Download - 2 the blackspot investigation process
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Surabaya 30th & 31th May 2012
How to investigate a blackspot
Phillip Jordan, Consultant
Road Safety International Pty Ltd
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How to investigate a blackspot
Aims of this presentation:
to outline the blackspot investigation process
to encourage you to look for low cost, high benefit countermeasures
to show you some recent Indonesian blackspot investigations
to outline some of the lessons learnt
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On Indonesian highways and roads:
• Many crashes – mainly motorcycles, pedestrians
• Road safety is a growing community concern.
• Crash data – getting better and more accurate.
• Few “champions” of road safety engineering – yet!
• There is much to do to improve road safety.
• We (engineers) should start by treating blackspots.
• But limited experience with blackspot treatments.
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What is a Blackspot ?
In Victoria (Australia) – it is 3 casualty crashes in 5 years.
In 1980 when the Victorian blackspot program started – it was 12 casualty crashes in 3 years.
There has been great success over 30 years.
A blackspot is a location on a road which has a high number of crashes – fatal, serious or minor. It may be an intersection or it may be a length of road.
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For Indonesia we give:
• 10 points for each fatal crash
• 5 points for each serious casualty crash
• 1 point for all other crashes
• Any site with more than 15 points = blackspot
• Any 1km length with more than 30 points/km = black length
• This is the starting point as we sift through candidate sites.
What is a Blackspot ?
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Crash occurs
The sequence of actions in the whole blackspot process
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Crash occurs
Police
report
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
Data extracted
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
Diagnosis
Data extracted
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
Diagnosis
Data extracted
develop countermeasures
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
Design, then audit and then build
Diagnosis
Data extracted
Develop countermeasures
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
Monitor
Develop countermeasures
Design, then audit and then build
Diagnosis
Data extracted
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Crash occurs
Police
report
Stored in database
Monitor
Develop countermeasures
Design, then audit and then build
Diagnosis
Data extracted
?
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Part D Road safety engineering processes
Blackspot investigations
– 6 examples given
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Steps in the blackspot process
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To treat a blackspot:
1 Establish a list of blackspots
– Search Police crash data for high crash frequency sites.
– Seek one kilometre lengths with high numbers of crashes.
– Talk with the Police, use local knowledge. Identify those
intersections and lengths within each kilometre where it is
known there have been many crashes.
– Gather all the Police reports for the site – read them.
1
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Road safety engineering issues for
Indonesia
Police can assist with blackspot identification
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Road safety engineering issues for
Indonesia
Police can assist with blackspot identification
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Road safety engineering issues for
Indonesia
Police can assist with blackspot identification
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To treat a blackspot:
2 Obtain and read all Police crash report forms.
– Gain a “picture” of the crash history of the site.
– Work with Police – ask them for details of the crashes that may
not be in the reports.
2
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To treat a blackspot:
2a Draw a collision diagram.
– Easy to do – but messy, so do a rough draft first
– For each vehicle – draw an arrow to show its direction
– Show m/c, pedestrians, cars, trucks, buses differently
– Make sure that the point of impact is accurately shown
2a
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Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
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Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
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Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
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To treat a blackspot:
2b Draw a crash factor grid (Matrix)
– Easy to do – use Microsoft Excel if you have it.
– Paper will also do.
– For each crash – summarise all the known details in one
column.
– Add rows if extra information is known from the Police reports.
2b
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Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
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DEMAK BLACKSPOT (JALAN SEMARANG - KUDUS 18-19KM)
Crash Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
KM 18.2 18.3 18.3 18.3 18.5 18.6 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.8 18.8 18.8 19 19
Date 11/11/2011 24/03/2011 06/12/2011 23/02/2012 06/06/2011 11/04/2011 10/03/2012 10/07/2011 11/07/2011 27/02/2011 25/06/2011 19/08/2011 12/12/2011 10/07/2011 30/12/2011 31/12/2011 11/08/2011 29/01/2012
Time 14:30:00 16:30:00 15:30:00 07:00:00 07:50:00 06:15:00 21:45:00 02:00:00 13:30:00 15:00:00 16:30:00 07:30:00 13:00:00 10:30:00 00:15:00 12:30:00 08:15:00 10:00:00
Fatal 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1
Serious Injury 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Light Injury 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 1 1 2 1 0
Light Condition
Weather Fine Fine windy Fine Fine Fine Fine Fine Fine cloudy Fine Fine Fine Fine Fine Fine Fine Fine
Road Condition Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good
Vehicle 1 m/c m/c m/c m/c m/c m/c m/c Medium Truck Medium Truck m/c m/c m/c Unknown m/c m/c Heavy Truck Medium Truck Heavy Truck
Vehicle 2 Unknown Trailer Truck Unknown m/c m/c m/c Mini Bus m/c m/c m/c Heavy Truck m/c m/c
Vehicle 3 B double Truck
Accident type 61 4 63 7 6 9 5 74 81 63 2 64 94 21 66 31 63 5
Traffic controller 1 1 1 7 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Type Jalan 2 2 2 1 1 7 1 2 2 2 8 3 2 2 2 2 3 1
Bentuk Jalan 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
7 CRASHES AT ONE LOCATION
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Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
18.6 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.8
11/04/2011 10/03/2012 10/07/2011 11/07/2011 27/02/2011 25/06/2011 19/08/2011 12/12/2011 10/07/2011
06:15:00 21:45:00 02:00:00 13:30:00 15:00:00 16:30:00 07:30:00 13:00:00 10:30:00
1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 1
Fine Fine Fine Fine cloudy Fine Fine Fine Fine
Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good
m/c m/c Medium Truck Medium Truck m/c m/c m/c Unknown m/c
m/c m/c Mini Bus m/c m/c
9 5 74 81 63 2 64 94 21
1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7 1 2 2 2 8 3 2 2
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
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Draw Collision Diagram & Crash Factor Grid
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To treat a blackspot:
3 Diagnose the problem
Look at the Collision Diagram and the Crash Factor Matrix – are there any patterns?
