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Dial meter reactions to Biden and Trump’s acceptance speeches September 3, 2020

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Page 1: Dial meter reactions to Biden and Trump’s acceptance speeches€¦ · Dial meter reactions to Biden and Trump’s acceptance speeches September 3, 2020. 1 Methodology On behalf

Dial meter reactions to Biden and Trump’s acceptance speechesSeptember 3, 2020

Page 2: Dial meter reactions to Biden and Trump’s acceptance speeches€¦ · Dial meter reactions to Biden and Trump’s acceptance speeches September 3, 2020. 1 Methodology On behalf

1

Methodology

On behalf of the Center for Voter Information and the Voter Participation Center,

Democracy Corps on August 20 and 27, 2020, conducted online dial meter research

during Vice President Joe Biden’s acceptance speech for the Democratic nomination for

President and President Donald Trump’s acceptance speech for the Republican

nomination, among 201 registered voters nationally.

Key line groups include:

• African Americans

• Latinos

• White millennials

• White unmarried women

• White working-class women

• White college women

• White working-class men

To ensure each line was as representative as possible, these lines were individually

recruited. Surveys were administered before and after the live dial meter session.

*This research is qualitative, and results are not statistically projectable onto a

larger population.*

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2

Key Findings

• Joe Biden’s acceptance speech was more impactful and defining than was

Donald Trump’s — though each barely moved Trump’s job approval ratings

or the winning margins in the race. The contest, as you will see in the

polling between and during the conventions, is very locked into current the

structure.

• Biden’s speech touched the Rising American Electorate of African

Americans, Hispanic and Latino voters, and white unmarried women, but

also college women and white working-class women. It further branded

Trump as someone who works only for his own party, and further defined

Biden as uniting the country, dealing with racial strife and good for the

middle class and its values.

• Biden did not make gains on who would be better on health care – the most

important issue.

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Key Findings• Trump’s speech, which was more political than factual, artificially raised

Biden’s unfavorability with white working class women, white unmarried

women and African Americans.

• Trump’s speech seemed to get his strongest response with white working

class men, followed by white working class women. When he spoke about

asserting America’s interests, such as with NATO and energy independence,

white college women and millennials responded as well.

• Trump made gains compared to Biden on health care and China, which is a

real potential issue. It is important to note that he made his smallest gains on

handling “law and order.”

• Rarely does a speech damage your image, but Trump’s negativity may have

backfired and the number thinking he is self-dealing jumped 10 points, as well

as those strongly believing he, ”governs for billionaires.” He made only

modest gains on governing for the “forgotten Americans.”

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4

59

3138

59

30

50 46

30 3541

75

26

45 5056 58 58

36

54 57

JoeBiden

DonaldTrump

DonaldTrump

JoeBiden

Obama2011SOTU

Obama2013SOTU

Trump2017SOTU

Trump2018SOTU

Trump2019SOTU

Trump2020SOTU

Pre-Speech Post-SpeechBIDEN VS. TRUMP FAVORABILITY (% FAVORABLE)

+8 +19+6

*2018 dial lines did not include white working-class women and white

college women. 2019 dial lines did not include white working-class men.

Trump’s speech less impactful on favorability than Biden’s; matches his and

Obama’s weakest State of the Union and far short of Obama’s best

+12+26 +16+7+16 -9-5

Republican National Convention

Democratic National Convention

Obama: Best & Worst SOTU Speeches

Trump: 1st Term SOTU Speeches

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RNC: Trump speech reduced Biden’s favorability with white working-class

women, white unmarried women, and black voters.

59

38

53

37

5242

56 5665

20

67

4353 53

89

20

5045

5347

4252

34

6655

3040

50 4855

75

23

Biden Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump Biden Trump

-9 -- -10 -22 -10 -27 -5 -14+7 +10 +10 +10 +10 +7 +2 +3

RNC: BIDEN/TRUMP FAVORABILITY (% FAVORABLE)

I'd like to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations with 100 meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; 0 meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold.

TotalWhite

UnmarriedWomen

White Millennials

WhiteWorking

class women

White College Women

White Working

Class Men

African American

Hispanic

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Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?

