Download - 14 th Weather Squadron ENVIRONMENTAL SCENARIO GENERATOR (ESG) Tom Kotz Technical Director
14th Weather Squadron
ENVIRONMENTALSCENARIO
GENERATOR(ESG)
Tom KotzTechnical Director
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Purpose
Explain the Environmental Scenario Generator (ESG)
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Overview
What is ESG? How ESG Works ESG Products
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What is ESG?
IlluminationIllumination
Terrain surface Terrain surface and Featuresand Features
ClimateClimate
Hydrologic CycleHydrologic Cycle
Sea StateSea State
Ocean Ocean ParametersParameters
TransmittanceTransmittance
Surface and Surface and Subsurface FlowsSubsurface Flows
WeatherWeather
MobilityMobility
Flight RoutesFlight Routes
Line of SightLine of Sight
Weapon EffectsWeapon Effects
Course of ActionCourse of Action
Acoustic TrackingAcoustic Tracking
VisibilityVisibility
Route SelectionRoute Selection
Dynamic TerrainDynamic TerrainSea StateSea State
ElevationElevation
ClimateClimate
FeaturesFeatures
Weather ModelsWeather Models
BathymetryBathymetry
Hydrologic ModelingHydrologic Modeling
Physical Physical ParametersParameters
Ocean ModelsOcean Models MobilityMobility
Flight RoutesFlight Routes
Line of SightLine of Sight
Weapon EffectsWeapon Effects
Course of ActionCourse of Action
Acoustic TrackingAcoustic Tracking
VisibilityVisibility
Route SelectionRoute Selection
The SameThe Same
Environment Processes Behaviors
Natural
Synthetic
Sen
sors
Sen
sors
Beh
avio
r M
odel
sB
ehav
ior
Mod
els
Dec
isio
n M
aker
sD
ecis
ion
Mak
ers
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What is ESG?
https://esg.afccc.af.mil/https://esg.afccc.af.mil/
Scenario Search Mechanism Rapidly searches historical
archives Weapon System Impacts Fuzzy-Logic Classification Interactive Data Analysis
Produce Realistic Data Sets High-Quality data and models Recreate historic scenarios Customized post-processing Standard/Custom formats
Can request 14th WS support or request a user account
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How ESG Works
ESG Process
Customer RequestCustomer Request• ConditionsConditions• Place/TimePlace/Time• ParametersParameters• ResolutionResolution• FormatFormat
Subject Matter ExpertSubject Matter Expert(SME) Processing(SME) Processing• Search for ScenarioSearch for Scenario• Identify Data SourceIdentify Data Source• Verify Data OutputVerify Data Output• Check FormatCheck Format
DatabasesDatabases• ACMESACMES• NCEP/NCARNCEP/NCAR• MODASMODAS• WW3WW3• Space ArchivesSpace Archives• Previous ProductsPrevious Products
Scenarios in Scenarios in Various FormatsVarious Formats• SEDRISSEDRIS• GRIBGRIB• BinaryBinary• CSVCSV• PRFPRF• OtherOther
“Wet and windy”“Korea in winter”“Temp, humidity, winds”“40km, hourly for 3 months”“CSV, GRIB, SEDRIS”
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M&S Support Using ESG
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ESG Products
Environmental Representations Scenarios or Data Sets (Standard and Customer-unique)
Environmental data (18-Environmental data (18-month atmospheric at 6-hour month atmospheric at 6-hour
intervals with 1-degree intervals with 1-degree resolution) helped identify resolution) helped identify
effects of weather on ISR and effects of weather on ISR and refueling ops.refueling ops.
Aeronautical Systems Center Aeronautical Systems Center (ASC) using data to determine (ASC) using data to determine how capable future systems how capable future systems
are under various are under various environmental scenarios.environmental scenarios.
LPD-17 using authoritative LPD-17 using authoritative atmospheric data to atmospheric data to
determine probability of determine probability of raid annihilation. Ensured raid annihilation. Ensured
consistent environment for consistent environment for distributed simulations. distributed simulations.
OSD(PA&E) and AF/A5XS OSD(PA&E) and AF/A5XS incorporating atmospheric incorporating atmospheric
and ocean data into and ocean data into THUNDER campaign THUNDER campaign
analysis simulation to analysis simulation to analyze various Courses of analyze various Courses of
Action.Action.
