page 17: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Population by Race

Black or African American alone; 12.2%

American Indian and Alaska Native alone;

0.6%Asian alone, percent;

7.3%

Two or More Races; 2.5%

Hispanic or Latino; 8.2%White alone, not His-panic or Latino; 70.3%

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 18: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Orange County Population by Race

U.S. Census Bureau

1990 2000 2010 20120.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

80.1%

70.3%

15.7%12.2%

0.3%

8.2%2.5%7.3%

White African American Latino/Hispanic Asian

Page 19: 2013 State of the Community Report

Minority Races by Municipality (2012)

Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.0%

10.1% 9.7%

12.2%

22.0%

8.2%

11.9%

7.3%

2.5%

13.8%

6.4%

8.2% 8.7%

Two or More Races Black Asian Hispanic or Latino

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 20: 2013 State of the Community Report

Educational Attainment (2012)

U.S. Census Bureau

High School Graduate (or higher)

Bachelors Degree (or higher)0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%90.1%

54.6%

84.1%

26.5%

85.4%

28.2%

Orange CountyNorth CarolinaUnited States

Page 21: 2013 State of the Community Report

Educational Attainment (2012)

U.S. Census Bureau

High School Graduate (or higher)

Bachelors Degree (or higher)

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00% 90.6%

62.4%

94.1%

73.2%

90.1%

54.6% CarrboroChapel HillOrange County

Page 22: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Income Levels by Household

U.S. Census Bureau

Less than $10,0009%

$10,000 to $34,99924%

$35,000 to $74,99926%

$75,000 to $99,99913%

$100,000 to $149,999

12%

$150,000 to $199,999

7%$200,000+

9%

Page 23: 2013 State of the Community Report

2011 Per Capita Income by County

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Oran

geOn

slow

Cum

berla

ndCu

rritu

ckDu

rham

Moo

reGu

ilfor

d

Polk

Crav

enNo

rth

Caro

lina

Hend

erso

nUn

ion

Bunc

ombe

John

ston

Nash

Brun

swick

Gast

onDa

vids

on Lee

Beau

fort

Wilk

esAl

aman

ceW

ayne

Clev

elan

dRo

ckin

gham

Mar

tinM

acon

Perq

uim

ans

Burk

eSu

rry

Row

anFr

ankl

inVa

nce

Sam

pson

Rand

olph

Berti

eBl

aden

Pasq

uota

nkM

adiso

nAs

heJa

ckso

nDu

plin

Clay

Mitc

hell

Edge

com

beGa

tes

Gree

neCh

erok

eeTy

rrel

lW

arre

nAn

son

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

#1 $48,683 - Orange#2 $48,191 - Chatham

#6 $42,555 Wake#9 $38,654 - Durham

$36,028 NC

Page 24: 2013 State of the Community Report

Per Capita Liquor Sales FY12

Dare

Beaufort

Currituck

Cartere

t

New Han

over

Clay

Buncombe

Brunsw

ick

Wata

uga

Macon

Swain

Orange

Mecklen

burg

Cheroke

e

Guilford

Camden

Warr

en

Catawba

Hyde

Wak

e$0.00

$50.00

$100.00

$150.00

$200.00

$250.00

$300.00

$350.00

$400.00

$450.00

ABC Board through Business NC

Orange 12th

Wake 20th Durham 25th

Chatham 48th

Alamance 53rd

Page 25: 2013 State of the Community Report

Living

Page 26: 2013 State of the Community Report

Location of Orange County Housing Units

9,258 (16%)

2,593 (5%)

22,254 (40%)

21,492 (39%)

Carrboro HillsboroughChapel Hill Rest of County

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 27: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent Renter-Occupied

Carrboro

Hillsborough

Chapel Hill

Rest of Orange County

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

61.5%

35.9%

52.4%

18.1%

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 28: 2013 State of the Community Report

Home Ownership Rate (2011)

Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA

35.5%

49.1%

60.2%67.8% 66.1%

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 29: 2013 State of the Community Report

Number of Homes Sold in Orange County

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

15431686

1859 18861797 1749

12711140 1142 1126

1257

Page 30: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Average Residential Closing Prices