22 27 27 32 17 24

37 41 43 4732 39

51 48 44 38 53 50

63 59 57 5368 61

Strong approve Strong disapprove

The Economy Handling Coronavirus

TRUMP APPROVAL: PRE & POST SPEECH

Overall Job Approval

RNC: Speech generated virtually no improvement in Trump’s job approval, even

on the pandemic

Pre Post Pre Post

+4

Pre Post

+4 +7

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37 47 42 46 48 5317 16 16 14 8 6 16 15 21 20 18 14

6372

64 71 69 72

3829 33 28 21 16

32 2735 31 31 28

17 15 16 14 16 1547 53 51 53 67 73

47 53 49 54 51 5937

2831 28 36 29

6271 67 72 79 84

68 73 65 69 69 72

Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post

Very well Not well at all

DNC: Biden speech sharply defined Trump brand - works only for own party, self-

dealing and for billionaires

7

Keeping his promises

Works only to help

his own party

Self-dealing

Battles for working

Americans

Governing for billionaires and

big money elites

Governing for the forgotten

Americans

Trump is our savior

Draining the swamp of

corrupt special interests

Preventingvoter fraud

+9 +7 +3 -9 -5 -5 -5 -4 -3

BIDEN SPEECH: PRE & POST

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42 47 44 53 40 4622 30 24 32

10 14 19 29 21 27 25 30

6171 65 71

64 69

38 45 42 49

24 31 37 4436 42 42 48

19 15 44 41 45 3864 59 46 43

45 44 37 32 18 15 18 16

3929 62 55 58

51

76 69 63 56

62 48 58 5235 29 36 32

Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post

Very well Not well at all

RNC: Trump’s speech back-fired on self-dealing and governing for billionaires,

while making only modest gains on keeping us safe and forgotten Americans

8

Keeping his promises

Is going tobe reelectedto a second

term

Self-Dealing

Works onlyto help

his own party

Governing for billionaires and

big money Elites

Governing for the forgotten

Americans

Trump is our savior

Draining the swamp of

corrupt special interests

Keeping us safe

+10 +7 +7 +7 +7 +6 +6+6 +5

TRUMP SPEECH: PRE & POST

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41 49 46 60 45 56 41 53 39 50 37 46 36 46 48 58 44 56 48 57

5768 65 75

62 7261 71 60 69 60 69

56 65 64 72 70 7864 72

26 21 16 14 17 13 20 19 23 19 20 17 24 21 17 13 14 12 18 16

32 26 23 20 25 21 29 24 32 26 29 2438 31 25 19 20 15

26 24

Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post

Biden much better Trump much better

DNC: WHO WILL DO A BETTER JOB? Biden made large gains on strength, racial

strife and unity and improving things for the middle class

9

Now you will read some issues. For each issue, please say whether you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job with handling that issue.

+10+11 +9+10 +9+10 +9 +8 +8

Improvingthings for themiddle class

Health care

Handling apandemic

like the coronavirus

Dealing withracialstrife

Uniting thecountry

Promotinghard

work andpersonal

responsibility

Addressingclimatechange

Making America

strong

Will keephis promises

Gettingpeople back

to work

+8

BIDEN SPEECH: PRE & POST

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40 40 32 30 43 38 32 31 34 30 33 33 42 41 34 35 43 42 33 31

62 55 49 4459 56 50 47 50 46 52 49 56 55 56 52 59 58 53 50

21 31 29 38 20 26 30 39 32 38 32 36 27 34 26 31 20 26 30 3629

38 3847

27 34 40 46 41 4738 44

34 4033 39

28 34 39 44

Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post Pre Post

Biden much better Trump much better

RNC: WHO WILL DO A BETTER JOB? Trump makes largest gains on healthcare

and China. Least on dealing with racial strife and, surprisingly, law and order.

10

Now you will read some issues. For each issue, please say whether you think Joe Biden or Donald Trump would do a better job with handling that issue.

+9+9 +6+6 +6+7 +6 +6 +6

The economy

Dealing with racial

strife

Dealing with China

Uniting thecountry

Gettingpeople back

to work

Dealing with law and order

Health care

Getting the country out

of deep recession

Will keep his promises

+5

Protecting our

democracy

TRUMP SPEECH: PRE & POST

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Biden Speech

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Strong reaction to health crisis and economic impact, with sharp rise in lines on

bringing America together and national COVID strategy with information from experts

• [A] If this president is re-elected, we know what will happen. Cases and deaths will remain far too high. More mom-and-pop businesses will close their doors for good. Working families will struggle to get by, and yet, the wealthiest 1 percent will get tens of billions of dollars in new tax breaks. And the assault on the Affordable Care Act will continue until its destroyed, taking insurance away from more than 20 million people — including more than 15 million people on Medicaid — and getting rid of the protections that President Obama and I passed for people who suffer from a pre-existing condition.

