dii presentation for student groups
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Energy from the deserts; an emerging reality
Paul van SonDii GmbH – Renewable energy bridging continents
Munich, May 6, 2013
© Dii GmbH May 2013 2
Today generation mix in MENA and the EU heavily based on fossil fuels and nuclear energy
Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii
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Electricity demand will more than double, butmore than enough energy available in EUMENA
Electricityin TWh / a
630,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Theoretical Potential of renewables
>630,000
Demand 2050
Demand 2010
MENA
Europe
Source: DLR
Geothermal
Solar
Hydro
Wind
Biomass
Wave/Tidal
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Objective 2050: More than 90 % renewable energy in the EU-MENA electricity mix
Source: Fraunhofer ISI, Dii
Mainly wind and solar
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Dii, an international industry network…
Shareholders* Associated Partners*
Inspired by Desertec, Dii creates in partnership with local authorities and industries a market place in EUMENA
for renewable energy from the deserts
* as of December 2012
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… mobilizing many stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe
Scientific community Industry
Policy Community Civil society (NGOs), e.g. DESERTEC Foundation
Dii conducts it’s studies and initiates reference projects in partnership with key stakeholders in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe
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Dii is open to all field-proven technologies
Load/supply matchWindPV
Thin-film
CSP
On-shore turbines
AC transmission (short & medium distances)
Mono/Poly-CrystallineParabolic trough
Solar power tower
Fresnel
Hybrid (CSP + Gas)
Concentrated
HVDC transmission(long distances)
Source: Dii; The Science Museum; phault (Flickr)
Off-shore turbines
Storage(e.g. Pumped Hydro)
Load management(e.g. desalination)
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Dii: market enabler for desert power in the EUMENA region
EUMENAsystem strategy
Target picture: Desert Power 2050Implementation steps: Getting Started
Develop RE Projects
Construct RE plants
Operate RE plants
Country strategies
EUMENA system strategy
Reference ProjectsMA, TN, DZ, EG, …
Market players
Market players
Market players
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Connecting the two systems in Europe and in the MENA region will create benefits for all
Source: Dii, ISI Fraunhofer
While super producers, balancers and importers profit from the system integration in a different way, they ALL BENEFIT from being part of a large sustainable power system.
Reliable +
Sustainable +
Job market effects +
Mutual reliance +
Cost effective +
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Creating an EUMENA market makes sense
Average summer day in Europe and MENA
The demand and supply conditions in MENA and Europe are balanced over the course of a single day. Such balance also exists during different seasons.
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Spotlight on Egypt
Local demand will be multiplied by 6 by 2050
High wind resources will help Egypt secure its energy supply
In an interconnected scenario, possible exports to Saudi Arabia and Libya
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Target picture
Desert Power 2050: a strategic framework in two parts
The first part of Desert Power 2050 is a target picture showing what a sustainable power system in North Africa, the Middle East and Europe could look like in 2050 – specifically, with which technological and geographical mix
1
The second part of Desert Power 2050, “Getting started”, will give actionable recommendations on: The development of renewable energy in MENA Electricity highways connecting MENA & Europe Public support phase-out Socio-economic effects
2
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Ecomonic Impacts of Desert Power:Getting Started for the people
MENA industrial capability analysis:
Complexity of component manufacturing and capability status today
Hypotheses on future development in MENA
Macro-economic impacts:
Macro-economic impact assessment on country level
Influences of different climate policy and electricity trade assumptions
Policy recommendations:
Advice for governments on how to capture the benefits of desert power for their citizens
Describe actionable tools for different sectors
Economic Impacts of Desert Power
Employment effects:
Employment effects for several countries
Comparison of CSP, PV, Wind technology build-up across different countries
Source: Dii
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Desert power potential increasingly recognized in Europe
Intensive talks with European governments ongoing
GERMANY: Support for desert power expressed by governmentEnergy partnership with Tunisia, Morocco and proposal for an energy partnership with Algeria
FRANCE: Strategic partnership with Morocco with an interest expressed for renewable energySupport for Tunisia’s renewable energy targets expressed
ITALY: RE strategy including import from EU and MENA
RE targets, outlook 2050, infrastructure plan,Article 9 of the EU Renewables Directive
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The energy transition has already started on the Southern shore of the MediterraneanRE targets until 2020 in GW (August 2012)
Morocco
Algeria
Tunisia
Egypt
Libya
Jordan
Turkey
Syria
4,2
2,5
1,0
7,3
2,8
1,8
16,2
2,7
2,5
16,2
Wind: Zafarana 1-8: 545 MW
UAE (Abu Dhabi/Dubai)
Saudi Arabia
CSP: Shams 1: 100 MW
PV and Wind: 100 MW
RWE
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Dii: stimulating the MENA energy transition
Intensive talks to all other North African and Middle Eastern countries continued
MOROCCO: RE national strategyCountry strategy with MASEN Reference Project: 500 MW
ALGERIA: RE national strategyPlanned investment: USD 60 bn. until 2030Country strategy with SonelgazReference Project: 1000 MW
TUNISIA: RE national strategyCountry strategy with STEG ERReference Project: 1000 MW
EGYPT: RE on the policy agendaMoU with NREA (Jan. 2013)
JORDAN: RE strategyCurrent talks with Jordanian partners
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Co-ordinated actions are the key!
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Need for Dii’s work is increasing
Policy Advocates
Think Tank
IndustryPlatform
OpinionLeader
Priorities 2013-2014 MENA country strategies Market-orientated implementation
recommendations (RE, grids, capacity building, etc…)
Initiate break through reference projects
Expanding cooperation with governments, regulators, industry and NGOs.
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The project: internships for Tunisian students at Dii partner companies for 6-9 months, beginning in Feb. 2012
Dii’s commitment to education in EUMENA
Pilot Project internship: “Know- how from the deserts”
Desertec Best Paper Award
Journalist Fellowship
The project: award for outstanding academic work in the field of renewable energy in the deserts of the MENA region
The project: fellowship enabling five young journalists from MENA to visit the 4th Dii Desert Energy Conference in Rabat
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Videos, pictures, statements and news related to renewable energy from the deserts and the activities of Dii on Facebook and Twitter
Stay connected!
www.dii-eumena.com Social media channels
Videos on Youtube Pictures on Flickr
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Thank you for your attention