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$262,920

$342,740$321,326

$317,847

$329,918

$325,020$319,229

Page 31: 2013 State of the Community Report

Residential Building Permits

Home Builders Association of Durham, Orange, & Chatham* Through July 2013

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

54

5

135

Carrboro

Chapel Hill

Orange County (incl. Hillsborough)

Page 32: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill-Carrboro School District Median Sales Price per Sq Ft

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

$164

$160$157

$154

$149$146

Page 33: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Average Home Price per Square Foot

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

Durham Wake Chatham Orange$0.00

$20.00

$40.00

$60.00

$80.00

$100.00

$120.00

$140.00

$93.97 $106.14

$121.93 $134.05

Page 34: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Average Home Price by County

Triangle Multiple Listing Service

Durham Wake Chatham Orange$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

$350,000

$191,044

$251,665

$303,581 $319,229

Page 35: 2013 State of the Community Report

OC Housing Gross Rent

Less than $200

$200 to $299

$300 to $499

$500 to $749

$750 to $999

$1,000 to $1,499

$1,500 or more

0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% 35.00% 40.00%

1%

1%

6%

32%

31%

16%

8%

1%

1%

4%

23%

38%

21%

14%

2011

2007

U.S Census Bureau

Page 36: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Gross Rent as a Percent of Household Income

Less than 15.0 percent

15.0 to 19.9 percent

20.0 to 24.9 percent

25.0 to 29.9 percent

30.0 to 34.9 percent

35.0 percent or more

0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00%

7.7%

10.4%

8.4%

7.3%

9.0%

49.8%

9.9%

10.0%

13.2%

8.9%

5.6%

52.3%

2011

2007

U.S Census Bureau

Page 37: 2013 State of the Community Report

Commuting

Page 38: 2013 State of the Community Report

43,298 Live outside Orange County and drive in for work39,603 Live in Orange County and drive out of the county for work21,454 Live in Orange County and work in Orange County

U.S. Census Bureau

39,540 33,85020,662

Page 39: 2013 State of the Community Report

Commuting to Primary Jobs (2011)

Drive out for work Drive in for work Live and work here0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

6,909 6,7263,432

11,726 15,034

6,821

18,39818,756

9,857

> $40,000 $15,000-$40,000

<%15,000

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 40: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Workers’ Commuting Patterns 2002-2011

201120102009200820072006200520042003200225.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

50.00%

55.00%

60.00%

65.00%

70.00%

33.20%

41.70%

66.8%

58.3%

Employed and Living in the Selection AreaEmployed in the Selection Area but Living Outside

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 41: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Residents’ Commuting (2002-2012)

201120102009200820072006200520042003200225.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

50.00%

55.00%

60.00%

65.00%

70.00%

35.2%

45.1%

64.8%

54.9%

Living and Employed in the Selection Area

Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 42: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Town of Chapel Hill Employees Living in Chapel Hill Zip Codes

1995 2004 2008 20100%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45% 41%

30% 27%22%

Chart Title

Chapel Hill Data Book

Page 43: 2013 State of the Community Report

Distribution of UNC Chapel Hill’s 11,900 employees by home address

Orange

Durham

Wake

Alamance

Chatham

Person

Lee

Guilford

Randolph

Granvil

le0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

5820

227612421158 593

85 72 60 31 13

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 44: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Commuting to Work

Drove Alone, 66.8%Carpooled,

9.5%

Public Trans-portation8.3%

Walked; 5.3%

Other means; 3.8%

Work at home, 6.4%

U.S. Census Bureau

Page 45: 2013 State of the Community Report

Mean Travel Time to Work (Minutes)

U.S. Census Bureau

2011 Estimate2010 Estimate2009 Estimate2008 Estimate2007 Estimate17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

21.921.4

25.425.3

23.423.2

19.3

21

Orange County United States North Carolina Chapel Hill Carrboro

Page 46: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill Transit Ridership (millions)

FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY120

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

3.01

7.29 6.97

Chapel Hill Transit

Page 47: 2013 State of the Community Report

Wealth Migration

Page 48: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Wealth Migration 1992-2010