• [B] I see a different America. One that is together generous and strong. Selfless and humble. It’s an America we can rebuild t’s ruined so many lives. Because I understand something this president doesn’t. We will never get our economy back on track, we will never get our kids safely back to school, we will never have our lives back, until we deal with this virus.

• [C] Well, I do. If I’m president on day one, we’ll implement the national strategy I’ve been laying out since March. We’ll develop and deploy rapid tests with results available immediately. We’ll make the medical supplies and protective equipment our country needs. And we’ll make them here in America. So we will never again be at the mercy of China and other foreign countries in order to protect our own people. We’ll make sure our schools have the resources they need to be open, safe, and effective. We’ll put the politics aside and take the muzzle off our experts so the public gets the information they need and deserve. The honest, unvarnished truth. They can deal with that.

C: “We’ll put the politics aside and take the muzzle off our experts

so the public gets the information they need and deserve.”

B: “I see a different America. [..] It’s an America we can rebuild together.””A: Sharp drop on economic and health crisis

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Very positive reaction to Biden’s own experience with loss, with sustained rise on

middle class jobs plan and sharp jump in the lines on corporations paying fair share

• [A] I know how mean and cruel and unfair life can be sometimes. But I’ve learned two things. First, your loved ones may have left this Earth but they never leave your heart. They will always be with you. And second, I found the best way through pain and loss and grief is to find purpose. As God’s children each of us have a purpose in our lives. And we have a great purpose as a nation: to open the doors of opportunity to all Americans. To save our democracy. To be a light to the world once again

• [B] That’s why my economic plan is all about jobs, dignity, respect and community. Together, we can, and we will, rebuild our economy. And when we do, - we’ll not only build it back, we’ll build it back better. With modern roads, bridges, highways, broadband, ports and airports as a new foundation for economic growth. With pipes that transport clean water to every community. With five million new manufacturing and technology jobs so the future is made in America. With a health care system that lowers premiums, deductibles, and drug prices by building on the Affordable Care Act he’s trying to rip away. With an education system that trains our people for the best jobs of the 21st century, where cost doesn’t prevent young people from going to college, and student debt doesn’t crush them when they get out.[…]

• [ C] And we can pay for these investments by ending loopholes and the president’s $1.3 trillion tax giveaway to the wealthiest 1 percent and the biggest, most profitable corporations, some of which pay no tax at all. Because we don’t need a tax code that rewards wealth more than it rewards work. I’m not looking to punish anyone. Far from it. But it’s long past time the wealthiest people and the biggest corporations in this country paid their fair share.

“I found the best way through pain and

loss and grief is to find purpose.”

A: Sharp rise on getting through pain and loss by finding purpose

B: Sustained rise on economic plan about jobs and dignity

C: Sharp rise on making corporations pay their fair share

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Another positive response after Biden mentions family, and lines go up on restoring

American leadership abroad, with sharp rise on call to action to address racism

• [A] Kamala and I both draw strength from our families. [..] After losing my first wife in a car accident, Jill came into my life and put our family back together. She’s an educator. A mom. A military mom. And an unstoppable force. If she puts her mind to it, just get out of the way. Because she’s going to get it done. She was a great second lady and she will make a great first lady for this nation. She loves this country so much. And I will have the strength that can only come from family. Hunter, Ashley and all our grandchildren, my brothers, my sister. They give me courage and lift me up. And while he is no longer with us, Beau inspires me every day. Beau served our nation in uniform. A decorated Iraq war veteran. So I take very personally the profound responsibility of serving as commander in chief.

• [B] I will be a president who will stand with our allies and friends. I will make it clear to our adversaries the days of cozying up to dictators are over. Under President Biden, America will not turn a blind eye to Russian bounties on the heads of American soldiers. Nor will I put up with foreign interference in our most sacred democratic exercise — voting. I will stand always for our values of human rights and dignity. And I will work in common purpose for a more secure, peaceful, and prosperous world..

• [C] History has thrust one more urgent task on us. Will we be the generation that finally wipes the stain of racism from our national character? I believe we’re up to it. I believe we’re ready Just a week ago yesterday was the third anniversary of the events in Charlottesville. Remember seeing those neo-Nazis and Klansmen and white supremacists coming out of the fields with lighted torches? Veins bulging? […] It was a wake-up call for us as a country. And for me, a call to action. At that moment, I knew I’d have to run. My father taught us that silence was complicity. And I could not remain silent or complicit.

A: Biden speaking about drawing strength from his family

B: Foreign policy, standing with allies and against dictators

C: Racism and Charlottesville

“It was a wake-up call for us as a country.

