distinguis h ed profit a ble resi l ient ris k ......brsa bank only 2015 earnings presentation...
TRANSCRIPT
BRSA Bank Only
2015 Earnings Presentation
DISTINGUISPROFIT
RESIRIS
RELIASUST
NATIOMAR
HALKBANK
EDBLEIENTCONSCIOUSLEINABLEWIDEETMAKER
Macro Outlook
> The Fed decided to raise its target fund rate by 25 bps as widely expected, putting an end to seven years of most accomodative monetary policy.
> The volatility in financial markets is expected to weigh on FED’s policy path for the following rate hikes in terms of how fast they will take place.
> US economy expanded 2.4% in 2015, consumer spending proved to be holding up well.
> Having finished 2015 at 2.3% level, UST 10Y yield came down to 1.8% – 1.9% area on the signals from FED marking they may not rush into series of rate hikes this year.
> Chinese economic growth has been trending downward since 2012, making structural problems within the economy more visible both from a domestic and a global perspective.
> ECB left all policy rates unchanged at January meeting among expectations of further policy easing, however overall dovish tone in the communication bolsters fresh easing expectations.
> Lifted sanctions enabling Iran to attract business and investment opportunities globally.
> Brent oil price has edged down further to low USD 30s as oversupply concerns coupled with slowing global economy have continued to take toll on the oil market.
> Turkish economy grew 4.0% in Q315 and expected to end 2015 at 4.0% according to the revised MTP.
> CBRT has kept its set of interest rates unchanged and effective cost of funding at around 9.0%.
> CPI ended the year at 8.8% as currency pass through and food prices could not be cooled down whole year. Jan-16 CPI also rose over estimates on food inflation despite sharp decline in global food prices.
> 2015 trade deficit down by 25% thanks to the declining imports backed by oil prices.
> 12-month rolling CAD down to USD 32.2 bn as of Dec-15, cheaper energy prices and improving trade deficit stood out as major factors.
> Nov-15 unemployment rate materialized at 10.5%.
> Revised medium term program was announced:
Rev. MTP 2016 - 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018
GDP Growth 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.0%
CPI 8.8% 7.5% 6.0% 5.0%
CAD / GDP -4.4% -3.9% -3.7% -3.5%
Unemployment 10.2% 10.2% 9.9% 9.6%
Total Saving / GDP 15.6% 16.5% 17.2% 17.8%
1Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Banking Sector Overview
> Total loan growth at 19.7% YoY, reaching TRY 1,485 bn. TRY loan book up 15.0% whereas FX loans rose by 4.0% in USD terms.
> Retail loans grew by 8.8% YoY, mainly driven by 14.1% increase in housing loans. Credit card loans up by 9.4% YoY.
> Yearly deposit growth slightly lagged that of loans, up 18.3%, translating into a volume of TRY 1,245 bn. TRY deposits showed 8.2% increase whereas FX deposit growth was 7.4% in adjusted terms.
> Blended L/D somewhat up to 119.2%. TRY L/D icreased up to 141.6% whereas FX L/D down to 89.0%.
> NPL ratio slightly deteriorated by 25 bps to 3.1%, coverage ratio increased to 74.6%.
> Sectoral RoAE ended the year at 10.5%, down by almost 100 bps.
> Sectoral NIM remained flat despite increased cost of funding, banks partially managed to pass funding cost and CPI-Linked securities performed better on higher inflation.
> Trading item suffered from increasing swap costs and high level of interest rates.
> OpEx grew 15.0% YoY, revealing a prolonged negative impact from fee rebates and depreciating TRY.
> C/I ratio at 47.2 %, OpEx/Avg. Assets flat YoY at 2.3% > CAR and Tier-I remained solid at 15.6% and 13.2% despite
volatile currency and interest rate environment.> BRSA cut risk weightings of consumer loans and credit
card loans down to 75% as well as housing loans down to 35%. These changes will become effective as of end of March, along with those published in Nov-15, mainly referring to risk weighting of FX required reserves and exclusion of free provisions from CAR.