Net Loss of $49.97 Million in Adjusted Gross Income

Analysis of IRS Data

Page 49: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County (NC)Wealth Migration 1992-2010Gained Wealth

Santa Clara County, CA$15.7 million

Cook County, IL$13.8 million

Fairfax County, VA$15.6 million

Westchester County, NY$17.7 million

Fairfield County, CT$15.8 million

Analysis of IRS Data

Page 50: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chatham County$179 million

Alamance County$86.6 million

Durham County$83.1 million

Wake County$74 million

Fulton County, Georgia$10.3 million

Orange County (NC)

Wealth Migration 1992-2010Lost Wealth

Analysis of IRS Data

Page 51: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chatham County Wealth Migration1992-2010

GAINED WEALTH FROM:• Wake NC ($202 million)• Orange NC ($179 million) • Durham NC ($73 million)• Fairfax, VA ($20 million)• Santa Clara CA ($18 million)

Net Gain of $1.14 billion in Adjusted Gross Income

Analysis of IRS Data

Page 52: 2013 State of the Community Report
Page 53: 2013 State of the Community Report

Poverty

Page 54: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Persons Living Below Poverty Level (2011)

Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina USA0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

16.8%

22.1%

16.9% 16.1%14.3%

U.S Census Bureau

Page 55: 2013 State of the Community Report

55

Poverty and College Students

NC Average

Chapel

Hill

Monro

e

Salisb

ury

Goldsboro

Apex

Hickory

Kannap

olis

Huntersv

ille

Wilso

n

Burlingto

n

Rocky M

ount

Jacks

onville

Gasto

nia

Concord

Ashev

ille

Greenvil

le

High Point

Wilm

ington

Cary

Fayett

eville

Durham

Winsto

n-Salem

Greensb

oro

Raleigh

Charlotte

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%College Students in PovertyPercentage of Residents in Poverty (excluding college students)

Source: U.S. Census 2010

Page 56: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Economically Disadvantaged Students (Formerly Free or Reduced Lunch)

N.C Dept of Public Instruction

2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-120.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

32.6% 31.9%

39.8%41.6%

21.7% 22.2% 23.5%26.5%

Orange County

CHCCS

Page 57: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of CHCCS Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)

N.C Dept of Public Instruction

Carrboro High Sc

hool

Chapel Hill H

igh

C and L McD

ougle Mid

Elizabeth Se

awell Elem

Ephesus Road Elementary

Estes H

ills Elementary

East Chapel H

ill High

Frank P

Graham Elementary

Glenwood Elementary

Grey Culbreth M

iddle

Guy Phillip

s Middle

C and L McD

ougle Elem

Mary Scr

oggs Elementary

Morris G

rove Elementary

Mel and Zora Rashkis

Elem

R D and Euzelle

Smith

Middle

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

23%19%

25%

19%

47%

29%

18%

50%

23% 24% 26%

39%

23%27%

23% 25%

Page 58: 2013 State of the Community Report

N.C Dept of Public Instruction

Percent of Orange County Schools Students Receiving Free and Reduced Lunch (2011-12)

A L Stan

back M

iddle

Camero

n Park Elem

entar

y

Cedar

Ridge High

Centra

l Elem

entary

Charles

W St

anford

Middle

Eflan

d Cheeks

Elem

entar

y

Gravelly

Hill Middle

Grady Brown El

emen

tary

Hillsboro

ugh El

emen

tary

New Hope E

lementary

Orange

High

Pathway

s Elem

entar

y0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

45%37%

27%

83%

33%

65%

42% 42%

17%

59%

37%

49%

Page 59: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Families Receiving Food and Nutrition Services (Formerly Food Stamps)

NC Division of Social Services

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 39417 39783 40148 40513 40878 41102 41214 41377 414380

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

3088

6304

5137

Page 60: 2013 State of the Community Report

Working

Page 61: 2013 State of the Community Report

Unemployment Over Time

NC Department of Commerce

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 June

-

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

5.8 5.4 5.5

4.3

6.7 6.2 5.9

6.6

10.9 10.59.5 9.3

Chapel Hill Orange County North Carolina

Page 62: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill Residents Employed

