document of the world bank...date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014 comments...

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Document of The World Bank Report No: ICR00003201 IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT (IDA-H3760) ON A GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 18.8 MILLION (US$ 30 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA FOR A NUTRITION PROJECT April 15, 2015 Health, Nutrition and Population Global Practice (GHNDR) Eastern and Southern Africa Africa Region Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized

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  • Document of

    The World Bank

    Report No: ICR00003201

    IMPLEMENTATION COMPLETION AND RESULTS REPORT

    (IDA-H3760)

    ON A

    GRANT

    IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 18.8 MILLION

    (US$ 30 MILLION EQUIVALENT)

    TO THE

    FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA

    FOR A

    NUTRITION PROJECT

    April 15, 2015

    Health, Nutrition and Population Global Practice (GHNDR)

    Eastern and Southern Africa

    Africa Region

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  • -ii-

    CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

    (Exchange Rate Effective March 27, 2008)

    Currency Unit = Ethiopia Birr

    US$ 1.00 = Ethiopia Birr (ETB) 9.36

    FISCAL YEAR

    July 8-July 7

    ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

    BF Breast Feeding

    BMI Body Mass Index

    BPR Business Process Re-engineering

    CBN Community-Based Nutrition

    CF Complementary Feeding

    CHD/EOS Child Health Days/Enhanced Outreach Strategy

    CPS Country Partnership Strategy

    CMAM Community-Based Management of Acute Malnutrition

    CSA Central Statistics agency

    DA Development Agent

    DALY Disability-Adjusted Life Years

    DHS Demographic and Health Survey

    DP Development Partner

    EDHS Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey

    EHNRI Ethiopia Health and Nutrition Institute

    EPHI Ethiopia Public Health Institute

    FMOH Federal Ministry of Health

    GMP Growth Monitoring and Promotion

    HABP Household Asset Building Program

    HAZ Height-for-Age Z Score

    HDA Health Development Army

    HEP Health Extension Program

    HEW Health Extension Worker

    HMIS Health Management Information System

    IDA Iron Deficiency Anemia

    IDD Iodine Deficiency Disorder

    IFA Iron Folic Acid

    IFR Interim Financial Report

    IRT Integrated Refresher Training

    ISS Integrated Supportive Supervision

    IYCF Infant and Young Child Feeding

    NNP National Nutrition Plan

  • -iii-

    NNS National Nutrition Strategy

    PASDEP Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty

    PBS Protection of Basic Services Program

    PFSA Pharmaceutical Fund and Supply Agency

    PPT Government Project Preparation Team

    PSNP Productive Safety Net Program

    P4R Program for Results

    RUTF Ready to Use Therapeutic Food

    SCF Save the Children Federation

    SNNPR Southern Nations, nationalities, and Peoples' Region

    Vice President: Makhtar Diop

    Country Director: Guang Zhe Chen

    Sector Manager: Abdo S. Yazbeck

    Project Team Leader: Ziauddin Hyder

    ICR Team Leader: Christopher H. Herbst

  • -iv-

    ETHIOPIA

    NUTRITION PROJECT (P106228)

    CONTENTS

    Data Sheet

    A. Basic Information .......................................................................................................... vi B. Key Dates ...................................................................................................................... vi C. Ratings Summary .......................................................................................................... vi D. Sector and Theme Codes .............................................................................................. vii

    E. Bank Staff ..................................................................................................................... vii

    F. Results Framework Analysis ........................................................................................ vii

    G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs ....................................................................... xi H. Restructuring (if any) .................................................................................................... xi I. Disbursement Profile xii

    1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design .............................................. 1 1.1 Context at Appraisal ............................................................................................. 1

    1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators ................. 3

    1.3 Revised PDO (as approved by original approving authority) and Key Indicators,

    and reasons/justification.............................................................................................. 4

    1.4 Main Beneficiaries, ............................................................................................... 5

    1.5 Original Components (as approved) ..................................................................... 5

    1.6 Revised Components ............................................................................................ 7

    1.7 Other significant changes ...................................................................................... 7

    2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes ............................................. 7 2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry ................................................. 7

    2.2 Implementation ................................................................................................... 10

    2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization .... 13

    2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance ................................................................. 15

    2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase .............................................................. 15

    3. Assessment of Outcomes............................................................................................. 17

    3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation ....................................... 17

    3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives .............................................. 18

    3.3 Efficiency ............................................................................................................ 27

    3.4 Justification of Overall Outcome Rating ............................................................ 30

    3.5 Overarching Themes, Other Outcomes and Impacts .......................................... 30

  • -v-

    3.6 Summary of Findings of Beneficiary Survey and/or Stakeholder Workshops ... 32

    4. Assessment of Risk to Development Outcome .......................................................... 32

    5. Assessment of Bank and Borrower Performance .................................................... 33 5.1 Bank Performance ............................................................................................... 33

    5.2 Borrower Performance ........................................................................................ 34

    6. Lessons Learned .......................................................................................................... 36 7. Comments on Issues Raised by Borrower/Implementing Agencies/Partners ....... 37 Annex 1. Project Costs and Financing .............................................................................. 38

    (a) Project Cost by Component (in USD Million equivalent as of April 9, 2015) ... 38

    (b) Financing ............................................................................................................. 38

    Annex 2. Outputs by Component...................................................................................... 39 Annex 3. Economic and Financial Analysis ..................................................................... 41

    Annex 4. Bank Lending and Implementation Support/Supervision Processes ................. 50

    (a) Task Team members............................................................................................ 50

    (b) Staff Time and Cost............................................................................................. 51

    Annex 5. Beneficiary Survey Results ............................................................................... 52 Annex 6. Stakeholder Workshop Report and Results ....................................................... 53 Annex 7. Summary of Borrower's ICR and/or Comments on Draft ICR ......................... 54 Annex 8. Comments of Cofinanciers and Other Partners/Stakeholders ........................... 62 Annex 9. List of Supporting Documents .......................................................................... 63

  • -vi-

    A. Basic Information

    Country: Ethiopia Project Name: Ethiopia Nutrition

    (FY08)

    Project ID: P106228 L/C/TF Number(s): IDA-H3760,TF-

    10247,TF-93946

    ICR Date: 04/08/2015 ICR Type: Core ICR

    Lending Instrument: SIL Borrower:

    FEDERAL

    DEMOCRATIC REP.

    OF ETHIOPIA

    Original Total

    Commitment: SDR 18.8M Disbursed Amount: SDR 17.3M

    Revised Amount: SDR18.8M

    Environmental Category: C

    Implementing Agencies:

    Federal Ministry of Health, Ethiopia

    Cofinanciers and Other External Partners:

    B. Key Dates

    Process Date Process Original Date Revised / Actual

    Date(s)

    Concept Review: 09/27/2007 Effectiveness: 09/10/2008 09/10/2008

    Appraisal: 02/26/2008 Restructuring(s): 12/16/2013

    04/02/2012

    Approval: 04/29/2008 Mid-term Review: 11/21/2011 11/29/2011

    Closing: 01/07/2014 05/31/2014

    C. Ratings Summary

    C.1 Performance Rating by ICR

    Outcomes: Satisfactory

    Risk to Development Outcome: Moderate

    Bank Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

    Borrower Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

    C.2 Detailed Ratings of Bank and Borrower Performance (by ICR)

    Bank Ratings Borrower Ratings

    Quality at Entry: Moderately Satisfactory Government: Moderately Satisfactory

    Quality of Supervision: Satisfactory Implementing

    Agency/Agencies: Moderately Satisfactory

    Overall Bank

    Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

    Overall Borrower

    Performance: Moderately Satisfactory

  • -vii-

    C.3 Quality at Entry and Implementation Performance Indicators

    Implementation

    Performance Indicators

    QAG Assessments

    (if any) Rating

    Potential Problem Project

    at any time (Yes/No): No

    Quality at Entry

    (QEA): None

    Problem Project at any

    time (Yes/No): No

    Quality of

    Supervision (QSA): None

    DO rating before

    Closing/Inactive status: Satisfactory

    D. Sector and Theme Codes

    Original Actual

    Sector Code (as % of total Bank financing)

    Central government administration 36 36

    Health 57 57

    Sub-national government administration 7 7

    Theme Code (as % of total Bank financing)

    Child health 25 25

    Health system performance 25 25

    Nutrition and food security 50 50

    E. Bank Staff

    Positions At ICR At Approval

    Vice President: Makhtar Diop Obiageli Katryn Ezekwesili

    Country Director: Guang Zhe Chen Kenichi Ohashi

    Practice

    Manager/Manager: Olusoji O. Adeyi John A. Elder

    Project Team Leader: Ziauddin Hyder Andrew Sunil Rajkumar

    ICR Team Leader: Christopher H. Herbst

    ICR Primary Author: Richard M. Seifman

    F. Results Framework Analysis

    Project Development Objectives (from Project Appraisal Document)

    To improve child and maternal care behavior, and increase utilization of key

    micronutrients, in order to contribute to improving the nutritional status of vulnerable

    groups.