(a) Based on monthly and weekly BRSA data.
2Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
2015 Highlights
> Aggregate net income of TRY 2,315 mn, up by 5.0% from the previous year. Quarterly net income at TRY 648 mn
> Profitability metrics RoE and RoA, sustained above sector average at 12.9% and 1.3% respectively.
> Loan growth at 24.5%, also underpinned by TL depreciation.
> Sound asset quality, NPL ratio stands at 3.1%, no write-offs/sell-offs.
> CoR improved further to 73 bps, NPL coverage at 76.2%
> Net fees & commissions up 16.8%, reaching TRY 1,194 mn.
> Solid deposit base further expanded; up 17.8% YoY.
> L/D ratio at a quite comfortable level, 103.8%.
> CBRT repo effectively used, volume at TRY 8.4 bn.
> OpEx grew 16.8% YoY, excluding rebates, yearly growth would be at 13.8%.
> OpEx/Avg. Assets at 2.0%.
> Both CAR and Tier-I by far above regulatory thresholds; 13.8% and 13.1% respectively.
3Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Net income up 5% YoY, closing at TRY 2,315 mn
RoA (%)YtD Quarterly
RoE (%)YtD Quarterly
Net Income (TRY million)
5.0%
2014 2015
2,3152,206
YoY Change (%)> 10.8% Net Interest Income> 16.8% Net Fees & Commissions > 10.9% Total Operating Income> 5.0% Net Income
46.7%47.9%
2014 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 2015
1.5
1.1
1.5
1.5
1.51.3
1.31.5
1.0
1.4
2014 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 2015
10.914.1
14.4
14.4
14.112.8
12.9
14.8 13.7
9.6
Q1-15 Q2-15
646 648
Q3-15 Q4-15
438584
Q4-14
442
4Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
YoY 20.8% QoQ -1.0%
Asset Growth82.9%
IEA
Total Asset Growth (TRY billion) Composition of IEAs(a)
20.8%34.1%
(a) Including interest accruals and excluding fund loans
Strong asset growth 20.8% YoY
Asset Mix (%)LoansSecurities
Cash & CBRTOther Assets
2015
Securities Portion 14.9%
187.7
2013
139.9
2014
155.4
4.3%
13.0%
17.2%
65.5%
20142013
62.4%
4.8%
14.3%
20.3%
60.6%
5.2%
12.4%
14.9%
67.5%
2015
FX
TRY
Leverage 9.9x
2013
81.3%
73.8%
26.2%
9.4x
82.5%
74.3%
25.7%
2014
9.7x
82.9%
2015
69.1%
30.9%
5Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Interest Income on Securities (TRY million)
Total Securities / Total Assets (%)
Total Securities Yield (%)
Total Securities Portfolio (TRY billion)
Interest income backed by CPI-linked securities
From Other Securities
From CPI Linkers
Interest Structure (%)
Securities Composition (%)
CPI Linkers Yield (%)
AFS 40.2%
Trading0.1%
HTM59.8%
FX
TRY 22.2
5.7
80%
20%
27.9
Sep-15
22.1
5.8
79%
21%
27.9
2015
22.6
4.1
85%
15%
26.7
2014
25.2
3.2
88%
11%
28.4
2013
20.314.717.2 14.9
Q4-14
377
333
710
Q1-15
376
239
615
Q2-15
384
292
676
Q4-15
360
122
482
401
72
473
Fixed Rate53.8%