NC Department of Commerce

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4142620,000

21,000

22,000

23,000

24,000

25,000

26,000

27,000

28,000

29,000

30,000

22,291

28,701

CH Employed

Page 63: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Residents Employment

NC Department of Commerce

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 4142660,000

62,000

64,000

66,000

68,000

70,000

72,000

62,438

70,377

Page 64: 2013 State of the Community Report

Unemployed Individuals

NC Department of Commerce

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 414260

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2,807

4,794

1000

1841

Orange County Chapel Hill

Page 65: 2013 State of the Community Report

Projected New Job Growth 2009-2014

Construction

Information

Prof/Scientific/Tech Services

Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services

Educational Services

Health Care/Social Services

Arts/Entertainment/Rec

Accommodation/Food Services

Public Administration

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

153

266

736

259

1,845

2,045

124

481

185

NC Department of Commerce

Page 66: 2013 State of the Community Report

Incubation and Start UpOpened Facility Size Enterprises serving in

2013

Mid Way Business Center 2001 5,000 sq ft 11

Piedmont Food & Ag Processing Center Oct 2011 10,400 sq ft 37

The Cube (UNC- Campus Y) Feb 2012 1,500 sq ft 18

LaUNCh Chapel Hill Feb 2013 3,300 sq ft 16

EntreDot Feb 2013 4,000 sq ft 30

1789 May 2013 3,500 sq ft 15

TOTALS 27,700 sq ft 127 enterprises

Page 67: 2013 State of the Community Report

Health and Safety

Page 68: 2013 State of the Community Report

Property Crime Rate (per 100,000)

Federal Bureau of Investigation

1991

1992

1993

1995

1996

1997

1999

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2008

2009

2010

2011

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

7095.1

2627.7

8209.6

3540.1

Chapel HillCarrboro

Page 69: 2013 State of the Community Report

Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000)

19911992

19931995

19961997

19992001

20022003

20042005

20062008

20092010

20110

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

706.4

182.9

817.6

262.2

Chapel HillCarrboro

Federal Bureau of Investigation

Page 70: 2013 State of the Community Report

Violent Crime Rate (1991-2011)

19911992

19931995

19961997

19992001

20022003

20042005

20062008

20092010

20110

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

182.9262.2

416

356.1

Chapel Hill CarrboroCharlottesville Athens

Federal Bureau of Investigation

Page 71: 2013 State of the Community Report

Property Crime Rate (1991-2011)

19911992

19931995

19961997

19992001

20022003

20042005

20062008

20092010

20110

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

2627.7

3540.13334.5

4160.9

Chapel Hill, NC Carrboro, NC

Charlottesville, VA Athens, GA

Federal Bureau of Investigation

Page 72: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-17 (per 1000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

19.014.2

50.0

20.826.1

11.3

White Minority Total

Page 73: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Pregnancy Rate Girls Age 15-19 (per 1000)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

15.35.3

53.6

27.4

36.6

31.9

82.2

55.3

23.1

13

White Minority Af-Am Non-Hispanic Hispanic Total

Page 74: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

12.0

6.17.5

2.6

29.7

9.6

Orange County County: White County: Minority

Page 75: 2013 State of the Community Report

Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

12.0

6.18.8 7.2

Orange County State

Page 76: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010)

Cancer

Disease

s of H

eart

Cerebrovascu

lar Dise

ase

Chronic L

ower Resp

irato

ry Disease

s

Alzheim

er's dise

ase

Pneumonia and Influenza

All Oth

er Unintentional In

juries

Suicide

Kidney Disease

Diabetes Mellit

us0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

200.0

Orange CountyNorth Carolina

Orange County Department of Health

Page 77: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Racial Disparity for Leading Causes of Death per 1000 (2010)

Cancer Diseases of Heart Cerebrovascular Disease

Chronic Lower Respiratory

Diseases

Diabetes Mellitus 0

50

100

150

200

250

Caucasian RateAfrican American, non-Hispanic Rate

Orange County Department of Health

Page 78: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Asthma in Hospital Discharges (per 1000)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

20

40

60

80

100

120

140All Ages Ages (0-14)