  • -viii-

    Revised Project Development Objectives (as approved by original approving authority)

    No Changes to the PDO were made

    (a) PDO Indicator(s)

    Indicator Baseline Value

    Original Target

    Values (from

    approval

    documents)

    Formally

    Revised

    Target

    Values

    Actual Value

    Achieved at

    Completion or

    Target Years

    Indicator 1 : Percentage of infants aged 0-5 months exclusively breastfed.

    Value

    quantitative or

    Qualitative)

    51% (49% in PAD)

    At least 5% above

    baseline value or

    56%

    56% 52%

    Date achieved 03/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target not achieved. Original 2005 Baseline data value updated with 2009 data,

    and end-line target adjusted, at time of restructuring. Actual values based on

    2013 National Nutrition Survey with no additional data available from 2014

    Mini-DHS Survey. At the same time, it should be noted that these are national

    level data, and an external evaluation carried out by Tulane in CBN woredas

    only, which received much of the focus of this project, showed an increase in

    tranche 2 to nearly 90% (an increase much higher than observed at national level

    increase above).

    Indicator 2 : Percentage of households using adequately iodized salt.

    Value

    quantitative or

    Qualitative)

    Date achieved

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Dropped at time of restructuring.

    Indicator 3 : Percentage of pregnant women receiving iron and folate supplementation

    Value

    quantitative or

    Qualitative)

    17% 25% 25% 89%

    Date achieved 10/01/2009 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target significantly exceeded. Baseline value updated with 2009 data and end-

    line target adjusted accordingly at time of restructuring. The DHS shows a more

    modest increase, a two-fold increase in iron tablet consumption among rural

    women in the last three years from 15% in 2011 to 34%. Data based on

    Ethiopia Mini-Demographic and Health Survey 2014, pp 42-43)

    Indicator 4 : Percentage of children 0-23 months participating in monthly GMP sessions

    Value

    quantitative or

    Qualitative)

    0.00 40% 40% 42%

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments Target exceeded. Indicator added at time of restructuring.. Data based on routine

  • -ix-

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    CBN data from the FMOH.

    Indicator 5 : Number of people with access to a basic package of nutrition services

    (CBN).

    Value

    quantitative or

    Qualitative)

    0 44,125,000 44,125,000 55,800,000

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target significantly exceeded. Indicator refined at re-structuring from "people

    with Access to a basic package of health, nutrition or population services". Data

    based on routine FMOH CBN data.

    Indicator 6 : Number and percentage of children aged 6-59 months receiving a dose of

    vitamin A every six months.

    Value

    quantitative or

    Qualitative)

    10,200,000 11,300,000 11,300,000 12,159,933

    Date achieved 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target exceeded. Indicator refined at restructuring from "Children Receiving a

    dose of Vitamin A". Data based on routine CHD/EOS reports.

    (b) Intermediate Outcome Indicator(s)

    Indicator Baseline Value

    Original Target

    Values (from

    approval

    documents)

    Formally

    Revised

    Target Values

    Actual Value

    Achieved at

    Completion or

    Target Years

    Indicator 1 : Percentage out of target based on 30,000 Health Extension Workers

    (HEWs) trained on a revised curriculum

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    0.0 85% 85% 80%

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Partially achieved. Data based on FMOH Policy and Planning Directorate

    information, HMIS and annual NNP reports.

    Indicator 2 : Universal Salt Iodization policy adopted and in force (supporting

    Proclamation 200/2000).

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    Not yet achieved Achieved Achieved Achieved

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target achieved. Legislation adopted and came into force in 2011.

    Indicator 3 : Percentage of iodization machines functioning out of 60 planned.

    Value

    (quantitative Not achieved Not achieved Not achieved Not achieved

  • -x-

    or Qualitative)

    Date achieved 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Dropped at restructuring.

    Indicator 4 : Establishment of inter-sectoral National Nutrition Coordination Body.

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    Not yet achieved Achieved Achieved Achieved

    Date achieved 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target met. Data reflected in terms of reference, in annual NNP program reports

    Indicator 5 : Number and percentage of Health personnel (health center to federal level)

    receiving training on CBN).

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    0.00 12,000 12,000 13,000.00

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target exceeded. Data based on FMOH routine reports.

    Indicator 6 : Percentage of national salt production iodized in previous year.

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    0.00 50% 50% 90%

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target exceeded. Added at time of restructuring. Data based on FMOH routine

    reports and HSDP IV annual performance reports.

    Indicator 7 : Percentage of CBN woredas providing monthly nutrition data to federal

    level.

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    0.00 50% 50% 80%

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 01/07/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target Exceeded. Revised at restructuring from" percentage of nutritional

    surveillance sites operating and providing periodic data, out of a target of 20, to

    be achieved by project completion". Data based on FMOH administrative

    reports.

    Indicator 8 : Percentage of NNP operational research studies completed and disseminated

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    0.00 8 8 10

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target exceeded. Refined at restructuring from" percentage of operational

    research studies contracted out of a target of 8 to be achieved by project

    completion". Data based on FMOH administrative reports

  • -xi-

    Indicator 9 : Percentage of health personnel trained to masters level in nutrition ( target

    of 30)

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    0 80 80 100%

    Date achieved 04/29/2008 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 05/31/2014

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target exceeded. Indicator added at time of restructuring. Data based on FMOH

    administrative reports

    Indicator 10 : Zinc registered as essential drug and included in Health Post package

    Value

    (quantitative

    or Qualitative)

    Not yet achieved Not Achieved Not Achieved Achieved

    Date achieved 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012 04/02/2012

    Comments

    (incl. %

    achievement)

    Target achieved. Data based on FMOH administrative reports.

    G. Ratings of Project Performance in ISRs

    No. Date ISR

    Archived DO IP

    Actual

    Disbursements

    (USD millions)

    1 06/20/2008 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 0.00

    2 12/27/2008 Satisfactory Satisfactory 3.00

    3 06/29/2009 Satisfactory Satisfactory 3.00

    4 12/19/2009 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 3.05

    5 06/23/2010 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 3.56

    6 03/26/2011 Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 7.18

    7 09/13/2011 Satisfactory Satisfactory 9.20

    8 03/31/2012 Satisfactory Satisfactory 15.37

    9 05/19/2012 Satisfactory Satisfactory 15.80

    10 01/15/2013 Satisfactory Satisfactory 17.62

    11 06/18/2013 Satisfactory Satisfactory 18.57

    12 01/04/2014 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 23.37

    13 05/28/2014 Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory 24.55

    H. Restructuring (if any)

    The project was restructured on April 2, 2012 to refine the Results Framework, some

    Indicators, and baselines. It was restructured again December 16, 2013, to extend the

    Grant Closing Date by 5 months from January 07, 2014 to May 31, 2014.

  • -xii-

    I. Disbursement Profile

  • 1

    1. Project Context, Development Objectives and Design

    1.1 Context at Appraisal

    At the time of appraisal in 2008, Ethiopia had GDP growth averaging an impressive

    6.4% annually, however further growth was held back by a number of important

    bottlenecks. As an economy significantly dependent on the agriculture sector, high

    population growth rates contributed to a decline in farm sizes, with climate variability in

    rainfall correlated to lower household income and consumption (Poverty Assessment,

    World Bank, 2005). Health risks - including malaria and HIV/AIDS - exacerbated the

    vulnerability of the poor, driving thousands into poverty traps.