Day time vs night time?
Wet vs dry?
Type of crash - head on, or run-off-road etc
Type of road user?
Direction of travel?
3
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To treat a blackspot:
4 Inspect the site – at the time that the patterns of crashes have happened!
If night time – inspect at night!!
Put yourself in the shoes of the people who had the crashes.
Ask - Why did they have their crash?
4
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To treat a blackspot:
4 Be logical ......
Only use countermeasures that will reduce the crashes
(For example, if crashes happened mainly during daytime,
do not install street lighting as a countermeasure).
$$ are always limited – so look first for low cost options.
(Don’t use a bomb to kill a mouse).
4
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•Inspect site – day and night.
•Assess likely causes.
•You are like a doctor at this
stage – diagnosing your patient
to prescribe the best medicine!
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• If a patient visits a doctor, the doctor asks about his illness.
• The doctor does not just guess about his illness – he does not want to
treat the patient for a headache when he has a heart problem.
• You are like a doctor at this stage – diagnosing your blackspot!
• The blackspot cannot speak – you have to look, listen and ask locals.
• This takes time, skill, patience and logic
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Review the Collision Diagram
Review the Crash Factor Grid
Use these on-site to help decide what countermeasures
are needed
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
18.6 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.7 18.8
11/04/2011
10/03/2012 10/07/2011 11/07/2011
27/02/2011
25/06/2011
19/08/2011
12/12/2011
10/07/2011
06:15:00 21:45:00 02:00:00 13:30:00
15:00:00
16:30:00
07:30:00 13:00:00
10:30:00
1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 1
Fine Fine Fine Fine cloudy Fine Fine Fine Fine
Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good Good
m/c m/c Medium
Truck Medium
Truck m/c m/c m/c
Unknown
m/c
m/c m/c Mini Bus
m/c m/c
9 5 74 81 63 2 64 94 21
1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7 1 2 2 2 8 3 2 2
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
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Police can assist with blackspot information
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Police can assist with blackspot information Police can assist with blackspot information
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Tips for the site inspection
• Visual deceit
– Not all drivers/riders see the road the same way.
– You need to try to look at the road as others “might”
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The driver’s view is straight ahead - but the road goes left!!
Visual deceit USA - RHS
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Visual deceit LHS
CRASH
The driver’s view is straight ahead - but the road goes left!!
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Pantura – East Java.
How/ why has this barrier been damaged?
Why would anyone run off the road here?
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Think of this highway at night!
Visual deceit
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To treat a blackspot:
5 Develop countermeasures – talk with colleagues,
with DGLT, with Police
Keep simple, keep low cost
Persevere – there will be many locations where
suitable countermeasures will be possible.
5
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Your list of low cost countermeasures
Signs – warning, regulatory, direction
Line marking
Delineation
Shoulder sealing
Roadside hazard removal
Geometric changes
Speed limits
Traffic signals
Roundabouts
Lighting
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To treat a blackspot:
6 Design, and then cost the work
- Finalise the design
- Work out the cost of the proposal
6
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To treat a blackspot:
7 Write your blackspot report
8 Send for approval for funding; put this site into the Works Program
Ensure to implement the agreed countermeasures(s).
7 & 8
It is no use for the road users unless we make positive changes to the location.
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Steps in the blackspot process
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Into the future – maybe 3 or 4 years – there will be competition for funding within the blackspot program. Then you will have to
rank sites so that funds are spent on those sites that will return the “best value” to the
people of Indonesia
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How will we determine cost and benefits?
1 We need to know the benefits to be gained $
2 We need to know the cost of the countermeasures $
3 Then we calculate the benefit/ cost ratio
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How will we determine cost and benefits?
1 We need to know the benefits to be gained $
How many crashes do we expect to save,
and how much does each one cost?
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How will we determine cost and benefits?
2. We need to know the cost of the countermeasures $
This is something engineers are good at
calculating.
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How will we determine cost and benefits?
1 After you have established countermeasures
2 Get the Crash Reduction Factor (% from list)
3 Have a crash cost ($)
4 Work out the value of the benefits of the countermeasures ($)
5 Calculate the cost of the works ($)
6 Calculate the benefit/ cost ratio
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Example of calculating the benefit cost ratio
To work out the BCR we need to know the benefits
(in $) of the countermeasures, and the cost (in $) of
the countermeasures.
