discounted cash flow technique

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Discounted Cash Flow Technique

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  • Investment appraisal Discounted cash flow (DCF) technique

    1Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • DCF considers what we will refer to as the TIME VALUE OF MONEY.

    The time value of money describes the concept that the earlier cash is received, the greater value it has to the recipient. Conversely, the later a cash payment is made, the less the cost to the payer.

    1,000 today is worth more than say the same 1,000 in a years time

    2Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • The idea of the time value of money is further explored using Present Value (PV) and Future Value (FV)

    PV = Present Value

    FV = Future Value

    r = Rate of interest or cost of capital

    n = Number of periods (years)

    FV = PV (1 + r) n

    3Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • Year 0 (Now) Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 PV FV FV FV FV FV Given Present Values (PV) to obtain the Future Values (FV) we compound and the process is called compounding

    Given Future Values (FV) to obtain the Present Values (PV) we discount and the process is called discounting

    4Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • Example: Warmah ltd has invested 50,000 in a fixed deposit for a period of five years. The current interest rate offered on such fixed deposit is 6% p.a.

    How much will be received by Warmah ltd in four years time.

    Answer 4

    FV = 50,000 (1 +0.06) = 63,123.85

    5Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • Example: WBS plc require $400,000 in eight years time, to undertake an investment in new equipments for production. How much should it invest now in a fixed deposit, if the rate of interest is 12% p.a.

    Solution:

    PV = 400,000 / (1.12)8 = 161,553.29

    6Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • When candidates are given cost of capital of say 10% and wish to find the discount factor for each of the years from year 1 to 5 without using the discount (or present value) table:

    The formula to obtain the discount factor for each year is as follows:

    DF = 1 / (1 +r)n

    7Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

  • DF = 1 / (1 +r)n

    Year 1 = 1 / (1 +0.1)1 = 0.909

    Year 2 = 1 / (1 +0.1)2 = 0.826

    Year 3 = 1 / (1 +0.1)3 = 0.751

    Year 4 = 1 / (1 + 0.1)4 = 0.683

    Year 5 = 1 / (1 + 0.1)5 = 0.621

    8Prepared by William Armah for

    warmah.com

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    Prepared by William Armah for warmah.com 9