NC State Center for Health Statistics

Page 79: 2013 State of the Community Report

Air Quality:Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector

Orange County State of the Environment Report

Transportation, 49%

Residential; 19%

Commercial/Institutional,

29%

Solid Waste; 1% Industrial ; 2%

Page 80: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percentage of Obese Adults by County

NC State Center for Health Statistics

Orange County

Alamance County

Durham County

Wake County

North Carolina

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%

20.1%

32.8%

18.6%

28.4%

29.1%

Page 81: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percentage of Adults Who Smoke

NC State Center for Health Statistics

Orange County

Alamance County

Durham County

Wake County

North Carolina

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%

16.3%

29.0%

12.4%

14.1%

21.8%

Page 82: 2013 State of the Community Report

Lung/Bronchus Cancer Rate

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

74.8

76.5

63.3

69

61.4

59.5

NC State Center for Health Statistics

Page 83: 2013 State of the Community Report

Prostate Cancer Rate

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

153.7

168.7

141.6

166.9

141.8

178.8

NC State Center for Health Statistics

Page 84: 2013 State of the Community Report

All Cancer Frequency

NC State Center for Health Statistics

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

460 470 480 490 500 510 520 530

498.1

522.5

494.5

489.9

482.5

485.9

Page 85: 2013 State of the Community Report

Female Breast Cancer Frequency

NC State Center for Health Statistics

North Carolina

Alamance

Chatham

Durham

Orange

Wake

145 150 155 160 165 170 175

155.9

160.2

168.9

161.6

172.3

163.8

Page 86: 2013 State of the Community Report

Thirsty?

Page 87: 2013 State of the Community Report

Water Sales and Accounts

Page 88: 2013 State of the Community Report

Monthly Water & Sewer Bills

Page 89: 2013 State of the Community Report

Education

Page 90: 2013 State of the Community Report

School Funding Sources

CHCCS District

OCS District

State Average

$0 $2,000 $4,000 $6,000 $8,000 $10,000 $12,000

$4,971

$5,311

$5,355

$5,075

$3,128

$1,904

$503

$915

$1,158

State Funding

Local Funding

Federal Funding

NC Department of Public Instruction

Page 91: 2013 State of the Community Report

91

NC Average

Chapel Hill

Monroe

Apex/Cary/

Raleigh

Wilmington

Asheville

Wilson

Concord

Jacksonvill

e

Huntersville

/Charlotte

Hickory

High Point

Faye

tteville

Burlington

Winston-Sa

lem

Gastonia

Kannapolis

Goldsboro

Rocky M

ount

Greenville

Salisb

ury

Durham

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000Local Government (County and City School District) Federal Government State Government

NC Department of Public Instruction

Per Pupil Funding by School DistrictChapel Hill ranks second to Asheville in per pupil funding

Page 92: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percentage of Students At or Above Grade Level on ABCs End-of-Course Tests 2011-12

English I

Algebra I

Biology

70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% 95.0%

82.9%

78.7%

83.0%

93.4%

85.2%

87.5%

86.4%

79.0%

87.9%

OCS

CHCCS

NC

NC Department of Public Instruction

Page 93: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)

Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools

North Carolina

Orange County Schools

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

52.6%

54.2%

54.0%

94.6%

84.1%

84.7%

Not Economically Disadvantaged Economically Disadvantaged

NC Department of Public Instruction

Page 94: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Students Who Passed Both the Reading and Math ABCs End of Grade Tests (2011-2012)

Economically Disadvantaged

Not Economically Disadvantaged

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

52.6%

94.6%

54.2%

84.1%

54.0%

84.7%

Orange County Schools

North Carolina

Chapel Hill Carrboro Schools

NC Department of Public Instruction

Page 95: 2013 State of the Community Report

High School Graduation Rates

N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-1060.0%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

85.0%

90.0%

95.0%

100.0%

92.3% 93.5%

69.1%

87.4%

70.3%

83.1%

CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-yearOCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year

Page 96: 2013 State of the Community Report

School District Dropout Rate

N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

5.20%

2.46%1.92%

1.02%

5.71%

3.01%

OCS Rate CHCCS Rate NC Rate

Page 97: 2013 State of the Community Report

Black Student 4-year Graduation Rates

N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201350.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