FRN46.2%
CPI-Linked (TRY 8.6 bn)30.9%
11.19.6
7.6 7.112.4 15.118.7
3.46.2
10.3
AFS MtM cumulativeloss under SHETRY 315 mn
Q3-15
6Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
(a) Excluding interest accruals (b) BRSA monthly data as of 31.12.2015 (c) According to the BRSA definition
Loan growth 25.2% YoY(TRY billion)(a)
Commercial Loans YoY 53.3%QoQ 5.1%
Corporate Loans YoY 42.3%QoQ -0.4%
Retail Loans YoY 7.3%QoQ 0.4%
Retail Loans YoY 7.3%QoQ 0.4%
SME Loans(c) YoY 23.3%QoQ -0.1%
in USD terms
FX Loans
TRY Loans
YoY
4.0%QoQ
0.3%
YoY
14.1%QoQ
3.2%
B. Sector(b)
YoY
31.1%QoQ
-3.0%
HALKBANKYoY
43.9% QoQ
-0.3%
B. Sector(b)
YoY
15.0%QoQ
1.7%
HALKBANKYoY
18.1% QoQ
0.6%
B. Sector(b)
YoY
19.7%QoQ
0.2%
HALKBANKYoY
25.2%QoQ
0.3%
Total Loans
25.2%
Market Share % (b)8.4
2015
48.3
0.3
10.2
124.2
37.8
27.6
2013
30.7
1.15.8
83.4
22.3
23.5
8.0 8.4
Sep-15
48.3
0.3
9.7
123.8
37.9
27.5
0.3%
8.0
2014
39.2
1.2
6.7
99.2
26.5
25.7
7Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Low exposure in volatile sectors
Loans by Currency (%)(a)
Retail Loans by Types (%)(a)
Loans by Customer Segmentation (%)(a)
Sectoral Breakdown of Loans (%)(a)
Manufacturing 19%
Construction 3%
Renting & Business Activities 11%
Transport & Communication 8%Food & Beverage 3%
Financial Institutions 2%Metal Industry 1%
Textile 3%Other 7% Tourism 4%
Retail 22%
Trade 17%
(a) Excluding interest accruals (b) Micro SMEs
SME 5.4% Commercial 3.2%
Corporate 22.9%
TRY 68.5%
FX31.5%
Housing 44%
Credit Cards 11%
Auto 1%
Pensioners 34%
Consumer 44%
Payroll 36%
SME 39%
Commercial 9%
Corporate 30%
Cooperative 13%(b)
Retail 22%
8Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Credit Cards YoY 5.9%QoQ 0.4%Share in total 11.1%
Consumer LoansYoY -2.1%QoQ -1.6%Share in total 43.9%
Consumer LoansYoY -2.1%QoQ -1.6%Share in total 43.9%
Housing Loans YoY 18.6%QoQ 2.4%Share in total 44.4%
YoY
7.3%QoQ
0.4%
HALKBANK
YoY
8.8%QoQ
1.3%
B. SECTOR(b)
(a) Excluding interest accruals(b) BRSA monthly data as of 31.12.2015
Retail Loans Market Share %
Consumer Loans Market Share %
Housing Loans Market Share %
Credit Card Loans Market Share %
8.2
8.3
7.0
3.3
2014
2.9
10.3
12.4
25.7
8.2
8.9
6.8
2.8
2013
2.6
9.1
11.6
23.5
Retail loan growth backed by housing loan growth, 18.6% YoY(TRY billion)(a)
8.5
7.8
6.9
3.2
2015
3.0
12.2
12.1
27.6
8.5
7.9
6.9
3.3
Sep-15
3.0
12.0
12.3
27.5
7.3%0.4%
Credit Cards (Thousand)# of Credit Cards 3,794# of POS 282# of Merchants 278
9Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Sound asset quality, stable NPL coverage
NPL Portfolio (TRY million)
Loans under Close Watch (TRY million)
(a) BRSA monthly data as of 31.12.2015 (b) Adjusted with one-off big ticket loan.
