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Chapter 4 1 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

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Page 1: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Chapter 4

1

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

Page 2: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Acknowledgement

• This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan “Core Principles and Applications of Corporate Finance”].

• This work can be used in the financial management course with the original text book.

• This work uses the figures and tables from the original text book.

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Page 3: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Future Value

• In the one-period case, the formula for FV can be written as:

FV = C0×(1 + r)

Where C0 is cash flow today (time zero), and r is the appropriate interest rate.

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Page 4: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Present Value

• In the one-period case, the formula for PV can be written as:

4-4

rCPV+

=1

1

Where C1 is cash flow at date 1, and

r is the appropriate interest rate.

Page 5: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Net Present Value

In the one-period case, the formula for NPV can be written as:

NPV = –Cost + PV

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Page 6: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

4.2 The Multiperiod Case

• The general formula for the future value of an investment over many periods can be written as:

FV = C0×(1 + r)T

Where C0 is cash flow at date 0,

r is the appropriate interest rate, and

T is the number of periods over which the cash is invested.

4-6

Page 7: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Valuing a Stream of Cash Flows

• Continuing in the same fashion, we can solve the problem as follows: 10% interest rate

Page 8: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Simple and Compound Interest

4-8

Cited by the text book (p. 123)

• Future Value of $100 at 10 percent

Page 9: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

4-9 Cited by the text book (p. 123)

Simple and Compound Interest

Page 10: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Futures Values

• Future Value Interest Factors

5-10

Cited by the text book (p. 124)

Page 11: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Present Value and Discounting

4-11

0 1 2 3 4 5

• Discounting

Cited by the text book (p. 127)

Page 12: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Present Value – Important Relationship

• For a given interest rate – the longer the time period, the lower the present value

• For a given time period – the higher the interest rate, the smaller the present value

5C-12 Cited by the text book (p. 128)

발표자
프레젠테이션 노트
Remember the sign convention. Formulas: PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 500(.620921323) = 310.46 PV = 500 / (1.1)10 = 500(.385543289) = 192.77
Page 13: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

4.3 Compounding Periods

• Your investment compounding periods may not be annual, but any of a variety of time periods.

• You assumed annual interest rates; however, many projects / investments have different periods.

• For example, bonds typically pay interest semi-annually, and house loans are on a monthly payment schedule.

• Compounding an investment m times a year for T years provides for the future value of wealth:

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mT

mrCFV

+×= 10

Page 14: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Effective Annual Rates of Interest

• Stated or quoted interest rate – rate before considering any compounding effects, such as 10% compounded quarterly

• Effective annual rate of interest – rate on an annual basis that reflects compounding effects (e.g., 10% compounded quarterly has an effective rate of 10.38%).

4-14

EAR = [1 + (quoted rate)/m]m – 1, where m is the number of periods per year

Page 15: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Effective Annual Rates of Interest

• A reasonable question to ask in the above example is “what is the effective annual rate of interest on that investment?”

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• The Effective Annual Rate (EAR) of interest is the annual rate that would give us the same end-of-investment wealth after 3 years:

93.70$)06.1(50$)212.1(50$ 632 =×=+×= ×FV

93.70$)1(50$ 3 =+× EAR

Page 16: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Effective Annual Rates of Interest

So, investing at 12.36% compounded annually is the same as investing at 12% compounded semi-annually.

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93.70$)1(50$ 3 =+×= EARFV

50$93.70$)1( 3 =+ EAR

1236.150$

93.70$ 31

=−

=EAR

Page 17: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

4.4 Simplifications

• Perpetuity – A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever

• Growing perpetuity – A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate forever

• Annuity – A stream of constant cash flows that lasts for a fixed number of

periods • Growing annuity

– A stream of cash flows that grows at a constant rate for a fixed number of periods

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Page 18: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Perpetuity

A constant stream of cash flows that lasts forever

4-18

0

… 1

C

2

C

3

C

++

++

++

= 32 )1()1()1( rC

rC

rCPV

rCPV =

Cited by the text book (p. 137)

Page 19: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Growing Perpetuity

A growing stream of cash flows that lasts forever

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0

… 1

C

2

C×(1+g)

3

C ×(1+g)2

+++×

+++×

++

= 3

2

2 )1()1(

)1()1(

)1( rgC

rgC

rCPV

grCPV−

=

Cited by the text book (p. 138)

Page 20: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Annuity

A constant stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity

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0 1

C

2

C

3

C

TrC

rC

rC

rCPV

)1()1()1()1( 32 ++

++

++

+=

+

−= TrrCPV

)1(11

T

C

Cited by the text book (p. 140)

Page 21: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

Growing Annuity

A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity

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0 1

C

T

T

rgC

rgC

rCPV

)1()1(

)1()1(

)1(

1

2 ++×

++++×

++

=−

++

−−

=T

rg

grCPV

)1()1(1

2

C×(1+g)

3

C ×(1+g)2

T

C×(1+g)T-1

Cited by the text book (p. 141)

Page 22: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

4.5 Loan Types and Loan Amortization

• Pure Discount Loans are the simplest form of loan. The borrower receives money today and repays a single lump sum (principal and interest) at a future time.

• Interest-Only Loans require an interest payment each period, with full principal due at maturity.

• Amortized Loans require repayment of principal over time, in addition to required interest.

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Page 23: Discounted Cash Flow Valuation - contents.kocw.or.krcontents.kocw.or.kr/document/Chapter_4.pdf · • This work is reproduced, based on the book [Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan

References • Ross, Westerfield, Jaffe and Jordan, Core Principles and

Application of Corporate Finance, 3ed, McGraw Hill. • Jordan, Miller, and Dolvin, Fundamentals of Investments, 6ed,

MacGraw Hill. • Berk, DeMarzo and Harford, Fundamentals of Corporate

Fiance, 2nd ed, Pearson.

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