    An underlying problem in Ethiopia was the high rate of malnutrition, with

    micronutrient deficiencies some of the most prevalent disorders. As correctly

    identified in the PAD, high prevalence of malnutrition, referring to under-nutrition, or

    deficiency of nutrition (as opposed to over-nutrition), was a key problem. The 2005 DHS

    data at the time found that alongside unacceptable maternal and child mortality rates,

    Ethiopia had the second highest rate of malnutrition in Sub-Saharan Africa, with about

    47% of children under 5 stunted, 11% wasted, 38% underweight and 27% of women

    chronically malnourished, with a Body Mass index (BMI) of less than 18.5. About half of

    all child deaths were estimated to have arisen from malnutrition (Central Statistical

    Agency 2005). A key form of malnutrition were micronutrient deficiencies, specifically,

    iron deficiency anemia (IDA), vitamin A deficiency (VAD), and iodine deficiency

    disorder (IDD). IDA was recognized as having affected 54% of children under 5 and

    27% of women (Central Statistical Agency 2005). As to breastfeeding, only one in three

    children aged 4-5 months was exclusively breastfed, and many children aged 6-9 months

    not breastfed at all resulting in an estimated 18% of all infant deaths, and 7.5 % of under

    5 mortality, annually, caused by poor breastfeeding behavior.

    The PAD rightfully linked the high levels of malnutrition as a threat to national

    health objectives and economic growth. Nutrition is one of the key determinants of

    health, with malnutrition increasing the susceptibility and vulnerability of individuals to

    disease (WHO 2002; Barros et al, 2010). Furthermore, globally there is a well-

    established link between health, nutrition and education and economic growth .Whereas

    economic growth can help lift people out of poverty and improve their access to some of

    the determinants of health and nutrition, inadequate health and nutrition have been

    closely linked globally to deterioration of individual cognitive ability, productivity and

    labor market outcomes, and ultimately economic growth. At the time of project appraisal,

    it was estimated that Ethiopia would lose approximately 2.5% of GDP between 2006 and

    2016 in the absence of interventions to remedy stunting and iron deficiency (Rajkumar et

    al, 2012).

    The Bank Project tapped into strong political commitment and a corresponding

    policy cycle that aimed to address malnutrition in Ethiopia. Following the

    formulation of a National Nutrition Strategy (NNS) in 2005, the government launched the

  • 2

    Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty (PASDEP) Plan (2005-2010)

    which called for the implementation of a multi-sectoral nutrition strategy to achieve the

    MDG 1 goal of halving poverty and hunger by 2015 (Taylor 2012). This was followed by

    the launch of the National Nutrition Program (NNP) in 2008, with the aim of

    harmonizing and implementing multi-sectoral nutrition interventions and strengthening

    service delivery and institutions for nutrition during 2008 - 2013 (FMOH 2008). The

    Government's commitment to accelerating progress in nutrition was furthermore reflected

    in its major development plans including the Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP) and

    fourth Health Sector Development Program (HSDP IV). In line with these planning

    documents, the PAD rightfully argued that the high prevalence of malnutrition was seen

    as a key contributor to high infant and maternal mortality rates and considered a threat to

    the achievement of MDGs and maintenance of sustained economic growth in Ethiopia.

    The Bank project positioned itself as a self-contained project focusing on more

    narrow nutrition objectives within the wider multi-sectoral National Nutrition

    Program (2008-2013). By 2007, a draft “Detailed Program Proposal” of the NNP existed

    and served as the base document for developing the World Bank project design, including

    implementation and financing plans. In consultation with the government and partners,

    the agreed upon objective of the Bank Project was to "improve child and maternal care

    behaviour, and increase utilization of key micronutrients, in order to contribute to

    improving the nutritional status of vulnerable groups". Higher level objectives that the

    project was hoped to contribute to included improvement of the nutritional status of

    vulnerable groups, especially young children and pregnant women, as well as overall

    maternal and child health outcomes, and ultimately removal of important barriers to

    overall economic growth.

    The project was designed to support a combination of community and national level

    interventions to achieve its objectives. A primary focus was on funding interventions

    and activities that would bring nutrition services closer to the community, largely by

    strengthening community capacity and integrating nutrition interventions into the

    government’s existing flagship Health Extension Program (HEP), a community level

    health service delivery model, heavily supported and funded by the government, intended

    to reach remote populations across Ethiopia. By 2008, this innovative and much lauded

    program had already trained and deployed up to 30,000 female health extension workers

    (HEWs) to deliver basic preventive and curative health services at health post level

    across remote communities in Ethiopia. However, nutrition related competencies

    remained underdeveloped (for more information on the HEP, read Bilal et al, 2011). In

    addition to supporting community based nutrition (CBN) in 4 regions across Ethiopia,

    including the provision of micronutrients, the project also intended to (and managed to)

    leverage interest and funding from other donors for nutrition and nationwide scale up,

    and strengthen coordination, implementation and research capacity on nutrition at various

    levels.

    Overall project implementation was led by the Federal Ministry of Health (FMOH) and by extension, the Pharmaceuticals Fund and Supply Agency (PFSA), the key

    procurement entity. Ethiopian Health and Nutrition Research Institute (EHNRI), an

  • 3

    autonomous agency, was responsible to implement the project financed research related

    activities. There was no Project Implementation Unit (PIU); however focused technical

    assistance (TA) was provided in conjunction with short to long term capacity building

    efforts in the health sector to build project management capacity. At the sub-national

    level, the implementation was led by the Regional Health Bureaus (with support from

    regional NNP coordinators financed under the project) as well as the District Health

    Offices (Called Woreda Health Offices), and as the project progressed, by health sector

    staff trained in two-year sandwich Masters Course in nutrition (financed by the project).

    At the level of service delivery, implementation was led by HEWs (initially supported in

    their nutrition tasks by volunteer community health workers (VCHWs), and subsequently

    the Health Development Army (HDA)) under the government’s flagship Health

    Extension Program (HEP). More detail on these service delivery agents is provided

    throughout the report below.

    The rationale for the Bank to support Ethiopia on nutrition was high. The Bank was

    engaged in the formulation of the National Nutrition Plan, responding to requests from

    the Government for technical assistance and financial resources. Moreover, the Bank was

    involved in a wide range of activities, multi-donor operations, and sectors (agriculture,

    water, education), much of it over an extended period, and had demonstrated leadership

    in important and complex productive safety nets such as the Productive Safety Net

    Program (PSNP) and in providing basic services, as well as its involvement with the

    Ethiopia International Health Partnership Compact (August 2008). Its engagement was

    seen as needed by both the Government and development partners (DPs). Many DPs saw

    the Bank as a catalyst for their participation, and as providing greater assurance of the

    likelihood the harmonizing and integrated approach put forward by the NNP

    implementation, would be carried forward. The Bank’s Nutrition Project, fully aligned

    with the national plan, constituted a major contribution to the NNP.

    The project remained fully relevant with the most recent Country Partnership

    Strategy (CPS 2012-2017) which emphasized increasing resilience and reducing

    vulnerability. The CPS is well tied to the Government's Growth and Transformation

    Plan and particularly in areas of strong Government ownership. Pillar Two of the CPS

    aims to enhance resilience and reduce vulnerabilities by improving delivery of social

    services and developing a comprehensive approach to social protection and risk

    management. An important outcome sought by the CPS is increasing access to quality

    health and education services, and these are closely linked to nutrition. The objective of

    the Nutrition Project was consistent with good governance in that it focused on improved

    public service management and responsiveness; enhanced community participation; and

    better public service (health sector) financial and procurement management, and

    accountability.

    1.2 Original Project Development Objectives (PDO) and Key Indicators

    The Project Development Objective (PDO) was to "improve child and maternal care

    behavior, and increase utilization of key micronutrients, in order to contribute to

    improving the nutritional status of vulnerable groups". This was to be primarily achieved

    by equipping and supervising front line Health Extension Workers (HEWs), already

  • 4

    deployed throughout Ethiopia, with new nutrition outreach skills and competencies, and

    mobilize Volunteer Community Health Workers (VCHWs), done specifically under the

    project, to support HEWs in their nutrition outreach activities. These Community Based

    Nutrition (CBN) interventions (carried out, incrementally, in 4 regions), which also

    focused on distributing key micronutrients, would be complemented by supporting social

    advocacy and communications campaigns on nutrition (through community

    conversations carried out by HEWs and VCHWs)-, as well as strengthening overall

    coordination, management and research capacity on nutrition more generally at various

    levels. The support provided under the project was expected to leverage additional donor

    support (and that from other sectors) towards the NNP and lead to improvements in a

    number of intermediary and project outcome indicators (Table 1), in addition to higher

    level nutrition objectives discussed below.

