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Australia Technical Traderswith Francis Hunt aka ‘The Market Sniper’
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Introduction & Session Plan
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. Introduction
Who am I?
Why should you care?
What I am going to tell you today
2. The Detail
I. We are all traders
II. 91% Fail, Becoming the 9%
III. 360 degree Charting analysis
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Introduction & Session Plan
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
4. Squeeze the time continuum to success. The trellis of learning & dilemma of too much freedom, Multiple variable confusion
5. Free 18 min Consult offer
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Part 1 - Who am I?
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
Trading for 26 years across most markets
Been Training, Mentoring and Trader community building since 2009
Originator of the Hunt Volatility Funnel [HVF] Set up & Theory
MBA in International Finance & Economics
Member of the STA
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Why should you care?
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
So what?
Utilising HVF Theory – Landed Major investing & trading Themes, e.g.–
1. Euro Crisis, Mk I & Mk II
• EURCHF floor to fail in January 2015 – for a 30% FX Trade overnight ‘Floor Fail’ Mk II
• EURCHF Nov 2009 Fail prediction for 1400 pips & preceding the 2010 Jan ‘Greek Crisis’ Mk I
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Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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Floor Fail in January EURCHF
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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Eurozone Crisis & Later 2015 Floor fail
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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30% FX move in under an hour
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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Retail Broker cost of Floor Fail in EURCHF
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The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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The August Equity 2015, sell off. We traded USDJPY for a 62.5 RRR
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,
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www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
Bank Crisis MKII – Deutsche Bank Bail In/Out,
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Banks
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Mega Crash Main Stream Media Arrives Banking Part II
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We are all Traders You start earlier than you think
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. Your Life is like a derivative, specifically a Call option
At birth you have your maximum Time to ‘expiry’, and all that follows is part of the ‘Time Decay’, Only problem is you have no, WISDOM, so others make decisions for you
As a reminder, most options expire worthless or never truly get ‘into the money’
You are also born with relatively high amounts of Freedom, especially given your limited abilities to explore & roam
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You start out like all traders, badly
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
2. Then we start to trade, with a system far older & more prepared for our arrival, then we are for them. This is called an Asymmetry, that’s never good, when you don’t know the game as well as others
We are co-erced into an education system, where we are taught what the system wants you to believe & decides for you what is important to know. Taking from us large parts of our time.
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Work is the worst trade, for most people
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
3. Then you go to work and are told you are inexperienced, and deserve only menial wages rates, for lots of time and effort, and everybody dumps grunt work upon you. Another BAD TRADE. With insufficient rest.
Often it takes awhile to find, what you don’t mind doing for work
It costs you your best & freshest awake hours 5 out of 7 days
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Then the Banks get you, and strap you into perpetual toil.
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
4. You end find yourself on the wrong side of a compound interest equation & the ‘Ursury Rent Extractors & Tax Takers’ have you as their slave:
Mortgage/Rent
Car Finance
Children’s cost
Credit Card
Personal Loans
Holidays
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The Game of Life can seem a rigged Trade?
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
4. You realise banks get bailed out, at your cost, you carry the can on their bets. Yet you never get a bail out when things go bad.
5. Despite being the most rewarded industry. Politicians seem to work for them & against you?
6. There are many industry scandals & financial fee’s & taxes seem so high
7. In fact you have your suspicions about the system and wonder if these ‘insiders’ really care for you?
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There is a better way - Time to become a ‘LifeStyle trader’
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
8. Attain some of your TIME & FREEDOM back
9. Trade, Save & Invest – get your money working for you
10. Start: Living & Enjoying
Experiencing again whilst still physically able
Being available to family
Travel
Health
Trading with an edge
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Mistake 1 - You don’t want to exchange what you have for this!
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
11.Mistake 1 –
In the hurry to give up the Boss & staff reports, we seek home based Multiscreen, tactical mayhem, without a long run plan, which can cope with even a single losing month
14 Hour days of high whipsaw response stress
Or going ‘Old school high emotion market’ reactor, news trader
We underprepare for a life of independence, learning a new skill and strategy development
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Mistake 2 - You leave all your profits in your trading account & have no further growth strategies
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
11.Mistake 2:
You leave all your profits in your trading account.
Instead of bleeding away some of the ‘hot leveraged trading profits’ into a cooler longer term unleveraged investment strategy
Leaving yourself open for a blowout event
Where is the long term acorn planting & Savings & Investment strategy for our particular times?