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Closing minutes bring all lines up in a tight group on making progress in our darkest

moments, with final rise when he says “end of this chapter of American Darkness”

A: Battle for the soul of this nation, George Floyd, John Lewis

C: End of this chapter of American Darkness

B: In darkest moments we’ve made our greatest progress

• [A] One of the most important conversations I’ve had this entire campaign is with someone who is too young to vote. I met with 6-year old Gianna Floyd, a day before her daddy, George Floyd, was laid to rest. She is incredibly brave. I’ll never forget. When I leaned down to speak with her, she looked into my eyes and said, “Daddy changed the world.” Her words burrowed deep into my heart. Maybe George Floyd’s murder was the breaking point. Maybe John Lewis’ passing the inspiration.

• [B] America’s history tells us that it has been in our darkest moments that we’ve made our greatest progress. That we’ve found the light. And in this dark moment, I believe we are poised to make great progress again. In times as challenging as these, I believe there is only one way forward. As a united America. United Are we ready? I believe we are. Tin our pursuit of a more perfect union. United in our dreams of a better future for us and for our children. United in our determination to make the coming years bright. his is a great nation. And we are a good and decent people. This is the United States of America. And there has never been anything we’ve been unable to accomplish when we’ve done it together.

• [C] This is our moment to make hope and history rhyme. With passion and purpose, let us begin — you and I together, one nation, under God — united in our love for America and united in our love for each other. For love is more powerful than hate. Hope is more powerful than fear. Light is more powerful than dark. This is our moment. This is our mission. May history be able to say that the end of this chapter of American darkness began here tonight as love and hope and light joined in the battle for the soul of the nation. And this is a battle that we, together, will win. I promise you. Thank you. And may God bless you. And may God protect our troops.

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Trump Speech

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Lines rise on importance of election, flat on racial injustice, and all rise on salvation

from god not career politicians.

• [A] And yet, despite all of our greatness as a nation, everything we have achieved is now endangered. This is the most important election in the history of our country. At no time before have voters faced a clearer choice between two parties, two visions, two philosophies, or two agendas. This election will decide whether we SAVE the American Dream, or whether we allow a socialist agenda to DEMOLISH our cherished destiny. Your vote will decide whether we protect law abiding Americans, or whether we give free reign to violent anarchists, agitators, and criminals who threaten our citizens

• [B] And this election will decide whether we will defend the American Way of Life, or whether we allow a radical movement to completely dismantle and destroy it. At the Democrat National Convention, Joe Biden and his party repeatedly assailed America as a land of racial, economic, and social injustice. So tonight, I ask you a very simple question: How can the Democrat Party ask to lead our country when it spends so much time tearing down our country? In the left's backward view, they do not see America as the most free, just, and exceptional nation on earth. Instead, they see a wicked nation that must be punished for its sins..

• [C] Our opponents say that redemption for YOU can only come from giving power to THEM. This is a tired anthem spoken by every repressive movement throughout history. But in this country, we don't look to career politicians for salvation. In America, we don't turn to government to restore our souls -- we put our faith in Almighty God

A:Most important election ever.C: Salvation from god not career politicians

B: Punish America for sins, rife with racial injustice.

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Long sustained rise on making other nations pay their fair share in NATO, white working

class rise on putting America first and American energy independence.

• [A] Four years ago, I ran for President because I could not watch this betrayal of our country any longer. I could not sit by as career politicians let other countries take advantage of us on trade, borders, foreign policy and national defense. Our NATO partners, as an example, were far behind in their defense payments. But at my strong urging, they agreed to pay $130 billion more a year. This will ultimately go to $400 billion. Secretary General Stoltenberg, who heads NATO, was amazed, and said that President Trump did what no one else was able to do

• [B] I did what our political establishment never expected and could never forgive, breaking the cardinal rule of Washington Politics. I KEPT MY PROMISES. Together, we have ended the rule of the failed political class -- and they are desperate to get their power back by any means necessary. They are angry at me because instead of putting THEM FIRST, I put AMERICA FIRST.

• [C] Days after taking office, we shocked the Washington Establishment and withdrew from the last Administration's job-killing Trans Pacific Partnership. I then approved the Keystone XL and Dakota Access Pipelines, ended the unfair and costly Paris Climate Accord, and secured, for the first time, American Energy Independence. We passed record-setting tax and regulation cuts, at a rate nobody had ever seen before. Within three short years, we built the strongest economy in the history of the world.