Loans under Close Watch/Net Loans (%)
NPL Coverage (%)
NPL/Total Loans (%)
Sep-15
3,871
2014
3,700
2013
2,245
2013 2014 Sep-15 2015
2,304
2014
1,574
Sep-15
2,489
20152013
2013
80.6
2014
65.2
Sep-15
76.1
2015
76.2
Halkbank Sector(a)
2.8 2.9
2.9 3.1
2.6 2.5
2.2 2.3(b)
3.6
3.0 3.1
2015
3,974
3,4552.7
1.6 2.02.7
10Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
SME Loans (%)(a) Credit Cards (%)(a)
Consumer Loans (%)(a)Corporate - Commercial (%)(a)
NPL ratio by segmentsHalkbank NPL Sector NPL (a)
2014 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15
Jun-15
Jun-15
(a) BRSA monthly data as of Dec-15, Halkbank data excluding legacy NPLs (b) Adjusted with one-off big ticket corporate loan.
2.2 2.0
1.9 1.9 1.9
2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5
6.2 6.5
5.1 4.9
4.0 3.7 3.8
3.3 3.4 3.53.8 3.9
4.0 4.2
4.8 5.35.6
2.2 2.1 2.0 1.8 2.0
6.2
7.3 7.4 7.47.1
7.0
2.0 1.9 1.6 1.6(b) 1.5
2014 Mar-15 Sep-15
2014 Mar-15 Sep-15
2015
2015 Jun-152014 Mar-15 Sep-15
2015
2015
7.17.3
11Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
(a) Specific provisions/Average Net Loans (b) General Provisions of Cash Loans/Average Cash Loans
CoR reflecting high asset quality at 73 bps
Cost of Risk by Segments (bps)(a)
(TRY million) (bps)
Net Cost of Risk
Cost of Risk (bps)(a)
YtD Quarterly
Provision Reversals
Specific Provisions
(Specific Provisions-Provision Reversals)/Average Loans (bps)
Gross Cost of Risk (bps)Specific Provisions
Q1-15 Q2-15
Commercial TotalCorporateRetailSME
135
(86)
Q3-15
116
307
(67)
465
(60)
Q4-14
General Provisions (b)
Q1-15
Mar-152014 Jun-15 Sep-15 2015
Q4-14
150
123
6273
126
75
40
123
165
38 40
52 84
94111
52
27
83
52
31
Q3-15
74
38
36
96
19
14425 26
165
(68)
97
Q2-15 Q4-15
38
40
(2)(39)
Q4-15
128
(46)
73
12Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
2013 Sep-15 20152014
(a) Including interest accruals and excluding funds. Excluding demand deposit, the share of IBL is 75.9% in 2015.
TRY L/D improving to 109.4%
(b) BRSA monthly data as of Dec-15.
Liabilities Mix (%)DepositsFunds BorrowedInterbank Money Market
MarketableSecurities IssuedShareholders’ EquityOther Liabilities
85.2%(a)IBL
Loan to Deposit (%)Halkbank L/D Sector L/D(b)
TRY L/D FX L/D
Composition of IBLs(a)
> Share of non-deposit short term FX borrowings in Total Liabilities 5.7%
FX
TRY
2015
56.2%
43.8%
85.2%
Sep-15
54.3%
45.7%
86.0%
2014
84.4%
61.6%
38.4%
2013 Sep-15 20152014
84.2
98.1102.9
110.7 117.9 116.8
92.1
106.0113.3
69.7
81.685.6
103.8
119.2
109.4
93.1
2013
56.8%
43.2%
85.3%
2013
72.0%
4.6%
9.7%
10.1%
2014
66.7%
8.1%
10.6%
5.2%
5.4%4.0%
Sep-15
64.8%
11.1%
9.6%
4.6%
5.1%4.8%
2015
65.1%
10.8%
10.3%
4.6%
4.5%4.7%0.6%
3.0%
13Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
(a) Excluding interest accruals. (b) BRSA monthly data as of 31.12.2015
Total Deposits (TRY billion)(a)
TRY Deposits (TRY billion)(a)
FX Deposits (TRY billion)(a)
Other Inst. DepositsInterbankPublic Sector
8.2%1.7%
B. Sector(b)
YoY QoQ
TRY Dep.
