dose selection using pre-clinical pkpd · capturing clinical pk variability varying cl captures a...

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Dose selection using pre- clinical PKPD James Yates, Oncology iMED DMPK Modelling and Simulation An oncology systems pharmacology approach to dose selection

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Page 1: Dose selection using pre-clinical PKPD · Capturing clinical PK variability Varying CL captures a large amount of variability. D-E-R Workshop 2014 -0.4-0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0 50

Dose selection using pre-clinical PKPD

James Yates, Oncology iMED DMPK Modelling and Simulation

An oncology systems pharmacology approach to dose selection

Page 2: Dose selection using pre-clinical PKPD · Capturing clinical PK variability Varying CL captures a large amount of variability. D-E-R Workshop 2014 -0.4-0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0 50

Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed in these slides are mine and do not necessarily represent the views of AstraZeneca

D-E-R Workshop 2014

Page 3: Dose selection using pre-clinical PKPD · Capturing clinical PK variability Varying CL captures a large amount of variability. D-E-R Workshop 2014 -0.4-0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0 50

Problem statement Early clinical trial data – what dose to take forward?

AZD9291: EGFR inhibitor At the time this modelling was carried out: 1. Doses 20-160mg QD investigated 2. Responses observed at all doses 3. MTD not identified 4. Did not want to take MTD forward – take biologically effective dose

forward with good safety profile 5. What is this dose?

(Part) of the solution: A mathematical model relating PK, PD and efficacy had

been developed during the discovery program. Use this to put differences between mouse and human PK into context and simulate clinical dose response

Will discuss pre-clinical model development and application to make clinical

dose decision

D-E-R Workshop 2014

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Mouse PK Simultaneous modelling of active parent and metabolite

D-E-R Workshop 2014

Parent – Green Metabolite - Maroon

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Linking PK to pEGFR PD Turnover model with irreversible binding combining parent and metabolite drug effect

Ratio of parent to metabolite potency fixed to in vitro value

Model and data

D-E-R Workshop 2014

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pEGFR knock down – PKPD hysteresis plot PK does not determine duration of effect

D-E-R Workshop 2014

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PD Model to explain efficacy Determining the relationship between pEGFR reduction and efficacy

D-E-R Workshop 2014

pEGFR reduction linked to cell death within mathematical model of tumour growth Result is linkage between target engagement and efficacy

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Human Half-life is much longer than mouse. How does this impact PKPD?

D-E-R Workshop 2014

More frequent dosing gives higher Cmin

More frequent dosing gives lower Cmax – 4 fold difference between QD and 10D

Simulate dose fractionation in mouse

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Simulated Mouse Efficacy for dose fractionation Dose response changes with dosing frequency

D-E-R Workshop 2014

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

%TG

I

Total daily dose mg/kg

QD

BD

TID

10D

... lower daily dose (AUC) as effective as higher dose if given more frequently than QD

Efficacy increases with total dose, but ...

Increasing dosing frequency

Simulated dose fractionation suggested that frequency of delivery was not critical. If anything the flatter profile resulting from frequent dosing was most effective according to the model. This is encouraging given long half-life in human

Total daily dose mg/kg

%TGI

Page 10: Dose selection using pre-clinical PKPD · Capturing clinical PK variability Varying CL captures a large amount of variability. D-E-R Workshop 2014 -0.4-0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0 50

Capturing clinical PK variability Varying CL captures a large amount of variability.

D-E-R Workshop 2014

-0.4

-0.2

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

0 50 100 150 200

AZD9

291

uM

Time hrs

AZD9291 Simulation 97.5% Simulation 2.5%

00.005

0.010.015

0.020.025

0.030.035

0.040.045

0 50 100 150 200

AZ51

04 u

M

Time hrs

AZ5104 Simulation 97.5% Simulation 2.5%

Not a formal pop PK analysis – used model of predicted human PK and updated based upon observed data Lower end of exposure captured – important for biologically effective dose questions

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AZD9291 clinical dose response simulation Human PK combined with mouse PD-efficacy

Activating mutant

Wild type xenograft

1st generation TKI resistant

Modelling suggests dose response against mutant EGFR saturates by 80mg Observed Safety profile good at this dose

D-E-R Workshop 2014

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Conclusions Use of pre-clinical modelling to guide clinical dosing

1. Integration of clinical PK with pre-clinical PD-efficacy relationship has provided a way to augment early clinical data with richer pre-clinical data set.

2. Allows the biologically effective dose (based upon animal models and clinical exposure) to be identified.

3. Potential to remove necessity to dose to MTD to maximise probability of clinical activity.

4. Ongoing question of quantitative translation of animal models of cancers to the clinic

D-E-R Workshop 2014

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D-E-R Workshop 2014

Confidentiality Notice This file is private and may contain confidential and proprietary information. If you have received this file in error, please notify us and remove it from your system and note that you must not copy, distribute or take any action in reliance on it. Any unauthorized use or disclosure of the contents of this file is not permitted and may be unlawful. AstraZeneca PLC, 2 Kingdom Street, London, W2 6BD, UK, T: +44(0)20 7604 8000, F: +44 (0)20 7604 8151, www.astrazeneca.com