    Table 1: Original indicators of the WB nutrition project

    1.3 Revised PDO (as approved by original approving authority) and Key Indicators, and

    reasons/justification

    Whilst the PDO was not changed, the project indicators were revised during the

    project duration to be more logically linked to the PDO and allow more rigorous and

    timely monitoring of the project. The June 2011 supervision mission reviewed the

    original indicators and assessed available data sources. During the Mid-Term Review

    (MTR) mission (November 21-29, 2011) a review of the proposed revised results

    framework was done and finalized1. The project was formally restructured in 2012 to

    respond to a GOE request to revise the indicators going forward. One new PDO indicator

    Project Outcome Indicators

    - Percentage of infants aged 0-5 months exclusively breast fed

    - Percentage of households using adequately iodized salt

    - Percentage of pregnant women receiving iron and folate supplementation

    - People with Access to a Basic package of health, nutrition or population services

    - Children Receiving a dose of Vitamin A

    Intermediary Results Indicators

    - Health Extension Workers trained on revised curriculum: percentage out of a target of 30,000 to be

    achieved by project completion

    - Percentage of iodization machines functioning out of 60 planned

    - Universal Salt Iodization policy adopted and put in force, supporting proclamation 200/2000

    - Zinc registered as essential drug and included in Health Post Package

    - Percentage of nutritional surveillance sites operating and providing periodic data, out of a target of 20

    to be achieved by project completion

    - Percentage of operational research studies contracted out of a target of 20 to be achieved by project

    completion

    - Establishment of Inter-sectoral Nutrition Coordination Body

  • 5

    was added (GMP sessions) with the existing iodized salt indicator removed2, with other

    PDO indicators definitions refined. As for the Intermediary Indicators, two new

    indicators were included (health personnel receiving training in CBN and masters level

    training in nutrition) and others were refined in their specificity (see datasheet comments

    for details). For all indicators, where possible, values were updated using more recent

    nationally representative data, data from the 2009 National Nutrition Survey. Table 2

    provides details on the indicators following restructuring.

    Table 2: Revised/expanded indicators of the WB nutrition project

    1.4 Main Beneficiaries,

    The primary target beneficiaries were under-5 children and pregnant and lactating

    women principally in food insecure regions with high malnutrition rates, with

    particular emphasis on improvements in MDGs 1 (eradicate extreme poverty and

    hunger), MDG 4 (reduce Child Mortality), and MDG 5 (reduce Maternal Mortality). The

    Community Based Nutrition aspect of the project was designed to target beneficiaries in a

    phased approach in four diverse and highly food insecure regions (Amhara, Oromia,

    SNNPR, Tigray) before going nationally. Secondary beneficiaries were institutions

    involved in the implementation of the project and wider nutrition agenda whose capacity

    was built to help reach the primary targets. They included FMOH, EHNRI, Regional

    Health Bureaus, Woreda Health Offices and at the level of service delivery, HEWs under

    the government’s flagship HEP, whose competencies in implementing and monitoring

    CBN activities were upgraded.

    1.5 Original Components (as approved)

    2 This was done because there was a limited link between project inputs and salt iodization and thus

    "Universal Salt Iodization coverage" was not considered a good PDO indicator.

    Project Outcome Indicators*

    - Percentage of infants aged 0-5 months exclusively breast fed

    - Percentage of pregnant women receiving iron and folate supplementation

    - Number of people with access to basic package of nutrition services (CBN), % female

    - Number and percentage of children 6-59 months receiving a dose of Vitamin A every 6 months

    - Percentage of Children 0-23 months participating in monthly GMP sessions

    Intermediary Results Indicators

    - Number and percentage of Health Extension Workers (HEWs) trained on CBN curriculum

    - Percentage of national salt production iodized in previous year

    - Universal Salt Iodization policy adopted and put in force, supporting proclamation 200/2000

    - Zinc registered as essential drug and included in Health Post Package

    - Percentage of CBN woredas providing monthly nutrition data to federal level

    - Percentage of operational research studies contracted out of a target of 10 to be achieved by project

    completion (out of target 10)

    - Establishment of Inter-sectoral Nutrition Coordination Body

    - Number and percentage of health personnel (health center to federal level) receiving training on CBN

    - Percentage of persons in the health sector trained to masters level in nutrition (of a target of 30)

  • 6

    The project development objective and related indicators were expected to be achieved

    through the implementation of activities specified in 2 components, summarized as:

    Component 1: Supporting Service Delivery (US$14m IDA and US$4.3 from GOE). This component provided support to i) strengthen CBN and wider health services under

    the HEP outreach program, through capacity enhancement of HEWs and their

    supervisors, and mobilization of Volunteer Community Health Workers (VCHWs) to

    support them in nutrition related outreach activities, and ii) provision of micronutrients to

    the target population through regulatory interventions and support towards procurement,

    delivery and utilization of key micronutrients, especially iodine, iron, zinc, and vitamin

    A.

    Component 2: Institutional Strengthening and Capacity Building (US$16m and $4.3

    from GOE). This second component provided support to i) strengthen coordination and

    capacity for nutrition, in particular the setting up of a national coordination mechanisms

    for nutrition; strengthening human resources for nutrition including researchers and

    nutrition managers at various levels, and supporting capacity building of institutions to

    implement nutrition interventions; ; ii) support national advocacy and social mobilization

    messages on nutrition to a) build country ownership around nutrition and b) disseminate

    nutrition messages in the media, and c) complement practices of HEWs and VCHWs in

    promoting caring practices. Finally iii) support towards operational research, surveillance

    and monitoring on nutrition, including building on existing data structures, overall

    monitoring and evaluation for the NNP and relevant operational research for the NNP.

    The causal linkages between components and the intermediary, PDO and higher

    level indicators are illustrated in table 3 below, reflecting the results framework with

    the post 2012 restructured indicators.

    Table 3: Linkages between higher level objectives, PDO indicators, Intermediary

    indicators and components

    Higher Level Objectives Higher Level Objective indicators1

    To improve the nutritional status of

    vulnerable groups, especially

    young children and pregnant

    women

    - Percentage of under-5 children with weight-for-age less than two

    standard deviations below the median of the reference population (MDG-

    1 indicator)

    - Percentage of under-5 children with height-for-age less than two standard

    deviations below the median of the reference population

    Project Development Objective

    (PDO)

    Project Outcome Indicators

    To improve child and maternal

    care behavior, and increase

    utilization of key micronutrients, in

    order to contribute to improving

    the nutritional status of vulnerable

    groups

    - Percentage of infants aged 0-5 months exclusively breast fed

    - Percentage of pregnant women receiving iron and folate supplementation

    - Number of people with access to basic package of nutrition services

    (CBN), % female

    - Number and percentage of children 6-59 months receiving a dose of

    Vitamin A every 6 months

    - Percentage of Children 0-23 months participating in monthly GMP

    sessions

    Intermediate Results Results Indicators for Each Component

  • 7

    1.6 Revised Components

    No new Components were added

    1.7 Other significant changes

    N/A

    2. Key Factors Affecting Implementation and Outcomes

    2.1 Project Preparation, Design and Quality at Entry

    There was intensive and high quality technical preparation of the project, both on

    the Government's side with EHNRI nutrition research coupled with Bank supported

    detailed analysis, and significant interaction in terms of developing the NNP.

    The preparation of the Bank project was closely linked to preparation of the wider

    NNP. Project identification and preparation, which began in earnest following the project

    concept note review held in September 2007, was informed and benefitted from a wider

    government and multi-partner team formed that same year to determine national level

    nutrition objectives, components and activities, financing priorities and implementation

    arrangements. Many of the specific details of the proposed structure of the wider

    Ethiopia NNP and alongside it, the fully consistent Bank project, were established during

    a Joint Partner Pre-Appraisal Mission held in October 2007 (Aide Memoire, 8-31

    October, 2007).