HALKBANK 13.7%4.1%
YoY QoQ
Total Dep. 18.3% -1.9%
B. Sector(b)HALKBANK 17.8% -0.6%
B. Sector(b)HALKBANK YoY QoQYoY QoQ
35.4%-6.3%
26.2%-8.4%
FX Dep.
7.4 %-3.0%
0.1%-5.2%
in USD terms
CommercialSavings
Market Share(b) % 9.8
103.3
2014
10.6
100.4
2013
121.7
2015
9.8
122.4
Sep-15
9.6
USD bn
10.9
2013
64.9
46%
30%
14%
5%6%
10.5
2014
69.8
43%
26%
13%
4%
14%
TRY deposits market share up 60 bps YoY
16.7
10.1
35.5
2013
14.6
8.6
33.6
2014
14.6
42.4
2015
8.0
15.4
46.2
Sep-15
8.2
2015
79.3
44%
30%
13%
3%
9%
11.1
Sep-15
76.2
45%
28%
14%
3%
10%
10.8
14Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
17.4
2015
17.1
Sep-15
Demand Deposits (TRY billion)(a) Time Deposits (TRY billion)(a) Deposits by Currency (%)
Cost of TRY Deposits (%)(b)
Time Deposits/Total Deposits (%)
(a) Excluding interest accruals and interbank. (b) Time & Demand Blended.
Effectively managed deposit growth
TRY65%
FX 35%
Demand Deposits/Total Deposits (%)
6.7%
15.3
2013 2014
16.3
75.3
Sep-14 2015
89.9
Jun-15
88.6
2014
70.0
28.3%1.4%
6.9 7.3
Q4-14
1.4%
83.1% 81.1% 16.9% 18.9%
16.2% 16.2%
83.8% 83.8%
Q1-15
7.6
Q2-15
8.1
Q3-15
8.7
Q4-15
15Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
(a) TRY-FX blended (b) Excluding fund loans.
Cost of Deposits (%)
Yield on Securities (%)
Spreads (%)
Cost - Yield - Spread(a)
9.9
Q4-14
10.0
Q1-15
9.8
Q2-15
Yield on Loans (%)(b)
On Loans On Securities
Q4-14
5.0
Q1-15
5.3
Q2-15
5.4
10.0
Q3-15
Q3-15
5.5
10.0
Q4-15
Q4-15
6.0
9.0
Q4-14
7.3
Q1-15
6.8
Q3-15
10.5
Q2-15
9.7
Q4-15
Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15
4.1
5.2
2.0 1.23.7
4.9 4.74.4 4.4 4.0
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2015 Earnings Presentation
Q4-14
2,984
1,414
(1,570)
Q2-15
3,398
1,520
(1,878)
Q3-15
3,466
1,378
(2,088)
Q4-15
3,792
1,481
(2,310)
Q1-15
3,001
1,283
(1,718)
NII up 10.8% YoY
NIM (%)Quarterly
Interest Income (TRY million)On SecuritiesOn Loans YtD
Net Interest Income (TRY million)
83% on Loans
17% on Securities
Q4-14
2,3632,510
2,6792,976 3,092
615 710
482 473676
Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15 Q4-15 2014 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 2015
4.0
4.0 4.0 3.9 4.2
4.5 4.4
3.6
4.2
4.7%Interest Income Interest Expenses
7.5%
3.8
Breakdown of Interest Income (%)
2015
5,6635,112
2014
10.8%
13,657
(7,994)
11,451
(6,340)
1 17Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Net Fees & Commissions Income (TRY million)
Breakdown of Fees & Commissions (%)
Net fees&commissions income up 16.8% YoY
Payment Systems 43%
Insurance 8%
Non-Cash Loans 18%
Expertise&Enquiry 8%
Retail Banking 5%