A: Other countries took advantage/ held NATO accountable.

B: America First.

C: Paris Accord/energy independence.

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Rise on acknowledging border patrol (not voters of color) and taking on big pharma;

Black lines drop sharply with “done more for African Americans than anyone”

• [A] In perhaps no area did the Washington special interests try harder to stop us than on my policy of pro-American immigration. But I refused to back down -- and today America's borders are more secure than EVER before. We ENDED catch-and-release, stopped asylum fraud, took down human traffickers who prey on women and children, and we have deported 20,000 Gang Members and 500,000 Criminal Aliens. We have already built 300 miles of BorderWall -- and we are adding 10 new miles every single week. The Wall will soon be complete, and it is working beyond our wildest expectations. We are joined this evening by members of the Border Patrol union, representing our country's courageous border agents. Thank you all

• [B] Last month, I took on Big Pharma and signed orders that will massively lower the cost of your prescription drugs, and to give critically ill patients access to lifesaving cures, we passed the decades long-awaited RIGHT TO TRY legislation. We also passed VA Accountability and VA Choice.

• [C] By the end of my first term, we will have approved more than 300 federal judges, including two great new Supreme Court Justices. To bring prosperity to our forgotten inner cities, we worked hard to pass historic criminal justice reform, prison reform, opportunity zones, the long-term funding of historically black colleges and universities, and, before the China Virus came in, produced the best unemployment numbers for African-Americans, Hispanic-Americans, and Asian-Americans ever recorded. I have done more for the African-American community than any president since Abraham Lincoln, our first Republican president. I have done more in three years for the black community than Joe Biden has done in 47 years—and when I'm reelected, the best is yet to come!

C: Done most for African

Americans since Lincoln.A:Pro-America immigration policy/

Brave border patrol.B: Took on big pharma

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Iran nuclear deal and Israel get slow rise, but Embassy move leaves flat. Trump gets

sharp negative reaction to states wanting jobs back, not empathy.

B: Country loves law enforcement

A: Iran nuclear deal/IsraelC: NAFTA and trade deals

• [A] When I took office, the Middle East was in total chaos. ISIS was rampaging, Iran was on the rise, and the war in Afghanistan had no end in sight. I withdrew from the terrible, one-sided Iran Nuclear Deal. Unlike many presidents before me, I kept my promise, recognized Israel's true capital and moved our Embassy to Jerusalem. But not only did we talk about it as a future site, we got it built. Rather than spending $1 billion on a new building as planned, we took an already owned existing building in a better location, and opened it at a cost of less than $500,000. We also recognized Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, and this month we achieved the first Middle East peace deal in 25 years. In addition, we obliterated 100 percent of the ISIS Caliphate, and killed its founder and leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi. Then, in a separate operation, we eliminated the world's number one terrorist, Qasem Soleimani.

• [B] Unlike previous administrations, I have kept America OUT of new wars -- and our troops are coming home. We have spent nearly $2.5 trillion on completely rebuilding our military, which was very badly depleted when I took office. This includes three separate pay raises for our great warriors. We also launched the Space Force, the first new branch of the United States military since the Air Force was created almost 75 years ago

• [C] Biden voted for the NAFTA disaster, the single worst trade deal ever enacted; he supported China's entry into the World Trade Organization, one of the greatest economic disasters of all time. After those Biden calamities, the United States lost 1 in 4 manufacturing jobs. The laid off workers in Michigan, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and many other states didn't want Joe Biden's hollow words of empathy, they wanted their jobs back!

“…recognized Israel's true capital and

moved our Embassy to Jerusalem.”

B: Rebuilt the military

“…states didn't want Joe Biden's hollow

words of empathy, they wanted their jobs back!

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Lines slide down on pandemic response, with an uptick on producing more ventilators

and later on outperforming other countries on pandemic response

A: First responders, more ventilators and testing

• [A] In recent months, our nation, and the rest of the world, has been hit with a once-in-a-century pandemic that China allowed to spread around the globe. We are grateful to be joined tonight by several of our incredible nurses and first responders -- please stand and accept our profound thanks. Many Americans have sadly lost friends and cherished loved ones to this horrible disease. As one nation, we mourn, we grieve, and we hold in our hearts forever the memories of all of those lives so tragically taken. In their honor, we will unite. In their memory, we will overcome. When the China Virus hit, we launched the largest national mobilization since World War II. Invoking the Defense Production Act, we produced the world's largest supply of ventilators. Not a single American who has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator. We shipped hundreds of millions of masks, gloves and gowns to our front line healthcare workers. To protect our nation's seniors, we rushed supplies, testing kits, and personnel to nursing homes and long term care facilities. The Army Corps of Engineers built field hospitals, and the Navy deployed our great hospital ships. We developed, from scratch, the largest and most advanced testing system in the world. America has tested more than every country in Europe put together, and more than every nation in the Western Hemisphere COMBINED. We have conducted 40 million more tests than the next closest nation.