    The project preparation was swift, and whilst there was no formal Quality- at –

    Entry Review, the technical design was endorsed at the decision meeting held in

    February 2008. Throughout the preparation and appraisal period until board approval on

    April 29, 2008, the Bank team continued to consult and benefit from global expertise and

    a new found momentum to tackle nutrition in Ethiopia, exemplified for example by a

    Component 1: Supporting Service Delivery

    To enhance delivery of key

    nutrition services, in terms of

    quantity and quality, through

    community-based nutrition

    interventions and supply of key

    micronutrients

    - Number and percentage of health extension workers trained in CBN

    curriculum

    - Universal Salt Iodization policy adopted and put in force, supporting

    Proclamation 200/2000;

    - Zinc registered as an essential drug and included in the health post

    package

    - Percentage of national salt production iodized in previous year

    Component 2: Institutional Strengthening and Capacity Building

    To strengthen institutional capacity

    to support delivery of improved

    nutritional services

    - Establishment of inter-sectoral National Nutrition Coordination Body

    - Number and percentage of health personnel (health center to federal

    level) receiving training in CBN

    - Percentage of CNB woredas providing monthly nutrition data to federal

    level

    - Percentage of NNP operational research studies completed and

    disseminated

    - Percentage of health personnel trained to masters level in nutrition

  • 8

    high level nutrition workshop held in 2008 linked to the Lancet journal series on nutrition

    (Ethiopia was chosen as one of five countries in which the series was launched).

    The project was largely designed around a solid evidence base on the status and

    causes of malnutrition. Much of the evidence base was informed by an earlier

    unpublished version of a nutrition study task led by the then Project TTL (eventually

    published as Rajkumar et al 2011). As such, the determinants of malnutrition were

    correctly recognized to be multi- sectoral in nature, linked to factors beyond food

    security. Whilst the PAD drew on a solid external evidence base (including the numerous

    documents that informed the NNP and NNS), it could nevertheless have benefited from

    showing how the more narrow interventions that were to be supported and funded under

    the project were anchored into the overall determinants and parallel interventions

    impacting (mal) nutrition in Ethiopia. Not doing this may have contributed to the

    selection of a set of indicators that had to be revised during subsequent restructuring

    (largely to better capture impact, as discussed below), and has made it more difficult to

    make the clear attribution of funded project interventions from interventions funded by

    others.

    The selected interventions supported under the project were generally based on

    global best practice. Embedding micronutrient supplementation within an integrative

    public health and nutrition strategy at community level, for example, is known to

    maximize the potential for success (Thompson and Amoroso 2011). And recent reviews

    on the impact of broader demand and supply side interventions at the community and

    individual level have shown them to be successful, when they are coupled with wider

    regulatory interventions, social advocacy and mobilization, and reinforced by

    complementary capacity building interventions at all levels (see UNICEF 2014; IEG

    2010). These best practices were largely adopted in project design.

    Project design focused on entry points and best practices associated with targeting

    the poor. Whereas the PAD could have benefited from a brief review of the evidence of

    social determinants of malnutrition inequities in Ethiopia, to more systematically identify

    and target nutrition inequalities, pro-poor design features included 1) a focus on high

    risk and vulnerable groups (mothers and children), 2) prioritizing diseases of the poor

    (the poor are disproportionately affected by malnutrition), 3) strengthening individuals

    (the project promoted knowledge on nutritional practice), 4) strengthening communities

    (the project used community level actors to strengthen social cohesion), 5) improving

    living and working conditions (the project improved access to better nutrition care), 6)

    complementing individual level interventions with macro level policies (the project

    supported regulatory interventions on micronutrients), and 7) deploying or improving

    services where the poor live (the project focused on poor regions) and 8) employing

    appropriate delivery channels” (the project made use of health extension workers at

    community level) (Whitehead 2007; Barros et al, 2010).

    Additional notable strengths of project design included: i) drawing on strong political

    and partner commitment for nutrition and community based service delivery; ii) logical

    organization into two simple components, and a results chain with indicators plausibly

    connecting the development objective with the planned activities/inputs, outputs,

  • 9

    processes, and outcomes (albeit this was improved significantly after restructuring in

    2012); iii) embedding the CBN activities of the project within an existing, innovative

    community level service delivery program (i.e. the community level Health Extension

    Program); iv) the use of existing institutions, and flexibility to accommodate new

    structures for implementation at community, kebele, woreda and federal levels; v) roll

    out of the CBN interventions in a phased approach in diverse and highly food insecure

    rural districts within four regions (Amhara, Oromia, SNNPR, Tigray); vi) utilizing

    strong partnerships (and collaboration) with other development partners engaged in

    Ethiopian nutrition efforts, particularly with UNICEF; vii) developing a sound Project

    Implementation Manual, with support of an external consultant hired with a PHRD grant,

    which provided a good basis for project execution and was used extensively throughout.

    The design, moreover, anticipated and identified mitigation towards potential risks

    that could negatively impact project outcomes. The emphasis was crucially placed on

    coordination and implementation requirements, identified to be as particular risks to the

    achievement of the development objectives, if the appropriate mitigation measures were

    not implemented. They included:

    (a) Inter-Ministerial commitment, linkages and coordination- Nutrition requires effective

    links with sectors that affect or are affected by nutrition. The principal mitigation

    measure was the commitment to establish and support a high-level national coordinating

    body, to be actively supported by Ministries beyond just MOH.

    (b)Intra-health sector coordination-There are numerous units and agencies within the

    FMOH, with different program specific objectives other than nutrition. To overcome

    possible difficulties, the project would look to active engagement of the Minister, to

    whom the units and agencies are accountable, and Ministerial commitment to play a

    strong supervisory and coordination role.

    (c)Need for reporting from multiple implementers-Concerns were expressed that

    reporting from various implementers, at the various levels, would not be timely,

    complete, and relevant. The primary mitigating measure was to task EHNRI with overall

    responsibility for monitoring and evaluation of the NNP and Bank project.

    (d)Donor coordination -With multiple development partners engaged in nutrition,

    harmonization and coordination issues are challenging. Mitigation measures were to look

    to the FMOH to proactively coordinate donor participation and response for activities

    related to the NNP, including the Bank project.

    Some of the design shortcomings at entry, which affected implementation and were

    partly rectified after restructuring in 2012 included: insufficient awareness in the

    initial design on the complexity involved in iodized salt production, particularly with

    regard to its political economy, in addition to quality and the difficulty in assuring

    standardized iodine dosage with small producers (hence the subsequent removal of

    associated indicators during restructuring). More scrutiny could have been placed on the

    development of the results framework more generally: Project restructuring in 2012 had

  • 10

    to be carried out to better link PDIs with IOIs, in addition to building on better data

    sources. Perhaps a key weakness at appraisal was insufficient identification of weak

    fiduciary and M&E capacity as a key risk. The fact that the PAD did not sufficiently flag

    such risks could be linked to the fact that from the outset, what was not well defined was

    where to house the program and responsibility for its implementation, with ultimately

    much later agreement that it should be the FMOH. In any case, greater analysis and

    assessment of risks and identification of solid mitigation of challenges early would have

    improved project execution.

    2.2 Implementation

    The project was financed by an IDA grant of SDR 18.8 million (US$ 30 million

    equivalent) with a Government contribution of US$9.6million. Over the course of the

    project two Trust Fund grants were linked to the project, a US$ 1.81million recipient

    executed Japanese Social Development Fund Grant, and a US$ 650,000 grant towards the

    Rapid Social Response Multi-Donor Trust Fund (RSD MDTF). Their role in contributing

    towards the PDO is discussed in section 3.2 of this ICR.

    The project was approved by the Board in April 2008 and became effective in

    September 2008 with conditions of effectiveness and dated covenants largely achieved

    as planned. Conditions of effectiveness included assignment of a financial specialist for

    the FMOH, adoption of a Program Implementation Manual, and project procurement

    specialists for the PFSA and EHNRI. Dated covenants included establishment by July

    2009 of a National Nutrition Coordinating Body, recruitment by October 2008 of an

    external auditor for the Project, evidence of adoption and implementation of universal

    salt iodization regulations by July 2010, and registration of zinc as an essential drug by

    July 2010.