85.0%

90.0%

95.0%

100.0%

73.6%

81.2%

55.3%

80.5%

60.4%

77.5%

CHCCS OCS NC

Page 98: 2013 State of the Community Report

Hispanic Student 4-Year Graduation Rates

N.C. Dept of Public Instruction

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201330

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

64.5%

77.6%

36.4%

79.7%

52.3%

75.3%

CHCCS OCS NC

Page 99: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Schools 4-Year Graduation Rate by Race

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201330.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

72.1%

83.3%

55.3%

80.5%

36.4%

79.7%

White Black Hispanic

NC Department of Public Instruction

Page 100: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools 4-Year Graduation Rate By Race

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201330

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

94.6% 95%

73.6%81.2%

64.5%

77.6%

White Black Hispanic

NC Department of Public Instruction

Page 101: 2013 State of the Community Report

Higher Education

Page 102: 2013 State of the Community Report

Durham Tech Student Performance

Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First Time Test Takers

Perfomance of College Transfer Students

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

80%

83%

87%

88%

96%

97%

Durham Tech

System Average

Standard

Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community

Page 103: 2013 State of the Community Report

Durham Tech Student Improvement

Passing Rates on Licensure/Certification Exams for First Time Test Takers

Perfomance of College Transfer Students

Business/Industry Satisfaction with Services Provided

84% 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98%

89%

89%

94%

96%

97%

97%

2012 Durham Tech

2011 Durham Tech

Durham Tech 2011-12 Report to the Community

Page 104: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill’s 29,278 students (2012)

18,503

8,262

2,513

undergraduate

graduate

professional

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 105: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC’s 11,900 Employees (Fall 2012)

3,608

8,292

Faculty (Total)

Non-Faculty Staff (Total)

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 106: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Student Housing by Location (2012)

8,885 (30%)

18,301

(63%)

807 (3%)1,144 (4%)

Resident Student Housing

Off-Campus

Fraternity & Sorority

Granville Towers (UNC Affil-iated)

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 107: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Undergrads Housed on Campus (Fall 2011)

Duke University

UNC- Chapel Hill

University of Virginia

Indiana University Bloomington

University of Michigan

University of California at Los Angeles

North Carolina State University

University Wisconsin at Madison

University of California at Berkeley

East Carolina University

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

84%55%

52%40%39%

36%34%

30%25%24%

Association of College and University Housing Officers International

Page 108: 2013 State of the Community Report

State Appropriations (UNC Chapel Hill)

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$107,782,727

$543,291,852

$486,492,294

Page 109: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Annual Revenue and Endowment

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

$0

$500,000,000

$1,000,000,000

$1,500,000,000

$2,000,000,000

$2,500,000,000

$3,000,000,000

$2.54 Billion

$486 Million

$2.16 Billion

TotalRevenues

StateAppropriations

Value ofEndowment

Page 110: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Annual Research Funding (1995-2012)

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$700,000,000

$800,000,000

$900,000,000

$275 Million

$767 Million

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 111: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Gross Square Feet (2000-2012)

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201210,000,000

11,000,000

12,000,000

13,000,000

14,000,000

15,000,000

16,000,000

17,000,000

18,000,000

19,000,000

20,000,000

12,311,526

18,833,503

UNC Office of Institutional Research and Assessment

Page 112: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill’s 56 Start-Up Companies

UNC Office of Technology Development

FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY130

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

3 3

1

6

1

7

1

5

7

9

13

Page 113: 2013 State of the Community Report

UNC Chapel Hill Patents

UNC Office of Technology Development

FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY130

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

143

25

U.S. Patent Applications U.S. Patents Issued

Page 114: 2013 State of the Community Report

Let’s Welcome Some Visitors

Anthony Carey, GM, Siena HotelChair, Chapel Hill-Orange County

Visitors Bureau

Page 115: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

68

70

72

69.9

67.165

58.9 59.6

64.165.4

67.3

Page 116: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD90

95

100

105

110

115

120

$108.00

$116.37$114.77

$107.35

$102.12 $101.61$104.35

$106.71

Page 117: 2013 State of the Community Report

Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Room Revenue (RevPAR, or revenue per available room, is a performance metric calculated by multiplying a hotel's average daily room rate (ADR) by its occupancy rate. )