Army used data to determine Army used data to determine Grizzly antimine vehicle Grizzly antimine vehicle
performed poorly in muddy performed poorly in muddy conditions. Ultimately led to conditions. Ultimately led to project cancellation saving project cancellation saving
millions in development and millions in development and production costs. production costs.
Taught F-35 team member how Taught F-35 team member how to use ESG to generate to use ESG to generate
environmental representations. environmental representations. Facilitates M&S testing outside Facilitates M&S testing outside
the scope of live testing.the scope of live testing.
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ESG Products
Environmental Representations Pseudo Observations
Text and JMIBL formats
<?xml version="1.0" ?> - <urn:JMO_obsList xmlns:urn="urn:metoc:jmcbl:jmibl">- <urn:JMO_obs urn:horizontalDatum="WGE" urn:latitude="45.4" urn:longitude="141.8" urn:networkType="ICAO" urn:observationTime="20060213000600" urn:platformHeight="11.0" urn:platformId="RJCW" urn:reportTypeCode="FM-16" urn:securityId="1" urn:stationMode="1" urn:verticalDatum="MSL"> <urn:JMO_surfaceObs urn:airTemperature="-3.0" urn:altimeterSetting="1004.1" urn:cloudCavok="N" urn:cloudCeiling="610" urn:cloudCover="07" urn:dewPointTemperature="-6.0" urn:windConditions="N" urn:windDirection="260" urn:windMeasurementMode="4" urn:windSpeed="8.7" /> <urn:JMO_cloudLayerObs urn:cloudBaseHeight="213" urn:cloudCover="02" urn:cloudLayerId="1" urn:verticalDatum="AGL" /> <urn:JMO_cloudLayerObs urn:cloudBaseHeight="305" urn:cloudCover="04" urn:cloudLayerId="2" urn:verticalDatum="AGL" /> <urn:JMO_cloudLayerObs urn:cloudBaseHeight="610" urn:cloudCover="07" urn:cloudLayerId="3" urn:verticalDatum="AGL" /> <urn:JMO_remarks urn:remarks="2ST007 4ST010 7CB020 A2965 CB ALL QUAD;" /> <urn:JMO_visibilityObs urn:occurrenceId="1" urn:supLocationCode="S" urn:visibility="5000" urn:visibilityType="P" /> <urn:JMO_message urn:bbbStatus="I" urn:messageSequenceId="1" urn:originalMessage="METAR RJCW 130006Z 26017KT 5000 -SHSN FEW007 SCT010 BKN020CB M03/M06 Q1004 RMK 2ST007 4ST010 7CB020 A2965 CB ALL QUAD;" urn:receiptDtg="20060213001644" urn:securityId="1" /> </urn:JMO_obsList>
METAR RJCW 130006Z 26017KT 5000 -SHSN
FEW007 SCT010 BKN020CB M03/M06 Q1004 RMK
2ST007 4ST010 7CB020 A2965 CB ALL QUAD
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ESG Products
Environmental Representations Pseudo Observations Pseudo Satellite and Radar Images
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ESG Products
Environmental Representations Pseudo Observations Pseudo Satellite and Radar Images Graphics
Verifies data Can be used as pseudo “Forecaster-in-the-loop” (FITL)
products or as a source to produce them
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ESG Products
Environmental Representations Pseudo Observations Pseudo Satellite and Radar Images Graphics Effects
Environmental Hypercube
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ESG Products (Future)
Space Environmental Integration System (SEIS) Generate space data set based on desired effects
TAF (Text and JMIBL) GUI (Generate Data and Effects) Weather and Effects Server
KFBG 090
539Z 090
606 1601
5G25KT 9
999 SCT0
50
TEM
PO 0912
3200 -SH
RA BKN05
0 OVC100
BEC
MG 1214
22012KT
9999 SCT
100
TEM
PO 1421
8000 –SH
RA BKN03
0
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Summary
ESG enables models and simulations (M&S) to produce effects resulting from the environment
Current customers include wide-ranging interests and uses
ESG products suited to M&S, but have other uses Ongoing projects add power and versatility to ESG
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Questions