    Despite effectiveness declared in September 2008, the actual launch of the project

    was delayed significantly due to factors extrinsic to the project itself. The project

    launch did not occur until 9 months later until June 2009, which was largely attributed to

    the Ethiopian Government-wide “Business Process Reform” process, a wide ranging

    public sector reform effort designed to bring about efficiencies in the public sector over

    an extensive period, which affected and delayed many parts of the government and the

    Bank portfolio. The BPR affected project launch because it was hard to secure the

    presence of higher level government officials during this period and because it involved

    restructuring of relevant structures and responsibilities of certain agencies within the

    government (e.g. EHNRI, FMOH). Whilst the project launch was put on hold during this

    process, the project team continued to benefit from donor support towards the

    development and refinement of the PIM and of the broader NNP (in which the Bank

    project was anchored), initiation of the baseline survey process, and key steps were taken

    to enhance project execution readiness, including for example the selection of operational

    research topics to be supported under the project. Thus, the principal cause of the delay in

    Bank project start-up was extrinsic to the project itself, while the Government and other

    DPs proceeded with the execution of the NNP.

  • 11

    Furthermore, an issue extraneous to the nutrition project, namely the existence of

    unaccounted advances in other projects in the Ethiopia portfolio, meant that the initial,

    agreed Withdrawal Application disbursement for the project Special Account was

    delayed for several months, hamstringing project start up and impacting performance.

    Following launch in June 2009, the first phase of service delivery to 238 woredas

    proceeded largely as designed3. Project-financed training and procurement for CBN

    under the NNP was linked to complementary UNICEF-financed technical assistance to

    FMOH in the development of training materials and training of master trainers for

    cascading training to community level and UNICEF procurement of items known to be

    complicated to procure (e.g. weighing scales). In this initial implementation phase,

    VCHWs and HEWs in project areas received CBN specific training and refresher training

    under the project (VCHWs were originally assigned under the project to work with

    HEWs to deliver two major activities under CBN notably GMP and Community

    Conversations (CC), each responsible for 30-50 households – under HEW’s supervision).

    From the end of 2010 onwards, the project experienced disruptions and delays in

    carrying out CBN activities due to a training-related policy shift, again extrinsic to

    the project itself. The FMOH dropped CBN specific training and instead developed

    Integrated Refresher Training (IRT) for HEWs, which included 4 broader modules one of

    which included CBN. Consequently, HEW refresher training was disrupted and with it

    project implementation. Around the same time, a second policy shift affected CBN

    activities, as FMOH national policy replaced the VCHW with “Health Development

    Army (HDA)” volunteers, who were assigned to carry out mobilization and promotional

    activities within the community (not specific to nutrition), with GMP and CC transferred

    fully to the HEW. Training of the new HDAs was less focused on nutrition, and CBN

    service delivery, specifically GMP and CC, were severely affected in some areas where

    the transition from VCHW to HAD and HEW took longer than expected4. These policy

    changes slowed and disrupted implementation.

    Other challenges during implementation could be linked more directly to the

    project, and related to some of the intended micronutrient interventions, also under

    component 1. During the first phase of implementation, it became evident that the

    targeted levels of household provision of adequately iodized salt was an unrealistic goal,

    given the nature of the Ethiopian salt industry with many small producers in a politically

    complex region with extreme weather, poor infrastructure (water, electricity, roads), and

    the absence of a means to assure compliance to centrally mandated legislation. While

    3 By June 2011, 11,900 Health Extension Workers (HEWs) and 90,000 Voluntary Community Health

    Workers (VCHWs) were trained on CBN, (GMP) coverage increased to 60% with 1.08 million out of 1.8

    million under-2 children participating in GMP sessions, and 65% of VCHWs were submitting monthly

    CBN reports to HEWs 4 Moving to an HDA system took time to establish with some regions doing so quickly and others not.

    Furthermore, the HDA were trained in an integrated package that diluted the nutrition messaging.

    Combined with the shifting of responsibilities to HEWs, this reduced the “dose” of nutrition activities at

    community level.

  • 12

    efforts continued to build on the approved salt iodization policy and pursue increases in

    quality salt iodization (reflected in new intermediary indicators added after 2012), it was

    evident early on that household coverage of iodized salt was beyond the project to

    achieve given the financed activities (and the original PDO indicator on that was

    dropped). Implementation of other aspects of micronutrient interventions in this

    component were successful, as the targets for community-based Vitamin A

    Supplementation were routinely exceeded and uptake of IFA among pregnant women

    increased over the project period.

    A particular concern, moreover, were FM issues and procurement delays

    particularly with the FMOH and by extension with a key procurement entity, the

    Pharmaceuticals Fund and Supply Agency (PFSA) and to some degree with ENHRI.

    Procurement processes were cumbersome, took time to complete, and resulted in delays

    in getting goods to the end-users, such as iron folate or vehicles, or selecting institutions

    to produce studies. A procurement plan had been adopted but the implementing entities,

    namely PFSA, EHNRI, and FMOH had limited experience with Bank procurement

    procedures, and were slow in processing procurement requests despite additional

    technical assistance to facilitate. With respect to financial management, in the first phase

    of the project, there were key budgeting, internal controls and financial reporting and

    external auditing issues that were identified as warranting improvement, with an action

    plan for improvement developed in 2011 (during the MTR). Funds flow was slow, with

    delays and or lags in disbursement.

    A Joint Mid-Term Review in November 2011 sought to identify and address a

    number of challenges, including: weaknesses in federal and regional level staff

    particularly with regards to financial management and procurement (development of an

    FM action plan with agreed actions contained in the Annex of the MTR); strengthening

    integrated refresher training (IRT) in light of the policy shift on training5, responding

    to/mitigating the adverse effects as a result of replacement of VCHW by a new Health

    Development Army cadre on CBN nutrition services6; revising the results framework to

    align it more closely with project activities, including elimination of the universal salt

    iodization objective as unrealistic; speed up progress in implementing M&E activities;

    foster recognition of the need for, and recommendations to generate multi-sectoral

    commitment, including Ministry commitment to their respective roles in stunting

    reduction (given the slow advancements in that regard of the multi-sectoral nutrition

    coordination committee), and in particular MOA/FMOH collaboration at national and

    community/kebele level. All in all, the interim report at the time of Mid-Term Review

    5 Critical to the success of the approach was HEW and VCHW competency and quality of counseling,

    which was dependent on training, refresher training, and supervision. After VCHWs were replaced by

    HAD, the HEWs training became even more critical, but CBN was integrated into HEW IRT, with limited

    time devoted to it. Recognition of the need to improve skill levels was raised by a Bank financed EHNRI

    study which did a candid analysis of pre- and post-refresher training skills, and resulted in an ongoing

    effort to develop "Blended Training Materials for Nutrition" which remains a work in progress. 6 While each HDA was assigned to mobilize 5 households, they were not given permission to deliver any

    service. Instead, HEWs were asked to carry out GMP which added significantly to their workload.

  • 13

    provided information for both NNP revision and project restructuring, and led to an

    action plan to address them.

    The task team and the FMOH were proactive in addressing the challenges

    experienced during the first half of the project, particularly after the MTR. Formally

    restructuring the project in 2012 helped to more logically link and redefine project and

    intermediary indicators and targets, and improved the data available for decision-making.

    With regards to procurement, notable steps were taken including: carrying out continuous

    revisions of procurement plans, procurement training for PFSA staff; and implementation

    of recommendations to hire a procurement officer in the FMOH (eventually done post

    2012). To improve financial management, the FMOH hired nutrition coordinators to

    work at regional level in project regions; financial capacity building was completed at the

    woreda level (training for financial managers in 144 woredas); Federal level accountant

    training was also undertaken to cascade training to woreda accountants; and TA was

    recruited to support FM.

    Following the MTR and subsequent restructuring, there was progress with

    implementation of components and procurement of some activities improved. Financial management also improved reflected in the quick settlement of SOEs, including

    outstanding balances at regions and implementing agencies. Disbursement shows a slow

    start with improvements only beginning in the first quarter of 2011, increasing from 10%

    ($3 million) in December 2009, to 50% ($15 million) by March 2012. The disbursement

    pattern, which improved more significantly only in 2011 following the MTR, reflects the

    above discussed extrinsic and intrinsic factors which hampered early implementation

    progress. Whilst overall implementation and disbursement improved after 2011, the

    procurement of some micronutrients, and in particular iron folate tablets remained

    problematic throughout project execution, primarily due to delays within PFSA, as there

    are additional registration processes required for “medical” suppliers, and FMOH

    determined that IFA supplements be treated as medical supplies. By the time the project

    closed, SDR 17.3 million was disbursed (92% of the original allocation of SDR 18.8

    million).