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD

$63.3$60.9

$65.2

$68.3

$71.3

Chart Title

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

Page 118: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Tourism Spending (millions)

NC Department of Commerce

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$108.51

$152.22 $161.60

Page 119: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions)

• In 2012, visitors to Orange County generated 11.85 million in State and Local Taxes (including sales, lodging, food & beverage, gas and other)

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

Local State$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$9.00

$3.31 Million

$8.54 Million

Page 120: 2013 State of the Community Report

State and Local Tax Revenue from Travel to Orange County (millions)

NC Department of Commerce

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$8

$9

$10

$11

$12

$13

$11.85 Million

$4.5 Million

Page 121: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Tourism Related Jobs

20122011

20102009

20082007

20062005

20042003

20022001

20001999

19981997

19961995

19941993

19921991

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

1,700

1,800

1,900

1,650

1,280

Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau

Page 122: 2013 State of the Community Report

Marketing Orange County

As seen in The New Yorker As Seen in Conde Nast Traveler

Page 123: 2013 State of the Community Report

Marketing Orange County

As seen in Our State Magazine As seen in Wired magazine

Page 124: 2013 State of the Community Report

Taxes and Revenue

Page 125: 2013 State of the Community Report

Percent of Orange County Residential vs Commercial Property

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

86.0% 85.9% 86.1% 86.8% 87.2% 86.8%

14.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2%

Residental + Apartments Commercial

Orange County Tax Administration

Page 126: 2013 State of the Community Report

126

Chapel

Hill

Monro

e

Salisb

ury

Goldsboro

Apex

Hickory

Kannap

olis

Huntersv

ille

Wilso

n

Burlingto

n

Rocky M

ount

Jacks

onville

Gasto

nia

Concord

Ashev

ille

Greenvil

le

High Point

Wilm

ington

Cary

Fayett

eville

Durham

Winsto

n-Salem

Greensb

oro

Raleigh

Charlotte

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

1.6%

1.8%

Special School District Tax City or Town Tax County Tax

Composition of Property Tax Rates

NC Department of Revenue

Page 127: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange County Taxable Sales (Millions)

NC Department of Revenue

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

$500,000,000.00

$600,000,000.00

$700,000,000.00

$800,000,000.00

$900,000,000.00

$1,000,000,000.00

$1,100,000,000.00

$1,200,000,000.00

$1,300,000,000.00

907.5 million

1.175 Billion

Page 128: 2013 State of the Community Report

Orange Co. Gross Sales Tax Collections

NC Department of Revenue

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

2009-2010

2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

$0

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

$32.47 Million

$56.14 Million

Page 129: 2013 State of the Community Report

Sales Tax Per Capita

2011201020092008200720062005$100.00

$120.00

$140.00

$160.00

$180.00

$200.00

$220.00

$240.00

$260.00

$112.84

$170.35

$123.37

$170.72

$123.36

$184.80

$165.65

$197.87

ORANGE ALAMANCE CHATHAM DURHAM

John Locke Foundation

Page 130: 2013 State of the Community Report

2011 Per Capita Income by County

U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Oran

geOn

slow

Cum

berla

ndCu

rritu

ckDu

rham

Moo

reGu

ilfor

d

Polk

Crav

enNo

rth

Caro

lina

Hend

erso

nUn

ion

Bunc

ombe

John

ston

Nash

Brun

swick

Gast

onDa

vids

on Lee

Beau

fort

Wilk

esAl

aman

ceW

ayne

Clev

elan

dRo

ckin

gham

Mar

tinM

acon

Perq

uim

ans

Burk

eSu

rry

Row

anFr

ankl

inVa

nce

Sam

pson

Rand

olph

Berti

eBl

aden

Pasq

uota

nkM

adiso

nAs

heJa

ckso

nDu

plin

Clay

Mitc

hell

Edge

com

beGa

tes

Gree

neCh

erok

eeTy

rrel

lW

arre

nAn

son

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

#1 $48,683 - Orange#2 $48,191 - Chatham

#6 $42,555 Wake#9 $38,654 - Durham

$36,028 NC

Page 131: 2013 State of the Community Report

Sales Tax Per Capita Rankings201120102008200720062005

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

65

76

54

73

5554

17

39

ORANGE

ALAMANCE

CHATHAM

DURHAM

John Locke Foundation

Page 132: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Retail Demand vs Retail Sales

