digital disruption · digital method innovation technologies & practices in everyday life...

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Digital disruption Patrik Wikström @pwikstrom www.linkedin.com/in/patrikwikstrom Digital Media Research Centre www.qut.edu.au/research/dmrc Queensland University of Technology [email protected]

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Page 1: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Digital disruption

Patrik Wikström

@pwikstrom www.linkedin.com/in/patrikwikstrom

Digital Media Research Centrewww.qut.edu.au/research/dmrcQueensland University of [email protected]

Page 2: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Business Innovation

and Disruption by Design

(2016)

Business Innovation

and Disruption

in the Music Industry (2015)

Patrik WikströmBusiness Innovation and Disruption in the Digital Economy

Page 3: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

QUT Digital Media Research CentreQUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society

understand and adapt to the social, cultural and economic transformations associated with digital media technologies.

users providersproducers

consumers

platforms

society

Page 4: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

QUT Digital Media Research Centre

Journalism, Public Communication &

Democracy

Economies,Organisations &

Regulations

DigitalMethod

Innovation

Technologies &Practices

in Everyday Life

DIGITAL MEDIA

QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and adapt to the social, cultural and economic

transformations associated with digital media technologies.

Page 5: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

digitaltechnologies

Page 6: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Integrated circuitFairchild Camera and Instrument Company 1961

Page 7: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 8: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

consequences

Page 9: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 10: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

service

product

Page 11: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Access-based online music services

Page 12: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Access-based music services shiftthe focus from the collection…

Page 13: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

…to the real-time listening experience

https://www.spotify.com/au/arts/serendipity/

users providers producers

consumers

platforms

society

Page 14: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

abundance of(real-time) data

Page 15: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Example: Changing patterns in the production and consumption of cultural artefacts

Data analyticsE.g. Time‐based, Geographic,

Acoustic metadata

Data collectionCultural artefacts,Popular music,

Artists, albums & tracks

Page 16: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Geographic Metadata:Local Repertoire Share

%

Page 17: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

‐3

‐2.5

‐2

‐1.5

‐1

‐0.5

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

USUK

AU

Acoustic MetadataExample: “Danceability”

Page 18: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Is acoustic innovation cyclical?

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

1958

1960

1962

1964

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

US

Page 19: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 20: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 21: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 22: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

users providersproducers

consumers

platforms

society

Exploring the complex interaction between competing regulatory systems

Page 23: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

abundance of(real-time) data

Page 24: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Developing theory throughsimulation methods

ModelAssumptions

LogicsTheory

Simulated time‐based data

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

Fit?

Real world

Real‐world time‐based data

1984

19

85

1986

19

87

1988

19

89

1990

19

91

1992

19

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1994

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01

2002

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2008

20

09

2010

20

11

2012

20

13

Page 25: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

We model provider, user, and platform behaviour across multiple market segments

Markets are defined by– Geography– Time– Customer characteristics– Entry barriers

E.g. taxi markets– Daytime, Toowoomba– Brisbane Airport, Limousine– Special needs customers– The Valley, Saturday night

Page 26: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Providers and users are modelledas heterogeneous agents

Provider characteristics• Behaviour

– Professionalism– Loyalty

• Sensitivity/preference– Warm glow*

– Fixed costs– Users’ norm adherence

Usercharacteristics• Behaviour

– Norm adherence– Loyalty

• Sensitivity/preference– Warm glow*

– Price– Provider professionalism

*Cf. Andreoni 1989; 1990

Page 27: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

users’ norm adherence

mkt|pltfattractiveness

successful transactions

netincome unit

pricerevenues

expected provider income

variable costs

providers available

untapped user 

demand

expecteduser

demand

actual user 

demand

potential user mktshare

goodwillreputation

satisfied users

platform feature level

level of discipline

fixed costs

perceived user satisf

platform warm glow

platform marketing

+

+

+ +

+

+

+

+

+

+

+ +

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

+

total demand

+

++

+

Page 28: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 29: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Exploring the complex interaction between competing regulatory systems

Common patterns in incumbents’ response to digital disruption

DenialCombat

ResignationAcceptance

cf. Kübler‐Ross 1969

Page 30: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 31: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Are access-based musicservices “fair” to creators?

“Bad for music”“Ridiculous payouts”

“Unfair to small artists”“It’s a scam!”

Page 32: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 33: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Page 34: Digital disruption · Digital Method Innovation Technologies & Practices in Everyday Life DIGITAL MEDIA QUT DMRC conducts world-leading research that helps society understand and

Digital MediaResearch Centre

Patrik WikströmQUT Digital Media Research Centre

[email protected]@pwikstrom

[email protected]@qutdmrc