    2.3 Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) Design, Implementation and Utilization

    The project was formally restructured on April 11, 2012. Design and implementation

    issues resulted in the need to change one Project Development Objective (PDO)

    indicator, update baseline values of the PDO indicators (with data from the NP-financed

    NNP baseline survey, accordingly changing end-line targets), and fine tune some IOIs to

    more logically link them to the PDO, and permit their regular and more targeted

    monitoring. At restructuring, one PDO indicator was dropped (salt iodization) and one

    added (GMP). As for the Intermediary Indicators, 2 new indicators were added, 5

    indicators made more specific, and 3 indicators remained the same. The indicators were

    fine-tuned with the wider government and multi-partner discussions during preparation

    and subsequent implementation, with the revision aligned with the revised NNP

    framework.

  • 14

    Project monitoring, which relied largely on the HMIS system, was initially

    challenging but improved significantly as the project progressed. The monitoring and

    evaluation data used by the project to monitor and evaluate progress depended on two

    major systems: 1) the national Health Monitoring Information System (HMIS) which did

    not initially include nutrition indicators but was revised under the project to include

    Growth Monitoring and Promotion; and 2) CBN data collection carried out at woreda

    level on a monthly basis flowing to Regional Health Bureaus (RHB) and national level.

    Initial challenges to obtain woreda level nutrition data at the federal level (in the HMIS)

    were addressed during restructuring in 2012, which added an intermediary indicator to

    ensure woredas were providing monthly nutrition data to the federal level. By the end of

    the project, the flow of nutrition data from the woredas to the national level, as well as

    perceived quality of this data, improved significantly, with over 80% of woredas

    providing monthly nutrition data to the MOH.

    The project also supported an independent impact evaluation of CBN activities in

    collaboration with UNICEF. Surveys were carried out by local partners Addis

    Continental and Mela, with analyses conducted by Tulane University. This was a

    unique feature supported by the project in collaboration with UNICEF. The report,

    finalized in September 2012 was disseminated also via a BBL at the Bank, and the

    assessment showed impressive progress towards improved nutrition outcomes in the 4

    target regions where CBN was supported, and in particular the reduction of stunting. The

    key findings of this study are highlighted below, in section 3.2 of this ICR.

    In addition, the project provided support towards EHNRI under component 2

    towards operational research studies on nutrition. A multi-stakeholder consultative

    workshop held in 2009 identified twelve potential thematic areas for operational research,

    later reduced to six thematic areas. Eight out of the originally planned 10 studies were

    carried out during the project (the initial 10 study target had been reduced to 8 by

    EHNRI), with findings used by the government to understand and discuss project

    performance, guide implementation and inform the new NNP. For example, a study of

    iron supplementation coverage at health centers and health posts showed very low

    coverage, and led to subsequent remedial action, the review of IRT identified gaps in

    HEW training on nutrition and identified priority areas for revision.

    Finally, EHNRI (now EPHI) was responsible for the baseline, midline, and end-line

    survey. The baseline and midline studies were done (and results disseminated through

    national workshops); however the endline survey has not been completed. It was agreed

    the endline survey would become part of a broader micronutrient survey financed by DPs

    (primarily UNICEF). While plans for the survey were completed well within the

    anticipated closing date of the project, procurement constraints beyond the control of

    EPHI and the FMOH, prevented commencement of the MN survey. UNICEF has

    acknowledged that the delay has been with their procurement of a number of supplies,

    including data collection supplies, which were to be provided by UNICEF. The end-line

    survey was to be in lieu of a separate Bank financed end-line survey for project

    purposes, which would have been repetitive and costly to have done as a stand-alone

    effort. Resolution of procurement items between EPHI and UNICEF sooner could have

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    resulted in timely completion of the micronutrient survey and better assessment of project

    performance (end-line results reporting).

    2.4 Safeguard and Fiduciary Compliance

    Safeguards: The project was classified as a Category C project and no negative

    environmental impact was either identified or occurred during project implementation.

    Financial management and disbursement: Project appraisal had identified low fiduciary

    capacity as one potential risk to the achievement of proposed development objective.

    Whilst initial fiduciary compliance was problematic, there are indications that this

    improved during the latter half of the project. In the first phase of the project, there

    were key budgeting, internal controls and financial reporting and external auditing issues

    that were identified as warranting improvement, with an action plan for improvement

    developed in 2011 (contained in the Annex of the MTR). Many of the recommendations

    were adopted including the use of project financing to enhance training of regional

    financial officers and woreda project accountants. Other recommendations, including

    improving the quality of regional and sub-regional budget monitoring and reporting, and

    internal audit unit capacity, will require continuous future attention. An in-depth

    Financial Management Supervision Report in March 20147 provided assurance of

    adequate financial management under the project. The report focused on assessing the

    status and adequacy of the Project's financial management arrangements and compliance

    with legal covenants related to financial management. The mission reviewed budgeting,

    accounting, internal controls, funds flow, financial reporting, and external auditing. It

    concluded that there was reasonable adequacy that the FM system in place provided the

    necessary assurance that Bank grant proceeds were used for the intended purposes and

    reports produced can be relied on to have monitored Project activities.

    As identified previously, disbursement was slow during the first 2 years of the

    project, and at least partly attributed to procurement related challenges. Despite

    some improvements after 2011, procurement was a major issue throughout the project

    life. A recommendation to recruit a procurement officer to handle and oversee

    procurement activities of the project was pursued after considerable delay and located at

    the FMOH. Procurement plans were developed and continuously revised for goods

    (micronutrients, vehicles and motorcycles, furniture, educational materials, laboratory

    equipment, printing of manuals and workshop training materials, IT equipment), as well

    as multiple consultancy service assignments and positions for FMOH and EHNRI, but

    remained a major constraint for proper implementation of the project.

    2.5 Post-completion Operation/Next Phase

    7 Financial Management Supervision Report [October 2013 to March 2014]. Ethiopia Nutrition Project,

    World Bank Ethiopia, March 2014

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    The project was instrumental in triggering donor attention to nutrition and as a

    result leveraged interest and additional resources to support the implementation of

    the NNP. Throughout the project duration, the Bank provided overall leadership in the

    national scaling up of nutrition movement amongst donors, and played a key role in

    strengthening nutrition coordination partnerships including via carrying out bi-annual

    NNP joint supervision missions. The Bank team was also actively involved in supporting

    the government to implement nutrition interventions not directly linked to the project

    (that would nonetheless impact higher level project objectives), including the roll out of

    the national food fortification program.

    Building on the work done under the project and the NNP, the Government's next

    Health Sector Development Program (V) will have nutrition indicators, with the

    likely inclusion of stunting, breast feeding and complementary feeding, GMP,

    micronutrient supplementation, management of acute malnutrition. Currently the HMIS

    collects data on under 3 year old children while the focus of the SUN approach and CBN

    is on children under age 2 years; how this disparity will be dealt with, either by

    modification of the HMIS or separate but complementary nutrition data collection, is not

    determined.

    The Government partners are continuing to support the NNP, continuously refining

    the mechanisms, training materials, and modus operandi. The second phase of the

    national nutrition program is detailed in a 2013 FMOH document “National Nutrition

    Program, June 2013-June 2015”8. Part of the NNP continues to be supported under the

    Productive Safety Net Program (PSNP) and the Health Millennium Development Goals

    Program-for-Results Project (Health PforR), with significant resources bearing on

    nutrition related interventions in both projects.

    Moving forward, the Bank is supportive of continued support for nutrition activities in

    the country and is discussing the possibility of additional financing (AF) for the Health

    Millennium Development Goals Program-for-Results Project (Health PforR). The

    additional financing could build on this first nutrition operation with focus on high

    impact targeted nutrition specific interventions and significantly enhance HSDP IV’s

    maternal and child health results. In the meantime, the Bank team will continue engaging

    the Government on nutrition issues through analytical work based on the latest DHS data

    and other data sources, focusing on the sizeable nutrition outcome gaps between different

    income groups.

