digital ethics : helping your brain to make decisions online
TRANSCRIPT
DIGITAL ETHICSHelping your brain make decisions online
ANNA BYRNEManaging Partner, Decisioning
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
ABOUT OUR WORK
• Working with leaders to solve complex people problems• Based on how our brains work (social cognivite neuroscience & behavioural economics)• Examples
» Do products and services deliver ‘win-wins’ for customers? » Does your organisational ecosystem encourage people to act
in the ways your want? » How effective is your leadership and board decision-making?
• Also working with regulators and large institutions (eg. World Bank) » How can we drive better outcomes for society by working
with our brains (not against them)?
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
BIG IDEA - THERE ARE TWO SYSTEMS IN YOUR BRAIN
emotional
rationalSYSTEM 2
SYSTEM 1
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
BIG IDEA - THERE ARE TWO SYSTEMS IN YOUR BRAIN
emotional
rational
• Slow• Controlled• Conscious• Cognitively demanding• Novel situations
• Fast• Automatic • Unconscious• High intensity• Habitual behaviours
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Who makes our decisions?
The rider?
the emotional brain
the rational brain
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
NOT ALWAYS...!
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Key insights from
behavioral economics
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
WASH
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
WASH
SO_P
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
WASH
SO_PA
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
WASH
SO_PU
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
EAT
SO_P
WASH
SO_PU A
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
A few extras... (from more than 300 biases)Anchoring bias
Using an initial (often irrelevant) piece of information to shape subsequent predictions or
assessments
“The real estate agent said that the house would be worth about $600,000. I think it’s worth $610,000.”
Halo effect Extending positive attributes of a person or brand to the things they promote or opinions they hold
“George Clooney is drinking Nespresso. George is cool, so Nespresso must be cool.”
Confirmation bias Seeking out and noticing only information that
confirms an existing decision or point of view
“I spoke to other people and they said exactly the same thing”.
Correlation causation Inaccurately perceiving a relationship or link
between two unrelated events
“As ice-cream sales increase so do drownings, so ice-creams are causing people to drown”
Status quo bias Preferring to keep things relatively the same
“If it ain’t broke, why fix it?!”
Loss aversionChoosing to avoid a loss, even when there is the
potential to make an equal (or even greater) gain
“I won’t ride a bike to work, because the health benefits are not worth the risk of injury.”
Information biasUsing extra information to increase your confidence
in a choice (even if the information is irrelevant)
“Big data will help us make better decisions”.
Herd instinct Doing or believing things because other people are
doing it“Why is everyone looking up? (and then looks up)”
Rhyme as reasonSeeing rhyming statements as more truthful
“If the gloves don’t fit, then you must acquit.” - O.J. Simpson trial with the defence team
Peak–end rule Judging an experience by its peaks (ie. highs and lows) and how it ended
“It was great - we got a free gift at the end!”
In-group bias Preferring people who are part of your ‘tribe’ and acting in ways that confirm membership of the group
“That politician is one of us, I’ll vote for him.”
Endowment effectpeople ascribe more value to things that they own .
“I bought this bottle of wine for $50 last week, but I wouldn’t sell it for anything under $100 now.”
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
BIASES
SOME COMMON (AND UNCONSCIOUS)Decision-makingAnchoring bias Using an initial (often irrelevant) piece of
information to shape subsequent predictions or assessments
“The real estate agent said that the house would be
worth about $600,000. I think it’s worth $610,000.”Halo effect Extending positive attributes of a person or brand
to the things they promote or opinions they hold
“George Clooney is drinking Nespresso. George is
cool, so Nespresso must be cool.”
Confirmation bias Seeking out and noticing only information that
confirms an existing decision or point of view“I spoke to other people and they said
exactly the same thing”.Bizaareness bias
Remembering material more easily if it is unusual
or ‘out of the ordinary’
“I thought it was a weird painting, but I’ll never
forget it.”
Correlation causation Inaccurately perceiving a relationship or link between
two unrelated events
“As ice-cream sales increase so do drownings,
so ice-creams are causing people to drown” Status quo bias Preferring to keep things relatively the same
“If it ain’t broke, why fix it?!”
Loss aversionChoosing to avoid a loss, even when there is the
potential to make an equal (or even greater) gain
“I won’t ride a bike to work, because the health
benefits are not worth the risk of injury.”Information bias
Using extra information to increase your confidence
in a choice (even if the information is irrelevant)
“Big data will help us make better decisions”. Google effect Not remembering information that can be found
online“I used to remember how to get there, but now I just
use google maps”.
Herd instinct
Doing or believing things because other people are
doing it (particularly from a relevant in-group)
“Why is everyone looking up? (and then looks up)”Humour effect
Remembering things more easily if they are
presented in a funny or entertaining way
“You don’t need to outrun a lion, you just need to be
faster than everyone else!”
Rhyme as reasonSeeing rhyming statements as more truthful
“If the gloves don’t fit, then you must acquit.” - O.J. Simpson trial with the defence team
Peak–end rule Judging an experience by its peaks (ie. highs and
lows) and how it ended“It was great - we got a free gift at the end!”
Actor–observer bias Assuming other people’s negative behaviours
reflect their personality and their positive behaviours are due to the
environment - but doing the opposite in relation to your own behaviours
“I was mad because I was stressed, but my supervisor is just a highly-strung person.” Picture superiority effect
Learning and recalling concepts more easily when
they are presented as pictures (rather than words)
“It didn’t make sense until I saw the infographic.”
In-group bias Preferring people who are part of your ‘tribe’ and
acting in ways that confirm membership of the
group“That politician is one of us, I’ll vote for him.”
Part of the NeuroPower Group of companies
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Three ways to manage
cognitive bias derailers
❶Increased awareness
For consciously observable
decision-making biases
❷Emotional regulation
For biases linked with emotion
❸System design and
environmental cues
For biases that are difficult to
observe and aren’t emotional
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
But what does this mean for buisness.... and ethics?
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Strategy and decision-makingCustomer interactions
Employee performanceStakeholder managementOrganisational ecosystem
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Avoiding pitfalls
Strategy and decision-makingCustomer interactions
Employee performanceStakeholder managementOrganisational ecosystem
Maximising opportunities
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Avoiding pitfalls
• Increase rider awareness of risk
• Remove peanuts from the ‘wrong’ places
• Increase rider awareness of opportunity
• Put peanuts in the ‘right’ places
Maximising opportunities
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
But what about the digital space?
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
What do elephants do online/on screen?
Order more baconBuy what’s
in the middle
Spend too much on health insurance
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
What do elephants do online/on screen?
Order more baconBuy what’s
in the middle
Spend too much on health insurance
• Assess trustworthiness in milliseconds based on complexity and visual appeal
• Overvalue produtcs if shoping with a touchscreen
• Remember stuff that’s ugly
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Key takeaways?
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Three key questions...
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
Which biases are most relevant to your work - particularly in the digital space?
How much are you helping the rider be aware?
Where are all the peanuts?
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.
www.decisioning.co
© Decisioning Pty Ltd 2016. Use only with permission.