• [B] The United States has among the lowest case fatality rates of any major country in the world. The European Union's case fatality rate is nearly three times higher than ours. Altogether, the nations of Europe have experienced a 30 percent greater increase in excess mortality than the United States.

B: Reacted faster than other countries, EU

“we produced the world's largest supply of ventilators. Not a single

American who has needed a ventilator has been denied a ventilator.”

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Steady rise on producing vaccine in record time, sharp rise on cutting taxes for middle

class and “made in America.”

A: Science, facts, data/Vaccine in record time

B: Cut taxes/made in America

• [A] My Administration has a different approach. To save as many lives as possible, we are focusing on the science, the facts and the data. We are aggressively sheltering those at highest risk -- especially the elderly -- while allowing lower-risk Americans to safely return to work and school. Most importantly, we are marshalling America's scientific genius to produce a vaccine in RECORD TIME. Under Operation Warp Speed, we have three different vaccines in the final stage of trials right now, years ahead of what has been achieved before. We are producing them in advance, so that hundreds of millions of doses will be quickly available. We will have a safe and effective vaccine this year, and together we will crush the virus.

• [B] He has pledged a $4 trillion tax hike on almost all American families, which will totally collapse our rapidly improving economy and once again record stock markets. On the other hand, just as I did in my first term, I will cut taxes even further for hardworking moms and dads, not raise them. We will also provide tax credits to bring jobs out of China BACK to America -- and we will impose tariffs on any company that leaves America to produce jobs overseas. We'll make sure our companies and jobs stay in our country, as I've already been doing. Joe Biden's agenda is Made in China. My agenda is MADE IN THE USA.

“Under Operation Warp Speed, we have three different

vaccines in the final stage of trials right now.”

“I will cut taxes even further for

hardworking moms and dads.”“Joe Biden's agenda is Made in China.

My agenda is MADE IN THE USA.”

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23

Sharp rises on school choice and pro-life. Lines relatively flat on law-enforcement and

public safety, until Trump says “stand with men and women of law enforcement”

• [A] Biden also vowed to oppose School Choice and close down Charter Schools, ripping away the ladder of opportunity for Black and Hispanic children.• In a second term, I will EXPAND charter schools and provide SCHOOL CHOICE to every family in America. And we will always treat our teachers with the tremendous

respect they deserve.• [B] Joe Biden claims he has empathy for the vulnerable -- yet the party he leads supports the extreme late-term abortion of defenseless babies right up to the

moment of BIRTH. Democrat leaders talk about moral decency, but they have no problem with stopping a baby's beating heart in the 9th month of pregnancy. Democrat politicians refuse to protect innocent life, and then they lecture us about morality and saving America's soul? Tonight, we proudly declare that all children, born and unborn, have a GOD-GIVEN RIGHT TO LIFE.

• [C] When asked if he supports cutting police funding, Joe Biden replied, "Yes, absolutely." When Congresswoman Ilhan Omar called the Minneapolis police department a cancer that is "rotten to the root," Biden wouldn't disavow her support and reject her endorsement -- he proudly displayed it on his website. Make no mistake, if you give power to Joe Biden, the radical left will Defund Police Departments all across America. They will pass federal legislation to reduce law enforcement nationwide. They will make every city look like Democrat-run Portland, Oregon. No one will be safe in Biden's America. My administration will always stand with the men and women of law enforcement. Every day, police officers risk their lives to keep us safe, and every year, many sacrifice their lives in the line of duty.

A:School choice

B: Abortion/right to life

C: Law enforcement and stand with police

“…a God given right to life.”

“My administration will always stand with the

men and women of law enforcement.”

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24

In the end?

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6168

5852

25 2231

37

3 0 3 2

Pre Post Pre Post

Democrat Joe Biden Republican Donald Trump 3rd Party

+36 +46 +27 +15

Biden and Trump got comparable and modest vote shifts after DNC and RNC

acceptance speeches – neither big enough to change race’s structure

BIDEN VS. TRUMP 2020 PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT

+10 +12

Presidential Vote – Biden DNC Speech Presidential Vote – Trump RNC Speech

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