Other 6% Corporate 11%
Asset Management 1%
Q3-15
271
Q4-14
303
Q1-15
323
Q2-15 Q4-15
308292
Net Fees & Commissions / Operating Revenues (%)
2013
13.7
2014
15.2
Sep-15
15.6
2015
16.0
1.7%
2014
1,023
2015
1,194
16.8%13.6%
18Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Cost/Income (%) Breakdown of Operating Expenses (%)
OpEx / Average Assets stable at 2.0%
Operating Expenses (TRY million) Operating Expenses / Average Assets (%)
2.1
2013
2.0
2015
2.0
2014
2014
44.4
Mar-15
44.3
Jun-15
41.2
Sep-15
45.6
2015
46.8
2015
3,489
2014
14.0% 16.8% (13.8% adj.)(a) 1.0%
(a) Excluding rebates in commissions
2,987109
214(a)904
2015
41
895
Q3-15
57
Depreciation 4%SDIF Premiums 5%
Communication 2%
PersonnelExpenses 44%
Advertisement Exp. 3%
Rental 5%
Other 15%
Banking Services 10%
Tax 4% Rebates 6%
Indemnity Provisions 2%
890
Q2-15
61800
Q1-15
56
793
Q4-14
43
19Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Solvency Ratios
CAR (%)
16.5
2014
17.0
Mar-15
18.2
Sep-15
18.0
Jun-15
19.4
2015
Basel III(TRY mn) 2015
Credit Risk Base Amount (CRBA) 131,632
Market Risk Base Amount (MRBA) 5,105
Operational Risk Base Amount (ORBA) 10,978
Total Risk Weighted Assets (RWAs) 147,716
Shareholders’ Equity 20,429
CAR (%) 13.8
Tier-I (%) 13.1
Common Equity Tier-I (%) 13.2
Details on Capital Ratio
2014
12.9
13.6
Mar-15
13.0
13.3
12.9
13.5
Jun-15
12.2
13.0
Sep-15
13.1
13.8
2015
CARTier-I
SHE (TRY billion)BRSA has introduced following major changes on capital adequacy calculation methodology becoming effective as of end of Mar-16: · FX required reserves held with CBRT will be subject to 50% risk weighting · Free provisions will be excluded from CAR calculation · Risk weighting of credit card loans and consumer loans will be cut down to 75% (previously 150%-250%) · Risk weighting of housing loans will be down to 35% from 50%.Total impact from all the regulatory changes is expected to be neutral.
17.5%
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2015 Earnings Presentation
HeadcountBranches(a)
(a) Including domestic branches and special transaction centers.
Branch Network - Human Resources
Utilization of Banking Distribution Channels (%)Loans and Deposits per Branches (TRY million)Automatic
Payment 7%
Branch 12%
MobileBanking 3%
Internet Banking 23%
Call Center 7%
ATM 48%
17,314
2014
17,195
Sep-15
14,798
2013
17,104
20152013
872
2014
895
2013 2014 Sep-15 2015
# ofATMs
2,961 3,388
Loans/Branches Deposits/Branches
97.3
132.0129.4
135.8 134.3
113.7
115.5
Sep-15
931
3,551
2015
9443,585
> 49 new branches opened in 2015.> Total branch number reached 944.
