DHC+, Brussels Jan 24, 2012 1

Heat Roadmap Europe

Sven Werner

Halmstad University

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Heat Roadmap Europe

• An elaborated vision for the future heat supply to European district heating systems (inspired by the Heat Plan Denmark project

• Part of the overall future concept based on fourth generation of district heating systems

• Many EU and other future projections concerning the energy system do not consider the possibilities with district heating systems

• Do they model district heating properly?

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District heating in EU27

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1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

EJ/year

EC 2030 Baseline scenario

EC 2030 Reference scenario

IEA energy balances, 2010 edition

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Heat Roadmap Europe

• Originally an idea put forward at the EHP board seminar in June 2010

• Application process started for the IEE May 2011 deadline, but no application was submitted

• Pre-study performed by the Aalborg and Halmstad Universities between January and April 2012.

• Next application possibility: IEE deadline of May 8, 2012

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Pre-study contents

• Policy scenario (the EC 2030 trend report chosen, since the EC 2050 roadmap lacks detailed info so far)

• Heat Roadmap scenario

• Comparision of the Policy and heat Roadmap scenarios for 2030 and 2050

• Conclusions

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Pre-study contents

• General methodology according to the Aalborg University experiences (told by David Connolly)

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Pre-study contents

Heat Roadmap scenario:• Gathering info about local conditions in the

NUTS2 or NUTS3 regions as possibilities for excess heat recovery

• Estimating heat demands in the same regions

• Identifying 10 hot spots where the excess heat recovery possibilities are high compared to the heat demands

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Pre-study contents

Heat Roadmapscenario:• Identifying

existing district heating systems in the hot spot regions

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Pre-study contents

Heat Roadmap

scenario:

• All urban settlements have a district heating possibility

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2011 Application outline

WP1 Project Management

WP6 Heat Roadmap Europe Scenario

WP3 Mapping DHC

WP4 DHC Expansion Possibilities

WP5 Reference Scenarios

WP9 Dissemination

WP7 Benefits and Implementation (horizontal analyses)

WP8 Case studies (vertical analyses)

WP2 Boundary conditions

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2011 Application outline

Case studies proposed:

• Emerging country: United Kingdom

• Expansion country: France or Germany

• Consolidation country: Denmark, by utilising Heat Plan Denmark

• Refurbishing country: Poland

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2012 Application

• Suitable for the IEE 2012 call for proposals?

• How to harmonise our ideas with the 2012 call for proposals?

• Who can take the coordinator role both for the application and the project?

• Any new ideas?