Orange County Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston$0

$500,000,000

$1,000,000,000

$1,500,000,000

$2,000,000,000

$2,500,000,000

$3,000,000,000

$3,500,000,000

$1.68 Billion

$769 Million

$3 Billion

$1.38 Billion

$1.67 Billion

$950 Million

$533 Million

$2.6 Billion

$1.55 Billion

$1.56 Billion

2012 Total Retail Demand 2012 Total Retail Sales

NC Department of Commerce

Page 133: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Retail Gap

Orange County

Chatham Durham Alamance Johnston

($200,000,000)

($100,000,000)

$0

$100,000,000

$200,000,000

$300,000,000

$400,000,000

$500,000,000

$600,000,000

$700,000,000

$800,000,000 $728 Million

$236 Million

$376 Million

($154 Million)

$60 Million

NC Department of Commerce

Page 134: 2013 State of the Community Report

2012 Retail Gap (Millions)

General Merchandise Stores

Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers

Food and Beverage Stores

Clothing/Accessories Stores

Gasoline Stations

Electronics & Appliance Stores

Sports/Hobby/Book/Music Stores

Health and Personal Care Stores

($250.0) ($200.0) ($150.0) ($100.0) ($50.0) $0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0

Chatham AlamanceOrange

NC Department of Commerce

Page 135: 2013 State of the Community Report

Some takeaways…• We have a strong, well-educated work force and an

increasingly diverse population.• Local municipalities share attributes but have also

have differences.• We are growing and will grow, but slower than our

neighbors as we take a small portion of regional growth and state population growth.

• We have a large disparity in wealth and continue to see increases in children in poverty

Page 136: 2013 State of the Community Report

Some takeaways…• Growth in Chapel Hill and Orange County employed

residents and growth in retail sales indicate economic improvement.

• A reliable, high quality water system is expensive• Housing prices have held steady, are ahead of our

peers, but price per square foot is declining.• The rental market is growing and lack of supply is

driving rates up quickly

Page 137: 2013 State of the Community Report

Some takeaways…• Fewer Orange County residents are working in the county

with in and out commute both increasing• Our two school districts continue to out perform their peers

and state averages• Minority student achievement is on the rise, specifically in

Orange County Schools• Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing .• Orange County per capita income is the highest and

unemployment is the lowest in the state, but per capita retails sales continues to lag substantially as the retail gap grows

Page 138: 2013 State of the Community Report

Some takeaways…

• Wealth migration has negative impact on Orange County, but a positive impact on our neighbors

• UNC and UNC Hospitals are key to our economy and their decline in state funding can have big negative impacts.

• Our economy and community are resilient. We were late into the recession and first out.

Page 139: 2013 State of the Community Report

Connect With Us• Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamber

• Twitter: @CarolinaChamber• Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber

• LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group• SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/carolinachamber

• www.carolinachamber.org

Page 140: 2013 State of the Community Report

slideshare.net/carolinachamber

Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.

Page 141: 2013 State of the Community Report

Presenting Sponsor

Page 142: 2013 State of the Community Report

slideshare.net/carolinachamber

Check the Chamber’s SlideShare account for the entire presentation.

Page 143: 2013 State of the Community Report

Table Sponsors

• Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau• Town of Carrboro• The Home Team• Orange County Economic

Development

Page 144: 2013 State of the Community Report

Community Champions

Page 145: 2013 State of the Community Report

Community Investor

Page 146: 2013 State of the Community Report

Platinum Master Sponsors

Page 147: 2013 State of the Community Report

Gold Master Sponsors

Page 148: 2013 State of the Community Report

Gold Master Sponsors


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