The money is made in the planting & the sitting, not the harvesting
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Pride before fall - Overperformance is also a problem
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
12.Mistake 5:
Losing your head, overperformance. Watch the viral clip from the profile page How I made £165,000 in 5 days & it was the worst thing for me
RTCT Speaker Profile - The Market Sniper, Francis Hunt for the YouTube Playlist & Free Webinar links
Youtube Playlist directly: Interviews with a trader
Becoming the 9%: 91% Fail, becoming the 9%
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Mistake 3 – Your values are not aligned to wealth building, therefore your trading will not be either
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
13.Mistake 3:
Wealth occurs when your passive income, is well beyond your living requirements
This means for success it is advisable to:
To be patient
Transition from your current working arrangements slowly
Reduce unnecessary overhead
Pay your savings & investments first and escalate them in size each year, then pay your living wage, then everything else
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Mistake 4 – Sorry but you don’t have an edge
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
14.Mistake 4:
Trading the news? Sorry you don’t have an edge, long run you lose
Utilising a combination of ‘formulacentric Indicators’ based on price information data? Sorry you lose, despite possibilities of encouraging occasional gains
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Mistake 4 – Sorry but you don’t have an edge
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
14.Mistake 4:
Very few systems/approaches have a true edge, those that do:
Require more patience
Preparation
Selectivity
Accuracy
Intra Market Analysis
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The 91% are usually wrong
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
15.Mistake 5 :
Comfort in the crowd is false comfort:
Oando primary client positions
Long Silver
Short EURUSD
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The 91% are usually wrong
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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The 91% are usually wrongThe EURUSD Bounce
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The 91% are usually wrongThe Silver Bear set up
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The 91% are usually wrongThe Silver Bear set up
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Why When Trading, should we look Intra Market including different underlings
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
1. A FRESH Perspective
2. FX has two halves the Base and the Quote Currency, you need to understand the outlook for both, when compared to other currencies
3. Cross Market Analysis, The worlds markets represents is a ‘flow of global liquidity’ seeking yield. The Commodity Theme’s, affect Commodity Currencies and indirectly Non-Commodity currencies
4. Multi Time Frame chart analysing of a Pair provide real Macro to Micro ‘in depth’ insight
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How the Commodity Cycles, were relevant for FX
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
2011 was a little noticed year…
But it was a critical Commodity Top
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The Great Energy sell off - Brent 2014/15& Top out of 2011
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Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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Dr Copper the Industrial Metal of Building
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We Traded it on an Inverted HVF
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Contained initial fall, that got disorderly later
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We Have just gone Long Copper
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AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Monthly Chart
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AUD/NZD – Key Inflection points Weekly Chart 2011
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Brent Oil – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
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USDNOK – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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USDCAD – [2011 Red] Weekly Chart
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Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation - BAE
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Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation - Babcock
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Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation – Lockheed Martin
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Where has the money been flowing into since 2011?Militirisation – Raytheon
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The Boss Market & God of ‘Fear’ FX Pair - USDJPY
www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
This pair is a great indicator of ‘Fear’, generally great lengths are gone to, to prevent excessive Yen strength gains. If this happens, there is stress in the system.
Rarely good for emerging currencies
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Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly
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Remember the ‘Fear index’ USDJPY weekly
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www.TheMarketSniper.com©2015 – The Market Sniper
Some Free resources
91% of traders fail, how to become the 9% <= Click here for this Free webinar.
Here is a FREE Viral Micromentary series – Interviews with a Trader Click Here.
[email protected]+44(0) 208 333 2552 – +44 (0) 7833 096952
Free Resources
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Value Pack ‘Lite’ Program for Under a £1500 [Continued]
1. Traders Vault Access, prior to commencement through Basecamp
2. Theory weekend 19th & 20 th Nov
3. Full trading based Skype/Fixed line mentoring call for 22 minutes per delegate, on an ‘ask me anything’ basis
4. All Live Sunday Sessions/Trade Alerts, with week ahead market view, and trade assessment, that take place during the period.
Trading MetaMorphosis Program ‘Lite’
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Trading Metamorphosis Program ‘Lite’ for Under a £1500 [Continued] 7 One full trading based Skype/Fixed line mentoring call for 22 minutes per delegate, on an ‘ask me anything’ basis.
8 Affordable Basecamp membership plans for those who wish to continue all of the above and become long run members of the community, or full rebate against investment already made to full flagship ‘Trading Metamorphosis Program’, if you so wish
9 Total Cost £1497.00 which will include Select the HVF Draw Tool, normally sold separately for £497 [A$ 2,420 currently]
Email [email protected] to participate
Follow On Twitter @TheMarketSniper
YouTube The Market Sniper, Francis Hunt
Trading MetaMorphosis Program ‘Lite’
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Free Skype Trader One to One Consultation for 18 min
‘FrancoFXTrader’ Skype
Book in on the link Calendly
https://calendly.com/francish/one-2-onewithfrancis
Email [email protected] to participate
Free One to One Skype Consult