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Benefits - Indonesia needs to have a table that shows the Crash Reduction Factor for each countermeasure
What percentage of crashes at the blackspot will be reduced if we seal the shoulders of
the highway for one kilometre?
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CRASH REDUCTION FACTORS
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CRASH REDUCTION FACTORS
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Crash reduction factors based on real experience from the
Victorian (Australia) blackspot program since 1980
ROADSIDE HAZARD MANAGEMENT
Wire Rope Safety Barrier (WRSB) 45% 20
Guardrail 35% 20
Median barriers (any type including centreline WRSB) 20% 20
Guard rail at culvert 25% 20
Guardrail for bridge end post 20% 20
Crash Cushions 15% 20
PEDESTRIANS & CYCLISTS
Refuges, Channelisation, Kerb extension 30% 20
Pedestrian signals 25% 15
Bicycle paths, threshold treatments 10% 20
Upgrade pedestrian signals 20% 15
Pedestrian overpass 10% 20
MOTORCYCLISTS
New roundabouts 75% 20
Intersection signal remodel 50% 15
Fully Controlled Right Turn 55% 15
Shoulder sealing 50% 20
STREET LIGHTING
Provision of street lighting general 25% 15
Improve lighting at intersections 25% 15
Improve lighting at roadway segment 25% 15
Improve lighting at PEDESTRIAN CROSSING 40% 15
Improve lighting at railway crossing 10% 15
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Crash reduction factors based on real experience from the
Victorian (Australia) blackspot program since 1980
If there were (say) 16 crashes at the location in 3 years –
and 12 of these are motorcycle crashes - you would aim to
prevent 50% of these 12 crashes in the next 3 years – that
is 6 crashes in the next 3 years
If each crash costs IDR100,000,000 – you will claim
benefits of IDR600,000,000 over 3 years – or
IDR 4,000,000,000 for the life of 20 years
Benefits = IDR4,000,000,000
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If the cost to seal the shoulders is (say) IDR200,000,000
The Benefit/Cost Ratio will be 4,000,000,000 / 200,000,000
BCR = 20.0 This project will be compared with all other blackspots in
your Balai – those with the highest BCR’s will be treated
first. The others will wait for next year.....
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20:1 BCR is excellent
But for now – concentrate on developing the
most suitable countermeasures
BCR’s will only be needed for new blackspots
after a few more years time
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Some Indonesian blackspots
• Two blackspots at bridges – one rural, one urban
• One blackspot at a Y junction
• A blackspot at a small cross road intersection in a small town
• A blacklength on a Highway in Sumatra
• A black spot on a curve on a By-Pass
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Before
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Recommended
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Blackspot location
at Menteng loop
BLACKSPOT LOCATION AT MENTENG LOOP
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Blackspot
Location
AERIAL PHOTOGRAPH OF BLACKSPOT LOCATION IN MENTENG, CENTRAL JAKARTA
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The visibility before going over the crest of the bridge is obstructed, and the driver has no information about the presence of loop in front. The driver may know the road has four lanes , but the first and second lane are forced to turn left.
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78
This direction sign was too late for the road user who wants to turn left to Sumenep/Latuharhary.
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The loop has very small radius. It is dangerous if a driver misjudges it and has a higher speed than should be. The driver need to be warned with a speed limit of 30 km/hr.
RECOMMENDATION
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The island is not quite visible at a distance. There is a problem of delineation. It needs more guide posts.
RECOMMENDATION
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SUDIRMAN MONAS
HARMONI KOTA
MANGGARAI SALEMBA
MONAS HARMONI
KOTA
RECOMMENDATION
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MANGGAR
AI
SALEMBA
MONAS
HARMONI
KOTA
RECOMMENDATION
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MANGGARAI SALEMBA
MONAS HARMONI KOTA
RECOMMENDATION
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A Y JUNCTION AT NAGREG
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COLLISION DIAGRAM
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RECOMMENDATION
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An existing length of National Highway
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Recommended option to improve safety on that length of National Highway
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Blackspot inspection – near the Mosque, Jambi By-Pass
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Blackspot inspection – near the Mosque, Jambi By-Pass
Blackspot inspection – near the Mosque, Jambi By-Pass
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Blackspot inspection – near the Mosque, Jambi By-Pass
Blackspot inspection – near the Mosque, Jambi By-Pass
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RECOMMENDATIONS
• Repair pot holes
• Seal shoulders
• Install edge lines, centre line
• Install speed restriction signs
• Cut back vegetation to increase sight lines
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Pantura (National Highway) Km 18.7
7 crashes in 12 months at U turn
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Pantura (National Highway) Km 18.7
7 crashes in 12 months at U turn
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What will you do to reduce the crashes at this U turn on this busy, fast National Highway?
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Blackspot investigations
• The investigation team should put itself in the shoes of the road users...to identify why some of them are have crashes at the site.
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Blackspot investigations
Are very effective, and they save Indonesian lives
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Questions welcome