    8 FMOH (2013) National Nutrition Program, June 2013-June 2015. Federal Ministry of Health, Addis

    Ababa, Ethiopia. Accessed: www. unicef.org/ethiopia/National_Nutrition_Programme.pdf

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    3. Assessment of Outcomes

    3.1 Relevance of Objectives, Design and Implementation

    Rating: The relevance of the project’s development objective, design and

    implementation is substantial.

    The relevance of the objectives: The PDO remains extremely relevant for Ethiopia, in that malnutrition continues to be a key bottleneck to economic growth and prosperity.

    It remains relevant for Ethiopia, fully supporting (and in line with) the NNS and both the

    first and second phases of NNP with the aim to shift the country from a focus on

    emergency response to an evidence-based preventive/promotive approach to improving

    nutrition, and harmonize various independent nutrition programs, interventions and

    activities, into one integrated program overseen by the Government. The NNS and NNP

    remain highly relevant to Ethiopia’s efforts to reduce poverty, improve nutrition and

    health, and remove bottlenecks to economic growth. The PDO also remains relevant to

    Bank priorities and development objectives including progressing towards the twin goals

    of the World Bank Group, and contribute to 1) end extreme poverty and 2) promote

    shared prosperity of the bottom 40%. The PDO is in alignment with the basic objectives

    of the PRSP and the Country Partnership Strategy.

    The relevance of the design: The design of the project continues to be relevant to

    achieving Ethiopia’s development objectives, and the Bank’s mandate to support poverty

    reduction and foster economic growth. Despite the early design issues addressed during

    the 2012 MTR, overall, the project design focused on a number of good practices that

    continue to be relevant today (and to the achievement of the objective). These include: i)

    drawing on global expertise and a solid evidence base to develop technical interventions;

    ii) focusing on the vulnerable and entry points associated with reaching the poor; iii)

    drawing on strong political and partner commitment; iv) embedding the project within an

    existing national nutrition program and a functioning well designed community level

    service delivery program; v) using existing institutions, and flexibility to accommodate

    new structures for implementation at community, kebele, woreda and federal levels; vi)

    focusing on a combination of community level with higher level interventions; and vii)

    roll out some of the CBN interventions in a phased approach. The relevance of these

    strong features were fully recognized by the Lancet Series on Maternal and Child

    Nutrition of June 6, 2013.

    The relevance of implementation: The project was implemented overall by the FMOH,

    and by extension, the Pharmaceutical Fund and Supply Agency (PHSA) and the

    Ethiopian Health and Nutrition Research Institute (EHNRI). Per best practice and the

    decentralized institutional arrangement of the health system, at the sub-national level

    implementation was led by the Regional Health Bureaus as well as Woreda Health

    Offices and at the level of service delivery by health extension workers (HEWs), the

    health development army (following on from the VCHWs), and supervisors - under the

    government’s flagship Health Extension Program (HEP). The capacities of all these

    bodies, which implemented the project according to good practice from the community

    level upwards, were reinforced throughout the duration of the project. Implementation of

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    the research activities by the national research organization EHNRI remained relevant. At

    the same time, disbursement was relatively slow during the first two years of the project,

    reflecting implementation challenges as well as the lack of experience, and bureaucratic

    processes, related to procurement and FM, which particularly occurred early on during

    the project. Issues with M&E also characterized the first phase of the project. Much was

    addressed prior to and during the MTR, and subsequent restructuring, however

    challenges remained particularly on procurement.

    3.2 Achievement of Project Development Objectives

    Rating: Project efficacy is rated substantial.

    The PDO which was to “improve child and maternal care behavior and increase

    utilization of key micronutrients, in order to contribute to improving the nutritional status

    of vulnerable groups” is rated substantial overall, as measured against the original targets

    and those following project restructuring in 2012. The project has made an impressive

    contribution towards improving child and maternal care behavior and increasing the

    utilization of key micronutrients and improving the nutritional status of vulnerable

    groups. In addition, the project has contributed to strengthening institutional capacity to

    support delivery of improved nutritional services and towards boosting research and

    knowledge generation on nutrition in Ethiopia. Aside from achieving most of the PDO

    and intermediary indicators, some higher level nutrition and health objectives also

    improved during the duration of the project. The efficacy rating is based on the following

    main results outlined below.

    3.2.1 Evidence on the Achievements of the Project Development Objective

    a) Improvements in Child and Maternal Care Practices and Increased Utilization

    of key Micronutrients:

    This is particularly reflected in the impressive achievement of the PDO indicators added

    after restructuring in 2012 (to better capture results of project activities). Improvements

    in these indicators (often exceeding the target values) show that today more than 55m

    people have access to a basic package of nutrition services (up from 0 persons prior to the

    project) and 42 % of children 0-23 months being routinely weighed and monitored, by

    Health Extension Workers (HEWs), a starting point to engage the community in actions

    that promote child growth including optimal breastfeeding and complementary feeding.

    In addition, 2 million more children receive a dose of vitamin A every 6 months, and the

    same amount are screened quarterly for acute malnutrition through community health

    days. The percentage of pregnant women receiving iron and folate supplementation

    increased from 17% to 89% during the project duration, and the percentage of infants

    exclusively breastfed increased by about 1% over the duration of the Project (albeit this

    indicator reflects national level data – an external evaluation carried out by Tulane in

    CBN woredas only, which received much of the focus of this project and is discussed

    below– revealed much better improvements). Addressing household provision of

    adequately iodized salt (an indicator dropped in 2012) was an unrealistic goal, given the

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    nature of the salt industry with many small producers and the absence of a means to

    assure compliance. Instead, headway was made related to the approved salt iodization

    policy and overall increases in quality salt iodization (reflected in the intermediary

    indicators).

    Table 5: PDO Level Indicators: Aims and actual achievements at completion

    PDO Indicators Base line Value

    Original Target Values (from approval documents)

    Actual Value Achieved at Completion or Target Years

    Indicator

    Percentage of people with access to a basic package of nutrition services (CBN)

    0 44,125,000 55,800,000 Refined at time of Restructuring

    Percentage of children 0-23 months participating in monthly GMP sessions

    0 40% 42% New at time of Restructuring

    Percentage of infants aged 0-5 months exclusively breast fed9

    51% (49% in PAD)

    56% 52% Original Indicator

    Percentage of pregnant women receiving iron and folate supplementation

    17% 25% 89% Original Indicator

    Number and percentage of children receiving a dose of vitamin A every 6 months

    10,200,000 11,300,000 12,159,933 Refined at time of Restructuring

    Percentage of households using adequately iodized salts

    Na Na na Dropped at time of Restructuring

    Sources: Compiled from final ISR March 2014.

    The impressive national level results are reinforced by the findings of an impact

    evaluation of the CBN interventions in the four target regions a few years into the

    project. The impact evaluation, which was coordinated by Tulane and jointly funded by

    the project and UNICEF, carried out four evaluation sample surveys of CBN between

    2009 and 2011 in Tranches 2 and 3 of successive scale up of the CBN interventions. The

    surveys covered about 120 randomly selected clusters each in the four target regions, and

    had re-sampling of households from the same clusters at endline. Findings from the

    surveys reported significant increases in households reporting receiving nutrition

    information from HEW or VCHWs and participating in community-based nutrition

    activities such as Community Conversations and child weighing. The evaluation found

    significant changes in maternal and child nutrition care practices targeted by the project,

    including infant and young child feeding (IYCF) practices (using WHO indicators):

    Exclusive breastfeeding under 6 months, already high in CBN woredas, increased in

    tranche 2 to nearly 90% (an increase much higher than observed at national level increase

    9 This indicator reflects national level data only – an external evaluation 2 years into the project, carried out

    by Tulane in CBN woredas only, which received much of the focus of this project and is discussed below–

    revealed much better improvements

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    above). Dietary diversity at 6-23 months increased significantly, as did the minimal

    acceptable diet-reaching around 40-50%. Poor dietary practices, such as providing less

    food to children with diarrhea and eating less during pregnancy, were also significantly

    reduced. Use of antenatal care increased as did women taking iron-folate during

    pregnancy from 30 to 50%.

    b) Improvements in Nutritional Status of Vulnerable Groups10:

    During the duration of the project, two important higher level Protein Energy

    Malnutrition (PEM) outcome indicators at national level improved: stunting and

    underweight (an MDG indicator). National level data compiled from the Central

    Statistical Agency (DHS 2014) reported that the percentage of children underweight in

    Ethiopia was reduced from 33% in 200