115.9
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2015 Earnings Presentation
(a) Reserve deposits monitored in balance with Central Bank(b) Including interest accruals
Balance Sheet
Cash and Balances Held with the Central Bank(a)
Banks & Money Market(b)
Securities(b)
Net Loans(b)
Gross NPL NPL NetProperty and EquipmentOther AssetsTotal AssetsDeposits(b)
Funds Borrowed(b)
Interbank Money Market(b)
Marketable Securities IssuedFundsOther LiabilitiesProvisionsShareholders’ EquityTotal Liabilities
2014 2015Sep-15QoQ
Change%YoY
Change%In TRY million
20,2761,284
26,741101,767
3,7001,2861,2394,116
155,423103,708
12,6308,4136,1721,7694,0782,117
16,536155,423
23,3252,513
27,908126,745
3,974946
2,1765,062
187,729122,146
20,2628,4108,9051,9644,4892,129
19,424187,729
23,5064,591
27,900126,450
3,871926
2,3334,907
189,686122,903
21,0769,7689,1071,8804,6082,152
18,192189,686
(0.8)(45.3)
-0.22.62.2
(6.7)3.2
(1.0)(0.6)(3.9)
(13.9)(2.2)
4.5(2.6)(1.1)
6.8(1.0)
1595.84.4
24.57.4
(26.4)75.623.020.817.860.4
-44.311.010.10.6
17.520.8
1595.84.4
24.57.4
(26.4)75.623.020.817.860.4
-44.311.010.10.6
17.520.8
22Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Income Statement
Interest Income On Loans On SecuritiesInterest Expense On DepositsNet Interest IncomeNet Fees and CommissionsNet Trading IncomeOther Operating Income Reversal of Loan Loss ProvisionsTotal Operating RevenuesOperating ExpensesNet Operating IncomeProvision for Loan Losses and Other Receivables Loan Loss Provisions for Cash LoansProfit/(Losses) from AssociatesIncome Before TaxesProvision for TaxNet Income
2014
11,4518,7812,6526,3405,1975,1121,023
56531273
6,7222,9873,7341,161
876154
2,727521
2,206
13,65711,2582,3417,9946,3865,6631,194(262)
862231
7,4573,4893,9691,302
844189
2,856540
2,315
19.328.2
(11.7)26.122.910.816.8N/A
62.2(15.5)
10.916.86.3
12.2(3.6)22.64.73.65.0
2,9842,363
6151,5701,2801,414
303159967
1,831793
1,0384763078.0
570128442
3,0012,510
4821,7181,3941,283
32320
17886
1,805800
1,005255135
-750167584
3,0012,510
4821,7181,3941,283
32320
17886
1,805800
1,005255135
-750167584
3,3982,679
7101,8781,5011,520
292(48)52860
2,292890
1,403838465189753108646
3,4662,976
4732,0881,6591,378
271(143)
6339
1,569895674121116
-553115438
9.43.9
42.910.610.47.5
13.6N/A
48.316.614.21.0
31.7(26.9)
9.7N/A
44.431.147.9
27.130.89.9
47.243.14.71.7N/A
(6.2)(31.8)(2.2)14.0
(14.6)(81.5)(58.4)
N/A40.218.046.7
2015 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15
3,7923,092
6762,3101,8321,481
308(91)
9346
1,791904887
88128
-799151648
Q4-15In TRY million
YoYChange
%
YoYChange
%
QoQChange
%
23Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
Halkbank 2016 Expectations
2016
Assets 16
Loans 16
TRY 14
FX 15
Corporate 20
SME 16
Retail 11
Deposits 17
NII 12
Net Fee and Com. Inc. 17
OpEx 15
Branch Openings (#) ~40
2016
RoE ~13
RoA ~1.3
Securities / Total Assets ~13
Loan / Deposit <105
NIM Flat
OpEx / Av. Assets ~2
Cost of Risk (bps) ~60
NPL 3.3
Coverage Ratio ~70
CAR ~14
2016
GDP Growth ~4
Headline CPI ~7
CAD / GDP <5
Budget Deficit / GDP ~1
Public Debt / GDP ~33
Growth Expectations (%) Key Ratios (%) Macro Expectations (%)
24Financial Institutions and Investor Relations www.halkbank.com.tr
2015 Earnings Presentation
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DISCLAIMERThe information contained in this presentation has been prepared by Türkiye Halk Bankası A.S. (the Bank) for informational purposes only. Although the information in this presentation has been obtained from sources which the Bank believes to be reliable, the Bank cannot guarantee that the information is without fault or entirely accurate. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty express or implied is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. The information and opinions in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. Türkiye Halk Bankası A.S. does not accept any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation. This presentation cannot be interpreted as an advice to anyone and is also strictly confidential and may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose.